Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 12.9% | -4.6% | -4.6% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 12.9% | -4.6% | -4.6% |
Buckley Capital's Q1 2026 letter highlights their approach of finding opportunities where markets underappreciate normalized earnings power amid near-term uncertainty. Despite a challenging Q1 with -4.6% returns, the fund rebounded strongly in April with 13.8% monthly gains as fundamentals began asserting themselves. The portfolio is concentrated in three key positions: Acadia Healthcare, where proven CEO Debbie Osteen's return is driving a turnaround in behavioral health assets; Sezzle, a mispriced BNPL platform trading at attractive valuations despite 20%+ earnings growth potential; and Hilton Grand Vacations, a timeshare leader trading at just 6x free cash flow with management buying back 15% of shares annually. These investments reflect the manager's focus on special situations involving management changes, misunderstood business models, or temporary operational headwinds. The manager used Q1 volatility to refine the portfolio and believes dislocations across small and mid-cap equities continue creating compelling risk-reward opportunities for patient capital with a three to five-year investment horizon.
Buckley Capital focuses on investing in high-quality businesses at deeply discounted valuations, particularly in special situations where markets are myopically focused on near-term uncertainty and underappreciating normalized earnings power and long-term value creation.
The manager believes the opportunity set remains highly attractive with dislocations across small and mid-cap equities creating inefficiencies. Focus remains on deploying capital into situations involving management change, misunderstood business models, or temporary operational headwinds with a disciplined underwriting framework targeting attractive returns over a three to five-year horizon while limiting downside risk.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 2026 | 2026 Q1 | ACHC, HGV, SEZL | Fintech, healthcare, small cap, special situations, turnaround, value | - | Buckley Capital targets high-quality businesses at deep discounts, focusing on special situations where markets undervalue normalized earnings power. Key positions include Acadia Healthcare's CEO-driven turnaround, mispriced BNPL leader Sezzle, and undervalued timeshare operator Hilton Grand Vacations. Despite Q1 volatility, strong April performance validates their thesis as fundamentals assert themselves across concentrated portfolio. |
| Jan 27 2026 | 2025 Q4 | ALL, BFIT, DAVE, FTAI, GE, HLT, HWM, IHG.L, IWG.L, LNW, LQDA, MAR, PRTH, RR.L, RTX, SAF.PA, UTHR, VRNA, WLFC | aerospace, Europe, Fintech, gaming, Inflection, small caps, turnaround, value |
WLFC PRTH LNW IWG LN DAVE LQDA |
Buckley Capital outperformed in 2025 with 21.4% returns by exploiting price-value disconnects in small-cap equities. The concentrated portfolio targets inflection points in quality businesses like Basic-Fit and Willis Lease Finance, where improving fundamentals remain underappreciated. Multiple holdings are transitioning from temporary setbacks to normalization, positioning for meaningful value realization through company-specific catalysts rather than macro themes. |
| May 5 2025 | 2025 Q1 | BFIT.AS, DNTL.TO, IWG.L, LQDA, UTHR, VRNA | Europe, healthcare, small caps, tariffs, value, volatility |
DNTL.TO BFIT.AS VRNA LQDA |
Buckley Capital outperformed during Q1 tariff-driven volatility with defensive positioning and core holdings in stable businesses like Dentalcorp and Basic Fit. Healthcare exposure through successful Verona Pharma and Liquidia Corp launches provides growth drivers. Manager views current market stress as creating attractive value opportunities similar to best-performing years, expecting continued outperformance through disciplined small-cap value investing. |
| Jan 27 2025 | 2024 Q4 | AAPL, DNTL.TO, GOGO, MSFT, PLNT, TSLA, XPOF | Aviation, Connectivity, Fitness, Franchising, Russell 2000, small cap, undervalued, value |
GOGO XPOF |
Small-cap value manager targeting 20% annual returns through concentrated positions in undervalued Russell 2000 names. Portfolio includes IWG at 7.5x earnings with 25% growth, new aviation connectivity play Gogo with 300% upside, and fitness franchisor XPOF expecting 100-200% returns. Believes small caps positioned to outperform overvalued large caps over next decade. |
| Oct 29 2024 | 2024 Q3 | CC, CZR, IWG.L | Chemicals, Fed Cuts, gaming, real estate, small caps, value |
CC CZR IWG.L |
Small cap value manager underperformed in 2024 despite portfolio trading at 70% discount to fair value. Positioned for Fed rate cut tailwinds with small caps at 45-year relative valuation lows. Key holdings Chemours, Caesars, and IWG offer significant upside through business normalization and multiple re-rating. Expects value realization trend to reverse with continued Russell 2000 outperformance. |
| Jul 23 2024 | 2024 Q2 | BFIT, CC, DNTL.TO, HGV, IWG.L | Chemicals, Europe, Fitness, Russell 2000, small caps, Timeshare, Travel, value |
HGV BFIT |
Small caps at worst valuation versus large caps since 2000, mirroring pre-2000 setup before Russell 2000 outperformed S&P 500 by 9.5% annually. Fund positioned to significantly beat Russell 2000 through concentrated value plays including Hilton Grand Vacations at 6.9x EBITDA and Basic-Fit at all-time low multiples. Fed rate cuts provide additional catalyst for small cap outperformance. |
| May 22 2024 | 2024 Q1 | CC, GFF, GSY.TO, IWG.L, NGVT | Co-working, Commercial real estate, small caps, Specialty Chemicals, value | - | Buckley Capital posted 4.08% in Q1 while positioning aggressively for small-cap outperformance. The manager initiated Ingevity at 7-8x normalized earnings and doubled Chemours on temporary weakness. With small-cap valuations at 7th percentile levels since 1930 and strong economic backdrop, the concentrated portfolio of specialty chemicals and commercial real estate plays offers compelling multi-year upside potential. |
| May 2 2024 | 2023 Q4 | AAPL, DNTL.TO, GFF, GSY.TO, IWG.L, XPOF | Canada, Consolidation, Franchising, Short Squeeze, small caps, value | - | Buckley Capital delivered 31.4% returns in 2023, significantly outperforming small cap benchmarks. Manager sees generational opportunity in small/mid-cap value stocks trading at 9.6x earnings with 18% growth versus expensive large caps. Portfolio concentrated in quality businesses like Canadian dental consolidator Dentalcorp and coworking leader IWG, positioned for mean reversion as valuations normalize. |
| Oct 25 2023 | 2023 Q3 | DNTL.TO, GFF, LNW | gaming, healthcare, Industrial, Outperformance, small caps, value |
LNW DNTL.TO AAGFF |
Small caps are at pandemic-bottom valuations with Russell 2000 at 9x versus S&P 500 at 21x. Buckley Capital owns high-quality businesses trading at fractions of intrinsic value, outperforming benchmarks by 15-19% year-to-date. Key holdings Light and Wonder, Dentalcorp, and Griffon offer significant upside as fundamentals remain strong despite multiple compression. Fund targets 30% IRR over five years. |
| Jul 31 2023 | 2023 Q2 | DNTL.TO, GFF, MRLLN, NGMS, XPOF | Acquisitions, Building Products, Fitness, gaming, small cap, Testing, value | - | Buckley Capital's small-cap value strategy delivered exceptional Q2 performance driven by the Neogames acquisition at 120% premium. The fund targets undervalued companies with recurring revenues and organic growth, currently underwriting 30% IRR over five years. Key holdings include building products consolidator Griffon and UK testing business Marlowe, both trading below intrinsic value with multiple expansion catalysts. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
Behavioral HealthAcadia Healthcare represents a turnaround opportunity with proven CEO Debbie Osteen returning to lead the company. The behavioral health industry faces significant supply-demand imbalance with 30 million Americans receiving no mental health treatment and a deficit of 75,000 psychiatric beds. Osteen's operational discipline and capital-light strategy should drive meaningful free cash flow improvement from negative $424 million in 2025 to positive $140 million in 2026. |
Healthcare Turnaround Management Supply Shortage Mental Health |
BNPLSezzle is viewed as a mispriced buy now pay later business trading at attractive valuations of 12.7x current year earnings and less than 10x next year's earnings. The BNPL space is growing at 20% annually and Sezzle has the best business model with ability to quickly adjust credit standards. The company can compound earnings at 20%+ with a long growth runway. |
Fintech Consumer Finance Growth Valuation Credit | |
TravelHilton Grand Vacations represents an attractive entry point in the timeshare industry at just 6x free cash flow. The company has demonstrated resilience through multiple cycles with 60% of EBITDA from recurring sources. Management is buying back 15% of shares annually at current prices, and the business should trade at 10-15x FCF given its consistency and growth profile. |
Timeshares Hospitality Buybacks Recurring Revenue Valuation | |
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI emergence has created market hysteria and broad software sell-offs despite limited real-world adoption. Manager believes incumbent software firms with domain expertise and proprietary data are better positioned than AI-native startups to capture long-term benefits from AI integration. |
Artificial Intelligence Software Automation Technology |
SoftwareSoftware sector treated as monolith awaiting AI disruption, creating valuation disconnect. Manager maintains significant overweight despite recent underperformance, believing dominant vertical platforms can successfully reinvent themselves for agentic world and fend off AI-native competitors. |
Enterprise Software SaaS Technology Vertical Software | |
ValueTraditional value industries experiencing renewed enthusiasm as AI mania creates broadening market leadership. Manager unable to capitalize on value rotation due to software overweight, describing it as biggest black eye on 15-year track record. |
Value Investing Small Cap Value Industrial | |
HotelsChoice Hotels represents asset-light, high-margin opportunity trading at distressed multiple due to cyclical headwinds. Company shifting portfolio toward higher-revenue segments with potential for significant cash unlock and share buybacks at historically low valuations. |
Hospitality Franchising Extended Stay Real Estate | |
| 2025 Q1 |
HealthcareThe fund has significant exposure to healthcare companies with best-in-class or first-in-class products, focusing on de-risked assets that don't require molecular-level analysis. Two material positions, Verona Pharma and Liquidia Corp, have grown to 5%+ positions due to strong performance and represent opportunities in COPD and pulmonary arterial hypertension treatments respectively. |
Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals COPD PAH Drug Launch |
ValueThe manager emphasizes buying fundamentally strong companies at attractive valuations, particularly during periods of market volatility when indiscriminate selling creates opportunities. The fund seeks businesses trading at significant discounts to their intrinsic value, with examples like companies trading at less than 10x FCF when similar businesses typically trade at over 20x FCF. |
Valuation Discount FCF Mispricing Opportunistic | |
TariffsTrump's aggressive tariff announcement created significant economic uncertainty and broad-based equity selling. The fund positioned defensively with less than 5% direct tariff exposure and expects the economic disruption from tariffs may lead to stagflation. The manager believes Trump may implement a less impactful tariff plan to improve his approval rating. |
Trade Policy Economic Uncertainty Stagflation Positioning | |
VolatilityThe manager views market volatility as creating the best investment opportunities, noting that their best years (2009, 2011, 2020) came during periods of significant market stress. Volatile markets typically correct within 12 months and create fortuitous environments for disciplined stock pickers when indiscriminate selling ignores valuation. |
Market Volatility Opportunity Stock Picking Market Timing | |
| 2024 Q4 |
ValueManager emphasizes investing in undervalued stocks trading at significant discounts to intrinsic value, comparing portfolio holdings like IWG and Basic Fit to overvalued large-cap names like Apple and Tesla. Portfolio consists of undervalued stocks diversified across multiple businesses with substantial gaps between current prices and intrinsic values. |
Undervalued Intrinsic Value Discount Multiple Compression Valuation |
Small CapsLetter focuses extensively on small-cap opportunities, particularly Russell 2000 positioning and historical outperformance patterns. Manager believes current environment mirrors 2000 when small caps were poised to outperform large caps after period of underperformance. Expects Russell 2000 to generate 7-10% returns versus 5-7% for S&P 500 over next decade. |
Russell 2000 Small Cap Outperformance Relative Value Market Cap | |
FitnessSignificant position in Xponential Fitness, the largest global franchisor of boutique fitness brands operating across eight verticals including pilates, cycling, and yoga. Company showing strong operating momentum under new CEO with credit card data indicating 5.2% beat for Q4 relative to consensus. Manager believes XPOF trades at 60% discount to peers despite superior growth profile. |
Franchising Boutique Fitness Pilates Yoga Wellness | |
ConnectivityNew position in Gogo, which provides internet connectivity services to business aviation through a razor-razor blade model. Company benefits from industry consolidation to duopoly with Starlink and upcoming product launches including Galileo LEO satellite service and 5G offering. Manager sees 300% upside potential by 2028 as broadband penetration increases from current 35% to near 100%. |
Aviation Internet Satellites 5G Broadband | |
| 2024 Q3 |
Small CapsManager emphasizes small caps are in the 11th percentile of historical relative value differentials versus large caps, one of the lowest valuation environments in 45 years. Fed rate cuts historically benefit small caps significantly, with several outperformance cycles starting with rate cuts. |
Russell 2000 Valuation Fed Cuts Outperformance Relative Value |
ValuePortfolio average upside to fair value estimated at 70% with businesses dramatically undervalued. Manager focuses on process and long-term returns despite current underperformance, believing rationality will eventually prevail across stock prices. |
Undervalued Fair Value Upside Process Long-term | |
| 2024 Q2 |
Small CapsManager believes small caps are at their worst level relative to large caps since 2000, creating significant opportunity. Russell 2000 vs S&P 500 trading at all-time low valuation similar to 2000. Expects small caps to outperform large caps over next 5 years, similar to 2000-2004 period when Russell 2000 beat S&P 500 by 9.5% annualized. |
Russell 2000 Valuation Outperformance Relative Value |
TravelSignificant exposure through Hilton Grand Vacations in timeshare industry and Basic-Fit in European fitness/travel-adjacent sector. Timeshare industry has grown mid-single digits since 1970s with strong recurring revenue streams. HGV benefits from Hilton brand affiliation and partnerships for lead generation reaching diverse customer base. |
Timeshare Hospitality Recurring Revenue Brand Affiliation | |
FitnessBasic-Fit position represents largest Pan-European low-cost gym operator with significant growth runway. Fitness penetration in major European markets ranges from 9-18% vs 22% in US, suggesting multi-year TAM expansion. Company has guided to 1,575 clubs by year-end 2024 with long-term goal of 3,000-3,500 clubs by 2030. |
Gym Operators European Markets Market Penetration Network Expansion | |
ValuePortfolio focused on undervalued opportunities with significant upside potential. HGV trading at 6.9x consensus FY25 EBITDA vs historical range of 7x-13x. Basic-Fit at all-time low valuation of 8x 2024 FCF vs historical 15-30x range. Chemours could generate $4-5 FCF/share in 2025 vs current $24 trading price. |
Undervalued FCF Multiple EBITDA Multiple Historical Valuation | |
| 2024 Q1 |
Specialty ChemicalsManager initiated position in Ingevity, a specialty chemicals company facing temporary margin pressure from high crude tall oil costs. The company is fixing these issues and should return to high historical growth rates. Also doubled position in Chemours after delayed filing created buying opportunity. |
Crude Tall Oil Activated Carbon Caprolactones EBITDA Margins Raw Materials |
Commercial Real EstateIWG benefits from the crisis in commercial real estate as it transitions to a capital-light model, partnering with landlords struggling to re-lease traditional office space. The company is signing up roughly 1,000 new properties per year under this managed approach. |
Co-working Flex Office Capital Light Property Management Office Space | |
Small CapsManager is very bullish on small caps given strong economy and potential for lower interest rates. The valuation differential between small-cap and large-cap stocks is extremely attractive, with rolling 5-year returns ranking in the 7th percentile since 1930. |
Valuation Gap Interest Rates Economic Strength Relative Performance Historical Spreads | |
| 2023 Q4 |
ValueManager emphasizes small and mid-cap value stocks are generationally cheap relative to other asset classes. Portfolio trades at 9.6x earnings with 18% EPS growth compared to expensive large caps like Apple at 28x earnings with only 8% projected growth. |
Value Small Caps Multiples Earnings Cheap |
DentalDentalcorp is a top position - largest dental service organization in Canada with recession-resistant, cash-generative business. Company has grown from 10 practices in 2011 to 535 currently, with significant consolidation runway in fragmented Canadian market. |
Healthcare Consolidation Canada Recession Resistant | |
FitnessXponential Fitness is a boutique fitness franchisor under coordinated short attack despite strong execution. Manager conducted extensive primary research showing over 90% of franchisees are profitable, contradicting short thesis claims. |
Franchising Short Squeeze Primary Research | |
| 2023 Q3 |
Small CapsSmall caps are at their most depressed levels since March 2020 pandemic bottom. The relative valuation of small cap stocks is near an all-time high with earnings positive IWN trading at 9x vs S&P at 21x. The Russell 2000 is down 30%+ from its November 2021 peak with multiple contraction of 40%+. |
Russell 2000 Valuation Multiple Compression Relative Value Market Dislocation |
ValueThe fund owns a collection of high quality businesses that trade at a fraction of what they are worth. This valuation disconnect is expected to lead to very strong forward returns as the market recognizes the underlying business strength. |
Undervalued Quality Intrinsic Value Mispricing Upside | |
GamingLight and Wonder represents a perfect confluence of events - an incredible business run by a great management team at an exceptional price. The company has poached 65 executives from Aristocrat and is running their successful playbook. Market share gains in Australia are starting to shift into North America. |
Slot Machines Market Share Management Australia North America | |
| 2023 Q2 |
GamingNeogames was the fund's second largest position when acquired by Aristocrat. The iLottery business has 67% market share in North America and provides services for governments transitioning from traditional scratch cards to online lottery programs. The North American iLottery market is projected to grow at 30%+ CAGR from 2021-2027. |
iLottery iGaming Sports Betting Online Lottery Gaming Platform |
Building MaterialsGriffon's Home and Building Products business has shown sustained profitability improvements with EBITDA of ~$480 million in fiscal 2023, roughly 90% greater than 2021 levels. Channel checks continue to be positive with strong demand in the commercial sector and consistent pricing, though some discounting occurs on large multi-door commercial projects. |
Commercial Construction Steel Prices Building Products Pricing Power | |
Testing & InspectionMarlowe operates Testing, Inspection, and Certification (TIC) and Governance, Risk, and Compliance (GRC) segments with 85% recurring revenue and 7-10% organic growth. The business trades at 7.5x EBITDA versus historical 13-14x multiples, with rumors of the TIC business being up for sale potentially worth the entire enterprise value. |
Fire Safety Water Inspection Air Inspection Compliance Software | |
FitnessXponential Fitness was attacked by a short report but management and franchisee discussions suggest ~90% of franchises opened over 1 year are profitable. The top 3 brands (Club Pilates, Pure Barre, StretchLab) comprise two-thirds of open studios with satisfied franchisees. Strong same-location sales and growing AUVs contradict short report criticisms. |
Franchising Boutique Fitness Studio Operations Franchise Profitability |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Zack Buckley | WLFC | Willis Lease Finance Corporation | Aerospace & Defense | Aircraft Leasing | Bull | NASDAQ | Accounting, Aerospace, asset value, Leasing, NAV | Login |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Zack Buckley | PRTH | Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. | Financials | Transaction & Payment Processing Services | Bull | NASDAQ | Activism, cashflow, Payments, take-private, undervaluation | Login |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Zack Buckley | LNW | Light & Wonder, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | NASDAQ | duopoly, Free Cash Flow, Gaming, turnaround, valuation | Login |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Zack Buckley | IWG LN | International Workplace Group plc | Real Estate | Flexible Office Space | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | asset-light, Flexible Office, Franchising, Margins, rerating | Login |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Zack Buckley | DAVE | Dave Inc. | Financials | Consumer Finance | Bull | NASDAQ | BNPL, earnings growth, Fintech, Neobank, valuation | Login |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Zack Buckley | LQDA | Liquidia Corporation | Health Care | Biotechnology | Bull | NASDAQ | Asymmetric, Biotech, litigation, Optionality, pharma | Login |
| May 5, 2025 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | VRNA | Verona Pharma plc | Health Care | Biotechnology | Bull | NASDAQ | asymmetric risk-reward, biotechnology, Commercial Launch, COPD Treatment, FDA approval, Market Share Opportunity, Novel Mechanism, Special Situation | Login |
| May 5, 2025 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | BFIT.AS | Basic-Fit N.V. | Consumer Discretionary | Leisure Facilities | Bull | Euronext Amsterdam | double-digit growth, Europe, Fitness Centers, Low-Cost Operator, market leader, Misunderstood Investment, Operational Leverage, regulatory catalyst | Login |
| May 5, 2025 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | LQDA | Liquidia Corporation | Health Care | Biotechnology | Bull | NASDAQ | acquisition target, biotechnology, Litigation Victory, Market Share Capture, PAH Treatment, Patent Litigation, Product Superiority, Special Situation | Login |
| May 5, 2025 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | DNTL.TO | Dentalcorp Holdings Ltd. | Health Care | Health Care Facilities | Bull | Toronto Stock Exchange | acquisition strategy, Canada, cash generation, defensive, Dental Services, Healthcare consolidation, market leader, Recession-resistant | Login |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Communication Services | Wireless Telecommunication Services | Bull | NASDAQ | 5G, Air-to-Ground, Business Aviation, Connectivity Services, duopoly, LEO satellites, private jets, Razor-Blade Model, recurring revenue, Satellite communications | Login |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | XPOF | Xponential Fitness Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Leisure Facilities | Bull | NYSE | Boutique Fitness, Credit Card Data, EBITDA growth, Franchise Peers, Franchising, multiple expansion, new CEO, Pilates, turnaround, valuation discount | Login |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | IWG.L | IWG plc | Real Estate | Specialized REITs | Bull | LSE | Activist Investment, asset-light model, Flexible Workspace, Franchise Fees, Geographic Arbitrage, Multiple rerating, US Relisting, Value Realization | Login |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | CZR | Caesars Entertainment | Consumer Discretionary | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | NASDAQ | deleveraging, Digital Sports Betting, FCF inflection, Gaming, iGaming, Las Vegas Real Estate, rate cuts, Sum-of-parts | Login |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | CC | Chemours Company | Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Bull | NYSE | Cyclical Recovery, environmental regulations, FCF multiple, margin expansion, refrigerants, specialty chemicals, Spin-off catalyst, Sum-of-parts | Login |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | BFIT | Basic-Fit | Consumer Discretionary | Leisure Facilities | Bull | Euronext Amsterdam | Contrarian Value, demographic trends, European Fitness, Expansion Pipeline, Low-cost gyms, Management alignment, market leader, market penetration, recurring revenue, Unit economics | Login |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | HGV | Hilton Grand Vacations | Consumer Discretionary | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | Bull | NYSE | Brand Affiliation, consolidation, Customer Upgrades, Cyclical Recovery, deleveraging, hospitality, market leader, recurring revenue, share repurchase, Timeshare | Login |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | LNW | Light and Wonder | Consumer Discretionary | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | NASDAQ | Australia, deleveraging, Free Cash Flow, Gaming, Management transformation, market share gains, North America, recurring revenue, Slot Machines, turnaround | Login |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | DNTL.TO | Dentalcorp | Health Care | Health Care Services | Bull | TSX | Canada, consolidation, defensive, deleveraging, Dental Services, Free Cash Flow Growth, Healthcare services, Labor Inflation, margin expansion, Multiple re-rating | Login |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Fund Letters | Buckley Capital | AAGFF | Griffon Corporation | Industrials | Building Products | Bull | NYSE | Building Products, capital allocation, Commercial Construction, Industrial, margin expansion, Overhead Doors, Share Buybacks, Steel Prices, strategic sale, Sum-of-parts | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| ACHC | Acadia has been our largest contributor to our 2026 performance thus far, and at today's prices, we have been trimming the position. We are highly attracted to special situations where a proven, high-caliber CEO returns to lead a fundamentally strong collection of assets suffering from recent neglect. Debra Osteen's recent reappointment as CEO of Acadia Healthcare provided exactly this catalyst. On January 20, 2026, Acadia announced that Osteen would return as CEO. On that same day, we purchased a meaningful position. At our purchase price of around $14 per share, the value of the company's real estate covered its entire enterprise value, so there was very little downside. The stock has already almost doubled from our purchase price approximately 3 months ago. ACHC could generate $4/share in EPS in the next 3-4 years and trade at between 12-20x earnings, which would make it a $48-$80 stock vs our average cost of around $14/share. |
| SEZL | Sezzle is a mispriced buy now pay later (BNPL) business that we believe will earn approximately $5.20/share in earnings this year and $7.00/share next year, vs. our purchase price of $66/share. We believe paying 12.7x this year's and less than 10x next year's earnings is highly attractive for a business that can compound earnings at a 20%+ clip with a long growth runway. Historically, Sezzle has traded for closer to 20-25x forward earnings, and we believe the IRR will be north of 25% given earnings growth combined with multiple expansion. |
| HGV | We re-initiated a position in Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV), the market leader in the timeshare industry and a stock we have followed for a number of years. At this point, the business is trading at just 6x FCF. Moreover, management is buying back at least 15% of the company per year at today's prices. Either the company will grow earnings per share at a very rapid rate if the valuation remains extremely low (at current prices, low mid-single-digit revenue growth can translate into 20%+ EPS growth), or at some point the stock will begin to re-rate. There is no reason why this business should not trade at 10-15x FCF given the consistency and longevity of the growth profile. Even when we model an exit at just 10x FCF, at today's prices, we still see an IRR north of 30% on this investment. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||