Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | 1% | 1% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | 1% | 1% |
MCP's emerging markets fund delivered 1.0% in Q1 2026 amid heightened geopolitical tensions from Middle East conflict and AI-driven technology disruption. The manager actively repositioned the portfolio away from software businesses facing AI automation threats, selling positions in Persistent Systems, EPAM, and Trip.com. Capital was redeployed into semiconductors, hardware, and industrial companies with stronger fundamentals and clearer earnings visibility. Taiwan holdings performed strongly, benefiting from the global semiconductor investment cycle and data center demand. The portfolio's expected five-year earnings CAGR of 25.6% compares favorably to the MSCI EM Mid Cap Index at 18.2%. Key geographic exposures include Taiwan (29.5%), India (20.5%), and South Korea (10.7%). Despite near-term challenges, India remains attractive long-term with structural drivers in consumption, manufacturing, infrastructure, and AI leadership. The fund maintains a cautious stance on China while seeing selective opportunities. Portfolio positioned for stock selection-driven returns in volatile environment.
Emerging markets offer attractive opportunities through disciplined bottom-up stock selection, particularly in Asian technology supply chains and Indian structural growth themes, while actively avoiding AI-disrupted software businesses.
Portfolio positioned to capture value in high-quality, under-owned areas with focus on companies having strong fundamentals, high returns on capital and exposure to durable long-term trends. Outcomes increasingly driven by stock selection rather than broader market direction in volatile environment.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 2026 | 2026 Q1 | AAPL | AI, Data centers, emerging markets, Geopolitical, India, semiconductors, Taiwan, technology | - | MCP repositioned away from AI-disrupted software into semiconductors and industrials, delivering 1.0% in Q1 amid geopolitical tensions. Taiwan holdings drove performance through semiconductor cycle strength. Portfolio offers 25.6% expected earnings growth versus 18.2% for benchmark. India remains attractive long-term despite near-term headwinds. Focus on bottom-up selection in volatile markets. |
| Jan 26 2026 | 2025 Q4 | EPAM, KARO, MELI, MMYT, TCOM | active management, Asia, emerging markets, mid cap, Quality, Recovery, technology, underperformance |
EPAM 2383 TT RADL3 BZ MMYT KARO |
MCP Emerging Markets Fund outperformed in Q4 despite a challenging 2025 for quality mid-cap stocks. Style headwinds drove underperformance as markets favored large, liquid names over the fund's high-quality, under-researched holdings. Strong portfolio fundamentals with 26% expected EPS growth and significant EM valuation discounts position the strategy for potential catch-up as conditions normalize. |
| Oct 22 2025 | 2025 Q3 | 8131.T, EPAM, MELI, NVDA, TCOM, TSMC | active management, AI, China, emerging markets, Rate Cuts, semiconductors, tariffs, technology | - | MEMF underperformed in Q3 as tariff uncertainty and value rotation weighed on quality-focused emerging markets strategy. Strong underlying company fundamentals with many Q2 earnings beats demonstrate portfolio quality. Fed rate cuts, easing tariff volatility, and AI momentum should provide supportive backdrop for recovery, with management increasing conviction through additional capital deployment. |
| Jul 21 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AMZN, GOOGL | AI, emerging markets, India, Korea, semiconductors, technology, Trade Policy, volatility |
3016.TW 3374.TW |
MCP delivered 11.8% in Q2 despite trade policy volatility, maintaining high-conviction focus on 29 emerging market holdings. Strong AI demand drove technology outperformance while India and South Korea reforms created opportunities. Limited tariff exposure through software and domestic consumption plays positions the fund well for EM recovery amid rebounding inflows and potential USD weakness. |
| Oct 23 2024 | 2024 Q3 | CLS.JO, MELI, NVDA, TOTS3.SA, YUMC | AI, ASEAN, China, emerging markets, mid cap, Rate Cuts, technology, volatility | - | MCP delivered 6.6% returns in Q3 while navigating market volatility through disciplined stock selection in emerging markets. Strong conviction in ASEAN region drives new investments in Malaysia and Vietnam. Fed rate cuts create favorable backdrop for EM outperformance. Portfolio companies in AI and technology sectors demonstrate strong fundamentals despite market skepticism, offering attractive risk-reward profiles. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
AIAI automation tools triggered widespread sell-off in legacy enterprise and SaaS companies. Manager actively repositioned portfolio away from software businesses facing disruption from generative AI and automation, particularly in outsourcing and enterprise software. Concerns about AI disruption in travel platforms and search behavior. |
Automation Enterprise Software SaaS Disruption Generative AI |
SemiconductorsStrong performance from semiconductor holdings driven by data center demand and AI-related applications. Taiwan companies deeply integrated into global semiconductor supply chain. Memory semiconductors benefiting from AI demand and supply discipline. Portfolio positioned to benefit from semiconductor investment cycle. |
Memory Data Centers Taiwan Supply Chain HBM | |
Data CentersContinued momentum in data center demand driving semiconductor ecosystem. Server-related companies reporting strong growth. India positioning to become global AI hub with significant data center investment planned. Infrastructure requirements creating opportunities for cable and power companies. |
Servers Infrastructure AI Hub Power Cables | |
IndiaDespite near-term underperformance, India remains attractive long-term with strong structural drivers including consumption, manufacturing, infrastructure, and AI leadership ambitions. Valuations more attractive after compression. Government supportive policies for data centers and manufacturing. |
Consumption Manufacturing Infrastructure Valuations Structural Growth | |
TaiwanKey beneficiary of global semiconductor investment cycle with technology companies integrated into supply chain. Several holdings delivered strong Q4 results and encouraging 2026 expectations. Positioned to benefit from high-performance compute and memory demand from data centers. |
Semiconductor Cycle Supply Chain Technology Performance Growth | |
South KoreaBenefits from structural strength in semiconductors and advanced manufacturing. Global leader in memory semiconductors well positioned for AI-related demand. Value Up policy addressing Korea Discount supports engagement strategy and shareholder returns. |
Memory Manufacturing Value Up Korea Discount Governance | |
| 2025 Q4 |
Defense SpendingThe entire world is rapidly rearming off an extremely low base of defense spending. Global armaments materially outperformed for the year with top contributors including Rheinmetall, Palantir Technologies, and RTX. |
Armaments Defense Rearmament Geopolitical Security |
GoldGold is positioned as the premier form of commodity money with unique physical properties and reliable scarcity. The manager created a leveraged gold exposure called 'Gresham's Wrath' that materially outperformed benchmarks. |
Commodity Money Inflation Hedge Monetary Reserve Physical Gold Debasement | |
Precious Metal Royalty/Streaming CompaniesThese companies provide diversified exposure to precious metals by benefiting from both price appreciation and production growth without operational mining risks. They materially outperformed for the year. |
Royalties Streaming Mining Finance Capital Light Diversification | |
Capital MarketsCapital markets exchanges are essential high-margin toll roads for the economy with immense operating leverage and natural inflation hedging. Both exposures materially outperformed for the year. |
Exchanges Trading Fees Market Data Network Effects Toll Roads | |
BitcoinDespite long-term bullish views, the manager completely exited Bitcoin positions in mid-November using a risk management framework. The position kept falling after exit while US Large Cap equities rotated into continued to increase. |
Cryptocurrency Risk Management Digital Assets Volatility Exit | |
Managed FuturesAn exposure designed to generate absolute returns with low correlations to equities and bonds. The strategy was updated to include European markets and uses multiple models to capture different market dynamics. |
Alternative Investments Trend Following Commodities Absolute Return Diversification | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIStrong Q2 results from US hyperscalers and confirmation of continued large-scale AI capital expenditure reignited confidence in AI-led growth. Big Tech has invested more than $155 billion in AI this year. This strength in US and Chinese technology has also supported companies in emerging markets like Taiwan and South Korea which play vital roles in AI supply chains. |
Hyperscalers Capex Supply Chain Semiconductors GPUs |
SemiconductorsNVIDIA's Rubin GPU rollout and rising ASIC volumes are boosting demand across the semiconductor supply chain, benefitting companies such as Elite Material. Taiwan should benefit from the global AI momentum with its global leadership in advanced semiconductors underpinning both industry demand and geopolitical importance. Korea should profit from a semiconductor recovery. |
NVIDIA ASIC GPU Taiwan Korea | |
TariffsTariff-related uncertainty in the first half of the year pushed investors toward safe havens. President Trump again delayed the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, allowing time for several major trade deals to be struck. Finally, tariffs took effect on 1 August across more than 90 countries, hitting India and Brazil hardest at 50%. |
Trump Trade Uncertainty India Brazil | |
RatesThe Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut of the year this September brought rates to 4-4.25%. Fed officials also hinted that further rate cuts would follow. Lower US interest rates tend to benefit emerging markets by making lower yielding developed market assets less attractive, potentially prompting investors to seek higher returns in EMs. |
Fed Rate Cuts Emerging Markets Yields Investment | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AIAfter the DeepSeek scare, Q1 results from Amazon and Alphabet confirmed strong AI investment momentum. Portfolio companies like Chroma and Elite Material benefited from AI-related demand, with Chroma seeing 55% revenue growth driven by China's AI datacenter buildout and EMC benefiting from strong demand for CCLs used in ASIC servers. |
Datacenters Cloud Semiconductors Infrastructure Computing |
Trade PolicySweeping reciprocal tariffs announced April 2nd shocked global markets, with subsequent pauses and extensions creating policy uncertainty. The fund has limited direct exposure through software-as-a-service holdings and semiconductor companies with minimal US revenue exposure, while favoring domestic consumption-oriented businesses. |
Tariffs Policy Uncertainty Geopolitical Trade | |
IndiaIndia stands out as a particularly strong focus with improving macro backdrop including rate cuts, easing inflation, and increased banking liquidity. The fund added undervalued names during market weakness and invested in infrastructure plays like APL Apollo and KEI Industries to capitalize on energy capex demands. |
Infrastructure Consumption Banking Capex Recovery | |
South KoreaThe June 3rd elections brought political stability, boosting stock performance. The new government is pursuing market-friendly reforms to tackle the Korea discount and enhance corporate governance, creating new opportunities particularly in technology. The fund reduced positions in Classys after realizing significant profits. |
Reform Governance Technology Politics Discount | |
SemiconductorsTechnology holdings have been realigned amid macroeconomic challenges and shifting IT spending priorities. Portfolio companies like Chroma and Elite Material delivered strong results, with EMC benefiting from 70% bottom-line acceleration driven by demand for higher-priced CCLs used in ASIC servers. |
Equipment Testing CCL ASIC Foundry | |
| 2024 Q3 |
AIPortfolio companies are beneficiaries of AI/HPC momentum with less market speculation than widely known names. Chroma beat Q2 earnings by 15% and benefits from AI/HPC momentum, silicone photonics and advanced packaging. Despite high valuations and significant R&D investments questioning AI's promise, Nvidia's record quarterly revenues of $30.0 billion reinforced belief in the technology's potential. |
Artificial Intelligence HPC Semiconductors Testing Equipment Photonics |
ASEANStrong conviction in ASEAN region reinforced by recent research trips to Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Vietnam. Region benefits from favorable demographics, growing consumer base, rising tourism, and shift in global supply chains away from China. Added high-conviction holdings CTOS from Malaysia and FPT from Vietnam. |
Southeast Asia Demographics Tourism Supply Chain Friendshoring | |
VolatilityVIX spiked to 39 in early August, one of the largest spikes on record, driven by weak US employment data, yen carry trade unwinding, and AI skepticism. Manager views volatility as opportunity to add to existing positions or invest in new high-conviction ideas unfairly dragged down by market sentiment. 25 years of experience shows selling on volatility alone usually leads to poor investment decisions. |
VIX Market Swings Uncertainty Opportunity Risk Management | |
RatesFed initiated rate-cutting cycle with half-point cut on September 18. Lower interest rates in advanced economies typically weaken the dollar, ease EM debt burdens, strengthen local currencies, and drive investment into riskier EM assets. Since 1988, EM equities have outperformed DM equities in 4/5 Fed rate-cutting cycles, returning 29% in 24 months following last Fed rate hike. |
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Dollar EM Currencies Debt Burdens | |
ChinaCautious on China due to ongoing structural challenges, particularly in property sector, keeping exposure limited. Chinese stimulus measures in September included reducing mortgage rates and reserve requirements, plus billions in loans to revive stock market. Manager believes China will focus on economic priorities like property overcapacity and unemployment rather than geopolitical tensions. |
Stimulus Property Sector Structural Challenges Monetary Policy Overcapacity |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Fund Letters | Carlos Hardenberg | EPAM | EPAM Systems Inc. | Information Technology | IT Services & Consulting | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI, buybacks, Digital transformation, IT services, Software | Login |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Fund Letters | Carlos Hardenberg | 2383 TT | Elite Material Co Ltd | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI hardware, data centers, materials, Pcbs, semiconductors | Login |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Fund Letters | Carlos Hardenberg | RADL3 BZ | Raia Drogasil SA | Consumer Staples | Retail Pharmacies | Bull | Brasil Bolsa Balcão | Brazil, Glp1, Healthcare Consumption, Pharmacies, retail | Login |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Fund Letters | Carlos Hardenberg | MMYT | MakeMyTrip Ltd | Consumer Discretionary | Online Travel Agencies | Bull | NASDAQ | Consumer Growth, India, Online Travel, operating leverage, Platforms | Login |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Fund Letters | Carlos Hardenberg | KARO | Karooooo Ltd | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | ARPU, Fleet Management, SaaS, Subscriptions, Telematics | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mobius Capital Partners | 3016.TW | Chroma ATE Inc | Information Technology | Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components | Bull | Taiwan Stock Exchange | AI infrastructure, datacenter, Foundry, Metrology, Power Testers, Semiconductor, Taiwan, Testing Equipment | Login |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mobius Capital Partners | 3374.TW | Elite Material Co Ltd | Information Technology | Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components | Bull | Taiwan Stock Exchange | AI infrastructure, ASIC Servers, CCL, Copper-Clad Laminates, High-Speed, hyperscalers, materials, Taiwan | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| AAPL | Apple continues to expand its manufacturing capacity in India, undeterred by relatively higher tariff levels. iPhones have now become India's most valuable export, with $23 billion worth of devices shipped out in 2025 alone, with India now manufacturing around 1 in 4 iPhones. |
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