Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
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| - | - | - |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
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| - | - | - |
Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy meaningfully outperformed the Russell 2000 in Q1 2026, driven by strong stock selection in energy, technology, and industrials. The quarter was defined by geopolitical tensions involving Iran, creating energy price spikes and market volatility, alongside reassessment of AI-linked businesses where monetization concerns emerged. Energy names returned nearly 30% on average while the manager identified attractive entry points in quality businesses experiencing AI-driven selloffs. Top contributors included Modine Manufacturing, benefiting from data center cooling demand, and Adeia, an IP licensing business with strong execution. Key detractors were Coastal Financial, pressured by fintech ecosystem risks, and AtriCure, facing competitive concerns despite strong fundamentals. The manager initiated positions in Cushman & Wakefield and other quality names while exiting positions where risk-reward shifted unfavorably. Portfolio repositioning toward energy, materials and defensive sectors reflects current environment while maintaining core philosophy of owning high-quality businesses at attractive valuations.
Quality-oriented approach focusing on profitable, well-managed businesses purchased at reasonable valuations, with current repositioning toward energy, materials and defensive sectors while maintaining discipline to capitalize on AI-driven dislocations.
Despite heightened uncertainty, markets tend to respond to changes at the margin and conditions do not need to fully normalize for equities to recover. Closely monitoring Middle East developments while maintaining disciplined approach to capitalize on dislocations. Shift toward energy, materials, utilities and real estate does not represent departure from core philosophy but recalibration of most compelling risk-adjusted opportunities.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 2026 | 2026 Q1 | ADEA, ATRC, CCB, CWK, GOOS, MOD, PWP, TALK, TILE, TNC | AI, energy, Geopolitical, Quality, small caps, technology, value |
MOD ADEA CCB ATRC TALK PWP CWK |
Strong Q1 outperformance driven by energy surge and quality stock selection amid geopolitical tensions and AI reassessment. Energy names up 30% while AI fears created attractive entry points in quality businesses. Repositioning toward energy, materials, and defensive sectors while maintaining discipline on high-quality businesses at reasonable valuations. |
| Jan 14 2026 | 2025 Q4 | ADEA, AMD, ATMU, ATRC, BHST, BKH, CNX, DIS, HSTM, ITGR, KGS, LEU, LMNR, LOPE, MOD, NPKI, PLMR, STKL, VECO, WRBY | AI, financials, healthcare, infrastructure, Natural Gas, nuclear, Quality, small caps |
CNX LEU LOPE LMNR BHST KGS NPKI ADEA WRBY HSTM ITGR |
Riverwater's small-cap strategy underperformed in 2025 by avoiding speculative AI and biotech investments while focusing on quality fundamentals. Energy outperformed through natural gas and nuclear themes. The manager expects 2026 to favor quality small-caps as lower-quality factors reverse and Fed rate cuts improve financing conditions for smaller companies. |
| Oct 16 2025 | 2025 Q3 | ATRC, BDC, BOW, CROX, DGII, HAE, IDCC, IRDM, LOPE, MMSI, MOD, PFS, PLMR, PLPC, TGLS, UEC, VECO, VSTS, WOR | AI, Energy Transition, IoT, Quality, small caps, uranium, Utilities, value |
UEC MOD WOR PFS DGII BDC PLPC |
Small Cap Strategy lagged in Q3 as markets favored lower-quality names over the portfolio's profitable companies. Uranium Energy and Modine Manufacturing led gains from nuclear renaissance and AI infrastructure themes. New positions added across sectors. Manager remains constructive on Fed rate cuts, secular AI growth, attractive small-cap valuations, and quality positioning for long-term outperformance. |
| Jul 17 2025 | 2025 Q2 | LMNR, NVDA | AI, Geopolitical, nuclear, small caps, Trade Policy, Valuations | - | Riverwater Partners sees small-caps as fundamentally undervalued despite superior revenue growth versus large-caps over the past decade. AI democratization will level the competitive playing field for smaller companies. With attractive valuations and unsustainable large-cap multiple expansion, quality small-caps should outperform when relative valuations revert to historical norms. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | BOW, BRCC, IDCC, IRDM, LMNR, ONTO, PJT, PLMR, SNEX, WRBY | Consumer Staples, Defensive, financials, insurance, Quality, small caps, tariffs |
PLMR LMNR WRBY BOW |
Small-cap strategy outperformed Russell 2000 in Q1 through specialty insurance winners PLMR and BOW in attractive E&S market. Added WRBY eyewear despite China tariff exposure. Severe tariff announcements create bear market conditions requiring defensive stance, but volatility may offer opportunities. Small-caps positioned to benefit from domestic resilience and lower global risk exposure. |
| Jan 10 2025 | 2024 Q4 | NCMI | domestic, inflation, Media, Recovery, small caps, Trade Policy, value | NCMI | Riverwater Partners sees small caps poised for a cycle after 14 years of underperformance, driven by attractive valuations and post-election tailwinds. Economic policies may favor domestic-focused companies despite near-term turbulence. National CineMedia exemplifies the opportunity, emerging debt-free from COVID with 17% free cash flow yield potential as entertainment recovers. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
EnergyEnergy names returned nearly 30% on average during the quarter, driven by favorable commodity dynamics and strong company-specific execution. The outbreak of conflict involving Iran introduced supply risk repricing with implications for inflation and corporate margins. |
Oil Natural Gas Energy Trading Geopolitical |
AIMarkets began reassessing AI-linked businesses where concerns emerged around long-term monetization and competitive intensity. AI-driven fears created attractive entry points in high-quality businesses trading at significant discounts to peers. |
Artificial Intelligence Technology Disruption Valuation | |
Commercial Real EstateCushman & Wakefield represents an opportunity where AI-driven selloff created attractive entry point in high-quality CRE services franchise. The company's relationship-driven advisory model depends on capabilities where AI augments rather than replaces human expertise. |
CRE Services Property Management Real Estate | |
Private CreditObserving pockets of stress within private credit markets driven by liquidity constraints rather than underlying credit deterioration. This environment is contributing to more rational pricing of risk and capital. |
Credit Stress Liquidity Financing | |
| 2025 Q4 |
AIPershing Square views AI as a major driver of market performance and structural growth, particularly benefiting megacap technology companies. The firm has positioned in AI beneficiaries like Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta, seeing AI integration as a key catalyst for these businesses. |
Artificial Intelligence Technology Cloud Digital Advertising |
MegacapsThe firm has increased exposure to high-quality, higher-growth megacap companies, believing they offer structurally higher growth than most S&P 500 companies at only modestly higher multiples. These companies are viewed as having sustainable competitive moats and long-term secular growth characteristics. |
Large Cap Technology Growth Market Leaders | |
EarningsPershing Square emphasizes that elevated earnings growth, particularly from the top ten S&P 500 companies, has been the primary driver of market returns rather than multiple expansion. The firm believes this earnings growth can be sustained structurally. |
Earnings Growth Fundamentals S&P 500 | |
Alternative Asset ManagersThrough their Brookfield investment, Pershing Square is positioned in the alternative asset management space, viewing it as benefiting from multi-trillion-dollar AI-related infrastructure investment and expecting significant earnings growth acceleration. |
Asset Management Infrastructure Private Markets | |
InsuranceThe firm is making a significant investment in the insurance sector through HHH's acquisition of Vantage, viewing it as an ideal transaction to transform HHH into a diversified holding company with higher returns and faster growth. |
Specialty Insurance Reinsurance Financial Services | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIThe portfolio benefits from exposure to AI infrastructure through holdings like Modine Manufacturing, which provides thermal management solutions for data centers supporting AI workloads. The manager views AI as driving a multi-year investment cycle with exponential growth in AI-related infrastructure spending. |
Data Centers Infrastructure Thermal Management Computing Workloads |
UraniumUranium Energy Corp was the top contributor as investor sentiment rallied behind the nuclear energy renaissance. U.S. policy pivots favoring domestic uranium supply, restrictions on Russian imports, and tight global supply conditions drove uranium spot prices to the high $70s-low $80s per pound range. |
Nuclear Energy Supply Policy Domestic | |
Energy TransitionThe portfolio includes exposure to materials benefiting from energy transition trends. Companies positioned in critical minerals and energy transition themes remain attractive despite near-term volatility, with the manager monitoring for re-entry opportunities. |
Critical Minerals Materials Transition Infrastructure Electrification | |
Industrial IoTDigi International provides IoT connectivity solutions as industries undergo digital transformation. The IoT industry is experiencing multi-year expansion with growing demand for secure connectivity, condition-based monitoring, and workflow automation, particularly as AI becomes more ubiquitous in edge applications. |
Connectivity Digital Transformation Monitoring Automation Edge | |
Grid UpgradePreformed Line Products supplies crucial components for utility infrastructure modernization. The company benefits from accelerating demand for utility and infrastructure products that enable grid modernization, broadband expansion, and network resilience across industries. |
Utility Infrastructure Modernization Broadband Resilience | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AIAI will transform lives more profoundly than the internet, with autonomous agents expected within years. The next wave of AI investment opportunity belongs to small caps as AI tools become democratized, giving smaller companies access to coding and automation capabilities previously exclusive to tech giants. |
Automation Democratization Competitive Advantage Infrastructure Semiconductors |
Small CapsQuality small caps have delivered superior revenue growth versus large-caps over the past decade despite underperforming. Valuations remain attractive relative to history and compared to large-caps. The fundamental strength of quality small-caps should drive superior returns when relative multiple expansion reverts. |
Valuations Revenue Growth Multiple Expansion Outperformance Quality | |
NuclearNuclear energy will benefit substantially from the shift in computing demand driven by AI infrastructure requirements. |
Computing Demand Energy Infrastructure AI Infrastructure | |
| 2025 Q1 |
InsuranceThe manager emphasizes specialty insurance companies, particularly in the E&S (excess and surplus) space. Both PLMR and BOW operate in this attractive market with limited competition and strong growth prospects. The manager views these companies as defensive yet offering compelling long-term growth opportunities with attractive returns on capital. |
E&S Specialty Underwriting Catastrophe Premiums |
Trade PolicyTariffs are a significant concern affecting portfolio companies and market sentiment. The manager notes that announced tariffs appear more severe than anticipated, reinforcing risk-off sentiment. Specific impact mentioned on WRBY with 20% of COGS from China, though management has supply chain flexibility. |
Tariffs China Supply Chain COGS Risk-off | |
Small CapsThe strategy focuses exclusively on small-cap investing with emphasis on bottom-up fundamental research. The manager believes small-caps may benefit from domestic economic resilience and lower exposure to global risks as 2025 progresses, despite initial underperformance versus large-caps. |
Russell 2000 Domestic Fundamental Undervalued Compounders | |
| 2024 Q4 |
Small CapsSmall caps logged respectable returns in 2024 but continued their 14-year relative underperformance versus large caps. The Russell 2000's 11.5% return marked the first time in 46 years it returned between 6-14%. Manager believes a small cap cycle may be on the horizon due to cyclical nature of markets, attractive valuations versus large caps, and historical outperformance in years following presidential elections. |
Russell 2000 Valuations Cycle Presidential Election Outperformance |
MediaNational CineMedia represents the resilience and growth potential in the media sector. The company provides pre-movie advertising and emerged from COVID bankruptcy with wiped debt and net cash position. Manager expects recovery as box office returns to pre-pandemic levels and advertisers return with improved movie slate in 2025-2026. |
Advertising Box Office Recovery Cash Flow NCMI | |
Trade PolicyIncoming President Trump's policies including significant tariff increases on allies like Canada and Mexico could create economic shock and awe. While potentially disruptive initially, these policies may create opportunities for small-cap companies better positioned to adapt to a domestic-focused economy through higher import costs and labor shortages driving inflation. |
Tariffs Immigration Inflation Domestic Focus Policy |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | MOD | Modine Manufacturing Company | Auto Parts | Industrial Machinery | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Cooling Solutions, data center, Industrial technology, secular growth, spinoff, thermal management | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | ADEA | Adeia Inc. | Software - Application | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | Bull | NASDAQ | Hybrid bonding, Intellectual Property, IP Portfolio, Licensing, Semiconductor Technology, Technology Partnerships | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | CCB | Coastal Financial Corporation | Banks - Regional | Banks | Neutral | NASDAQ | BaaS Model, Banking As A Service, fee income, Fintech Partnerships, Partner Deposits, Private Credit | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | ATRC | AtriCure, Inc. | Medical Instruments & Supplies | Health Care Equipment & Supplies | Bull | NASDAQ | Appendage Management, Atrial Fibrillation, Cardiac Surgery, first-mover advantage, Medical devices, Surgical Ablation | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | TALK | Talkspace, Inc. | Health Information Services | Health Care Technology | Bull | NASDAQ | acquisition target, digital health, Healthcare Technology, Mental Health Platform, telehealth, Unit economics | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | PWP | Perella Weinberg Partners | Capital Markets | Capital Markets | Bull | NASDAQ | Boutique Bank, Capital markets, Deal Backlog, Fee Realization, investment banking, M&A Advisory | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | CWK | Cushman & Wakefield plc | Real Estate Services | Real Estate Management & Development | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI disruption, commercial real estate, Global Platform, oligopoly, property management, Real Estate Services, recurring revenue | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | CNX | CNX Resources Corporation | Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | buybacks, energy, Freecashflow, Naturalgas, Volumes | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | LEU | Centrus Energy Corp. | Energy | Nuclear Fuel | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Contracts, energysecurity, Enrichment, Nuclear, Policy | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | LOPE | Grand Canyon Education, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Education Services | Bull | NASDAQ | compounder, Education, Enrollment, Regulation, ROIC | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | LMNR | Limoneira Company | Consumer Staples | Agricultural Products | Bull | NASDAQ | agriculture, Assetvalue, Avocados, Longcycle, Supply | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | BHST | BioHarvest Sciences Inc. | Health Care | Biotechnology | Bull | NASDAQ | biotechnology, growth, Nutraceuticals, platform, Sustainability | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. | Energy | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Compression, Contracts, Freecashflow, infrastructure, Naturalgas | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | NPKI | NPK International Inc. | Industrials | Commercial Services & Supplies | Bull | NASDAQ | Electrification, Freecashflow, infrastructure, Margins, Mats | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | ADEA | Adeia Inc. | Information Technology | Semiconductor IP | Bull | NASDAQ | Ip, Licensing, litigation, royalties, semiconductors | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Specialty Retail | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Eyewear, Margins, Omnichannel, retail, ROIC | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | HSTM | HealthStream, Inc. | Health Care | Health Care Technology | Bear | NASDAQ | Commercialization, Execution, healthcare, Software | Login |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | ITGR | Integer Holdings Corporation | Health Care | Medical Devices | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | Execution, guidance, Medtech, visibility | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | UEC | Uranium Energy Corp. | Materials | Uranium & Nuclear Energy | Bull | NYSE | Commodities, infrastructure, nuclear energy, Policy, uranium | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | MOD | Modine Manufacturing Co. | Consumer Discretionary | Industrial Machinery | Bull | NYSE | AI, data centers, growth, manufacturing, semiconductors, thermal management | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | WOR | Worthington Enterprises Inc. | Materials | Industrial Manufacturing | Bull | NYSE | growth, Industrial, IoT, manufacturing, Reshoring | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | PFS | Provident Financial Services Inc. | Financials | Banks | Bull | NYSE | Banks, consolidation, dividends, growth, Lending, Value | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | DGII | Digi International Inc. | Information Technology | Internet of Things (IoT) | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Automation, Connectivity, Industrial technology, IoT | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | BDC | Belden Inc. | Information Technology | Communications Equipment | Bull | NYSE | AI, Automation, Connectivity, infrastructure, Networking, Software | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Adam Peck | PLPC | Preformed Line Products Co. | Industrials | Electrical Equipment & Components | Bull | NASDAQ | broadband, Electrification, infrastructure, manufacturing, Power, utilities | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | PLMR | Palomar Holdings, Inc. | Financials | Property & Casualty Insurance | Bull | NASDAQ | defensive, E&S Insurance, Earthquake Coverage, growth, Property Catastrophe, specialty insurance, Surety Market, underwriting | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | LMNR | Limoneira Company | Consumer Staples | Agricultural Products | Bull | NASDAQ | Agricultural Products, asset value, Avocado Conversion, Cash Flow Optimization, consumer staples, Land Rights, Value, Water Rights | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Specialty Retail | Bull | NYSE | B Corp, direct-to-consumer, Eyewear, growth, market share gains, retail expansion, Specialty retail, Target Partnership | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | BOW | Bowhead Specialty Holdings | Financials | Property & Casualty Insurance | Bull | NYSE | Baleen Platform, E&S Insurance, margin expansion, premium growth, specialty insurance, strategic partnership, Tech-Enabled Platform, Underwriting Expertise | Login |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Fund Letters | Riverwater Partners Small Cap Strategy | NCMI | National CineMedia | Communication Services | Advertising | Bull | NASDAQ | Cash Flow Yield, Cinema Advertising, debt-free, entertainment, media, Post-Bankruptcy, Recovery Play, ROAS Technology, turnaround | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| MOD | Modine Manufacturing led the way during the quarter. The thermal management specialist continued to benefit from secular demand in data center cooling and a well received spinoff of their auto cooling business into a combined company with Gentherm, with the stock appreciating over 60% as the market recognized the durability of its growth drivers. We have held Modine since early in the strategy's life and trimmed modestly during the quarter, but it remains a meaningful position. |
| ADEA | Adeia, an intellectual property licensing business, was the second-largest contributor. Adeia's strong stock performance in the first quarter of 2026 was driven by a combination of fundamental execution, increasing visibility around its licensing model, and a series of high-profile agreements that reinforced the value of its intellectual property portfolio. Most notably, Adeia signed a multi-year licensing agreement with AMD tied to its hybrid bonding semiconductor technology as well as expanded partnerships with UMC and earlier agreements with Disney and Microsoft. |
| CCB | Coastal Financial was our largest detractor. CCB experienced a more volatile first quarter, with stock performance shaped by evolving investor perceptions around risks tied to its fintech partner ecosystem and broader private credit dynamics. While underlying fundamentals remained relatively stable, investors grew more focused on the durability of its fintech relationships amid increasing AI-driven disruption and tightened credit conditions. We reduced our position during the quarter but continue to hold CCB at a lower weighting. |
| ATRC | AtriCure underperformed during the first quarter of 2026 despite delivering a strong earnings report and providing 2026 guidance that came in above street expectations. The stock's weakness was driven by a shift in investor sentiment following Edwards Lifesciences' announcement of a competing surgical left atrial appendage closure product. However, Edwards' product is not expected to be fully available until late in 2026 or 2027, while AtriCure's AtriClip is already well established and widely adopted among cardiac surgeons. |
| TALK | We initiated a position in Talkspace, a digital mental health platform with improving unit economics. TALK was taken out shortly after we made the purchase, providing an immediate return. The acquisition was bittersweet: while the takeout delivered strong performance on the day, we believed the company's improving fundamentals offered more upside over a longer horizon. |
| PWP | Perella Weinberg Partners is an advisory-focused investment bank trading at a discount to peers. PWP continues to benefit from a more constructive M&A environment, with a growing backlog that provides increasing visibility into future fee realization. The firm served as advisor on Abbott's acquisition of Penumbra during the quarter. However, our timing has been challenged, as escalating geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict have weighed on sentiment around deal activity. |
| CWK | Cushman & Wakefield is one of the world's largest commercial real estate services firms. Despite strong operational fundamentals and an improving earnings trajectory, CWK shares have traded under persistent pressure due to market concerns that artificial intelligence could disintermediate traditional CRE service providers. We believe this fear is significantly overstated. The company's relationship-driven advisory model depends on nuanced local market knowledge, negotiation skill, and trust—attributes where AI augments rather than replaces the human element. |
| TILE | Interface is a global leader in sustainable flooring solutions, with its carbon-neutral carpet tile program and use of recycled and bio-based materials positioning it as a preferred supplier in an era of growing ESG procurement standards. Financially, the business is leveraged to a recovery in commercial construction and renovation activity, with margin expansion potential from mix shift toward higher-value resilient flooring. |
| GOOS | We initially identified a turnaround prospect in the luxury outerwear brand Canada Goose, noting positive customer engagement trends. Despite a significant sales beat that demonstrated strong brand resonance, the company reported higher-than-expected SG&A expenses, causing the stock to retreat. When coupled with the energy price spike resulting from the Iran conflict and its subsequent impact on consumer sentiment, we determined that the fundamental backdrop for GOOS had shifted materially, leading us to exit the position. |
| TNC | We divested from Tennant Company during the quarter following a significant ERP system implementation failure that halted customer orders for a three-week period. With the system still not fully recovered, we remain concerned about the potential for strained client relationships or the necessity of offering discounts to retain major accounts. |
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