Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 5.42% | 0.17% | 0.17% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 5.42% | 0.17% | 0.17% |
FPA New Income Fund returned 0.17% in Q1 2026 amid significant geopolitical volatility following the US attack on Iran on February 28. The ensuing conflict drove oil and commodity price increases, shifting Federal Reserve rate cut expectations and creating interest rate volatility. Manager Abhijeet Patwardhan maintained a defensive posture, reducing credit exposure from 3.6% to 3.3% as spreads remain historically unattractive. The fund deployed cash from 9.1% to 6.2% into longer-duration Treasury securities, extending portfolio duration to 3.33 years. Investment grade credit spreads showed little reaction to geopolitical events, while high yield spreads increased modestly, driven partly by AI-related fears in software debt. The manager uses a 100 basis point duration test to balance upside participation with downside protection, focusing on high-quality bonds that can break even if yields rise significantly. With 96% high-quality exposure, the fund remains positioned for patience until more attractive credit opportunities emerge.
In a low credit spread environment, the fund prioritizes capital preservation through high-quality, longer-duration bonds that offer better upside-versus-downside return profiles while maintaining liquidity for future opportunities.
Manager expects to remain patient and avoid uncompensated credit risk while waiting for more attractive opportunities. Will continue focusing on high-quality, liquid bonds until credit spreads widen meaningfully. Prepared to take advantage of opportunities that may arise from AI disruption in software sector.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6 2026 | 2026 Q1 | - | credit, duration, fixed income, geopolitics, Quality, Spreads, Treasuries | - | FPA New Income Fund maintained defensive positioning amid Q1 geopolitical volatility, reducing credit exposure while extending Treasury duration. Manager views current credit spreads as historically unattractive and focuses on high-quality bonds offering better risk-adjusted returns. Fund deployed cash into longer-duration Treasuries using systematic duration testing to balance upside participation with downside protection. |
| Feb 10 2026 | 2025 Q4 | - | credit, duration, Fed policy, fixed income, Quality, Spreads | - | FPA New Income delivered strong 7.36% annual returns through duration positioning as rates declined, but manager shifts toward higher quality amid historically compressed credit spreads. Reduced credit exposure and increased cash while extending duration through Treasuries and AAA bonds. Contrarian quality focus aims to preserve capital in expensive market while maintaining upside optionality for when spreads normalize. |
| Oct 31 2025 | 2025 Q3 | PHI | credit spreads, duration, Federal Reserve, fixed income, Quality, rates, Treasury | - | FPA New Income reduced Credit exposure and increased cash while focusing on longer-duration High Quality bonds as spreads hit historically tight levels. With investment grade and high yield spreads at zero and third percentiles respectively, the manager prioritized single-A or higher rated bonds to enhance risk-adjusted returns while maintaining upside potential from potential Fed rate cuts. |
| Jun 30 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | credit, duration, Fed policy, fixed income, Spreads, tariffs | - | FPA New Income delivered 1.65% returns in Q2 2025 despite tariff-induced volatility by maintaining disciplined focus on High Quality, longer-duration bonds. Manager avoided credit risk due to inadequate spread compensation and increased cash to 5.1%. The fund's consistent risk management approach continues generating attractive risk-adjusted returns in uncertain markets. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | credit, duration, Fed policy, fixed income, Mortgages, tariffs, Treasuries | - | FPA New Income Fund gained 2.61% in Q1 2025 while navigating tariff uncertainty and declining Treasury yields. The fund focused on longer-duration, High Quality bonds and avoided Credit investments due to inadequate risk compensation. Post-quarter tariff announcements increased volatility significantly, but the manager believes current positioning offers multiple paths to attractive risk-adjusted returns given the uncertain environment. |
| Dec 31 2024 | 2024 Q4 | - | credit, duration, fixed income, rates, Spreads, Treasuries | - | FPA New Income Fund cut credit exposure to 4% as spreads hit historic lows, extending duration instead using mathematical stress tests. Fed uncertainty and election policy risks drove Treasury yields higher in Q4. Manager Patwardhan avoids rate speculation, focusing on absolute value-based positioning in higher quality bonds while waiting for attractive credit opportunities. |
| Sep 30 2024 | 2024 Q3 | - | credit, duration, Fed, fixed income, Mortgage, Spreads, Treasury | - | FPA New Income Fund extended duration into High Quality bonds as Fed cut rates 50 bps in September. Credit spreads remain historically narrow at 7th-9th percentiles, prompting focus on Treasuries and agency debt over credit risk. Manager uses 100 bps duration test to balance attractive long-term yields with downside protection in rising rate scenarios. |
| Jun 30 2024 | 2024 Q2 | AAPL, AMZN, MSFT | Bonds, credit, duration, fixed income, rates, Treasury, Yield | - | FPA New Income Fund gained 0.97% in Q2 as the Fed held rates steady awaiting inflation progress. The fund continues extending duration to capture higher yields in High Quality bonds while reducing Credit exposure. Duration increased to 3.21 years from 1.39 years in 2021, positioning for attractive long-term returns through disciplined risk management. |
| Mar 31 2024 | 2024 Q1 | - | credit, duration, fixed income, inflation, Mortgage, rates, Treasury | - | FPA New Income Fund gained 0.86% in Q1 2024 while extending duration to 3.04 years to capture attractive yields at 15-year highs. Stalled inflation progress reduced Fed cut expectations from six to one in 2024. The fund maintains 90% High Quality exposure and uses duration testing to balance yield capture with downside protection in an uncertain rate environment. |
| Dec 31 2023 | 2023 Q4 | BLGY.AX | Bonds, credit, duration, fixed income, Yield | - | FPA New Income Fund delivered strong performance in 2023 by extending duration to capitalize on higher yields. The manager's disciplined approach uses a 100 basis point stress test to select longer-duration, high-quality bonds that enhance long-term returns while providing downside protection. Recent additions include agency mortgage pools with positive convexity characteristics. |
| Sep 30 2023 | 2023 Q3 | PHIIK | active management, credit, duration, fixed income, rates, value | - | FPA New Income Fund capitalizes on 10-15 year high bond yields through disciplined duration management, increasing exposure from 1.4 to 2.2 years while maintaining limited 10% credit allocation. The price-driven approach focuses on locking in attractive long-term yields with downside protection rather than timing markets or tracking indices. |
| Jun 30 2023 | 2023 Q2 | - | CLO, CMBS, credit, duration, fixed income, rates, Treasury | - | FPA New Income Fund capitalizes on decade-high bond yields by extending duration to 1.99 years through high-quality fixed-rate purchases. With yield-to-worst at 6.64% and 89.8% high-quality exposure, the fund positions for attractive long-term returns while maintaining selective 10.2% credit allocation. Manager views current environment as most compelling bond opportunity in over ten years. |
| Mar 31 2023 | 2023 Q1 | - | Banking, credit, duration, fixed income, rates, Treasuries | - | FPA New Income extended duration to 1.81 years during Q1 2023 volatility driven by Fed rate hikes and bank failures. Manager actively bought longer-duration High Quality bonds while avoiding Credit investments and bank exposure entirely. Disciplined approach focuses on attractive absolute returns from investment grade bonds where prices accurately reflect underlying risks. |
| Dec 31 2022 | 2022 Q4 | - | - | - | |
| Sep 30 2022 | 2022 Q3 | - | - | - | |
| Jun 30 2022 | 2022 Q2 | - | - | - | |
| Mar 31 2022 | 2022 Q1 | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
Credit StressManager views credit spreads as historically low and unattractive, providing insufficient compensation for risk. High yield and leveraged loan spreads increased modestly during the quarter but remain expensive on an absolute basis. The fund maintains minimal credit exposure at 3.3% due to poor risk-adjusted returns. |
Spreads High Yield Investment Grade Credit Risk Compensation |
RatesInterest rate volatility driven by geopolitical conflict and shifting Fed expectations. Manager uses duration testing to balance upside participation with downside protection, targeting bonds that can break even if yields rise 100 basis points over 12 months. Current strategy focuses on longer-duration, high-quality bonds. |
Duration Fed Funds Treasury Yields Volatility Monetary Policy | |
AIArtificial intelligence capabilities are progressing rapidly and may create casualties among software companies. Fear that every software company will become obsolete has driven spreads wider on software debt. Manager sees potential attractive investment opportunities if AI fears prove overblown. |
Software Technology Disruption Spreads Opportunities | |
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI enthusiasm supported large-cap growth companies and drove technology earnings. Long-term capital investment in AI reflects demographic pressures and labor scarcity, supporting multi-year growth trends despite elevated valuations. |
Artificial Intelligence Technology Productivity |
ValuationsEquity valuations remain elevated with S&P 500 trading near 23x forward earnings, well above long-term average of 15.6x. Elevated valuations constrain longer-term returns and increase market sensitivity to earnings disappointments. |
Multiples Risk Earnings | |
DollarU.S. dollar weakness, down 9.4% in 2025, provided notable tailwind for foreign assets and contributed to international equity outperformance for the first time in several years. |
Currency International Emerging Markets | |
RatesFederal Reserve cut rates three times in 2025, bringing policy rate to 3.5%-3.75%. Markets expect additional cuts to around 3%, though return to near-zero rates is unlikely. Higher yields have improved income potential. |
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Bonds | |
| 2025 Q3 |
RatesFederal Reserve cut rates by 25 bps in September after leaving them unchanged in July, describing policy as modestly restrictive. Treasury yields decreased during the quarter while the Fed wrestles with conflicting objectives of managing inflation above 2% target versus maintaining full employment. |
Interest Rates Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Treasury Yields Duration |
Credit StressInvestment grade corporate spreads at 75 bps (zero percentile) and high yield spreads at 297 bps (third percentile) represent historically tight levels. Low spreads increase risk of uncompensated losses and mark-to-market volatility when bonds re-price to higher spreads during stress events. |
Credit Spreads Investment Grade High Yield Mark-to-Market Liquidity | |
QualityFund focused on buying longer-duration High Quality bonds rated single-A or higher due to low spreads throughout fixed income markets. Higher quality positioning aims to mitigate drawdowns if spreads increase and provide better liquidity during stress periods. |
High Quality Credit Rating Single-A Downside Protection Risk Management | |
| 2025 Q2 |
Trade PolicyFederal government announced historically high tariffs on April 2nd, leading to significant interest rate volatility and credit spread widening. A 90-day pause announced April 9th reduced volatility but uncertainty remains about tariff levels and economic impact. |
Tariffs Trade Volatility Spreads Uncertainty |
RatesFederal Reserve left Fed Funds rate unchanged citing tariff uncertainty. Treasury yields declined 5-20 bps for shorter maturities but increased for longer terms. Manager uses 100 bps duration test to identify optimal duration positioning. |
Fed Funds Treasury Duration Yields Volatility | |
Credit StressCredit spreads are near all-time lows despite ongoing uncertainty. Manager views current spreads as inadequate compensation for risk and maintains minimal credit exposure at 4.4% of portfolio. |
Spreads Credit Risk Compensation Exposure | |
| 2025 Q1 |
RatesFederal Reserve left Fed Funds rate unchanged during the quarter amid economic uncertainty. Treasury yields declined by 12-43 bps in Q1 2025, with expectations for additional cuts driven by worsening economic sentiment and tariff-related uncertainty. |
Interest Rates Fed Policy Treasury Yields Duration Yield Curve |
Trade PolicyTariff announcements created significant uncertainty among businesses and consumers, leading to concerns about future economic growth and inflation. Post-Q1 tariff announcements increased market volatility sharply and created additional risks for debt investments. |
Tariffs Trade War Economic Uncertainty Market Volatility Policy Risk | |
Credit StressSpreads on investment grade and high yield bonds remained at expensive levels despite slight increases during the quarter. The fund avoided Credit investments due to inadequate compensation for risk, particularly given potential tariff-induced impairment. |
Credit Spreads Investment Grade High Yield Credit Risk Spread Duration | |
MortgageThe fund invested in agency-guaranteed residential mortgage pools, non-agency RMBS, and CMBS as part of its High Quality bond strategy. These investments had weighted average life of 6.0 years and duration of 5.3 years. |
RMBS CMBS Agency Mortgages Mortgage Pools Prepayment Risk | |
| 2024 Q4 |
RatesFederal Reserve cut rates by 25 bps twice in Q4 but acknowledged greater uncertainty about inflation and future cuts. Treasury yields increased 60-83 bps in Q4 as market expectations for 2025 rate cuts fell from seven to fewer than two cuts. |
Interest Rates Federal Reserve Treasury Yields Monetary Policy Duration |
Credit StressHigh yield spreads at 4th percentile historically and investment grade spreads at 1st percentile. Manager views credit as inadequately compensating for risk and has reduced credit exposure from 7.2% to 4.0%. |
Credit Spreads High Yield Investment Grade Risk Premium Mark-to-Market | |
InflationFed noted inflation data was sideways rather than declining toward 2% target. Presidential election outcome introduced uncertainty via potential policy changes including tariffs and immigration restrictions that could increase inflation. |
Inflation Policy Changes Tariffs Immigration Economic Uncertainty | |
| 2024 Q3 |
RatesFederal Reserve lowered Fed Funds rate by 50 bps in September citing progress toward 2% inflation target and cooler labor market. Treasury yields declined in advance of rate cut then subsequently increased. Future path of interest rates remains uncertain due to macroeconomic conditions and looming U.S. elections. |
Fed Treasury Yield Duration Monetary |
Credit StressHigh yield spreads at 7th percentile and BB component excluding Energy at 9th percentile indicate narrow spreads. Investment grade Aggregate Bond Index spreads at 1st percentile. Manager finds Credit not attractively priced and continues to search for opportunities when prices adequately compensate for risk. |
Spreads High Yield Investment Grade Credit Risk Pricing | |
MortgagePortfolio holds significant exposure to agency mortgage pools, agency-guaranteed CMBS, and non-agency RMBS. Agency mortgage pools were largest contributors to performance due to price appreciation from lower risk-free rates and coupon payments applied to discount dollar prices. |
RMBS CMBS Agency Mortgage Pools Prepayment | |
| 2024 Q2 |
RatesFederal Reserve left rates unchanged citing need for greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%. Treasury yields increased 9-22 bps across the curve during the quarter. Higher yields over the past couple years have created an attractive opportunity to buy longer-duration, High Quality bonds. |
Interest Rates Federal Reserve Treasury Yields Duration Monetary Policy |
InflationFederal Reserve noted modest further progress toward its 2% inflation target. CPI data shows continued decline in core inflation year-over-year. Uncertainty about exact timing of rate cuts led to increase in Treasury yields despite lower inflation trends. |
CPI Core Inflation Federal Reserve Target Price Stability | |
Private CreditFund holds significant exposure to business development companies and direct lending funds including Ares Capital Corp, Blue Owl Credit Income Corp, HPS Corporate Lending Fund, and Oaktree Strategic Credit Fund. These positions represent meaningful allocation to the private credit space. |
BDC Direct Lending Alternative Credit Yield | |
MortgagePortfolio contains substantial mortgage-backed securities exposure across agency and non-agency RMBS, CMBS, and agency mortgage pools. Fund bought agency-guaranteed residential mortgage pools, non-agency RMBS, and CMBS backed by single-family rental properties during the quarter. |
RMBS CMBS Agency MBS Mortgage Pools Housing | |
| 2024 Q1 |
RatesThe fund discusses how uncertainty about disinflation led to increased risk-free rates during the quarter, with Treasury yields rising 25-40 bps across the curve. The manager notes that Treasury yields and High Quality bond yields are currently among the highest in over 15 years, creating attractive investment opportunities. |
Interest Rates Treasury Duration Yield Curve Fed Policy |
InflationProgress on reducing inflation appears to have stalled, casting doubt on the timeline for reaching the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The manager notes that by other measures, inflation may have accelerated, leading to reduced market expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2024. |
CPI Disinflation Fed Target Price Stability | |
CreditThe fund maintains a 10% allocation to Credit exposure (BBB or lower rated investments) and continues to search for opportunities when prices adequately compensate for risk. The manager notes that high yield spreads have compressed to the 16th percentile despite yields remaining near 15-year highs. |
High Yield Credit Spreads Investment Grade Credit Risk | |
MortgageThe portfolio holds significant exposure to agency and non-agency mortgage-backed securities, including RMBS and CMBS. The fund bought agency mortgage pools and non-agency RMBS during the quarter as part of its duration extension strategy. |
RMBS CMBS Agency Mortgage Pools Prepayment Risk | |
| 2023 Q4 |
RatesFederal Reserve held rates constant in Q4 2023 and began discussing rate cuts as inflation progressed toward the 2% target. Market expectations shifted from three to six Fed Funds rate cuts in 2024, driving Treasury yields lower in the quarter despite increases for most of 2023. |
Interest Rates Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Treasury Yields Monetary Policy |
MortgageFund significantly increased exposure to agency residential mortgage pools during Q4, taking advantage of peak interest rates and market volatility to buy deep-out-of-the-money pools with positive convexity. These mortgages offer asymmetrically favorable upside versus downside return profiles. |
Agency RMBS Mortgage Pools Convexity Prepayment Risk Duration | |
| 2023 Q3 |
RatesThe manager discusses how rising risk-free rates drove higher overall yields during the quarter, with the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in July. They emphasize that Treasury yields are at 10-15 year highs and investment grade bond yields are similarly elevated, creating attractive opportunities. |
Interest Rates Fed Policy Treasury Yields Duration Monetary Policy |
CreditThe fund maintains 10% credit exposure, viewing most credit as not attractively priced despite higher yields. The manager notes concerns about companies' ability to sustain capital structures due to decreasing debt service coverage ratios and weak protections for lenders in leveraged loans and high-yield bonds. |
High Yield Credit Risk Leverage Default Risk Recovery Rates | |
DurationThe manager actively manages duration based on their 100 basis point duration test, increasing the fund's duration from 1.4 years to 2.2 years since end of 2021. They focus on buying longer-duration bonds that can produce breakeven returns even if yields increase by 100 basis points over 12 months. |
Duration Management Interest Rate Risk Active Management Yield Curve Risk Management | |
| 2023 Q2 |
RatesFederal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps in May before pausing in June, with market expectations for terminal rate around 5.4% by November 2023. Treasury yields increased 60-80 bps on shorter maturities during the quarter as Fed guidance suggested additional rate increases despite inflation declining. |
Interest Rates Fed Policy Treasury Yields Duration Monetary Policy |
Commercial Real EstateFund holds significant exposure to commercial real estate CLOs and CMBS, with AAA-rated commercial real estate CLOs contributing to performance through coupon payments despite some spread widening. Portfolio includes both agency-guaranteed CMBS and non-agency commercial mortgage securities. |
CMBS CLO Real Estate Commercial Mortgages Spreads | |
CreditFund maintains selective approach to credit exposure at 10.2% of portfolio, focusing on opportunities where prices adequately compensate for permanent capital impairment risk. Manager does not view credit as attractively priced generally but continues opportunistic investing in BBB-rated and below securities. |
Credit Risk BBB High Yield Spreads Capital Impairment | |
| 2023 Q1 |
RatesFederal Reserve raised rates twice by 25 bps each in Q1 2023 to combat inflation. Bank failures in March led to expectations of reduced monetary tightening as credit contraction would provide disinflationary effects. Treasury yields declined for maturities beyond one year despite rate hikes. |
Interest Rates Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Treasury Yields Duration |
Credit StressSilicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank failures in March created systemic concerns and sharp volatility in bond markets. The one-day decrease in 2-year Treasury yields following SVB collapse was the largest in over 30 years and a six standard deviation event. |
Bank Failures Credit Risk Systemic Risk Financial Conditions Volatility | |
DurationFund actively extended duration by buying longer-duration High Quality bonds with average duration of 3.9 years. Manager employs duration test to identify longest duration bonds expected to produce breakeven returns over 12 months assuming 100 bps yield increase. |
Duration Risk Interest Rate Risk Bond Duration Yield Curve Fixed Income |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
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