Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 10.34% | 7.04% | -3.92% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 10.34% | 7.04% | -3.92% |
The Conestoga SMid Cap Composite returned 7.04% net in 2Q26 but trailed the Russell 2500 Growth Index's 24.02% return, marking the eighth-highest quarterly return in the benchmark's history. Market leadership was unusually narrow and concentrated in high-beta, high-momentum stocks, particularly AI-related semiconductors and data center infrastructure. Technology stocks surged 82.8%, with semiconductors up 95.6%, while Conestoga's software holdings remained roughly flat despite solid fundamentals. The firm's portfolio companies delivered sales growth of 10.4% and EBITDA growth of 14.3%, exceeding benchmark averages, demonstrating the divergence between stock prices and underlying business performance. Defense holdings led by Mercury Systems and data center cooling provider AAON were top contributors. The firm initiated positions in natural gas infrastructure to capitalize on LNG exports and data center power demand. Conestoga remains confident that high-quality characteristics currently out of favor will become increasingly valuable as speculative leadership normalizes and market breadth improves, particularly given the shifting interest rate environment.
Conestoga maintains a disciplined focus on high-quality, conservative growth companies with strong balance sheets, durable business models, and the ability to compound value over full market cycles, despite near-term underperformance driven by speculative market leadership favoring high-beta AI-related stocks.
Conestoga does not expect the speculative leadership which drove second quarter returns to persist. The firm believes investor capital has crowded into a narrow set of AI-related trades that typically normalize as supply constraints ease and market leadership broadens. The recent Russell Reconstitution further reduced Small Cap exposure to AI as a historic number of companies graduated out of the index. With the interest rate backdrop shifting toward potentially tighter monetary policy, companies with strong balance sheets, durable earnings growth, and high returns on capital are expected to be better positioned to outperform. While disappointed with relative performance this quarter, the firm remains confident in the fundamental strength of portfolio holdings and believes the characteristics that have recently been out of favor will become increasingly valuable as market leadership continues to broaden.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22 2026 | 2026 Q2 | AAON, BCPC, CCCS, CWAN, DTM, GGG, GWRE, JKHY, KGS, KN, MRCY, NOVT, PR, ROL, TECH, TYL, WST | AI, Data centers, defense, Natural Gas, Quality, semiconductors, SMID Cap, software | - | Conestoga SMid Cap returned 7.04% but lagged the benchmark's 24.02% surge driven by extreme AI speculation in semiconductors and high-beta stocks. Portfolio fundamentals remained strong with sales and EBITDA growth exceeding benchmarks. Defense and data center cooling holdings led gains. The firm added natural gas infrastructure positions and maintains conviction that quality characteristics will outperform as speculative leadership normalizes and rates potentially tighten. |
| Apr 21 2026 | 2026 Q1 | BCPC, CACI, CWST, PCTY, QTWO, RBC, RGEN, ROAD, SPSC, STVN, TYL, ULS, WSO | aerospace, energy, industrials, Quality, small cap, software, technology | - | Conestoga SMid Cap underperformed in Q1 2026 as software valuations compressed despite solid fundamentals. Aerospace and defense holdings like RBC Bearings drove positive performance through strong demand and growing backlogs. The manager reduced software exposure while adding quality names like UL Solutions. Portfolio fundamentals remain strong despite market disconnect between business performance and stock prices. |
| Jan 18 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AAON, AZTA, BCPC, BLFS, BMI, BSY, BWMN, COCO, CPRT, CSGP, CSW, CWAN, CWST, CYX, DGII, DSGX, ELVA, ESE, FSV, GNRC, GWRE, HEI.A, IDXX, IIIV, IRMD, IT, JKHY, KRMN, LMAT, MAMA, MEG, MLAB, MMSI, NGEN, NOVT, ODD, OLO, PHR, PL, PLMR, POOL, QTWO, RBC, RGEN, ROAD, ROL, ROP, SPSC, SSTI, STVN, TKNO, TREX, TRNS, TYL, UTI, VCEL, VEEV, VERX, VRSK, WCN, WLDN, WSO, WST | Biotechnology, defense, growth, industrials, Quality, small caps, technology |
RGEN RBC JKHY CSW CWAN FSV POOL TREX STVN ROAD AAON KRMN GNRC |
Conestoga's SMid Cap strategy underperformed in Q4 as biotech stocks surged while the firm maintained underweight positioning. Despite challenging 2025 performance, the outlook appears bright with Small Caps projected for 32% earnings growth in 2026 versus 13% for Large Caps, trading at attractive valuations, and benefiting from supportive policy tailwinds that could drive sustained outperformance. |
| Oct 13 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AAON, BCPC, CSWI, CWST, DSGX.TO, ESE, EXPO, FSV, HLIO, HLMN, MIR, MRCY, NOVT, QTWO, RBC, ROAD, SLP, SPSC, STVN, VERX | defense, growth, industrials, Quality, small caps, software, technology | - | Conestoga's high-quality small cap growth strategy faced significant headwinds in Q3 as extreme low-quality factor outperformance drove market leadership. Unprofitable and high-beta stocks dramatically outperformed, creating challenging conditions for the firm's disciplined approach focused on profitable companies. While frustrated with near-term performance, management remains confident that speculative rallies eventually give way to more durable fundamental drivers. |
| Jul 22 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AAON, AGYS, BFAM, CWAN, CWST, DGII, DSGX, ESE, EXPO, FSS, FSV, JBTM, MLAB, MMSI, NEOG, NOVT, RBC, ROAD, SLP, STVN | growth, industrials, infrastructure, Quality, small cap, tariffs, technology |
ROAD AXON GWRE RBC |
Conestoga's Small Cap Growth strategy underperformed in 2Q25 as high-quality, profitable companies lagged during a period of narrow leadership favoring unprofitable, high-beta stocks. Tariff policy volatility impacted several holdings, while infrastructure spending benefited Construction Partners. Management maintains conviction in their quality approach given attractive small cap valuations and emerging earnings growth. |
| May 1 2025 | 2025 Q1 | AAON, ALTR, AZTA, CWST, DSGX, ESE, GGG, HEI.A, JKHY, MMM, MMSI, NEOG, PAYX, PYCR, RBC, ROAD, SPSC, TRNS, VERX, WSO | industrials, Outperformance, Quality, SMID Cap, tariffs, technology | - | Conestoga's SMid Cap strategy significantly outperformed during Q1's market selloff, declining 5.73% versus benchmark's 10.80% drop. High-quality factor leadership drove outperformance as profitable companies with strong margins outpaced high-beta peers. Strong stock selection in Industrials and Technology, combined with domestic revenue exposure positioning for tariff environment, supported relative performance despite broad market weakness. |
| Dec 31 2024 | 2024 Q4 | AAPL, AMZN, EXPO, FOXF, GOOG, JBT, META, MSFT, MSTR, NVDA, PRO, ROAD, SITE, SLP, SMCI, SPSC, SSD, TRNS, TSLA, VCEL | AI, infrastructure, small cap, SMID Cap, software, valuation | - | Conestoga's SMid Cap strategy underperformed in Q4 due to AI-driven speculation favoring high-beta names the firm avoids. Despite challenges, the team maintains conviction in small cap positioning based on compelling valuation gaps versus large caps. Historical analysis shows 96% probability of small cap outperformance when current valuation disparities exist. |
| Oct 23 2024 | 2024 Q3 | ALTR, AXON, BFAM, CGNX, CWST, DSGX, EXPO, FIVN, FSV, GWRE, MSA, POOL, QTWO, ROAD, ROL, SITE, TREX, TYL, WSO, WST | growth, industrials, infrastructure, software, technology | - | Conestoga SMid Cap outperformed with 12.94% returns driven by strong software stock selection and infrastructure spending beneficiaries. Technology holdings like Guidewire and Tyler Technologies beat expectations on cloud transitions while Construction Partners gained from infrastructure demand. The strategy avoided Energy weakness and positioned for small-cap outperformance given attractive valuations versus large caps. |
| Jun 30 2024 | 2024 Q2 | CWST, DH, DSGX, EXPO, FICO, FSV, GWRE, HEI.A, POOL, RBC, RGEN, ROAD, ROL, SITE, SPXC, STVN, TREX, TYL, WSO | consumer discretionary, growth, healthcare, small caps, software, technology | - | Conestoga's SMid Cap strategy underperformed slightly in Q2 as Health Care and Consumer Discretionary holdings faced sector-specific headwinds while Technology software names outperformed. The manager remains confident in their high-quality portfolio positioning despite ongoing small cap underperformance versus large caps, adding infrastructure equipment exposure while exiting poorly executing healthcare software. |
| Apr 15 2024 | 2024 Q1 | AXON, BFAM, CWST, DSGX, EXPO, FIVN, FSV, MRCY, NEOG, NOVT, PYCR, QTWO, RGEN, ROAD, ROL, SPSC, TFX, TREX, WK, WSO | growth, industrials, infrastructure, mid cap, small cap, software, technology, Waste management | - | SMid Cap Composite underperformed due to missing AI beneficiaries Super Micro Computer and MicroStrategy. Software holdings struggled with elongating deal cycles and weak capital markets activity. Infrastructure plays like Construction Partners excelled from sustained IIJA demand. Waste management companies delivered consistent performance with strong pricing power. Portfolio actively managed with twelve additions and five trims. |
| Dec 31 2023 | 2023 Q4 | ALTR, CCCS, CWST, DSGX, EXPO, FICO, FSV, IT, JBT, MSA, MTN, PYCR, RBC, ROAD, ROL, SITE, SPSC, SSD, STVN, TREX, WSO, WST | growth, healthcare, industrials, Quality, small cap, technology | - | Conestoga SMid Cap outperformed in Q4 with 13.26% returns, driven by strong Technology sector selection and avoiding Energy weakness. Full-year performance of 26.61% significantly beat the benchmark. The strategy added two defensive positions while maintaining focus on quality companies with competitive advantages and sustainable earnings growth despite market valuation concerns. |
| Sep 30 2023 | 2023 Q3 | CSWI, CWAN, CWST, DSGX, EXPO, FICO, FSV, GGG, GWRE, MMSI, NOVT, OMCL, POOL, RGEN, ROAD, ROL, SPSC, WSO | growth, healthcare, infrastructure, Quality, small cap, technology |
CSWI OMCL AD8 AU|ARB AU|BAP AU|CAT AU|DHG AU|PME AU|PNI AU|RDX AU|TNE AU NSTG |
Conestoga's SMid Cap strategy slightly outperformed in Q3 despite market headwinds, driven by quality positioning in profitable, lower-debt companies. Infrastructure spending and software transitions provided key performance drivers while Chinese exposure created headwinds. The firm maintains conviction in an emerging small cap cycle supported by attractive relative valuations. |
| Jun 30 2023 | 2023 Q2 | AAPL, AXON, BFAM, CWAN, CWST, DSGX, EXPO, FICO, GGG, GWRE, MRCY, MSFT, PYCR, RBC, RGEN, ROL, SITE, SPSC, TREX, WSO | consumer discretionary, growth, industrials, SMID Cap, technology, Utilities | - | Conestoga's SMid Cap strategy outperformed in Q2 2023 with 8.52% returns, driven by strong stock selection in Consumer Discretionary and Utilities. E-commerce digitization benefited SPS Commerce while Casella Waste expanded through acquisitions. Technology faced freight market headwinds. Avoiding troubled Financials and Energy sectors while overweighting Industrials supported relative performance. |
| May 23 2023 | 2023 Q1 | ALTR, AXON, CWAN, CWST, DSGX, EVI, EXPO, FICO, FSV, JKHY, LSPD, NOVT, PLOW, RBC, RGEN, ROL, SPSC, TECH, WSO, WST | Banking, growth, healthcare, Quality, small cap, software, technology | - | Conestoga SMid Cap outperformed in Q1 2023 with 10.01% returns, benefiting from rotation into quality growth stocks after 2022's underperformance. Strong stock selection in Healthcare and Industrials, plus underweights to troubled Energy and Financials sectors drove results. Banking sector instability reinforces the firm's focus on companies with strong balance sheets and sustainable cash flows. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
AIAI-related stocks, particularly semiconductors and data center infrastructure, drove extreme market concentration and speculative leadership in 2Q26. The Russell 2500 Growth Index Technology sector surged 82.8%, with semiconductors up 95.6% and computer services up 68.1%. Conestoga has limited exposure to these highly speculative AI infrastructure areas, which created significant performance headwinds despite the firm's software holdings delivering solid fundamentals. |
Semiconductors Data Centers Technology Software |
SoftwareSoftware holdings underperformed despite solid operating results, with market breadth remaining weak as only 35% of software stocks outperformed the benchmark. Tyler Technologies and Guidewire Software were notable detractors despite strong revenue growth and raised guidance. The firm remains overweight software but faced headwinds from investor concerns about AI disruption and preference for higher-beta stocks. |
SaaS Enterprise Software Cloud | |
DefenseDefense holdings delivered strong performance, led by Mercury Systems which benefited from record quarterly bookings of $348 million and accelerating revenue growth. The operational turnaround continues to gain traction with stronger orders translating into expanding margins and improved financial performance, supporting confidence in continued growth. |
Defense Electronics Aerospace Defense Components | |
Data CentersAAON emerged as a top contributor following exceptional first-quarter results driven by extraordinary demand for its BASX division providing liquid-cooling solutions for data centers. Management raised 2026 BASX revenue outlook to approximately $1.0 billion from $715 million, reflecting accelerating AI-driven data center investment demand. The company prioritized growth and market share over near-term profitability. |
HVAC Cooling Infrastructure | |
BiotechnologyBiotechnology holdings contributed positively, with Bio-Techne benefiting from growing confidence that temporary headwinds are subsiding. Improving academic funding and continued strength in large pharmaceutical customers offset lingering weakness in emerging biotech. The company agreed to an acquisition by Merck-KGaA during the quarter. |
Life Science Tools Pharmaceuticals Biopharma M&A | |
Natural GasThe firm initiated multiple positions in natural gas infrastructure, including DT Midstream, Permian Resources, and Kodiak Gas Services. These companies are positioned to benefit from increasing natural gas demand driven by LNG exports, electric power generation, and data center development. Long-term contracted expansion projects and strategically located assets provide attractive visibility into future earnings and cash flow growth. |
Midstream LNG Energy Infrastructure | |
QualityHigh-quality stocks with stronger balance sheets, higher returns on capital, and durable business models continued to lag in the quarter as market leadership favored high-beta and momentum stocks. The highest quality stocks in the Russell 2000 Index underperformed in four of the past five quarters. Despite this headwind, Conestoga's portfolio companies delivered stronger sales and EBITDA growth than benchmark averages. |
Balance Sheets Returns on Capital Profitability | |
MomentumThe momentum trade reached historic highs in 2Q26, with high beta and high momentum stocks dramatically outperforming. High beta stocks rose 49.0% versus 9.7% for low beta stocks, providing significant headwinds for Conestoga's high-quality growth discipline. This marked one of the most concentrated and momentum-driven advances in recent Small Cap history. |
High Beta Risk Appetite Speculation | |
| 2026 Q1 |
SoftwareSoftware stocks experienced broad-based declines driven by valuation compression and reduced investor appetite for future-oriented earnings streams. More than 80% of software stocks in the Index underperformed despite solid operating results. The manager selectively reduced their overweight to software, trimming or eliminating positions where valuation support had weakened while maintaining exposure to highest-conviction holdings. |
SaaS Enterprise Software Valuation Growth Technology |
AerospaceAerospace and defense showed continued strength with robust demand and increasingly visible backlog growth. Companies benefited from mix shift toward higher-value programs supporting both growth and profitability. The sector demonstrated resilience with long-cycle exposure and consistent execution in an otherwise mixed industrial backdrop. |
Defense Aerospace Components Backlog Defense Spending | |
EnergyEnergy was the strongest performing sector in the quarter, driven by rising geopolitical tensions including escalation of conflict involving Iran, which contributed to higher oil prices. The manager's lack of exposure to the energy space detracted from relative performance as energy stocks delivered strong returns. |
Oil Geopolitical Energy Transition Commodities | |
AIAI-driven trends showed mixed impacts across the portfolio. While some companies like UL Solutions benefited from AI-driven demand for testing and certification services, software companies faced pressure from concerns about AI-driven disruption compressing traditional software moats and long-term growth expectations. |
AI Technology Disruption Infrastructure | |
QualityThe manager continues to focus on owning high-quality businesses with durable growth characteristics, emphasizing companies with higher ROIC, strong balance sheets, and consistent free cash flow. Profitability and quality factors held up relatively well during the quarter, with profitable companies generally outperforming unprofitable businesses. |
Quality ROIC Cash Flow Profitability | |
| 2025 Q4 |
Small CapsSmall Caps achieved nearly 9% earnings growth in 2025 and are projected to grow by an additional 32% in 2026, contrasting with 13% growth expected for Large Caps. Small Caps are trading at a nearly 25% discount to Large Caps. Given anticipated economic growth tailwinds from pro-growth and deregulatory government policies, there is a compelling case for Small Caps to outperform Large Caps for the first time since 2020. |
Small Caps Earnings Growth Valuation Discount |
QualityThe market experienced extreme leadership concentrated in historically narrow segments, with low-quality, high-beta, speculative stocks dominating returns. Historically, new Small Cap bull markets start with low-quality leadership in the first six months, followed by high-quality stocks gradually closing the gap and reclaiming leadership. From mid-October to year-end, profitable stocks outperformed unprofitable counterparts by over 5%. |
Quality Profitable Stocks Market Leadership | |
BiotechnologySmall Cap Biotech/Pharmaceutical stocks emerged as significant outperformers in the fourth quarter, representing 132% of the Russell 2000 Growth Index's total returns in Q4 alone, after comprising just 11% through the third quarter. The portfolio had minimal exposure to this sector, which created a headwind for relative performance. |
Biotechnology Pharmaceuticals Sector Rotation | |
Trade PolicyThe White House announced a comprehensive new tariff strategy in February, causing stock prices to plummet by over 20% in weeks. By early April, potential modifications to tariff policies that could mitigate their impact led to a dramatic turnaround, with the Russell 2000 Growth Index surging nearly 50% over the next six months. |
Tariffs Trade Policy Market Volatility | |
Credit StressConcerns about credit quality in the private credit and regional banking sectors emerged in the fourth quarter, underscored by the bankruptcy filing of auto parts supplier First Brands and allegations of fraud at subprime auto lender Tricolor. This led to a 10% correction in the Russell 2000 Growth Index from mid-October to mid-November. |
Credit Quality Regional Banking Private Credit | |
| 2025 Q3 |
Small CapsSmall cap stocks reached new all-time highs in Q3, with the Russell 2000 rising 12% and significantly outperforming the S&P 500. The rally has been characterized by historically narrow leadership, with the top 20 performing stocks representing 78% of the Russell 2000 Growth Index's gains year-to-date. This extreme concentration exceeds even the COVID rally period when the top 20 stocks made up just 39% of returns. |
Russell 2000 Outperformance Leadership Concentration |
QualityThe current market environment has been challenging for Conestoga's high-quality conservative growth approach, which focuses on profitable companies with sustainable earnings growth. Low-quality factor outperformance has been extreme, with unprofitable stocks outperforming profitable peers by over 1600 basis points in Q3. The firm's investment discipline actively steers away from high beta characteristics that have led the rally. |
Profitable Beta Discipline Conservative | |
DefenseMercury Systems benefited from optimism around defense spending, strong order momentum, and easing supply chain pressures that improved delivery and margins. Investor sentiment improved with expectations of accelerating growth in secure, mission-critical defense electronics, making it a top performer in the portfolio. |
Defense Spending Electronics Supply Chain | |
| 2025 Q2 |
Infrastructure SpendingFederal infrastructure investment is driving robust demand in road maintenance and construction markets. Construction Partners has been a leader in seven of the past nine quarters due to this infrastructure spending. The company reported solid fiscal 2Q results with organic revenue increases and record backlog figures. |
Infrastructure Construction Federal Roads Backlog |
Trade PolicyTariff policies created significant market volatility during the quarter, with Liberation Day announcements causing initial declines followed by sharp rebounds when implementation was delayed. Multiple portfolio companies including Merit Medical, Descartes Systems, and Hillman Solutions were impacted by tariff concerns affecting their Chinese operations and supply chains. |
Tariffs China Trade Liberation Day Supply Chain | |
QualityThe portfolio emphasizes profitable companies with conservative growth characteristics, which proved challenging during periods when unprofitable, high-beta stocks outperformed. Loss-making stocks in the Russell 2000 rose 13.1% while profitable companies rose only 6.8%, creating headwinds for the high-quality growth strategy. |
Profitable Conservative High Quality Beta Growth | |
| 2025 Q1 |
QualityThe portfolio benefited from high-quality factor leadership as profitable companies with strong ROIC and EBITDA margins declined less than high beta, non-earning counterparts during the market selloff. Conestoga's emphasis on higher-quality, conservative growth companies was a key contributor to outperformance. |
ROIC EBITDA Profitability Conservative Growth Downside Protection |
TariffsThe firm analyzed tariff exposure across portfolio companies and believes their domestic orientation positions them well. Small cap revenue is predominantly US-sourced (~75%) versus international (~25%), and companies are expected to benefit from reshoring trends while managing challenges through pricing power. |
Trade Policy Domestic Reshoring Supply Chain Pricing Power | |
IndustrialsStrong stock selection in Industrials with thirteen of nineteen positions adding value. Notable performers included HEICO Corp benefiting from aerospace demand and Watsco with strong e-commerce growth. The sector showed broad-based outperformance during the quarter. |
Aerospace HVAC Manufacturing Infrastructure Defense | |
| 2024 Q4 |
AIEnthusiasm for all things related to Artificial Intelligence created what the firm believes to be a more speculative investing environment, which proved challenging for Conestoga's investment strategies. The lack of exposure to computer hardware industry, which surged over 100% in the Russell 2000 Growth Index on enthusiasm surrounding demand for AI-related hardware, was a key source of underperformance. |
Artificial Intelligence Computer Hardware Speculation |
Small CapsConestoga believes small cap stocks are better positioned headed into 2025, an outlook they have maintained since early 2023. Large caps outperformance of small caps over the past 14 years has caused price-earnings ratios for large caps to rise well above those of small caps. A valuation gap as large as the one that existed in November 2024 has historically been followed by periods of small cap outperformance over the subsequent five years in 96% of all periods since 1968. |
Valuation Gap Outperformance Historical Patterns | |
Infrastructure SpendingConstruction Partners has been a leader in six of the past seven quarters, driven by robust demand in the road maintenance and infrastructure market, partially driven by the infrastructure investment made by the Federal government. The company made a platform acquisition in Texas that boosted revenue by $530 million at a margin of over 22%. |
Federal Investment Road Maintenance Construction | |
SoftwareThe firm emphasizes the software industry for its higher levels of profitability and recurring revenue. Several software positions including Q2 Holdings, Workiva, and Descartes Systems Group were among top performers, with companies showing strong subscription revenue growth and margin expansion. |
SaaS Recurring Revenue Subscription Growth | |
| 2024 Q3 |
Infrastructure SpendingThe infrastructure spending in the United States has benefited companies like Construction Partners in two ways: the level of demand and funding available, and supply tightness in hot mixed asphalt plants leading to better pricing and expanding margins. |
Infrastructure Construction Asphalt Pricing Margins |
SoftwareSoftware companies were key contributors with Guidewire, Q2 Holdings, and Tyler Technologies reporting better-than-expected results. These companies have become key suppliers to their respective industries and benefited from transitioning to cloud-based SaaS models. |
SaaS Cloud Digital Banking Insurance | |
CybersecurityFortinet reported significant beats on billings and accelerating bookings growth, indicating the firewall product cycle may have turned positive. The company maintains a healthy outlook for highly profitable growth. |
Firewalls Network Security Bookings Growth | |
| 2024 Q2 |
SoftwareSoftware industry holdings outperformed despite perceived shift in spending to AI-related hardware. Tyler Technologies reported strong results with recurring revenues now at 84% of revenue. Guidewire Software showed acceleration in subscription software growth to 35%. |
SaaS Enterprise Software Subscription Recurring Revenue Municipal Software |
HealthcareHealth Care sector faced challenges with Stevanato Group reducing guidance due to destocking in vials and delays from large customers. Repligen reported revenue beats but EBITDA misses as bioprocessing market slowly recovers. |
Biotechnology Life Science Tools Bioprocessing Drug Delivery | |
Home ImprovementConsumer discretionary names tied to residential repair and remodel spending faced headwinds. SiteOne Landscape Supply and Pool Corp both cited weaker discretionary spending in renovation and new construction segments. |
Building Materials Retail Home Improvement Residential Construction Landscaping | |
| 2024 Q1 |
Infrastructure SpendingThe Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) is creating significant demand for construction, repair, and maintenance of America's surface infrastructure. Construction Partners has benefited with 13 consecutive quarters of backlog growth as strong demand offsets seasonal weakness. |
Infrastructure Construction IIJA Backlog Surface |
Waste ManagementWaste management companies performed well given the consistency of their business models, with favorable price vs. cost dynamics, improved labor, and solid volumes. Casella Waste Systems is uniquely positioned with excess landfill capacity in a capacity constrained region. |
Waste Landfill Pricing Volumes Northeast | |
SoftwareSoftware holdings faced challenges with elongating deal cycles and lack of capital markets activity. Companies like Paycor HCM, SPS Commerce, and Five9 underperformed as quarterly results and forward guidance lagged expectations, while Q2 Holdings delivered better-than-expected results. |
SaaS Deal Cycles Capital Markets Banking Software Contact Center | |
| 2023 Q4 |
Infrastructure SpendingThe Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) is creating significant demand for maintenance and capacity increase related road projects, which benefits companies like Construction Partners in the Southeast United States. This has led to strong backlog growth for 12 consecutive quarters. |
Infrastructure Roads Construction Government |
QualityConestoga focuses on higher quality companies with durable competitive advantages, strong business models, and capable management teams. The portfolio faced stylistic headwinds when low-quality, unprofitable businesses outperformed during the quarter. |
Quality Competitive Advantages Business Models Profitability | |
Small CapsThe relative valuations of small caps to large caps continues to sit near multi-decade lows. Conestoga remains positive on long-term expectations for the relative performance of small caps over large caps, despite large cap outperformance in 2023. |
Small Cap Valuations Relative Performance Market Cap | |
| 2023 Q3 |
QualityConestoga emphasizes higher-quality companies with positive earnings, higher margins, higher returns on equity, and lower debt levels. This quality focus positioned their strategies for outperformance in an environment facing higher interest rates and potential recession. |
Profitability Margins Debt Returns |
Small CapsThe firm maintains expectations for a new small cap cycle after twelve years of underperformance relative to large caps. They note that small cap valuations relative to large caps have become more appealing despite recent underperformance. |
Valuation Cycle Outperformance | |
Infrastructure SpendingThe 2021 Federal infrastructure bill is driving increased project requests for proposals, helping companies like Construction Partners achieve record backlogs. This infrastructure spending theme is providing growth opportunities for portfolio companies. |
Federal Projects Backlog | |
| 2023 Q2 |
E-commerceSPS Commerce benefits from secular growth in the digitization of ecommerce and maintains a steady, durable business model that has remained resilient in a slower macroeconomic environment. The company highlights that historically they have only seen about a 1% drag on revenue growth from macro slowdowns. |
Supply Chain Digitization Software Resilience |
Waste ManagementCasella Waste Systems has positioned itself for long-term revenue and earnings growth through its competitive advantages in the Northeast U.S. The company raised additional capital through a secondary offering to support acquisitions in adjacent markets. |
Utilities Growth Acquisitions Regional | |
ConstructionTrex Company reported solid results with better margins and guidance above street expectations. The stock rallied given solid results, normalization of inventory in the channel, and introduction of several exciting new products in the composite decking market. |
Building Materials Residential Inventory Products | |
HVACWatsco is the nation's largest distributor of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment with 80% of revenue tied to the Sun Belt region. Coming off two years of strong volumes and record pricing, gross profit margin gains are proving durable. |
Distribution Sun Belt Pricing Margins | |
| 2023 Q1 |
QualityThe strategy benefited from a market rotation into quality-growth companies with higher multiples, particularly within software, which had underperformed cheaper stocks throughout much of 2022 because of the sharp rise in interest rates. Companies with stronger balance sheets, positive cash flows, and more sustainable growth rates may be preferred given banking sector pressures. |
Growth Software Balance Sheets Cash Flow Sustainable Growth |
Medical DevicesStrong performance from medical supplies industry holdings including West Pharmaceuticals, Stevanato Group, and Neogen Corp. West Pharmaceuticals was a major contributor after beating revenue expectations and putting to rest fears about COVID revenue declines hampering near-term results. |
Medical Supplies Packaging Drug Delivery COVID Recovery | |
TechnologyTechnology sector benefited from rotation back to growth stocks after underperforming in 2022. Software companies like Altair Engineering showed resilience to macroeconomic pressure with accelerating revenue growth. The overweight to Technology added over 100 basis points to relative performance. |
Software Growth Rotation AI Data Analytics Cloud Solutions |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | RGEN | Repligen Corp. | Health Care | Life Sciences Tools & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | biologics, Bioprocessing, Consumables, Destocking, operating leverage | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | RBC | RBC Bearings, Inc. | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Aerospace, Defense, Freecashflow, Margins, operating leverage | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | Corebanking, financial software, Modernization, Recurringrevenue, stability | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | CSW | CSW Industrials, Inc. | Industrials | Industrial Machinery | Bull | NASDAQ | Acquisitions, aftermarket, capital allocation, HVAC, Industrials | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | CWAN | Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | acquisition, analytics, recurring revenue, Software, switching costs | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | FSV | FirstService Corp. | Real Estate | Real Estate Services | Bear | NASDAQ | Margins, organic growth, Property-services, recurring revenue | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | POOL | Pool Corp. | Industrials | Trading Companies & Distributors | Bear | NASDAQ | cashflow, Discretionary, Distribution, housing cycle, Pricing pressure | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | TREX | Trex Co., Inc. | Industrials | Building Products | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | Building Products, Competition, Cyclicality, Housing, Margins | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | STVN | Stevanato Group SpA | Health Care | Health Care Supplies | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | execution risk, Glp1, Injectables, Margins, pharmaceuticals | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | ROAD | Construction Partners, Inc. | Industrials | Construction & Engineering | Bear | NASDAQ | backlog, Execution, infrastructure, Margins | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | AAON | AAON, Inc. | Industrials | Building Products | Bear | NASDAQ | datacenters, Executionrisk, HVAC, Industrials, Margins | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | KRMN | Karman Holdings, Inc. | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | - | Aerospace, Defense, growth, Ip, Solesource | Login |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | GNRC | Generac Holdings, Inc. | Industrials | Electrical Equipment | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | Cyclicality, Energyresilience, Housing, Margins, Powergeneration | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | ROAD | Construction Partners, Inc. | Industrials | Construction & Engineering | Bull | NASDAQ | backlog, construction, Funding, infrastructure, Margins | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Bob Mitchell | AXON | Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Automation, growth, Publicsafety, Software | Login |
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| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| TYL | TYL, a provider of software solutions to local governments and state agencies, underperformed during the quarter despite delivering solid financial results that met management's guidance. Investor sentiment toward software companies has become increasingly influenced by concerns that artificial intelligence could disrupt long-term growth prospects across the sector. We believe these concerns are overstated in TYL's case. The company's deep domain expertise, mission-critical software, highly recurring revenue base, and long-standing relationships with government customers create what we feel are significant competitive advantages that should help sustain its long-term growth trajectory. Although TYL delivered another strong quarter for revenue and raised full-year guidance, the stock weakened as investors viewed the guidance increase as largely acquisition-driven rather than reflective of accelerating underlying growth. |
| GWRE | Shares of GWRE declined despite another quarter of strong revenue growth and healthy customer demand as annual recurring revenue came in at the low end of expectations due to the timing of several large cloud deals. |
| GGG | GGG manufactures fluid handling systems and equipment for industrial, construction, and process applications. The stock underperformed as investors focused on slowing organic demand across several end markets, particularly in contractor and industrial equipment, despite healthy profitability and improving backlog trends. While first quarter organic sales declined 3%, management noted bookings strengthened throughout the quarter, supporting expectations for improving demand over the balance of the year. |
| JKHY | JKHY provides core processing software and payment solutions for banks and credit unions. Despite reporting another quarter of record revenue, strong core sales, and raising full-year guidance for the third consecutive quarter, the stock declined after management outlined softer fourth quarter revenue growth. We remain encouraged by JKHY's strong competitive momentum, expanding product portfolio, and increasing technology spending. |
| MRCY | MRCY provides mission-critical electronics and processing technologies for aerospace and defense applications. Results reinforced the view that the company's operational turnaround continues to gain traction as stronger orders translated into accelerating revenue growth and expanding margins. Record quarterly bookings of $348 million supported confidence that improved execution is beginning to convert into more consistent financial performance. |
| WST | WST develops drug containment and delivery systems for injectable pharmaceuticals and biologic therapies. The stock moved higher following another quarter of broad-based growth, driven by continued demand for high-value biologics packaging and proprietary delivery components. Organic revenue increased 15%, and management reinstated its favorable long-term growth outlook as strong demand from biologics and GLP-1 therapies continues to support growth across the portfolio. This quarter seemingly signaled a return to normalized growth rates following several years of post-COVID de-stocking. |
| AAON | AAON was among the portfolio's strongest contributors during the quarter following an exceptional first-quarter earnings report. Results highlighted extraordinarily strong demand for the company's BASX division, which provides liquid-cooling solutions for data centers. Management raised its 2026 BASX revenue outlook to approximately $1.0 billion, up from its previous forecast of $715 million, reflecting accelerating demand from AI-driven data center investments. The company's rooftop HVAC business also demonstrated a healthy rebound despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. While gross margins declined during the quarter, management intentionally prioritized growth and market share over near-term profitability. We believe this is the appropriate strategy given the robust demand environment and should strengthen AAON's competitive position over the long term. |
| NOVT | NOVT provides precision technology solutions for medical and advanced industrial applications. The company reported improving demand across robotics, medical technologies, semiconductor equipment, and AI-related applications, prompting management to raise its revenue outlook. Bookings increased 37% year-over-year, reinforcing confidence that organic growth is broadening across the portfolio. |
| TECH | TECH develops life science research tools, and diagnostic products used by pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and academic researchers. The company benefited from growing confidence that several temporary headwinds are beginning to subside, as improving academic funding and continued strength in large pharmaceutical customers offset lingering weakness in emerging biotech. In the quarter, Bio-Techne agreed to an acquisition by Merck-KGaA (MRK-GR). |
| ROL | ROL underperformed during the quarter for several reasons. First, investor preference shifted toward higher-beta, more cyclical stocks, leaving this defensive pest control business out of favor. In addition, the company announced that its highly regarded CFO would be leaving to pursue another opportunity, creating uncertainty among investors. Finally, organic revenue growth has trailed the company's long-term target over the past two quarters, raising questions about whether the recent slowdown represents a temporary headwind or a more sustained moderation in growth. While these concerns weighed on the shares, we continue to view ROL as a high-quality business with durable competitive advantages and attractive long-term growth prospects. |
| BCPC | BCPC develops specialty ingredients for the nutrition, food, and healthcare markets. The stock underperformed despite another quarter of solid financial results as investors focused on the potential for moderating growth following a period of exceptional performance. While first quarter sales increased 8%, elevated expectations left little room for upside despite continued strong execution. The fundamentals supporting our investment thesis remain intact, led by BCPC's leadership in niche markets and long history of consistent execution. |
| DTM | DTM owns and operates an integrated network of natural gas pipelines, gathering systems, and storage assets across key U.S. markets. We believe the company is well positioned to benefit from increasing natural gas demand driven by LNG exports, electric power generation, and data center development. Its growing backlog of long-term, contracted expansion projects and strategically located pipeline network provide attractive visibility into future earnings and cash flow growth. It is also a well-regarded operator in its space. |
| PR | PR is an independent oil and natural gas producer focused on the Delaware Basin. We initiated a position based on the company's low-cost operating model, disciplined capital allocation, and ability to consistently grow free cash flow across commodity cycles. Continued operational efficiencies, investment-grade balance sheet strength, and a deep inventory of high-return drilling opportunities provide flexibility to create long-term shareholder value. |
| KGS | KGS provides contract natural gas compression and distributed power solutions to energy infrastructure customers. We believe the company is well positioned to benefit from growing demand for natural gas infrastructure, LNG exports, and power generation supporting AI-related data center development. Long-term customer contracts, industry-leading fleet utilization, and expansion into distributed power provide multiple avenues for durable growth and cash flow generation. |
| KN | KN designs highly engineered components used in medical, defense, industrial, and electrification applications. We were attracted to the company's accelerating organic growth, expanding margins, and exposure to several attractive long-term secular trends. Management highlighted strong order activity across its Precision Devices business, with a sixth consecutive quarter of book-to-bill above 1.0x supporting confidence in continued growth. |
| CWAN | CWAN provides cloud-based investment accounting, reporting, and analytics software for institutional investors. We sold the position following the company's acquisition by Thoma Bravo, which successfully monetized our investment thesis and provided an attractive exit. |
| CCCS | CCCS develops software that enables insurers and repair facilities to manage automotive claims and workflows. We exited the position as we became more selective within the software sector, favoring businesses with greater upside potential and fewer structural headwinds (reduced auto claims frequency). Although CCCS continued to execute well, we believed its prospective returns had become less compelling relative to other investment opportunities. |
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