Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 15.46% | 16.01% | 16.01% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 15.46% | 16.01% | 16.01% |
Old West All Cap Opportunity returned 16.01% net in Q1 2026, driven primarily by energy holdings that benefited from oil's surge from $61 to $118 per barrel following Middle East military action. The manager had positioned in energy stocks at multi-year lows earlier in the year based on valuations and supply constraints. Top contributors included Canadian Natural Resources, Tidewater, and Suncor Energy, all benefiting from higher oil prices and strong operational execution. Mining positions, previously strong performers, sold off on war fears despite sound structural theses. The portfolio maintains significant exposure to metals and mining, particularly copper, which the manager views as critical for an electrified, AI-driven world. Natural gas positions reflect the manager's conviction that power demand from datacenter buildouts will drive prices higher despite current weakness. The core investment thesis centers on physical assets and infrastructure benefiting from AI's growing demands on the physical economy, positioning the portfolio at the intersection of artificial intelligence and tangible infrastructure assets.
Physical assets and infrastructure will benefit as AI creates new demand and strain on the physical economy, with the largest value gaps at the intersection of artificial intelligence and physical infrastructure.
The largest gaps between price and value over the next decade may be found at the intersection of artificial intelligence and the physical economy. As AI grows more capable, the economy becomes more physical, not less. The owners of physical assets and infrastructure may find themselves in a position not unlike the owners of steel, oil, and rail in an earlier era.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31 2026 | 2026 Q1 | BRKR, CNQ, SSNC, SU, TDW, TMQ | AI, Copper, energy, Geopolitical, Mining, Natural Gas, Physical Infrastructure |
CNQ TDW SU BRKR SSNC TMQ |
Old West returned 16% in Q1 as energy holdings surged on Middle East conflict driving oil from $61 to $118. Portfolio positioned at intersection of AI and physical economy, owning energy, mining, and infrastructure assets. Manager believes AI's growth makes economy more physical, not less, creating opportunities in copper, natural gas, and critical materials. |
| Jan 30 2025 | 2024 Q4 | AEM, AFMJF, Gold, JOE, NGXXF, VIRT, WLDBF | Copper, Entertainment, gold, Media, Metals, Mining, value | WLDBF | Value-focused fund with concentrated exposure to metals mining and unique intellectual property assets. Core thesis on supply-demand imbalances driving metal prices higher while WildBrain's children's entertainment franchises trade at significant discount to intrinsic value. Recent portfolio moves include rotating from Barrick Gold to Agnico Eagle Mines to reduce geopolitical risk while maintaining mining exposure. |
| Oct 23 2024 | 2024 Q3 | ADMLF, AFMJF, FLMMF, WDOFF, WLDBF | Concentration, Mining, Owner-Managers, Quality, value | - | Old West All Cap Opportunity is a concentrated value strategy focused on owner-managed businesses trading below intrinsic value. The portfolio shows strong mining sector concentration with four of five top holdings in metals and mining. Despite trailing benchmarks in the recent period, the fund has delivered superior long-term performance since inception. |
| Apr 14 2024 | 2024 Q1 | AAPL, ADMLF, AMZN, APMRF, BHP, FLMMF, GOOGL, LUNMF, MSFT, MTXXY, NGEXF, NVDA, ORCL, TSLA, TSM | AI, commodities, Copper, Data centers, Industrial, Metals, Mining, value |
FILO.TO NGEX.TO ALPHA.L MLX.AX ADT1.L |
Old West sees a generational opportunity in industrial metals driven by massive AI infrastructure spending while supply constraints create scarcity pricing. The fund holds concentrated positions in high-grade copper, tin, and silver miners trading at attractive valuations. Despite elevated market multiples and consumer stress, manager believes this is an ideal time for value-oriented stock picking in overlooked resource companies. |
| Feb 19 2024 | 2023 Q4 | UHAL | Commercial real estate, commodities, Debt crisis, gold, Owner Operators, small cap, Valuations, value | UHAL | Value-focused manager warns of bubble-like market concentration and unsustainable $34 trillion government debt dynamics. Expects Fed to lose rate control, forcing debt monetization that benefits their metals exposure in coming commodity super cycle. Prefers owner-operated companies like U-Haul over overvalued tech giants. Commercial real estate debt crisis brewing with $1 trillion in maturities ahead. |
| Jan 7 2024 | 2023 Q3 | ADT.AX | commodities, Copper, credit, Energy Transition, interest rates, Mining, Silver, uranium | ADT.AX | Old West maintains concentrated commodity exposure believing metals are at 50-year lows relative to equities while energy transition drives unprecedented demand. Rising rates create economic stress and potential debt crisis, forcing Fed back to QE and driving commodity prices higher. Portfolio focuses on uranium, copper, tin, and silver producers with strong fundamentals but lacking investor awareness. |
| Jan 7 2024 | 2023 Q2 | SMRT | growth, interest rates, real estate, small cap, technology, value | SMRT | Value manager warns of AI bubble and overvalued markets while highlighting SmartRent as compelling growth opportunity in rental housing technology. Despite market risks from rising rates and expensive valuations, maintains defensive positioning with select high-conviction ideas offering significant upside potential in undervalued situations. |
| Jan 7 2024 | 2023 Q1 | AFM.TO, BG, FIL.TO, SMRT, WILD.TO | Agriculture, Banking, commodities, interest rates, Mining, Owner Managers, small cap, value | - | Value-focused manager positioned in commodity producers and undervalued businesses while avoiding speculative excess. Warns of systemic banking risks but expects difficult environment to favor active stock picking over passive investing. Key holdings include copper miner Filo Mining, tin producer Alphamin, and agribusiness Bunge. Portfolio built around owner/managers with strong balance sheets and business moats. |
| Jan 7 2024 | 2022 Q4 | AEM, Gold, MAI CN, NG, SA, WDO CN | - | - | |
| Jan 7 2024 | 2022 Q3 | FIL CN | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
AIAI will lead to a period of scientific advancement comparable to the Renaissance or Industrial Revolution. The rise of AI agents creates new demand and strain on physical infrastructure. As AI grows more capable, the economy becomes more physical, not less. |
Artificial Intelligence Physical Infrastructure Scientific Instruments |
OilOil surged from $61 to $118 per barrel in Q1 due to Middle East military action and closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Energy positions were built on valuations and supply constraints at multi-year lows with depressed earnings. |
Crude Oil Energy Geopolitical Risk | |
Natural GasNatural gas closed near seventeen-month lows despite electricity shortages and massive datacenter buildouts requiring enormous power. Gas turbine manufacturers are sold out through the end of the decade, yet the primary fuel for dispatchable generation is priced as though none of this is happening. |
Natural Gas Power Generation Data Centers | |
CopperCopper is the metal that connects everything in an electrified, AI-driven world, running through every wire, motor, and data center. Supply is insufficient to meet future demand and prices are too low to incentivize new development. |
Copper Electrification Supply Deficit | |
Critical MineralsLarge exposure to metals and mining where there is a combination of strong fundamental outlook and low valuation. Supply of many metals is insufficient to meet future demand, and prices must rise to levels that make development projects economical. |
Mining Supply Shortage Development Projects | |
| 2024 Q4 |
GoldPortfolio has large exposure to metals and mining with strong fundamental outlook and low valuation. Supply of many metals is insufficient to meet future demand, and prices are too low to incentivize new development. Prices must rise to levels that make development projects economical. |
Gold Miners Metals Mining Supply Demand |
CopperNGEx Minerals operates in Argentina and Chile where roughly 40% of the world's copper is produced. Part of portfolio's large exposure to metals and mining where supply is insufficient to meet future demand and prices are too low to give incentive for new development. |
Copper Miners Supply Demand Mining Metals | |
MediaWildBrain is the largest owner of children's intellectual property outside major Hollywood studios, managing nearly 500 properties. Company produces children's content and distributes across broadcast platforms, streaming services, and AVOD network. Generates significant revenue through consumer products licensing. |
Entertainment Streaming Content Licensing IP | |
TinAlphamin Resources owns and operates the highest-grade tin mine in the world. Strong demand for tin from future-facing industries like AI, data centers and renewable energy are confronting a fragile supply situation. |
Mining Supply Demand Data Centers AI | |
| 2024 Q3 |
MiningThe portfolio shows significant concentration in mining companies, with four of the top five holdings being mining-related businesses including Filo Corp, Alphamin Resources, Adriatic Metals, and Wesdome Gold Mines. These positions represent over 26% of the portfolio, indicating a strong thematic focus on the mining sector. |
Gold Copper Battery Metals Junior Miners Mining Services |
| 2024 Q1 |
CopperManager expects near doubling of copper production over the coming decade due to electricity demand growth and power grid modernization. Supply challenges from declining production, worsening grades, and inadequate exploration spending suggest inability to meet demand. Copper price recently began showing strength as global mine supply issues started to bite. |
Copper Miners Mining Services Critical Minerals Energy Transition Grid Upgrade |
TinStrong demand from AI, data centers and renewable energy confronting fragile supply situation. Myanmar shut down largest tin mine, Indonesia exports dropped to nearly zero amid work approval delays. Manager expects strong upward pressure on tin price in coming years as current supply struggles and project slate is sparse and low quality. |
Critical Minerals Data Centers AI Mining Services Battery Supply Chain | |
SilverManager particularly interested in silver which has large industrial component to its demand. Adriatic Metals highlighted as underfollowed European project with high-quality polymetallic deposit trading at low valuation. Silver expected to generate third of revenue with gold contributing another 25%. |
Silver Miners Critical Minerals Industrial Metals Battery Supply Chain Energy Transition | |
AIMoney being invested in AI revolution is staggering with Taiwan Semiconductor investing $65 billion in Phoenix chip plant, Samsung investing $44 billion in Texas semiconductor hub, and Microsoft investing $100 billion in AI data center. These facilities are loaded with copper, tin, and silver, creating demand for industrial metals. |
Data Centers Semiconductors Cloud Copper Critical Minerals | |
Data CentersMicrosoft building $100 billion AI data center that is 100 times more advanced than current cutting-edge data centers. Amazon Web Services, Oracle and others also building new data centers. These facilities require significant amounts of copper, tin, and silver for computing, storage and networking. |
AI Cloud Semiconductors Copper Critical Minerals | |
| 2023 Q4 |
ValueManager emphasizes value investing as the best way to protect and grow capital, contrasting their approach with passive index investing in overvalued mega-cap tech stocks. Highlights preference for solid companies run by owner-operators trading at reasonable valuations. |
Value investing Owner operators Undervalued Earnings multiples Fundamentals |
GoldPortfolio has significant exposure to metals producing companies positioned to benefit from a weakening dollar and pending commodity super cycle. Manager expects Fed to become buyer of last resort for government debt, which will be extremely bullish for gold and commodities. |
Gold Commodities Metals Dollar weakness Super cycle | |
Commercial Real EstateManager highlights brewing crisis with $500 billion of commercial real estate debt coming due in 2024, followed by another $500 billion in 2025. Notes this issue is not getting sufficient attention from media focused on AI revolution. |
Commercial real estate Debt maturity Crisis Refinancing Credit stress | |
| 2023 Q3 |
CommoditiesOld West has large weightings to commodity-related companies, believing commodities are near 50-year lows relative to equity markets. The rush to clean energy and billions being invested in technologies requiring various metals will drive much higher prices. |
Metals Mining Supply Demand Pricing |
Energy TransitionThe firm focuses on metals critical to clean energy transition, particularly uranium, copper, tin and silver. They see growing demand from electrification and advanced technologies creating supply-demand imbalances. |
Electrification Clean Energy Critical Minerals Nuclear Renewable | |
UraniumUranium was their first investment in this area, where a long industry downturn and skepticism about nuclear power led to supply destruction that is now confronting rapidly improving demand. They maintain core positions in high-quality producers, developers and processing companies. |
Nuclear Supply Destruction Demand Producers Processing | |
CopperCopper is considered the prime energy metal due to growing use for electrification. The firm prefers situations with company-specific value creation levers rather than solely commodity price leverage, particularly interested in the Lundin Group's South American consolidation. |
Electrification Energy Metal South America Mining District Consolidation | |
SilverSilver sees large and growing demand from the industrial sector, especially in advanced technologies where it is critical to a wide range of applications. Often overlooked compared to gold, but has significant industrial demand drivers. |
Industrial Demand Advanced Technologies Applications Precious Metals Technology | |
Credit StressRising interest rates are creating repercussions throughout the economy. Credit card delinquencies are at highest levels since 2012, car loan delinquencies at multi-year highs, and home loan applications have plummeted with rates reaching 7.5%. |
Delinquencies Interest Rates Consumer Credit Housing Economic Impact | |
| 2023 Q2 |
AIManager views AI as overhyped and reminiscent of the dotcom bubble. Notes that AI is not new but has become a buzzword driving valuations, with companies like Kroger mentioning AI eight times on recent calls despite no previous mention. |
Technology Valuations Bubble |
ValueManager emphasizes being a value investor who is realistic about economic projections and valuations. Focuses on preserving capital while finding terrific ideas with great upside potential in undervalued situations. |
Investing Capital Upside | |
RatesIdentifies interest rates as a major market risk, driven by massive global debt issuance. Notes that traditional buyers like China and Japan can no longer be depended upon, potentially resulting in higher rates for longer periods. |
Debt Treasury Risk | |
Commercial Real EstateDiscusses investment in SmartRent, a technology company serving multifamily real estate operators. Highlights the company's smart home solutions for rental housing and strong customer relationships with top apartment REITs. |
Technology Apartments Growth | |
| 2023 Q1 |
ValueManager emphasizes value investing approach focused on companies with owner/managers, strong balance sheets, actual earnings, and business moats. Expects value bias to serve well in difficult investing environment ahead. Believes active value investing will have revival after speculative bubble period. |
Value Owner Managers Balance Sheets Moats Active |
CopperBullish on copper driven by electrification and clean energy demand while supply constrained by underinvestment and declining grades. Filo Mining represents generational discovery with Lundin Group backing and BHP investment validating the project. |
Copper Electrification Clean Energy Supply Mining | |
TinSees secular growth in tin demand from semiconductors, solar ribbon, and electronic devices while supply fragile from China/Indonesia production declines. Current price unsustainably low with insufficient profitable production to meet demand. |
Tin Semiconductors Solar Electronics Supply | |
AgriculturePositive on agribusiness fundamentals with growing global population and wealth driving steady demand for essential food products. Bunge positioned as one of four rational competitors in giant global market with improving operations under new CEO. |
Agriculture Food Population Global Demand | |
Credit StressWarns of banking sector stress following Silicon Valley Bank failure, viewing it as potential canary in coal mine for more trouble ahead. Attributes to extreme risk taking during zero interest rate period with trillions invested at unsustainable valuations. |
Banking Credit Interest Rates Risk Valuations |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Fund Letters | Old West Investment Management | CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources Limited | Oil & Gas E&P | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI infrastructure, Canada, cash generation, crude oil, Dividend Growth, energy, natural gas, oil producer, Share Buybacks | Login |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Fund Letters | Old West Investment Management | TDW | Tidewater Inc. | Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Day-rates, Drilling Support, earnings surprise, international operations, Marine services, Offshore energy, Offshore support vessels, Oil Services | Login |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Fund Letters | Old West Investment Management | SU | Suncor Energy Inc. | Oil & Gas Integrated | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Canada, capital discipline, cash returns, integrated energy, Oil sands, refining, Retail Network, Share Buybacks, WTI oil | Login |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Fund Letters | Old West Investment Management | BRKR | Bruker Biosciences Corp. | Medical Devices | Life Sciences Tools & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, life sciences, Mass Spectrometry, Microscopy, Nanotechnology, Physical Sensors, Research Tools, scientific instruments | Login |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Fund Letters | Old West Investment Management | SSNC | SS&C Technologies Holdings | Software - Application | Software | Bull | NASDAQ | financial services, financial technology, Fund Administration, Hedge funds, Multiple compression, private equity, Software, Transfer Agency | Login |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Fund Letters | Old West Investment Management | TMQ | Trilogy Metals Inc. | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Metals & Mining | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI infrastructure, Alaska, copper mining, Development Project, Electrification, government investment, Metal Exploration, Strategic Metals, supply constraints | Login |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | WLDBF | WildBrain Ltd. | Communication Services | Movies & Entertainment | Bull | TSX | acquisition target, Apple partnership, AVOD Platform, Brand Reactivation, Children's Entertainment, Consumer products, Content production, Intellectual Property, Licensing, Peanuts Franchise, Streaming, turnaround, Value, YouTube Network | Login |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | ADT1.L | Adriatic Metals PLC | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | LSE | Europe, Gold, Mining, Polymetallic, Precious Metals, Production ramp-up, Silver, undervalued | Login |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | ALPHA.L | Alphamin Resources Corp | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | LSE | Africa, commodity, Global Supply, High-grade, Low cost, Mining, Production, Tin | Login |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | MLX.AX | Metals X Limited | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | ASX | Australia, cash position, Mining, Production, Share Buyback, Tin, undervalued | Login |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | NGEX.TO | NGEx Minerals Ltd | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | TSX | acquisition target, Copper, Exploration, High-grade, Lundin Group, Mining, resource development, South America | Login |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | FILO.TO | Filo Corp | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | TSX | Copper, Exploration, Gold, Joint venture, Lundin Group, Mining, resource development, Silver, South America | Login |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | Industrials | Specialized Consumer Services | Bull | NASDAQ | Asset-Heavy, franchise model, market leader, Migration trends, Moving services, Owner operator, Real Estate, Self-storage, Truck Rental, Value | Login |
| Jul 11, 2023 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | SMRT | SmartRent, Inc. | Information Technology | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | Bull | NASDAQ | growth, IoT Devices, property management, proptech, real estate technology, recurring revenue, Rental Housing, SaaS, Smart Home Technology, SPAC | Login |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Fund Letters | Old West Capital Management | ADT.AX | Adriatic Metals | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | ASX | Bosnia, Commodities, Europe, Free Cash Flow, Industrial Metals, lead, Low-cost producer, Mining Development, Polymetallic Mining, Silver Producer, Value, Zinc | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources is the largest oil and the second-largest natural gas producer in Canada. Their asset mix spans natural gas, light crude, heavy crude, bitumen, and synthetic crude oil, a low-cost, long-life physical asset base producing the energy that the world (and increasingly, AI infrastructure) runs on. During Q1 2026, CNQ was driven higher mainly due to the increase in the price of oil. They completed a strategic acquisition in Q1 that lifted their full-year production outlook, and reported record production while beating profit estimates. They extended their dividend growth streak to 26 years, boosted the quarterly dividend, launched a new share buyback program, and tightened their free cash flow return policy, all of which signaled management confidence in the durability of the cash generation story. |
| TDW | Tidewater has the largest fleet of offshore support vessels in the industry and is the oldest and most experienced provider of marine support services to the offshore oil and gas sector. Today over 90% of their fleet works internationally across more than 60 countries. In Q1 2026, TDW was driven higher mainly due to the increase in the price of oil. When oil surges to $118 a barrel, every oil company in the world accelerates their offshore drilling and production activity, which means more demand for Tidewater's vessels, and more pricing power on day rates. Their most recent earnings came in at $4.41 per share against an estimate of just $0.77, a 472% earnings surprise. |
| SU | Suncor is Canada's leading integrated energy company, with operations spanning oil sands mining and in situ production, upgrading offshore production, refining, marketing and trading, and the nationwide Petro-Canada retail and wholesale network. During Q1 2026, SU was driven higher mainly due to the increase in the price of oil. Suncor management is focused on returning cash to shareholders rather than chasing volume growth, which is exactly the kind of capital discipline the thesis rewards. Suncor committed to returning over CAD $23 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks at $65 WTI over the next three years. Annual share repurchases were increased by over 20% to a projected $4 billion for 2026, with management targeting a reduction of outstanding shares by more than 25% between 2023 and 2028. |
| BRKR | Bruker makes high-performance scientific instruments and analytical and diagnostic solutions that enable scientists to explore life and materials at molecular, cellular, and microscopic levels. During Q1 2026, Bruker stock declined due to continued headwinds from US academic and government funding cuts, with bookings down in the high teens percentage for the full year, and management guided for a mid-single-digit organic revenue decline in Q1 2026 specifically due to this pressure. Old West's investment thesis is structured on the idea that AI will lead way to a period of scientific advancement comparable to the Renaissance or Industrial Revolution, and we believe that the companies that help bridge AI's intelligence with the physical world's measurable reality are positioned at the next frontier. Bruker's NMR spectrometers, mass spectrometers, and atomic force microscopes are the sensors that translate the physical world into data AI can work with. |
| SSNC | SS&C is the world's largest hedge fund and private equity administrator, as well as the largest mutual fund transfer agency. They provide software and technology-enabled services to financial services and healthcare companies, covering securities accounting, front-office functions like trading and modeling, middle-office functions like portfolio management and reporting, and back-office functions like accounting, reconciliation, compliance, and tax reporting. In Q1 2026, although the business performed well, the stock was down mainly due to multiple compression. Analysts lowered price targets specifically citing software multiple compression, not deteriorating fundamentals. |
| TMQ | Trilogy Metals is a metal exploration and development company. It holds a 50% interest in Ambler Metals LLC, which owns the Upper Kobuk Mineral Projects in northwestern Alaska's Ambler Mining District, one of the most prospective copper-dominant districts in the world. Trilogy Metals is part of our portfolio's large exposure to metals and mining where we see a combination of strong fundamental outlook and low valuation. In Q1 2026, Trilogy's shares declined mainly as a result of a post-spike hangover from the October 2025 catalyst in which the U.S. government announced a $35.6 million strategic investment for approximately a 10% equity stake in the company. |
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