Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5% | - | 18.6% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 9.1% | 36.2% | 22.8% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5% | - | 18.6% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 9.1% | 36.2% | 22.8% |
CDT Capital Management delivered another strong year in 2025 with 18.6% net returns, continuing their five-year track record of outperformance against the S&P 500. Since inception, the fund has compounded capital at 22.5% annually versus the benchmark's 16.2%, generating 12.81% of alpha through their disciplined long-only approach. The strategy centers on proprietary insider activity algorithms that screen for high-conviction insider purchasing, leading to investments across diverse sectors from pharmaceuticals to semiconductors. Their sophisticated two-layer risk management system proved effective during 2025's market volatility, with quantitative models driving cash reserve decisions that enabled opportunistic deployment during the April tariff-induced decline and November market swings. Key concerns include private credit accounting practices and AI growth constraints from resource limitations. The fund currently maintains 13.5% cash reserves based on elevated market valuations offset by strong insider sentiment. Management expresses confidence entering 2026 with significant momentum and continued commitment to their Above the Clouds investment philosophy.
CDT employs a disciplined long-only strategy focused on investing in above-average people at companies producing reliable cash flows at below-average prices, leveraging proprietary insider activity algorithms and sophisticated two-layer risk management to generate consistent alpha while protecting capital during market turbulence.
Manager expresses excitement for 2026 with tremendous momentum entering the year, committed to continued pursuit of Investing Above the Clouds strategy while acknowledging new challenges and opportunities ahead.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5 2026 | 2025 Q4 | - | alpha, CashFlow, Insider, Quality, risk management | - | The letter outlines a systematic, risk-controlled equity strategy centered on insider alignment, cash flow durability, and disciplined valuation. Proprietary insider signals and layered risk management… |
| Oct 6 2025 | 2025 Q3 | - | AI, Cash, Palantir, risk, valuation | PLTR US | The letter emphasizes idiosyncratic special situations driven by restructurings, asset sales, and corporate simplification. Volatility and capital market stress are creating mispriced securities with asymmetric… |
| Jul 31 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | Data, insider activity, Labor Market, quantitative, risk | - | The commentary centers on data-driven investing and quantitative signals to manage risk. Management highlights insider activity and labor data as leading indicators. A disciplined, unemotional… |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Jan 5 2025 | 2024 Q4 | AAPL, T | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
QualityThe company emphasizes investing in businesses with excellent economics, durable competitive advantages, and high-integrity management. This quality focus is evident in concentrated equity holdings and operating business acquisitions. |
Durable Advantages Management Quality Economic Moats Competitive Position |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
Risk |
||
ValuationAI-related companies continue to command premium valuations while other sectors remain reasonably priced. This valuation divide continues to guide investment activity, with the fund remaining wary of companies trading at exceedingly high valuations that imply exceptional multi-year earnings growth. |
Premium Divide Discipline Stretched Reasonable | |
| 2025 Q2 |
DataData and information service providers face hypothetical challenges focused on AI's potential to change competitive dynamics, leading to valuation de-rating despite solid operating results. Companies like Experian and LSEG have proprietary datasets that cannot be easily replicated by AI, with deep regulatory moats and embedded customer relationships providing protection. |
Data Analytics Information Services Proprietary Data Credit Bureaus Financial Data |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2025 | Fund Letters | David Papson | PLTR US | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bear | NYSE | AI, government contracts, Multiples, Overvaluation, Risk, Software, valuation | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| No ticker commentary found. | |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
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| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
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| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
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