Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | - | -7.4% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | - | -7.4% |
Baillie Gifford's US Equity Growth strategy delivered strong low-double-digit absolute returns in Q2 2026 but lagged the S&P 500's 15 percent gain as the market rotated into semiconductor and memory stocks. The team maintained conviction in their core holdings despite the portfolio's price-to-sales multiple contracting 19 percent since October while the S&P 500's expanded 3 percent. Portfolio companies continue growing revenues at 24 percent on average with estimates revised higher, yet the premium to the benchmark is at a decade low. The team added Broadcom for its custom AI silicon capabilities and initiated SpaceX at IPO while reducing Tesla to manage Musk exposure. New positions in IDEXX and Mastercard broaden exposure beyond AI themes. The team avoided chasing memory stocks despite 200 percent plus returns, viewing bottleneck investing as unsustainable. With 75 percent of holdings having founder CEOs versus 20 percent for the S&P 500, they believe their culture-focused approach will prove advantageous as AI disruption plays out. The team sees current dislocations as creating opportunity for patient stock-picking focused on durable competitive advantages rather than transient supply constraints.
Baillie Gifford focuses on identifying and holding exceptional growth companies that will be the winners of the next decade, rather than chasing near-term supply chain bottlenecks or market narratives driven by passive flows.
The team expects dislocations to persist as more capital moves for reasons unrelated to fundamentals, but believes this creates opportunity for patient, active stock-picking. They will not chase the next bottleneck but instead focus on identifying exceptional growth companies that address large markets, strengthen competitive advantages, and build cultures that maximize long-term value. They believe these companies will drive enduring returns long after current market narratives fade. The premium they are paying relative to the benchmark is at its lowest point in a decade despite materially higher forecast sales growth and profitability.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21 2026 | 2026 Q2 | AVGO, CRM, GOOGL, IDXX, MA, MU, NFLX, SHOP, SNOW, TSLA | AI, Founder-led, growth, semiconductors, software, Space, technology |
AVGO SNOW SPACEX IDXX MA |
Baillie Gifford's US Equity Growth strategy lagged the S&P 500's 15 percent Q2 gain as markets chased semiconductor bottlenecks, but the team maintained conviction in exceptional growth companies trading at decade-low valuations despite 24 percent revenue growth. They added SpaceX, Broadcom, IDEXX and Mastercard while avoiding memory stocks, believing founder-led cultures and durable competitive advantages will drive superior long-term returns as AI disruption separates winners from losers. |
| Apr 18 2026 | 2026 Q1 | AXON, CSGP, DASH, DUOL, ENSG, GH, GLOB, IOT, MSFT, NET, PEN, SHOP.TO | AI, growth, long-term, software, Systems, technology, valuation |
AXON RBC |
Baillie Gifford sees opportunity in current market stress as AI fears create valuation dislocations. The fund's holdings show 20% revenue growth yet trade at cheapest relative valuations since 2015. They believe companies controlling workflow infrastructure will benefit from AI adoption rather than be disrupted, maintaining conviction in businesses positioned at critical control points while others focus on interface-level concerns. |
| Jan 15 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AFRM, ALNY, AMZN, APP, CSGP, DASH, DDOG, GH, GOOGL, IOT, META, NET, NFLX, NVDA, RBLX, SHOP, SNOW, TSLA, W, WDAY | AI, Biotechnology, concentrated, E-Commerce, growth, long-term, technology, US |
RBLX DUOL NFLX GH SHOP LMND GOOG COIN UTHR CHWY INSP PINS TTD |
Baillie Gifford's concentrated US growth strategy delivered 28% annual returns despite Q4 volatility around AI valuations. New positions in Alphabet and Coinbase reflect conviction in AI transformation and crypto adoption. Strong performance from Guardant Health and Shopify offset weakness in Roblox and Netflix. Managers maintain long-term focus on exceptional growth businesses with sustainable competitive advantages. |
| Oct 20 2025 | 2025 Q3 | DUOL, FIGM, KNF, NFLX, RBLX, SHOP, TTD, W | Advertising, AI, E-Commerce, gaming, growth, Platforms, technology |
KNF Figma KNF |
Baillie Gifford's US growth fund slightly underperformed in Q3 despite strong execution from platform leaders like Shopify and Roblox. The fund added Figma and Knife River while navigating AI disruption across advertising and education sectors. Management remains bullish on founder-led US companies with distinctive AI positioning, avoiding broad index exposure for concentrated exceptional growth businesses. |
| Jul 11 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AFRM, ALNY, AMZN, CSGP, DASH, DDOG, DKNG, DUOL, META, NET, NFLX, NVDA, PINS, RBLX, SHOP.TO, SNOW, TSLA, TTD, WDAY, WSO | Concentration, growth, innovation, long-term, technology, US |
MDLN 6857 JP APP CRCL ROKU SPT |
Baillie Gifford's concentrated U.S. growth strategy delivered solid Q2 performance led by Cloudflare's AI platform success, Netflix's global subscriber acceleration, and Roblox's expanding creator economy. Strategic portfolio moves included exiting Roku due to competition concerns while adding AI-focused AppLovin and digital infrastructure play Circle Internet, positioning for continued technological disruption. |
| Apr 18 2025 | 2025 Q1 | AUR, DKNG, GLOB, NET, NVDA, SG, SN, TSLA, TTD | AI, disruption, Electric Vehicles, growth, innovation, sports betting, technology, US |
DKNG GLOB NET |
Baillie Gifford's US Growth strategy delivered 8.6% in Q1 2025 while navigating Trump policy volatility. The team trimmed Tesla, Trade Desk, and NVIDIA at stretched valuations, adding DraftKings for US sports betting expansion, Globant for AI consulting, and Cloudflare for edge inference. Focus remains on exceptional growth companies positioned for structural drivers like falling battery costs and AI inferencing over five to ten years. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
AIAI investment has triggered massive capital deployment in datacenters and equity deals between tech firms and AI companies. The world's largest technology companies are placing enormous bets on their visions for AI, altering hyperscaler economics and shaping stock market behavior. The market has focused on rolling bottlenecks in the AI supply chain, from CPUs to memory components required to scale AI models. |
Datacenters Hyperscalers AI Models Supply Chain ChatGPT |
MemoryDRAM prices doubled in Q1 alone, with pricing increasing monthly and buyers taking whatever supply they can get. Memory has been at the center of AI supply chain bottlenecks this quarter. The biggest question is whether this scarcity will prove durable, as bottlenecks can create spectacular profits but can also migrate or fade as capacity expands. |
DRAM Semiconductors Pricing Scarcity | |
SemiconductorsEvery one of the 12 top-returning stocks in the S&P 500 over the past year has been semiconductor-related and highly correlated, leaving passive index investors with unrecognized risk. The market has gone all-in on the scarcity it can see in the semiconductor supply chain. Broadcom has become a critical provider of custom AI silicon through disciplined acquisitions and deep customer relationships. |
Broadcom Custom Silicon TPUs Supply Chain | |
SaaSSoftware has been treated as a likely casualty if AI can write code and automate workflows, but evidence is becoming more nuanced. Snowflake's shares halved before more than doubling as results showed growth reaccelerating at 34 percent year-over-year, with AI increasing platform consumption rather than weakening the business model. The market's sorting mechanism between growth and value stories is underway but remains early and noisy. |
Snowflake Software AI Disruption Cloud Migration | |
SpaceSpaceX has built a vertically integrated operating system for the space economy, changing the economics of access to orbit. It now accounts for over half of global launches by count, more than 80 percent of mass to orbit since 2023, and has launched more satellites than the rest of the world combined. The company is believed to be about 10 years and 600 launches ahead of its nearest competition. |
SpaceX Launches Satellites Orbital Compute | |
PaymentsCash's share of US transactions has fallen from about 30 percent in 2016 to less than half that today. Mastercard sits at the center of this shift and operates much of the world's financial plumbing. Fears of disruption from stablecoins and agentic commerce are overdone, as new payment technologies still need scale, acceptance, authentication, fraud protection and dispute resolution that Mastercard has spent decades building. |
Mastercard Digital Payments Financial Infrastructure Stablecoins | |
| 2026 Q1 |
AIThe fund views the AI scare as creating opportunities rather than threats. They believe AI will commoditize interface layers but increase value for companies controlling gates and rails in workflows. Portfolio companies like Cloudflare, Shopify, and DoorDash are positioned to benefit from increased AI traffic and transaction volume. |
Software Workflow Infrastructure Automation Traffic |
GrowthThe fund focuses on exceptional growth businesses with strong fundamentals. Average 2026 revenue growth across the fund is about 20%, with sales estimates rising 3% over six months and improving profitability margins from 9% to 11%. |
Revenue Margins Fundamentals Compounding Long-term | |
E-commerceShopify represents the fund's e-commerce exposure, positioned as infrastructure for commerce workflows. The fund believes commerce still requires secure, compliant paths from intent to purchase including payments, fraud management, and fulfillment regardless of interface evolution. |
Payments Fulfillment Infrastructure Commerce Workflows | |
CloudCloudflare serves as a gate controlling internet traffic, filtering threats, and governing automated activity. The fund sees increased AI traffic making such control points more valuable, with Cloudflare seeing AI agent traffic double in January. |
Infrastructure Security Traffic Control Internet | |
| 2025 Q4 |
AIManager notes market volatility around AI valuations and concerns about circular funding dynamics, but maintains conviction in AI as transformational technology. Views US as uniquely positioned across the full AI value chain from infrastructure to applications. |
Artificial Intelligence Valuations Infrastructure Applications Investment |
E-commerceStrong performance from Shopify with 32% revenue growth driven by enterprise demand and AI-enabled tools. Manager views Shopify's platform as increasingly critical infrastructure for global e-commerce with rising take rates over time. |
Commerce Platform Enterprise Infrastructure Take Rates Growth | |
CloudCloudflare was a top contributor over one year with 2.69% contribution. Manager highlights cloud-based commerce platform strength and continued momentum in cloud infrastructure investments. |
Infrastructure Platform Growth Momentum Performance | |
StreamingNetflix was a detractor despite 17% revenue growth due to Brazilian tax charge. Manager notes progress in advertising with upfront commitments doubling and increasing programmatic demand, plus strategic partnerships like Spotify integration. |
Revenue Growth Advertising Partnerships Content Engagement | |
GamingRoblox gave back gains despite strong fundamentals with 70% bookings growth and 48% revenue increase. Management signaled higher AI and infrastructure investment weighing on near-term profitability, though cash generation remains strong. |
User Generated Bookings Growth Investment Profitability Cash Flow | |
CryptoInitiated position in Coinbase as leading regulated crypto exchange serving 100+ million users. Manager sees strong position as traditional finance adopts digital assets, with diversification beyond trading fees into staking and infrastructure. |
Exchange Regulation Infrastructure Adoption Diversification | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI is reshaping digital creation and software development, with companies like Shopify benefiting from AI-enabled tools and Figma positioned to become the dominant collaborative design layer as AI transforms workflows. The Trade Desk is rolling out AI-powered platforms while the broader landscape faces challenges from AI reducing eyeballs on the open internet. |
Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning Automation Digital Transformation Software |
E-commerceStrong performance from e-commerce platforms with Shopify showing enterprise demand momentum and AI-enabled tools supporting ecosystem growth. Wayfair demonstrated accelerating sales growth and revenue at the highest rate since COVID-19, with physical retail expansion and emerging AI traffic channels. |
Online Retail Digital Commerce Platform Marketplace Retail Technology | |
GamingRoblox performed well with resilient user engagement and management's confident outlook, benefiting from viral experiences and ongoing infrastructure investments in its virtual economy that deepen user participation and broaden monetization opportunities. |
Interactive Entertainment Virtual Worlds User Engagement Digital Platforms Monetization | |
AdvertisingMixed performance in advertising technology with The Trade Desk facing revenue shortfalls and tariff uncertainty limiting large-brand budgets, while Netflix shows growing traction in advertising as part of revenue diversification strategy despite cautious views on ads profitability at scale. |
Ad Tech Programmatic Digital Marketing Revenue Diversification Brand Advertising | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AIThe fund is positioned in companies leveraging AI for competitive advantages, including Cloudflare's Workers AI platform growth and AppLovin's advanced AI models for ad optimization. These AI-driven platforms are creating self-reinforcing advantages and significant operating leverage. |
Machine Learning Platform Optimization Automation Data |
CloudCloud services remain a key focus with Cloudflare showing strong performance in developer tools and network services. The fund sees continued business reliance on differentiated cloud infrastructure and platforms as a durable growth driver. |
Infrastructure Developer Tools Network Platform Services | |
GamingGaming exposure through Roblox and AppLovin reflects the fund's conviction in the metaverse and mobile gaming ecosystems. Roblox's creator economy and platform growth, combined with AppLovin's dominance in mobile game advertising, represent significant long-term opportunities. |
Metaverse Creator Economy Mobile Platform Advertising | |
E-commerceThe fund maintains significant exposure to e-commerce through Amazon, DoorDash, and Shopify. These platforms benefit from continued digital transformation and the shift toward online commerce and delivery services. |
Digital Commerce Marketplace Delivery Platform Retail | |
StreamingNetflix remains a core holding with the fund highlighting accelerating global subscriber growth, robust content slate, and strategic expansion into live sports. The opportunity remains significant as Netflix scales its advertising business effectively. |
Content Subscribers Global Advertising Live Sports | |
CryptoNew investment in Circle Internet represents exposure to digital financial infrastructure through USDC stablecoin. The fund views this as foundational infrastructure for the transition from traditional to digital transactions. |
Stablecoin Digital Payments Infrastructure USDC Financial | |
| 2025 Q1 |
AIThe falling cost of inferencing is driving new use cases for artificial intelligence and potentially opening up use cases that cannot be imagined today. The emergence of AI models is moving the industry from training to placing emphasis on inference, creating opportunities for companies positioned at the edge infrastructure. |
Inference Edge Computing AI Models Cost Reduction Use Cases |
Electric VehiclesThe falling cost of batteries is driving electric vehicle adoption and enabling a move towards more stationary storage. This structural growth driver is expected to drive market returns over the next five to ten years. |
Battery Costs EV Adoption Stationary Storage Structural Growth | |
Sports BettingOnline sports betting is a relatively new phenomenon in the US with significant expansion opportunities. DraftKings covers 25 states representing 49% of the population, with potential to expand within existing markets and into new states as regulations evolve. |
Online Betting State Expansion iGaming Market Penetration |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Semiconductors | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, custom silicon, data center, growth, hyperscalers, semiconductors, technology, TPUs | Login |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | Software - Application | Application Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI Beneficiary, Cloud computing, Data Warehousing, Growth Reacceleration, platform, SaaS, Software, technology | Login |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | SPACEX | Space Exploration Technologies Corp. | Other | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | - | Aerospace, Connectivity, Defense, founder-led, innovation, Launch Services, Space Economy, Starlink, vertical integration | Login |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | IDXX | IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. | Diagnostics & Research | Health Care Equipment | Bull | NASDAQ | diagnostics, Enduring Growth, Healthcare Equipment, pet healthcare, platform, recurring revenue, value opportunity, Veterinary | Login |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | MA | Mastercard Incorporated | Credit Services | Transaction & Payment Processing Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Capital-light, digital payments, Enduring Growth, Financial infrastructure, financials, payment processing, recurring revenue, Transaction Services | Login |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | AXON | Axon Enterprise | Aerospace & Defense | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Body Cameras, Drones, founder-led, Hardware, law enforcement, Public safety, recurring revenue, SaaS, TASER | Login |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | RBC | RBC Bearings | Tools & Accessories | Industrial Machinery | Bull | NASDAQ | Acquisitions, Aerospace, Bearings, Defense, High returns, Industrial, Mission-Critical, Niche markets, Reshoring | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | RBLX | Roblox Corporation | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Engagement, infrastructure, Investment cycle, monetization, operating leverage | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | DUOL | Duolingo, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Education Services | Bull | NASDAQ | generative AI, Learning Outcomes, Pricing, Retention, Subscriptions | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | NFLX | Netflix, Inc. | Communication Services | Movies & Entertainment | Bull | NASDAQ | advertising, capital allocation, Content, Free Cash Flow, Streaming | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | GH | Guardant Health, Inc. | Health Care | Health Care Technology | Bull | NASDAQ | clinical adoption, liquid biopsy, Oncology, platform, Screening | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | SHOP | Shopify Inc. | Information Technology | Internet Services & Infrastructure | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | ecommerce, enterprise, operating leverage, platform, Take rate | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | LMND | Lemonade, Inc. | Financials | Property & Casualty Insurance | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | operating leverage, Pricing Discipline, profitability, underwriting, Unit economics | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | GOOG | Alphabet Inc. | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | Artificial Intelligence, cloud, Data, Distribution, Search | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | COIN | Coinbase Global, Inc. | Financials | Capital Markets | Bull | NASDAQ | Crypto, infrastructure, Regulation, stablecoins, Staking | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | MDLN | Medline Industries, Inc. | Health Care | Health Care Supplies | Bull | - | Distribution, Logistics, Medical Supplies, Prime Vendor, Private-label | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | UTHR | United Therapeutics Corporation | Health Care | Biotechnology | Bull | NASDAQ | biopharma, Clinical Catalysts, Drug Expansion, Free Cash Flow, Lung disease | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | CHWY | Chewy, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | growth slowdown, Margins, Maturity, Optionalities, Subscription | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | INSP | Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. | Health Care | Health Care Equipment | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | Adoption Curve, Execution, Market expansion, Medical devices, Reimbursement | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | PINS | Pinterest, Inc. | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | advertising, Competition, Execution, monetization, Product Strategy | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | TTD | The Trade Desk, Inc. | Communication Services | Advertising | Bear | NASDAQ | adtech, Ecosystems, First Party Data, generative AI, Platform Concentration | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Tom Coutts | 6857 JP | Advantest Corp. | Information Technology | Semiconductor Equipment | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI, CapEx, Complexity, semiconductors, Testing | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | KNF | Knife River Corporation | Materials | Construction Materials | Bull | NYSE | aggregates, construction, infrastructure, leadership, M&A, Margins, Pricing | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | Figma | Figma (Private) | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | - | AI, growth, innovation, SaaS, technology | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kirsty Gibson | KNF | Knife River Corporation | Materials | Construction Materials | Bull | NYSE | aggregates, construction, infrastructure, leadership, M&A, Margins, Pricing | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | APP | AppLovin Corporation | Software & Services | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | advertising technology, Artificial Intelligence, growth, Mobile Gaming, network effects, operating leverage, SaaS | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | CRCL | Circle Internet Group | Financial Services | Financial Exchanges & Data | Bull | NYSE | Blockchain, cryptocurrency, digital payments, Financial infrastructure, Fintech, growth, stablecoin | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | ROKU | Roku Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Electronics | Bear | NASDAQ | advertising, Competition, Connected tv, consumer electronics, Profitability Concerns, Streaming | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | SPT | Sprout Social Inc | Software & Services | Application Software | Bear | NASDAQ | AI disruption, Cloud software, Enterprise software, Growth Concerns, SaaS, social media management | Login |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | DKNG | DraftKings Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | NASDAQ | duopoly, Early Mover Advantage, iGaming, Market expansion, online sports betting, Regulatory tailwinds, US gaming market | Login |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | GLOB | Globant S.A. | Information Technology | IT Consulting & Other Services | Bull | NYSE | AI implementation, Artificial Intelligence, Digital Tools, Digital transformation, Enterprise AI, Software Consultancy, Technology Services | Login |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Baillie Gifford - US Equity Growth | NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | Information Technology | Internet Services & Infrastructure | Bull | NYSE | AI inference, Artificial Intelligence, cloud infrastructure, Edge computing, Edge Infrastructure, Low Latency, network effects | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| AVGO | Broadcom is an example of where we do have conviction. It has become a critical provider of custom AI silicon. Hock Tan has built the company through disciplined acquisitions, deep customer relationships and a sharp understanding of where attractive end markets are emerging. Multiple hyperscalers depend on Broadcom, including Alphabet, another of its portfolio holdings. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet's AI strategy relies on Broadcom for specialised, highly efficient AI chips or tensor processing units (TPUs). This is the sort of adaptive positioning Arthur described: seeing the next wave and building the company to benefit from it. |
| SNOW | Snowflake is a good example. Its shares halved in the SaaS sell-off before more than doubling again as results showed growth reaccelerating. This quarter, product revenue grew 34 percent year-over-year, and guidance rose. Importantly, this was underpinned by Snowflake's core data warehousing business, with its native AI coding agent, Cortex Code, helping customers migrate to the cloud and deploy workloads faster. AI appears to be increasing platform consumption, not weakening the business model. |
| CRM | Salesforce, which is not held in the portfolio, tells a different story. Its shares have almost halved and have yet to recover. Growth has slowed to about 10 percent, the valuation has compressed to about 12 times next year's earnings, and the company has deployed a $50bn buyback, equivalent to roughly 40 percent of its market capitalisation. |
| SHOP | Shopify and Netflix were also among the detractors. In several cases, share price weakness stood in sharp contrast to positive fundamental progress. Shopify captures this tension. We see it as an exceptional company and likely AI beneficiary, yet the market has grouped it with other software businesses perceived as potential AI casualties. That may prove far too blunt. |
| NFLX | Shopify and Netflix were also among the detractors. In several cases, share price weakness stood in sharp contrast to positive fundamental progress. |
| TSLA | We have held SpaceX in the US Growth Investment Trust since 2018 and Tesla in this portfolio for more than a decade. That experience has taught us to expect a bumpy journey, but one with the potential to deliver outlier returns. For most clients, we initiated a small position in SpaceX this quarter at IPO, funded mainly by reducing Tesla to manage aggregate exposure to Elon Musk-led companies. |
| IDXX | IDEXX is a global leader in pet healthcare diagnostics. It combines testing devices, software applications and data analytics into a platform that is deeply embedded in veterinary workflows. The company has strong margins, attractive returns and a significant market position, yet we still see a path to steady growth as testing becomes broader and more frequent. After a five-year period in which the share price has languished, we think the market has overlooked the business's durability and the quality of the growth opportunity. |
| MA | Mastercard is another enduring growth company. Cash's share of US transactions has fallen from about 30 percent in 2016 to less than half that today. Mastercard, alongside Visa, sits at the centre of this shift and operates much of the world's financial plumbing. We believe fears of disruption from stablecoins and agentic commerce are overdone. New payment technologies still need scale, acceptance, authentication, fraud protection and dispute resolution. Mastercard has spent decades building those capabilities. Its edge is trust, ubiquity and interoperability, supported by a capital-light model, high margins, strong returns and increasingly recurring value-added services. |
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