Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | - | 33.0% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | - | 33.0% |
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| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 2026 | 2025 Q4 | 3445 JP, AAF LN, AAPL, PINFRA MM, SWON SW | emerging markets, International Equities, Leveraged ETFs, Meme Stocks, U.S. Equity Valuations | - | The letter argues that U.S. equity markets are priced at historically high valuations with forward P/E ratios around 23x and CAPE ratios near 40, leaving… |
| Oct 31 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AAPL, FOXA, HUM, RICK | fundamentals, Marginofsafety, mispricing, Patience, value | - | The manager stresses deep value investing focused on misunderstood or neglected assets. Market inefficiencies and behavioral biases create opportunities for patient capital. Downside protection and… |
| Apr 9 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Oct 1 2024 | 2024 Q3 | 6125 JP, 9401 JP | - | - | - |
| Jun 21 2024 | 2024 Q2 | DIS, DWACU, NFLX | - | - | - |
| Apr 15 2024 | 2024 Q1 | AAPL, FOXA, HUM, RICK | - | - | - |
| Jan 31 2024 | 2023 Q4 | AAPL, AI, ARM, BATS LN, CLX, ORI, RICK, TR | - | - | - |
| Jun 27 2023 | 2023 Q1 | AAF LN, CGO CN, META, RUN | - | - | - |
| Feb 21 2022 | 2022 Q4 | BOL FP, NFLX, NKLA, OSTK, RICK, TSLA, TWTR | - | - | - |
| Jul 11 2022 | 2022 Q3 | ARPU, NFLX, TME, TWTR | - | - | - |
| Jun 30 2022 | 2022 Q2 | HCA | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
InternationalInternational stocks significantly outperformed their domestic counterparts in 2025, and the less expensive portions of the market did particularly well. International companies offer an important counterbalance to the richness of the broader U.S. market when selectively chosen and are beneficial from a diversification perspective. |
MSCI ACWI Outperformance Diversification Ex-US |
SpeculationThere has been a surge in aggressive speculative behavior with commission-free trading, plentiful margin loans, and leveraged ETFs. Zero-day options now make up over 60% of all S&P 500 options, alongside the GameStop meme stock craze and cryptocurrency rise. |
Options Margin Retail Trading Meme Stocks Risk Taking | |
ValuationsBy every historically effective valuation metric, U.S. equities are extremely overpriced. The CAPE of 40 is above any level seen outside the internet bubble peak, with the market cap to GDP ratio at all-time highs and record proportions trading at over 10 times sales. |
CAPE Price to Sales Market Cap Overvaluation Metrics | |
| 2025 Q3 |
ValueThe portfolio trades at significant discounts to the broad market, with P/E ratios 40-42% below the S&P 500. The manager believes many steady-growing companies are overlooked by markets focused on AI winners, creating opportunities in businesses with lower assumed margins and productivity that could benefit from AI adoption. |
Discount Multiples Undervalued Overlooked Opportunity |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Elevator Pitches found | ||||||||||
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| AAPL | The largest 10 companies, by market capitalization, had reached 40.7% of the S&P 500 by the end of 2025, up from roughly 30% at the end of 2021. At the top of this list are Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Broadcom (AVGO), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA). Apple: Market capitalization near $4 trillion. A double requires creating a company larger than the size of Walmart, JPMorgan, and Pfizer combined. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||