Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | -4.4% | - |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | -4.4% | - |
The Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund delivered a -4.4% return in Q2 2026, navigating one of the sharpest market reversals in recent history. After a turbulent first quarter marked by the US-Iran conflict, global risk assets rebounded strongly on AI-driven capital expenditure, easing geopolitical tensions, and improving investor sentiment. The US and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding ending hostilities, normalising oil shipments and unwinding the inflation scare. US equities staged a remarkable recovery, with the S&P 500 gaining 14.9% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index delivering an 87.8% return as AI infrastructure spending dominated. The Fund's quarterly performance was weighed down by equity positioning, with materials and consumer discretionary sectors detracting, particularly precious metals exposure which experienced sharp reversals. Fixed income strategies provided resilience, adding +1.2% and demonstrating the benefit of uncorrelated alpha streams. Commodities detracted as spreads widened. The Fund remains highly diversified across equities, fixed income and commodities, pursuing uncorrelated sources of alpha to compound capital over the long term.
The Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund is designed to deliver equity-like returns with meaningfully lower drawdowns by combining uncorrelated alpha streams across equities, fixed income and commodities, remaining true to its investment objective of compounding clients' capital over the long term through disciplined execution across a diversified set of investment strategies.
Looking ahead, the easing of geopolitical tensions, a likely conclusion to the domestic hiking cycle, and the prospect of further sovereign credit-rating upgrades could provide a more supportive backdrop for South African financial markets during the second half of the year. The Fund remains highly diversified, enabling it to pursue uncorrelated sources of alpha across a broad opportunity set. While quarterly outcomes will inevitably vary, the Fund remains true to its investment objective of compounding clients' capital over the long term through disciplined execution across a diversified set of investment strategies.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17 2026 | 2026 Q2 | - | AI, commodities, equities, fixed income, Geopolitical, Hedge Fund, Multi-Strategy, South Africa | - | Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund returned -4.4% in Q2 2026 as equity positioning detracted amid sharp precious metals reversals and materials sector weakness. Fixed income strategies provided resilience, adding +1.2% through uncorrelated positioning. The quarter saw one of the sharpest market reversals in recent history following US-Iran peace agreement and sustained AI infrastructure spending. The Fund remains diversified across uncorrelated alpha streams to compound capital long-term. |
| Jan 23 2026 | 2025 Q4 | - | alpha, commodities, diversification, fixed income, global, Hedge Fund, Multi-Strategy, South Africa | - | Fairtree Wild Fig delivered 8.1% in Q4 and 9.8% for 2025 through diversified multi-strategy approach combining equity long/short, fixed income, and commodities. Strong performance driven by South African positioning, rate curve trades, and technology themes, while commodities faced supply constraints. Fund maintains diversified alpha generation across uncorrelated streams with defensive positioning for potential 2026 shocks. |
| Oct 31 2025 | 2025 Q3 | 300750.SZ, 6920.T, 9988.HK, CLS, CRM, HAL, HIMS, ICE, ISRG, KGHM.WA, KRN.DE, KVUE, LRCX, PEP, TSM, UMI.BR, UNH, UPWK, VNA.DE, ZAL.DE | AI, energy, global, Reform, semiconductors, technology, value | - | ACATIS capitalizes on AI infrastructure boom with strong semiconductor equipment exposure while navigating geopolitical shifts. September gains led by Lam Research, TSMC, and Lasertec reflect continued AI demand. New positions in Salesforce and Celestica target AI-driven efficiency and data center growth. Portfolio balances technology leadership with strategic materials exposure amid trade policy uncertainty. |
| Mar 13 2025 | 2025 Q1 | 1211.HK, 6857.T, 8035.T, AMAT, AMZN, ASML, AVGO, CRM, FTNT, GOOGL, INTU, LSEG.L, MDT, MSFT, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, SAP, TMO, ZS | AI, Bubble, Cloud, Electric Vehicles, growth, infrastructure, semiconductors, technology |
AVGO ORCL ASML META 1211.HK MSFT |
Growth Equity Strategy gained 4.3% in Q3 driven by AI infrastructure plays like Oracle and Broadcom. Manager trimmed winners after strong gains while adding Medtronic and BYD positions. Despite emerging AI bubble signs with some stocks up 40-100%, long-term AI adoption trends remain compelling. Strategy balances opportunities with rising risks through fundamental research and selective positioning. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
AIAI-driven capital expenditure was a primary catalyst for the sharp market reversal in Q2 2026. Sustained AI-related investment drove the broader rally and expansion in market leadership beyond mega-cap technology names. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index delivered an 87.8% return, its strongest quarterly performance since 1994, as AI infrastructure spending remained the dominant investment theme. |
AI Infrastructure Semiconductors Technology Capital Expenditure |
Geopolitical RiskThe first quarter was defined by escalating conflict and pronounced risk-off sentiment stemming from the US-Iran conflict. The second quarter saw one of the sharpest reversals in recent market history after the US and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding to end hostilities. The agreement included a 60-day ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which paved the way for renewed negotiations on Iran's nuclear programme. |
Iran Geopolitical Oil Middle East | |
RatesThe Federal Reserve underwent a meaningful shift with Kevin Warsh confirmed as Chair in May. At his first meeting, the Fed left rates unchanged, but almost half of the FOMC indicated support for a rate hike later this year. Markets repriced the Federal Reserve outlook from expectations of two rate cuts at the start of the year to pricing in two hikes by year-end, representing an approximately 100 basis point swing in expectations. |
Federal Reserve Interest Rates Monetary Policy | |
GoldPrecious metals, which had been among the strongest-performing assets in 2025, experienced a sharp reversal in Q2 2026. Gold recorded its largest monthly decline since 1975, while silver fell by more than 50% from its recent highs. Within the Fund's equity positioning, exposure to precious metals (both gold and PGMs) weighed heavily on performance during the quarter. |
Gold Precious Metals Silver PGMs | |
OilOil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz normalised following the US-Iran agreement, and crude prices retraced towards pre-conflict levels. Much of the inflation scare that had gripped markets in March unwound as a result. As Brent crude retreated from its Q1 highs, the rand strengthened. Within the Fund's equity positioning, energy stocks weighed on performance during the quarter. |
Oil Brent Crude Energy Strait of Hormuz | |
South AfricaSouth African markets broadly participated in the global de-escalation trade. The South African Reserve Bank raised the repo rate by 25 basis points in May as higher fuel and producer prices filtered through to inflation. South Africa enters the second half of 2026 facing softer economic growth, higher inflation and a more hawkish central bank. Many market participants expect a further 25-basis-point hike in July. The domestic labour market remained a notable weakness, with the unemployment rate rising to 32.7% in Q1 2026. |
South Africa SARB Inflation Unemployment | |
| 2025 Q4 |
OilOil represents the cheapest major asset class globally, trading at near-record lows relative to gold despite balanced fundamentals. The closure of the Straits of Hormuz has created the largest supply shock in industry history, with 20 million barrels per day disrupted. Non-OPEC supply growth is slowing dramatically, with U.S. shale production plateauing outside the Permian Basin. |
Crude Oil Brent WTI Shale OPEC |
Natural GasU.S. natural gas ranks in the 99.5th percentile of historical undervaluation relative to equities. Recent production growth has been concentrated entirely in the Permian Basin, with other shale basins declining. As the Permian's gas production plateaus, supply growth should slow significantly while LNG demand continues expanding. |
Henry Hub LNG Permian Shale Gas | |
SilverSilver surged 51% in Q4 and 140% for the year, staging a dramatic catch-up rally relative to gold. This marks the fifth such episode in 50 years, with previous instances in 1973, 1979, 2011, and 2020 all marking important turning points. The magnitude of silver's 220% rally since April matches the 1979 peak that signaled the end of the great gold bull market. |
Silver Gold Ratio Precious Metals | |
CopperCopper markets have moved back into surplus with exchange inventories rising to 1.2 million tonnes, levels last seen in 2003 when copper traded below $0.90 per pound. Despite strong performance in 2025, the fundamental outlook has shifted bearish as Chinese demand slows and new supply comes online. |
Copper Base Metals China Demand | |
Platinum Group MetalsPGMs continued their powerful advance with platinum and palladium each surging 28% in Q4. The bearish narrative built on rapid EV adoption is unraveling as both the U.S. and Europe roll back policies designed to accelerate ICE vehicle phase-outs. The prolonged bear market was built on a flawed narrative that is now being rewritten. |
Platinum Palladium Auto Catalysts EV Policy | |
CommoditiesThe commodity bull market has barely begun, with most commodities still 46% below historical nominal peaks and 73% below real peaks when adjusted for inflation. Commodities trade near the lowest levels relative to equities observed in more than a century, suggesting the cycle is only in its early innings rather than nearing completion. |
Commodity Cycle Capital Cycle Valuation | |
UraniumUranium demand is surging while meeting a fragile supply base, creating fundamental tightness in the market. The nuclear renaissance is driving unprecedented demand growth as countries seek reliable baseload power to support energy security and decarbonization goals. |
Uranium Nuclear Energy Security | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI infrastructure companies like Lam Research, TSMC, and Palantir benefited from continued strong expansion. Bloom Energy supports data center expansion with reliable power supply for AI infrastructure. Salesforce reduced workforce as artificial intelligence reduces labor requirements. |
Data Centers Semiconductors Infrastructure Automation Software |
SemiconductorsWafer equipment manufacturers performed very well in September, with Lam Research gaining 33.5% and Lasertec up 28.5%. TSMC continues to benefit from AI boom with analysts raising 2026 profit forecasts by 8-9% and revenue forecasts increased from 20% to 30%. |
Semi Equipment Foundries Memory Chip Designers Manufacturing | |
Energy TransitionArgentina has lithium and copper for energy transformation. KGHM Polska Miedz is strategically important for digital infrastructure development in an era of deglobalization as the only notable copper producer in Europe. |
Battery Metals Copper Lithium Infrastructure Critical Minerals | |
OnshoringArgentina is pursuing radical market economy reforms supported by the US as a beacon model in South America. KGHM's strategic importance highlighted for European digital infrastructure in deglobalization era. Trump administration wants US energy self-sufficiency. |
Supply Chain Manufacturing Energy Independence Policy | |
| 2025 Q1 |
AIThe AI arms race among technology companies is in full flight with massive investments in AI infrastructure. The long-term opportunity in Generative AI keeps growing as adoption rates increase and usage broadens, with 77% of companies using AI for automation patterns. However, risks are rising with more signs of an AI bubble forming. |
Infrastructure LLM Automation Investment Bubble |
CloudOracle's cloud infrastructure growth guidance was upgraded dramatically, with Oracle Cloud potentially becoming equal to or larger than Google Cloud Platform by FY29-30. Microsoft's Azure accelerated growth to 39% driven by AI demand and business digitalization. |
Infrastructure Azure Oracle Growth Hyperscaler | |
SemiconductorsASML's High NA EUV technology is key for future growth with strong competitive positioning for the next 10-15 years. Broadcom is gaining share with XPU customers and is positioned as a prime beneficiary of AI infrastructure buildout. The semiconductor cycle is driven by AI chip demand. |
EUV Lithography XPU Manufacturing Equipment | |
Electric VehiclesBYD's vertically integrated supply chain provides a 15-25% cost advantage over legacy OEMs while maintaining high-quality vehicles and gross margins comparable to Toyota. The company stands out as the most complete and defensible EV platform globally. |
Integration Battery Manufacturing Cost Platform |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund | ORCL | Oracle Corporation | Information Technology | Software | Bull | NYSE | AI training, Bull, cloud infrastructure, Database, hyperscaler, OpenAI, Software | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund | MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | Information Technology | Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Azure, Bull, Cloud computing, data centers, enterprise, Software | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund | 1211.HK | BYD Company Limited | Consumer Discretionary | Automobiles | Bull | HKEX | automotive, battery technology, Bull, China, Cost advantage, Electric Vehicles, vertical integration | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund | META | Meta Platforms, Inc. | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Bull, digital advertising, Facebook, Instagram, social media, user engagement | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Information Technology | Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, Bull, data centers, Enterprise software, Networking, semiconductors, Xpu | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy Hedge Fund | ASML | ASML Holding N.V. | Information Technology | Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment | Bull | NASDAQ | Bull, China competition, Euv, High NA, Lithography, Netherlands, semiconductors | Login |
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