Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
Turtle Creek Asset Management describes extreme price-to-value dislocations across their concentrated portfolio of 25-30 high-quality companies, resulting in disappointing recent performance despite strong underlying fundamentals. The manager operates as private equity investors in public markets, focusing on founder-led businesses with long acquisition track records. Key holdings like Colliers and Premium Brands have experienced severe multiple compression to historical lows despite growing earnings, with Colliers falling from $240 to $130 due to AI disruption fears the manager views as transitory. In contrast, five holdings including Bread Financial and Encore Capital have doubled or more as multiples rebounded. The manager has aggressively added to depressed names like Colliers, tripling their position to make it a top-five holding. Portfolio companies are ramping up buybacks at attractive prices, with even first-time repurchasers like Floor & Decor and Kinsale Capital launching programs. The manager expresses high conviction that the current portfolio represents their best-ever combination of quality and valuation, expecting patient investors to be rewarded as fundamentals prevail.
Turtle Creek operates as private equity investors in public markets, focusing on founder-led, high-quality businesses with long-term cash flow growth trading at extreme valuation dislocations.
The manager expresses high confidence that fundamentals will prevail and that patient investors will be rewarded. They describe the current portfolio as the best combination of quality and valuation attractiveness in their history. The manager expects multiple expansion and continued earnings growth to drive returns, with aggressive buyback activity accelerating value creation. They acknowledge frustration with recent underperformance but maintain conviction based on their long-term track record of navigating similar periods successfully.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8 2026 | 2026 Q2 | BFH, CIGI, ECPG, FND, FSV, GIL, KNSL, MGA, PBH.TO, TFII | AI, Buybacks, Commercial real estate, long-term, Multiple Compression, Quality, value |
CIGI PBH.TO BFH |
Turtle Creek sees extreme valuation dislocations creating their best-ever opportunity set despite recent underperformance. The manager has tripled positions in quality names like Colliers trading at historical-low multiples due to overblown AI disruption fears. Portfolio companies are aggressively buying back stock at depressed prices. With founder-led businesses growing earnings while trading at decade lows, the manager expects substantial returns as multiples normalize. |
| Jun 15 2026 | 2026 Q1 | ATS.TO, BFH, CE, CIGI.TO, ENSG, IR, MEDP, PBH.TO, PNTG | Buybacks, healthcare, Industrial, mid cap, Specialty Chemicals, value |
CE PBH.TO CIGI ATS.TO IR MEDP PNTG |
Turtle Creek posted -4.8% in Q1 amid AI-driven market volatility but used weakness to add to conviction positions including Premium Brands and Colliers. Strong earnings from 40% of holdings and meaningful buyback activity support the thesis. Two quality additions in healthcare services demonstrate ongoing portfolio upgrading toward higher-quality mid-cap businesses. |
| Feb 21 2026 | 2025 Q4 | - | Canada, concentrated, drawdowns, mid cap, positioning, value | - | Turtle Creek's concentrated mid-cap strategy declined 12.4% in 2025 but trades at compelling 10x earnings with 20% projected growth versus S&P 500 at historically elevated 22x multiples. The manager maintains conviction in their unchanged investment process and expects strong recovery based on attractive valuations and historical drawdown patterns. |
| Oct 31 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AHT.L, ATD.TO, BFH, DOL.TO, DOO.TO, GIL.TO, KNSL, PFB.TO, SCI, SYF, TFII.TO, URI, WSC | Canada, Concentration, growth, mid cap, Quality, value |
WSC KNSL CTAS WSC KNSL CTAS |
Mid-cap focused portfolio trades at attractive 10.4x earnings with 20%+ forecast growth while S&P 500 trades at expensive 22x multiples. Upgraded portfolio quality through expanded team coverage enables better company selection. Recent underperformance from upgrading activities positions portfolio for superior returns as fundamentals strengthen while valuations remain reasonable versus broad market. |
| Sep 10 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | AI, Buybacks, Canada, ETFs, Fundamental, market inefficiency, mid cap, value | - | Turtle Creek sees unprecedented market inefficiency driven by passive investing, social media, and AI trading as a major opportunity. While share prices disconnect from fundamentals, their portfolio companies deliver strong earnings and return 5% cash to shareholders. This structural shift favors patient value investors who can capitalize on greater price dislocations. |
| May 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | BFH, BWA, FND, MGA.TO, MIDD, TFII.TO, TOY.TO | Buybacks, Canada, Foodservice, mid cap, tariffs, Transportation, value |
BFH TFII.TO MIDD |
Turtle Creek navigated Q1 tariff volatility with portfolio declining 10.3% despite strong underlying earnings. Manager doubled TFI position after 40% drop, viewing market overreaction to transport weakness. Portfolio benefits from USMCA compliance with minimal direct tariff exposure. Strong conviction in industry-leading companies with competitive moats positioned to outperform through uncertainty. |
| Mar 10 2025 | 2024 Q4 | AHT.L, AMCR, ATS.TO, BERY, BF.A, DFS, DOO.TO, KNSL, MGRC, PFB.TO, URBN, URI, WSC | Buybacks, Deregulation, Financial Services, mid cap, Trade Policy, value |
BFH BERY DOO.TO AHT.L KNSL WSC |
Turtle Creek added four positions at 50%+ discounts to intrinsic value in 2024, achieving 14% Portfolio Business Value growth despite modest 2% unit price returns. Trump election viewed as net positive through deregulation and tax cuts. Limited tariff exposure with under 10% Canadian revenue. Bread Financial led performance with 25%+ ROE and regulatory tailwinds. |
| Jul 31 2024 | 2024 Q2 | GIL.TO | Apparel, Canada, Concentration, Governance, value | GIL.TO | Turtle Creek's concentrated value portfolio trades at crisis-level 64% discount to intrinsic value despite 4% business value growth. Successfully led Gildan governance battle restoring founder CEO. Deployed 10% of assets into weakness. Portfolio at 9x earnings with 20% growth projection offers compelling opportunity as economic weakness creates acquisition opportunities for holdings. |
| May 16 2024 | 2024 Q1 | ATS.TO, PFB.TO, TFII | Attribution Analysis, Canada, mid cap, Quality, risk management, value | - | Turtle Creek demonstrates exceptional risk management with losses on only 3 of 85 positions over 15 years while generating 17.9% annual returns. The fund added three new positions in Q1 at 50%+ discounts to Business Value, maintaining their disciplined value approach focused on quality companies trading at significant discounts to intrinsic worth. |
| Feb 20 2024 | 2023 Q4 | GIL.TO | activism, Apparel, Canada, mid cap, Succession | - | Turtle Creek's 25-year track record of consistent value investing was tested when longtime holding Gildan fired founder-CEO Glenn Chamandy. Breaking from their typical quiet engagement approach, the firm went public opposing the board decision, viewing Chamandy as essential to the apparel company's four-decade growth story and 90-fold stock appreciation. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
AIThe manager views AI disruption concerns as overblown for their holdings. Colliers has suffered indiscriminate price declines due to AI disruption fears, but the manager believes AI will not negatively disrupt its divisions and will instead provide benefits. They view market concerns about AI impact as transitory. |
AI Disruption Technology |
BuybacksThe manager emphasizes that portfolio companies are ramping up stock buybacks aggressively in response to weak share prices. Management teams are focusing on risk-free acquisitions of their own stock rather than acquiring other companies. Even companies that have never repurchased shares, like Floor & Decor and Kinsale Capital, have launched inaugural buyback plans at attractive prices. |
Buybacks Capital Return Share Repurchase | |
ValueThe manager describes extreme price to value dislocations across the portfolio. Multiple compression has occurred despite growing earnings at companies like Colliers and Premium Brands, with forward P/E multiples at historical lows. The manager states the current portfolio represents the best combination of quality and valuation attractiveness in their history. |
Value Valuation Multiple Compression P/E | |
Commercial Real EstateColliers operates in commercial real estate services and has been negatively impacted by AI disruption concerns. The manager believes brokers will still meet with clients to discuss office space needs and that the division will not be negatively disrupted by AI. The company's share price declined from $240 to $130 despite strong fundamentals. |
Commercial Real Estate Brokers Office | |
| 2026 Q1 |
AIAI concerns rolled through markets in waves, impacting enterprise software, financial services, commercial real estate, entertainment, engineering, and cybersecurity sectors. The firm plans to release a thought piece addressing AI's likely impact on their holdings and believes concerns about some sectors like Colliers are misplaced and simplistic. |
Enterprise Software Automation Technology |
BuybacksMultiple portfolio companies disclosed meaningful share buybacks during the quarter. Bread Financial bought back 4% of outstanding shares in Q1 and 12.5% for the year. Medpace has a special approach to capital allocation, being very opportunistic with share repurchases and buying back just under 10% of outstanding shares last year. |
Capital Allocation Shareholder Returns | |
Commercial Real EstateColliers International's commercial real estate division was impacted by AI concerns during the quarter, which the manager believes are misplaced and simplistic. The company expects mid-teens EPS growth and the manager has increased the position to a top five holding after the 30% share price decline. |
Real Estate Services Property Management | |
| 2025 Q4 |
ValuePortfolio trading at 10x earnings with projected 20%+ annual growth over next five years, significantly cheaper than market indices. Manager emphasizes attractive valuations relative to historical ranges and growth expectations. |
Valuation Earnings Growth |
DrawdownsExperienced ninth drawdown greater than 20% in fund history, with 22% decline from February to November 2025. Historical analysis shows strong recovery patterns with significant outperformance in subsequent two years following previous drawdowns. |
Volatility Recovery Performance | |
| 2025 Q3 |
ValuePortfolio trades at 10.4x earnings, below historical median range of 9x-13x, while S&P 500 trades at elevated 22x earnings in top fifth percentile of 20-year range. Manager emphasizes valuation discipline and relative attractiveness versus broad market multiples. |
Valuation Multiples Earnings Discount Attractiveness |
QualityExpanded investment team from 5 to 12 professionals enables following 100+ companies versus 35 previously, resulting in higher quality portfolio construction. Focus on highly intelligent organizations with superior management teams and business models that can earn superior returns. |
Management Business Intelligence Selection Improvement | |
GrowthPortfolio companies forecast to grow earnings at greater than 20% annually over next five years, meaningfully higher than historical growth rates. This higher growth combined with lower valuations creates attractive risk-adjusted return profile. |
Earnings Forecast Expansion Acceleration Compounding | |
| 2025 Q2 |
Market InefficiencyMarkets have become significantly less efficient over the past 25 years, with share prices increasingly disconnected from company fundamentals. This trend has accelerated in recent years, creating opportunities for fundamental value investors who can maintain patience and discipline. |
Inefficiency Fundamentals Value Disconnect Opportunity |
AIThe rapid rise of AI in trading is amplifying market inefficiency through machine money that relies on backward-looking data and historical correlations. While AI is a powerful innovation used as a research assistant, the assessment of management teams and long-term prospects remains uniquely human. |
Machine Money Trading Innovation Research | |
ETFsThe proliferation of ETFs has contributed to decreased market efficiency, with more ETFs now existing than publicly traded companies in North America. This allows thematic investing without fundamental analysis, leading to capital flows dictated by sentiment rather than value. |
Passive Thematic Sentiment Capital Flows | |
ValueThe portfolio trades at a strikingly attractive earnings multiple while companies return approximately 5% cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. Fundamental value investing benefits from increased market inefficiency as prices become more disconnected from intrinsic value. |
Earnings Multiple Cash Return Fundamental Intrinsic | |
BuybacksPortfolio companies are returning excess capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, totaling approximately 5% relative to market capitalization. This capital return mechanism helps surface value even in inefficient markets. |
Share Repurchases Capital Return Shareholders | |
| 2025 Q1 |
Trade PolicyTrump administration's chaotic tariff policy created significant market volatility and uncertainty. Direct portfolio impact is modest with only 4 of 30 companies notably affected due to USMCA compliance. Secondary economic impact from consumer sentiment decline and approval rating drops has caused policy backtracking. |
Tariffs USMCA China Manufacturing Sourcing |
LogisticsTFI International experienced weak results in U.S. LTL operations despite the UPS acquisition being highly accretive. North American transport industry facing one of weakest markets in 40 years since deregulation. Management taking longer than expected to integrate culture and operating model. |
Transportation LTL Trucking Acquisitions Integration | |
BuybacksBread Financial completed entire $150 million authorization, repurchasing 6.5% of shares at $47 below tangible book value of $49. Middleby tripled share buyback authorization with intention to repurchase 6-8% annually, shifting from programmatic to opportunistic approach. |
Repurchases Capital Opportunistic Value Authorization | |
FoodserviceMiddleby Corporation is global leader in commercial foodservice equipment serving McDonald's, Starbucks, and Chipotle. Company announced spin-off of food processing division and strategic review process. U.S.-centric manufacturing provides competitive advantage under tariff environment. |
Equipment Commercial Restaurants Manufacturing Spinoff | |
| 2024 Q4 |
DeregulationTrump administration expected to be more business friendly with push for deregulation and lower corporate taxes. CFPB under Trump widely expected to be more business friendly and less focused on increasing regulatory burden. Proposed cap on credit card late fees may be dropped under new administration. |
Financial Services CFPB Credit Cards Regulation |
Trade PolicyTrump announced then paused 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports. Manager believes blanket tariff unlikely due to economic integration within North America. Portfolio has limited exposure with less than 10% revenue from Canada and minimal cross-border shipping. |
Tariffs NAFTA Cross Border Canada Mexico | |
ValueFour new companies added at greater than 50% discount to Business Value, representing highest valuation threshold in firm history. Growing investment team allows identification of more deeply discounted opportunities. Average discount to intrinsic value for new positions now greater than 60%. |
Discount Intrinsic Value Business Value Margin of Safety | |
BuybacksWillScot announced meaningful share repurchase program after canceling acquisition. Berry Global board criticized for backing away from opportunistic share repurchases in favor of merger strategy. Share repurchases viewed as value-creating capital allocation. |
Share Repurchases Capital Allocation Value Creation | |
| 2024 Q2 |
ValuePortfolio trading at 64% discount to intrinsic value, comparable only to crisis periods like COVID crash, Greek Crisis, and Great Financial Crisis. Trading at 9 times next year's earnings with 20% projected annual growth over five years. Attractive valuation driven by years of research expanding coverage to over 100 companies. |
Discount Intrinsic Valuation Earnings Multiple |
ApparelExtensive focus on Gildan Activewear corporate governance battle resulting in founder CEO Glenn Chamandy's return. Company represents one of Canada's great success stories with 90-fold share price increase over 25 years. Board termination of founder led to unprecedented shareholder response and costly proxy fight exceeding $65 million. |
Gildan Manufacturing Textiles Governance Founder | |
| 2024 Q1 |
ValueThe fund focuses on purchasing companies at significant discounts to Business Value, with new additions requiring at least 40% discounts. Three new positions were added at greater than 50% discounts to Business Value during the quarter. |
Discount Business Value Undervalued Valuation Intrinsic Value |
QualityThe investment approach emphasizes companies that meet strict qualitative criteria, with 18 former holdings still being followed because they continue to meet these standards. The focus is on companies with strong fundamentals and business quality. |
Qualitative Criteria Business Quality Standards Fundamentals | |
| 2023 Q4 |
ApparelTurtle Creek has been a long-term shareholder in Gildan Activewear for over a decade, viewing it as one of Canada's great success stories. The company has grown from a small family business into a global apparel company with over US$3 billion in sales and a 90-fold share price increase over 25 years under founder Glenn Chamandy's leadership. |
Gildan Manufacturing Textiles Global Growth |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund | CIGI | Colliers International Group Inc. | Real Estate Services | Real Estate Services | Bull | NASDAQ | AI disruption, Commercial Real Estate Services, contrarian, engineering, Equity, founder-led, insider buying, investment management, Multiple compression, professional services, Value | Login |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund | PBH.TO | Premium Brands Holdings Corporation | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods & Meats | Bull | Toronto Stock Exchange | Canada, capital expansion, Equity, food distribution, Food Manufacturing, founder-led, Margin recovery, Multiple compression, organic growth, Packaged Foods, Specialty-Foods, Value | Login |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund | BFH | Bread Financial Holdings Inc. | Credit Services | Consumer Finance | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | capital allocation, consumer finance, credit cards, Equity, financial services, multiple expansion, Private-label, Share Buybacks, turnaround, Value Realization | Login |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Cameron McKendry | CTAS | Cintas Corporation | Industrials | Commercial Services & Supplies | Bull | NASDAQ | compounder, dividends, growth, leadership, Margins, recurring revenue, scale, services, Uniforms | Login |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Cameron McKendry | WSC | WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. | Industrials | Commercial Services & Supplies | Bull | NASDAQ | consolidation, construction, efficiency, FCF, M&A, Modular, Pricing power, Rental, Storage | Login |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Cameron McKendry | KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group Inc. | Financials | Insurance | Bull | NYSE | E&s, efficiency, growth, Insurance, management, profitability, ROE, technology, underwriting | Login |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Cameron McKendry | CTAS | Cintas Corporation | Industrials | Commercial Services & Supplies | Bull | NASDAQ | compounder, dividends, growth, leadership, Margins, recurring revenue, scale, services, Uniforms | Login |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Cameron McKendry | WSC | WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. | Industrials | Commercial Services & Supplies | Bull | NASDAQ | consolidation, construction, efficiency, FCF, M&A, Modular, Pricing power, Rental, Storage | Login |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Cameron McKendry | KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group Inc. | Financials | Insurance | Bull | NYSE | E&s, efficiency, growth, Insurance, management, profitability, ROE, technology, underwriting | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund Test | MEDP | Medpace Holdings, Inc. | Diagnostics & Research | Life Sciences Tools & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | Biotech, Clinical research, Cro, founder-led, Healthcare services, High Growth, life sciences, share repurchases, Therapeutic Expertise | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund Test | PNTG | The Pennant Group, Inc. | Medical Care Facilities | Health Care Providers & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | Community-based Care, decentralized model, Demographics, Healthcare Providers, Healthcare services, Home-Health, Hospice, spinoff | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | BERY | Berry Global Group Inc | Materials | Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials | Bear | NYSE | Bolt-on Acquisitions, capital allocation, consolidation, merger, Multiple arbitrage, Packaging, Plastics, platform company | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | GIL.TO | Gildan Activewear Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods | Bull | Toronto Stock Exchange | Activewear, activist, Apparel, Canada, Founder CEO, Global, Governance, manufacturing, Textiles, turnaround, vertically integrated | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | TFII.TO | TFI International Inc. | Industrials | Trucking | Bull | TSX | Acquisitions, Canada, Cyclical, Logistics, Ltl, market overreaction, Transportation, Trucking, value creation | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | DOO.TO | BRP Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Leisure Products | Bull | TSX | ATV, Consumer Discretionary, Cyclical, innovation, market share, Powersports, Recreational Vehicles, Sea-Doo | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | BFH | Bread Financial Holdings Inc | Financials | Consumer Finance | Bull | NYSE | consumer finance, credit cards, Private Label Cards, Regulatory Relief, ROE, Share Buybacks, Sub-prime Lending | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | AHT.L | Ashtead Group plc | Industrials | Trading Companies & Distributors | Bull | LSE | Construction Equipment, Equipment Rental, index inclusion, North America, Redomiciliation, S&P 500 inclusion, Sunbelt Rentals | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group Inc | Financials | Property & Casualty Insurance | Bull | NASDAQ | excess and surplus lines, growth, High Multiple, Property & Casualty, specialty insurance, Unregulated Insurance | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | MIDD | The Middleby Corporation | Industrials | Industrial Machinery | Bull | NASDAQ | Acquisitions, activist investor, Commercial Foodservice, Food Processing, Industrial Equipment, Share Buybacks, spin-off, Tariff Beneficiary, US Manufacturing | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund Test | CE | Celanese Corporation | Chemicals | Specialty Chemicals | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Competitive Advantage, energy-intensive, Feedstock Costs, Free Cash Flow, materials, natural gas, specialty chemicals | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | BFH | Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. | Financials | Consumer Finance | Bull | NYSE | BNPL, capital allocation, consumer finance, credit cards, earnings beat, Loyalty Programs, Share Buybacks, White-label | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek | WSC | WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp | Industrials | Trading Companies & Distributors | Bull | NASDAQ | antitrust, market leader, Modular Offices, Portable Storage, Share Buybacks, Temporary Classrooms, Turnkey Space Solutions | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund Test | PBH.TO | Premium Brands Holdings Corporation | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods & Meats | Bull | Toronto Stock Exchange | Canada, capacity expansion, clean ingredients, consumer staples, earnings growth, Packaged Foods, Specialty Food, Value | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund Test | CIGI | Colliers International Group Inc. | Real Estate Services | Real Estate Services | Bull | NASDAQ | Acquisitions, AI impact, commercial real estate, EMEA, engineering, insider buying, investment management, Mid-Teens Growth, Real Estate Services | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund Test | ATS.TO | ATS Corporation | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Industrial Machinery | Neutral | Toronto Stock Exchange | Automation, Canada, CEO transition, Industrial, industrial machinery, Management Change, Manufacturing Solutions | Login |
| - | Fund Letters | Turtle Creek Fund Test | IR | Ingersoll Rand Inc. | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Industrial Machinery | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Book-to-Bill Ratio, Capital equipment, Cyclical, Diversified Industrial, industrial machinery, Industrial Recovery, order growth | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| CIGI | The largest detractor from our performance this year is Colliers, a relatively newer holding given we first established the position five years ago. It's a great example of the P/E multiple compression experienced by many of our companies, despite their growing earnings. Colliers is a global leader in professional services, operating through three divisions: commercial real estate, engineering and investment management. As with many of our portfolio companies, Colliers is founder-led, has a long history of accretive acquisitions and we believe has a long runway of significant growth ahead. Having reached an all-time high of nearly $240 per share in the fall of 2025, Colliers has been caught up in the AI disruption trade whereby numerous industries have suffered indiscriminate price declines because they are thought to be negatively impacted by the force of artificial intelligence. Colliers' share price declined to the $200 level by the end of 2025 and then fell further in 2026 to a low of $130 (where it sits today). While AI will undoubtedly transform many of the company's business processes, we do not think any of its divisions will be negatively disrupted. Brokers are still going to meet with clients to discuss their office space needs, and we're still going to need human engineers to visit buildings, infrastructure projects and construction sites to ensure adherence to design standards. Rather than being negatively impacted, we believe Colliers will reap benefits from deploying AI. Accordingly, it is our view that the market's concerns will be transitory. And even though Mr. Hennick already owns over 12% of the company, he recently put his money where his mouth is and purchased over $55 million of stock on the open market because he believes the same thing we do – this company is severely undervalued. At $240 last fall, Colliers was a below average weight in our portfolio. Today, after declining by nearly 50%, it is one of our top five holdings as we have tripled the number of shares we own. |
| PBH.TO | Another large detractor from our performance in 2026 is Premium Brands, a company that we have owned for over 20 years (at various weightings) and is currently one of our largest holdings. Premium Brands is also founder-led, with a long history of accretive acquisitions and impressive organic growth. Premium has grown its earnings per share nicely over the period, despite undertaking one of its biggest ever capital expansions (over $1 billion) and experiencing extreme commodity input cost inflation (which they will fully recoup over time). Despite returning to healthy earnings growth, its forward P/E multiple has compressed to levels not seen in the last 15 years. We are very confident that Premium will continue to grow its earnings in the years to come. As for the multiple, we believe it will expand at some point, but even if it were to simply stay where it is, the stock price will climb at a healthy clip, simply from the earnings growth. |
| ECPG | In the case of three companies, their share prices have doubled or nearly doubled in the past twelve months. One of them, Encore Capital, we recently exited (purely because of valuation). |
| TFII | One of them, TFI International, we have substantially sold down such that they are each about a 1% weighting in our portfolio. |
| MGA | One of them, Magna, we have substantially sold down such that they are each about a 1% weighting in our portfolio. |
| BFH | With two other companies, one of them has risen 150% (Bread Financial) in the last twenty-four months. We've written in the past about our admiration of Bread and its leadership. After dropping below $25 three years ago, today it sits north of $100. It too had suffered profound multiple compression in the years prior. Management continued to run the business as usual, growing earnings, while at the same time taking advantage of very attractive share prices to retire over 30% of their equity capital. |
| GIL | With two other companies, another was up 100% (Gildan) in the last twenty-four months. |
| FND | Even companies that have never repurchased shares have launched inaugural buyback plans – Floor & Decor, a category killer retailer of flooring products, have started buying back shares at very attractive prices. |
| KNSL | Even companies that have never repurchased shares have launched inaugural buyback plans – Kinsale Capital, a highly efficient and profitable specialty insurance company, have started buying back shares at very attractive prices. |
| FSV | In 2015, Colliers was separated from FirstService Corporation to become an independent, publicly traded company. Recognizing how big the opportunity was, FirstService's founder and CEO, Jay Hennick, decided to lead Colliers as its CEO rather than remain with FirstService (although he remains Chair). |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||