Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| 2024 |
|---|
| 10.3% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| 2024 |
|---|
| 10.3% |
Stenham Asset Management delivered strong performance in Q4 2025, generating high single to low double-digit returns with minimal market beta across their multi-strategy platform. The firm capitalized on several key themes including the massive AI capex cycle, exceptional precious metals performance with gold up 65% and silver up 148%, and beneficiaries of US re-industrialization and defense spending driven by geopolitical tensions. Their discretionary macro strategies were primary return drivers, profiting from rates steepening, commodity positioning, and currency trades against the USD. Equity long/short managers captured the rally in risk assets while maintaining market neutrality, with particular strength in healthcare and biotechnology. Event-driven strategies benefited from increased M&A activity, reaching historic investment levels. Credit allocations performed well despite tight spreads, with managers positioned for upcoming refinancing cycles. Looking ahead, the firm maintains a balanced approach given high market valuations, geopolitical risks, and potential AI bubble concerns, while recognizing strong tailwinds from fiscal stimulus and monetary easing that could drive continued outperformance.
Multi-strategy approach capitalizing on macro dislocations, AI investment cycle, and geopolitical volatility while maintaining low correlation to broader markets through diversified alternative strategies.
Balanced approach recommended given high volatility and uncertainty over intrinsic valuations, unravelling geopolitical alliances, and economic stimulus measures. Outlook remains strong across all strategies with sufficient opportunities to generate returns without beta.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11 2026 | 2025 Q4 | META | AI, credit, Event Driven, Geopolitical Risk, Global Macro, gold, Long/Short, Multi-Strategy | - | Massive capex cycle linked to AI representing increasing cash flow from hyperscalers. AI adoption showing signs of flatlining with unclear use cases for profitability. Reliance… |
| Oct 30 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AVGO, TSM | Artificial Intelligence, Cloud infrastructure, energy, semiconductors, valuation |
TSM SIE TSM SIE |
Stenhams letter centers on the global AI infrastructure boom, noting explosive capital commitments by firms like Oracle, Nvidia, and Microsoft. While acknowledging AIs transformative potential,… |
| Aug 7 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AIR FP, AMZN, CME, GE, MA, MSFT, SAF FP, TSM, V | asset allocation, diversification, geopolitics, risk management, volatility |
MSFT AMZN V MA AIR FP SAF FP GE CME |
The letter emphasizes diversified global exposure as geopolitical fragmentation and macro volatility increase dispersion across regions and asset classes. Capital preservation and flexibility are prioritized… |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Jan 29 2024 | 2024 Q4 | CLNX SM, CNI | - | - | - |
| Sep 30 2024 | 2024 Q3 | ADYEY, ASML NA | - | - | - |
| Jun 30 2024 | 2024 Q2 | ADYEY, ASML NA | - | - | - |
| Apr 29 2024 | 2024 Q1 | AMAT, ASML NA, CLNX SM, GE, SAF FP | - | - | - |
| Jan 24 2023 | 2023 Q4 | ADYEY, ASML NA, MSFT, TMO | - | - | - |
| Sep 30 2023 | 2023 Q3 | ADYEY, CFMI, GOOG, MC FP, UMG | - | - | - |
| Jul 26 2023 | 2023 Q2 | - | - | - | - |
| Apr 27 2023 | 2023 Q1 | MC FP, UMG | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI has become a dominant theme across major equity indices, with Nvidia leading the S&P 500, ASML dominating MSCI EAFE, and TSMC leading emerging markets. The fund benefited from AI-related dynamics, particularly through Samsung's memory products experiencing substantial price increases due to DRAM shortages driven by AI demand. |
Semiconductors Memory DRAM Technology Nvidia |
DefenseDefense positioning includes exposure to missiles, air defense and space through companies like Lockheed Martin, supported by large order backlogs providing strong long-term visibility amid heightened geopolitical tensions. |
Military Aerospace Geopolitical Security Infrastructure | |
GoldGold experienced its best annual return since 1979 driven by seemingly insatiable appetite, entering bubble territory. The precious metal drove the Small Resources index to a 45.3% increase in the December half. |
Gold Precious Metals Bubble Resources | |
OnshoringTariffs and the current U.S. administration's goals are creating a monumental shift in the global economy. Onshoring and supply chain re-optimization will create new winners and losers as companies adapt to changing trade dynamics. |
Supply Chain Tariffs Trade Manufacturing Reshoring | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI has become a dominant theme across major equity indices, with Nvidia leading the S&P 500, ASML dominating MSCI EAFE, and TSMC leading emerging markets. The fund benefited from AI-related dynamics, particularly through Samsung's memory products experiencing substantial price increases due to DRAM shortages driven by AI demand. |
Semiconductors Memory DRAM Technology Nvidia |
EnergyDiversified Energy Company provides natural gas exposure positioned for data center energy needs and LNG growth. PetroTal offers oil production exposure at significant discount to NAV despite operational challenges. Energy transition themes present across multiple holdings. |
Natural Gas Oil LNG Energy Transition | |
SemiconductorsTaiwan Semiconductor represents the dominant manufacturer for leading fabless chip designers including NVIDIA, Apple, and Broadcom. The global arms race to develop artificial general intelligence will support multiple years of robust growth for foundries with leading-edge capabilities. |
Foundries Advanced Process AI Chips Manufacturing Technology Leadership | |
| 2025 Q2 |
DiversificationThe Fund remains purposefully diversified despite market leadership being narrow and focused on AI. This discipline reflects commitment to effective risk management and appropriate diversification, which weighed on relative performance but positions the Fund well for various market scenarios. |
Risk Management Portfolio Construction Concentration |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | AMZN | Amazon.com, Inc. | Information Technology | IT Services | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, CapEx, cloud, infrastructure, scale | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | V | Visa Inc. | Financials | Transaction & Payment Processing Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Margins, Networks, Payments, Regulation, stablecoins | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | MA | Mastercard Incorporated | Financials | Transaction & Payment Processing Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Fintech, Networks, Payments, resilience, stablecoins | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | AIR FP | Airbus SE | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | Euronext Stock Exchange | Aerospace, backlog, Pricingpower, Supplychain, Travel | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | SAF FP | Safran S.A. | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | Euronext Stock Exchange | Aerospace, aftermarket, Engines, Margins, Utilization | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | GE | GE Aerospace | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Aerospace, aftermarket, backlog, cashflow, services | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | CME | CME Group Inc. | Financials | Financial Exchanges & Data | Bull | NASDAQ | Derivatives, Exchanges, Networkeffects, Rates, Volatility | Login |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NYSE | AI, Capacity, growth, manufacturing, Monopoly, Pricing power, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | SIE | Siemens Energy AG | Industrials | Electrical Equipment | Bull | - | AI, backlog, Electricity, energy transition, Gas turbines, growth, renewables | Login |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NYSE | AI, Capacity, growth, manufacturing, Monopoly, Pricing power, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | SIE | Siemens Energy AG | Industrials | Electrical Equipment | Bull | - | AI, backlog, Electricity, energy transition, Gas turbines, growth, renewables | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Kevin Arenson | MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, CapEx, cloud, hyperscalers, Margins | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| META | Meta was cited as a larger position that contributed little despite what I thought was positive operating progress, representing opportunity cost in the portfolio. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||