Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | -5.6% | -0.4% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| -0.4% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | -5.6% | -0.4% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| -0.4% |
Schafer Cullen's Small Cap Value strategy returned -5.5% gross in Q4 2025, underperforming the Russell 2000 Value's 3.3% return, but posted 0.3% gross for the full year versus the benchmark's 12.6%. The underperformance was driven by weak stock selection in Financials and Real Estate, partially offset by strong performance in Utilities and Energy. Looking ahead to 2026, the manager expresses increasing optimism for small-cap value stocks. Key return drivers include the Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle, which benefits interest-rate sensitive smaller companies, and expected earnings acceleration in the low-to-mid teens that should exceed large-cap growth. Small caps trade at approximately 16x forward earnings versus 21x for large caps, representing a 30% discount near historical lows. The strategy's portfolio trades at 12.2x forward earnings versus 15.0x for the Russell 2000 Value benchmark. Primary risks include policy uncertainty, inflation dynamics, and continued market volatility, though the manager believes fundamentals are increasingly driving performance rather than sentiment alone.
Small-cap value stocks are positioned for outperformance in 2026 driven by Federal Reserve monetary easing, accelerating earnings growth, and attractive relative valuations compared to large-cap equities.
The outlook for small-cap equities entering 2026 is increasingly constructive, particularly within value-oriented segments of the market. The combination of monetary easing, improving earnings momentum, and attractive relative valuations creates a favorable environment for disciplined, fundamentals-driven small-cap value investing.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17 2026 | 2025 Q4 | CTRA, CUZ, DOUG, EFSC, HIW, HP, JBSS, LDI, NMRK, POR, SSB, TREE | earnings, energy, financials, rates, small caps, Utilities, value | JBSS | Small-cap equities ended 2025 on a positive but volatile note with the Russell 2000 returning 12.8% for the year. The outlook for small-cap equities entering 2026 is increasingly constructive, particularly within value-oriented segments, with consensus expectations pointing to meaningful acceleration in small-cap earnings growth in the low-to-mid teens. Value-oriented stocks remain attractively positioned with growth stocks continuing to trade at a meaningful premium to value across most valuation measures. Historically, periods of accelerating profits have favored value leadership, particularly within smaller-cap universes. The strategy's P/E is 12.2x forward earnings versus 15.0x for the Russell 2000 Value. The Federal Reserve's shift toward monetary easing represents an important inflection point for smaller companies, which tend to be more sensitive to changes in interest rates and credit conditions. Following a 25 basis point cut in September, the Federal Reserve cut rates twice in Q4 to the current range of 3.50% to 3.75%. Lower borrowing costs should support refinancing activity, capital investment, and margin recovery. Earnings are central to the manager's optimism with consensus expectations pointing to meaningful acceleration in small-cap earnings in 2026, with growth projected in the low-to-mid teens and exceeding that of large-cap companies. This anticipated rebound reflects easier year-over-year comparisons, improving operating leverage, and broadening demand across cyclical and value-oriented sectors. |
| Nov 8 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AVNT, ECVT, KWR, STR, UIS | cyclicals, Manufacturing, Rate Cuts, small caps, Valuations | - | The letter highlights a powerful resurgence in small-cap equities driven by Fed rate cuts, tariff clarity, and rebounding credit conditions. Small caps remain historically cheap versus large caps, with earnings growth poised to outpace large caps as manufacturing, industrial activity, and capital investment recover. Broader market participation and cyclical strength indicate favorable conditions for domestically oriented value sectors. |
| Aug 27 2025 | 2025 Q2 | NMRK | earnings, fundamentals, Mean reversion, small caps, valuation | NMRK | The letter points to valuation dispersion within small-cap equities, where earnings pessimism has created compelling entry points. Management focuses on businesses with tangible assets and normalized earnings power trading below historical multiples. The outlook anticipates mean reversion as economic uncertainty fades. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
EarningsEarnings are central to the manager's optimism with consensus expectations pointing to meaningful acceleration in small-cap earnings in 2026, with growth projected in the low-to-mid teens and exceeding that of large-cap companies. This anticipated rebound reflects easier year-over-year comparisons, improving operating leverage, and broadening demand across cyclical and value-oriented sectors. |
Earnings Growth Operating Leverage Cyclical Sectors Consensus Estimates Earnings Revisions |
RatesFederal Reserve resumed rate-cutting cycle with first cut since December 2024, signaling resumption of easing. Expected three cuts of 25bps between now and first quarter 2026 as Fed responds to signs of weakness in US labor market. |
Fed Monetary Policy Labor Market Easing Liquidity | |
Small CapsSmall caps getting strong start in 2026 supported by easing monetary conditions and constructive fiscal backdrop. Small caps more sensitive to economic cyclicality which is overdue for expansion. Expected to grow at better pace than large caps in 2026 after long period of underperformance. |
Value Growth Cyclical Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy | |
ValueManager emphasizes investing in controlled companies trading at significant discounts to NAV, with European holding companies showing discounts of 30-68%. The strategy focuses on securities mispricing where real value exists, contrasting with overvalued technology stocks. |
Discounts NAV Mispricing Undervalued Controlled | |
| 2025 Q3 |
Small CapsSmall caps getting strong start in 2026 supported by easing monetary conditions and constructive fiscal backdrop. Small caps more sensitive to economic cyclicality which is overdue for expansion. Expected to grow at better pace than large caps in 2026 after long period of underperformance. |
Value Growth Cyclical Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy |
| 2025 Q2 |
ValueThe manager continues to find attractive value opportunities despite expensive markets, purchasing undervalued companies like Centene, GlaxoSmithKline, Carrefour and PayPal trading at low multiples with strong fundamentals. |
Undervalued Low Multiples Contrarian Opportunistic |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | James Cullen | NMRK | Newmark Group, Inc. | Real Estate | Real Estate Services | Bull | NASDAQ | cashflow, Governance, Real Estate, recovery, services | Login |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Fund Letters | James Cullen | JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | Consumer Staples | Packaged Foods & Meats | Bull | NASDAQ | Margins, Protein, Staples, valuation, vertical integration | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| CTRA | Playing on the continued theme of infrastructure spending, defense and energy sustainability, Coterra added positively to performance |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties (-9.9%) also detracted despite relatively stable operating fundamentals, as investor sentiment toward real estate-related equities remained challenged. |
| DOUG | Douglas Elliman (-17.1%) amid subdued transaction activity. |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services (-6.3%) underperformed due to net interest margin pressure and cautious loan growth outlooks. |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties (-17.4%) weighed most heavily on results as higher interest rates continued to pressure office valuations. |
| HP | Helmerich & Payne (+31.1%) led gains, benefiting from improving drilling activity, disciplined capital allocation, and strong operational execution. |
| JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son (+6.1%) led gains as pricing discipline, resilient demand, and effective cost management supported margins and earnings growth. JBSS is a leading processor and distributor of tree nuts and peanuts, supplying branded, private-label, and ingredient products across retail, foodservice, and industrial end markets. The company benefits from structurally stable demand driven by long-term health and protein consumption trends, with nuts increasingly positioned as a core pantry and snacking category. |
| LDI | LoanDepot (-32.6%) weighed most heavily on results as elevated mortgage rates constrained refinancing activity and dampened investor sentiment. |
| NMRK | Newmark Group (-6.8%) also detracted despite relatively stable operating fundamentals, as investor sentiment toward real estate-related equities remained challenged. |
| POR | Portland General Electric (+10.3%) led gains, supported by regulatory clarity, steady rate base growth, and defensive characteristics that were rewarded as market volatility increased late in the quarter. |
| SSB | SouthState Bank (-4.2%) underperformed due to net interest margin pressure and cautious loan growth outlooks. |
| TREE | LendingTree (-18.0%) also detracted meaningfully amid reduced mortgage origination volumes. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
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| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||