Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
Oldfield Partners delivered strong performance in Q2 2026 driven by semiconductor holdings that were purchased at extremely low valuations and have since appreciated by a couple of hundred percent as earnings surged. The manager emphasizes that there is no such thing as a 'value' company—only companies with different valuations at different times based on waves of enthusiasm and gloom. The firm maintains flexibility without entrenched sector views, which has proven beneficial. Despite this success, the manager issues extensive warnings about market excess, using bubble and balloon metaphors to describe current conditions. The SpaceX listing is cited as exhibiting hallmarks of a market top, with stratospheric valuations and inexperienced investors pouring in. The manager expresses concern about AI's impact on professional employment while acknowledging its benefits. Nevertheless, the outlook remains constructive for value investing, with the portfolio maintaining an average P/E of around eleven and the manager seeing plenty of upside. The notions of US dollar exorbitant privilege and US exceptionalism have been undermined by geopolitical events. The manager concludes that 'Value' is back with lots of exciting opportunities available despite overvaluation in many market corners.
Oldfield Partners maintains a disciplined value investing approach focused on companies trading at low valuations due to excessive pessimism rather than fundamental deterioration. The firm demonstrates flexibility by holding semiconductor companies that accidentally wandered into value territory and have delivered strong returns. While warning extensively about bubble dynamics and market excess—particularly around AI enthusiasm and the SpaceX listing—the manager sees abundant opportunities in value stocks. The portfolio maintains an average P/E of around eleven with significant upside potential, reflecting conviction that too much pessimism creates opportunity while too much optimism creates risk.
The manager expresses a mixed outlook with strong conviction in value opportunities. Despite extensive warnings about market bubbles and overvaluation in many areas, the manager remains optimistic about finding attractive investments. The tone conveys caution about speculative excess while maintaining confidence in the value approach. The manager believes there is plenty of upside in current holdings and continues to find exciting opportunities even in an environment characterized by alarm and risk.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 2026 | 2026 Q2 | - | AI, Bubbles, Market Valuations, Opportunities, Risk Appetite, semiconductors, value | - | Oldfield Partners delivered strong returns from semiconductor holdings purchased at depressed valuations that have since doubled or tripled. The manager warns extensively about bubble dynamics and market excess, particularly around AI enthusiasm and the SpaceX listing, using balloon metaphors to signal caution. Despite these concerns, the firm sees abundant value opportunities with portfolios trading at eleven times earnings and significant upside potential. Value investing is back. |
| Jul 9 2026 | 2026 Q2 | 6971.T, BTRW.L, EZJ.L, STLA | Airlines, Autos, Europe, global, Homebuilders, semiconductors, Steel, value |
STLA BTRW.L |
Oldfield's concentrated global value fund underperformed in Q2 after strong 18-month results, hurt by early exits from Korean semiconductors and weakness in Stellantis and Barratt Redrow. Stellantis trades at one-tenth of revenues despite management retrenchment. Barratt sells at half book value with attractive long-term fundamentals. Top performers included Kyocera, ArcelorMittal, and Rio Tinto. EasyJet received a takeover bid below intrinsic value. |
| Apr 29 2026 | 2026 Q1 | TTE | diversification, Geographic, Geopolitical, global, Valuations, value | - | Oldfield Partners advocates geographical diversification from overvalued US markets (Shiller PE at dangerous levels, 30% household equity allocation) toward attractively valued international opportunities. UK offers value after Brexit-driven outflows, Japan attractive after market descent with weak yen advantage. Portfolio earnings yields 9-14% versus US 5.25% provide favorable odds. |
| Apr 29 2026 | 2026 Q1 | BTRW.L, EZJ.L, Gold, MT, STLA | contrarian, diversification, global, Low Valuations, Non-US, value |
Gold STLA |
Oldfield Partners' global value fund fell 3.8% in Q1 2026 after strong prior performance. Manager maintains contrarian approach in unpopular sectors, tactically trading ArcelorMittal and holding challenged positions like easyJet despite Gulf War headwinds. Portfolio trades at 10x P/E, focusing on global opportunities outside US amid policy volatility concerns. |
| Sep 30 2025 | 2025 Q3 | 0001.HK, 005930.KS, 034730.KS, AC.TO, Gold, J36.SI, RIT.L | AI, Asia, Conglomerates, gold, Holding Companies, value | - | Strong quarterly performance driven by gold exposure through Barrick and AI beneficiary Samsung. Manager identifies compelling opportunities in discounted holding companies like Ayala Corp trading at 50% discount to net asset value while avoiding AI bubble excesses. Strategy focuses on conventional companies with listed holdings at substantial discounts, representing double discount opportunities in current market environment. |
| Jul 1 2025 | 2025 Q2 | 0161.HK, 5238.KL | asset value, Concentration, Construction, Hong Kong, infrastructure, Malaysia, small caps, value |
0163.HK 5238.KL |
Stone Sentinel Capital's concentrated 5-stock portfolio delivered 45.3% YTD returns through disciplined value investing in Asian construction and infrastructure companies. Recent additions Able Engineering and Protasco trade at deep discounts to asset value despite strong operational fundamentals, positioned to benefit from Hong Kong's Greater Bay Area integration and sustained government infrastructure spending. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | FINV | China, Concentration, Philosophy, value, Warren Buffett | - | Stone Sentinel Capital's concentrated value approach delivered 38% year-to-date returns through five deeply undervalued holdings. Portfolio includes Spanish construction company trading below net cash, French software business at 6.5x FCF, and Chinese fintech offering 30% FCF yields. Manager emphasizes patient capital deployment following Buffett-inspired value investing principles with focus on intrinsic value recognition over time. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
SemiconductorsThe portfolio holds two or three semiconductor companies that were trading at extremely low valuations and still are despite earnings shooting up. Share prices have risen by a couple of hundred percent in a year or less. The manager questions whether the value of these companies really tripled over the past year and whether the world was ignorant of AI data center semiconductor demand. |
AI Data Centers Valuations Earnings |
AIThe manager acknowledges AI's magical effects in making things easier but expresses concern about its impact on employment for graduates in professions like law, accountancy, investment, data science, and computer coding. The larger effects on humanity remain a puzzle with no clear answer. Markets have gone wild with enthusiasm for AI. |
Employment Technology Market Enthusiasm | |
Risk AppetiteThe manager warns that markets go wild with enthusiasm and uses bubble language extensively. The SpaceX listing is described as having all the hallmarks of the beginning of the end in a particular area of markets, with stratospheric valuations, authorities bending rules, and people who have never invested before pouring in. The manager uses balloon and bubble metaphors to warn that balloons pop. |
Bubbles Valuations Market Excess SpaceX | |
ValueThe manager states that 'Value' is back and there are lots of exciting opportunities even when many corners of markets are overvalued. The portfolios have an average price-earnings multiple of around eleven with plenty of upside believed. The manager emphasizes flexibility and interest in companies with low valuations caused by too much pessimism. |
Valuations Opportunities P/E Multiples | |
DollarThe notions of the US dollar's 'exorbitant privilege' and US exceptionalism have been undermined rather than underlined by the Iran war, despite an initial safe haven blip. |
US Dollar Geopolitics Safe Haven | |
| 2026 Q2 |
AutosStellantis faces increased US tariffs and intense competition from China. The company has ceased car manufacturing in the Paris region and taken large write-downs after aggressive EV expansion. EU market share has fallen to 15%. Management believes current valuation gives too little credit to retrenchments and US-focused strategy redirection. |
Electric Vehicles Trade Policy Europe United States |
HomebuildersBarratt Redrow has suffered from general failure in the UK housing market. The UK government aimed for 1.5 million houses over five years but actual building rate is less than half. Increased mortgage rates have made housing less affordable and planning permission obstacles remain. Shares sell at less than half book value and long-term market characteristics remain attractive. |
Mortgage United Kingdom Rates | |
Semiconductor CycleSamsung and SK Inc., two Korean semiconductor companies, saw earnings and stock prices more than double over the last year. The fund sold both positions earlier than other OP funds, exiting when things became almost too good to be true. The early exit was a matter of judgment without precise indicators. |
South Korea Semiconductors | |
SteelArcelorMittal has been among the best performers in the portfolio, up 36% year to date. The position has contributed positively to fund performance during the period. |
Metals | |
| 2026 Q1 |
ValueManager emphasizes low valuations outside the US, with portfolio earnings yields between 9-14% compared to US market's 5.25%. Cites Ben Graham's preference for earnings yields roughly twice government bond yields as validation for their approach. |
Earnings Yields Valuations Graham Price-Earnings Multiples |
United KingdomUK market has experienced net outflows in 114 of 118 months since Brexit. Domestic pension fund allocations to UK equities dropped from 50% to 3% over 25 years. UK funds now have lower domestic allocation than almost any other country, resulting in moderate valuations. |
Brexit Outflows Pension Funds Domestic Allocations | |
JapanJapanese companies no longer trade at premium multiples and are attractively valued after long market descent. Weak yen has made Japan low-cost with wages in restaurant/retail sectors half of US/UK levels and lower than Korea. |
Yen Wages Multiples Valuations Cost | |
United StatesUS markets show concerning valuation metrics with Shiller PE at levels historically followed by negative real returns over 10 years. Market cap to GDP over 150% at record levels. US household equity allocation at 30% versus 10% in 1990 and previous peak of 26% in 2000 internet bubble. |
Shiller Valuations Bubble Household Allocation | |
| 2026 Q1 |
ValueManager emphasizes contrarian value investing approach, citing Howard Marks and Warren Buffett on buying unpopular assets. Portfolio trades at 10x P/E ratio with focus on companies at low valuations with business models that stand the test of time. |
Contrarian Intrinsic Value Low Valuations P/E Ratio |
GoldManager maintains gold mining exposure through Barrick as portfolio diversifier, though puzzled by gold's recent underperformance during market stress. Continues to view gold miners as attractive despite recent weakness. |
Gold Miners Diversification Safe Haven | |
TravelEasyJet faces triple headwinds from higher fuel costs, cancelled Middle Eastern routes, and potential supply disruptions from Gulf War. Manager maintains position despite 27% decline, believing short-term issues will resolve. |
Airlines Fuel Costs Route Disruption | |
| 2025 Q3 |
GoldCentral banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries for the first time since 1996, with gold accounting for 25% of reserves and touching $4000. Barrick, the largest holding, has doubled this year with cost of production at only $1560 creating rarely seen profit margins. |
Gold Miners Central Banks Reserves Barrick Margins |
AISamsung benefited from recent AI capital investment commitments by OpenAI and others, with the stock up 60% year to date. The manager maintains AI exposure through Samsung and SK Inc which trade at valuation levels far removed from bubble territory despite market excesses in AI-related companies. |
Semiconductors Samsung OpenAI Valuations Bubble | |
ValueThe manager identifies opportunities in conventional companies with listed holdings trading at substantial discounts to net asset value. Examples include holding companies like Ayala Corp trading at 50% discount versus conventional 20-30% discounts, representing a double discount opportunity. |
Holding Companies NAV Discount Ayala Conglomerates Anomalies | |
| 2025 Q2 |
ValueManager screens 80,000 global stocks to pick 5-6 concentrated positions, focusing on stocks trading below intrinsic value. Recent additions include Able Engineering trading below cash at 6x earnings despite double-digit growth, and Protasco at 2.4x PE with substantial asset value. |
Deep Value Asset Value Discount Undervalued Intrinsic Value |
ConstructionPortfolio includes Able Engineering Holdings engaged in building construction and repair/maintenance projects for Hong Kong public works, and Protasco with road maintenance operations maintaining over 16,000km of roads under long-term government concessions. |
Infrastructure Public Works Government Contracts Maintenance Construction Services | |
Hong KongSignificant exposure to Hong Kong through Able Engineering Holdings and discussion of Hong Kong office market dynamics. Manager believes Hong Kong's role as key financial center for China and integration with Greater Bay Area will drive long-term demand. |
Greater Bay Area Financial Center Office Market Public Housing | |
| 2025 Q1 |
ValueManager demonstrates deep value investing approach through concentrated portfolio of undervalued securities. Holdings include GSJ trading at significant discount to net cash, CLA at 6.5x FCF for recurring software business, and FINV offering 30% FCF yields despite strong fundamentals. |
Undervalued Discount FCF Net Cash Bargain |
ChinaRecent addition of FINV represents exposure to Chinese fintech sector. Company operates as large nonbank lender connecting borrowers to lenders, benefiting from industry consolidation where 95% of participants exited since 2016, leaving survivors in oligopoly position. |
Fintech Nonbank Lending Oligopoly Consolidation |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Fund Letters | Oldfield Partners Overstone World All Cap Equity Fund | STLA | Stellantis N.V. | Auto Manufacturers | Automobile Manufacturers | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Automobile Manufacturers, Electric Vehicles, Equity, Europe, restructuring, tariffs, turnaround, US, Value | Login |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Fund Letters | Oldfield Partners Overstone World All Cap Equity Fund | BTRW.L | Barratt Redrow plc | Residential Construction | Homebuilding | Bull | London Stock Exchange | Cyclical, Equity, homebuilding, housing market, Real Estate, Share Buybacks, UK, Value | Login |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Oldfield Partners Overstone World All Cap Equity Fund | Gold | Barrick Gold Corporation | Capital Markets | Gold | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | defensive, Diversifier, gold mining, Hedge, materials, Precious Metals, Value | Login |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Oldfield Partners Overstone World All Cap Equity Fund | STLA | Stellantis N.V. | Auto Manufacturers | Automobiles | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | automotive, contrarian, Cyclical, Europe, manufacturing, turnaround, Value | Login |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Oldfield Partners Overstone World All Cap Equity Fund | - | easyJet | Other | Airlines | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | contrarian, Cyclical, Europe, Fuel Costs, Low-Cost Airline, Transportation, Value | Login |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Fund Letters | Oldfield Partners Overstone World All Cap Equity Fund | 0163.HK | Able Engineering Holdings | Industrials | Construction & Engineering | Bull | Hong Kong Stock Exchange | construction, dividend yield, government contracts, Greater Bay Area, Hong Kong, Public Works, Real Estate, RMAA, Value | Login |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Fund Letters | Oldfield Partners Overstone World All Cap Equity Fund | 5238.KL | Protasco | Industrials | Construction & Engineering | Bull | Bursa Malaysia | asset monetization, conglomerate, Government Concessions, infrastructure, land bank, Malaysia, Road Maintenance, turnaround, Value | Login |
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