Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 9.3% | -5.25% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 9.3% | -5.25% |
Edgewood's Large Cap Growth strategy returned 9.3% net in Q2 2026 but remains down 5.1% for the trailing year, underperforming benchmarks as sector rotations and momentum dynamics dominated fundamentals. The portfolio delivered 31% average year-over-year EPS growth across the last five quarters, accelerating 14 percentage points, yet experienced 16% P/E multiple compression. Management teams responded to cheap valuations with record buybacks, including Fair Isaac's largest-ever $605M program, Netflix's new $25B authorization, and Visa's record $7.9B repurchase. The firm updated its investment framework to increase single position limits from 8% to 10%, allow flexible growth bucket weights, and raise theme caps from 25% to 35%, enabling deeper concentration around high-conviction ideas. Three new holdings—Tesla, Linde, and Amazon—were added to deepen exposure to Physical AI, the firm's core multi-year theme centered on AI proliferation from digital to physical applications including robotaxis, humanoids, and warehouse automation. The portfolio now holds eight names providing Physical AI exposure across an addressable market the firm believes is multiples larger than digital AI. Edgewood maintains conviction that strong fundamentals and attractive valuations will drive long-term shareholder value despite near-term underperformance.
Edgewood maintains a concentrated portfolio of 22 large-cap growth companies positioned around the Physical AI theme, believing AI will proliferate from digital to physical applications over the next few years with an addressable market multiples larger than digital AI, while portfolio companies demonstrate strong earnings growth (31% average YoY) trading at attractive valuations following 16% multiple compression despite fundamentals acceleration.
Edgewood believes portfolio company fundamentals are strong and valuations attractive, with the expectation that strong execution paired with robust earnings growth will continue to create shareholder value over the long term. The firm is laser focused on identifying and investing in businesses best positioned to create shareholder value in a world of accelerating innovation, particularly around the Physical AI theme. The updated portfolio management framework reflects an evolving market structure with an eye towards flexibility and efficiency, though the firm acknowledges this will increase portfolio concentration and volatility.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29 2026 | 2026 Q2 | AMZN, APH, ASML, AVGO, AXON, FICO, ISRG, LIN, LLY, MSCI, NFLX, NVDA, RDDT, SHOP.TO, SNPS, SPOT, TDG, TSLA, V, VRTX | Buybacks, earnings growth, Large Cap Growth, Physical AI, Portfolio Concentration, semiconductors, valuation | RDDT | Edgewood's concentrated large-cap growth portfolio underperformed in Q2 2026 despite accelerating earnings growth to 31% YoY, as sector rotations overrode fundamentals and drove 16% multiple compression. The firm added Tesla, Linde, and Amazon to deepen Physical AI exposure—its core thesis that AI will proliferate into robotaxis, humanoids, and physical applications with addressable markets multiples larger than digital AI. Management buyback programs signal conviction at cheap valuations. |
| Apr 25 2026 | 2026 Q1 | ASML, AVGO, AXON, BSX, BX, FICO, INTU, ISRG, LLY, MSCI, NFLX, NOW, NVDA, SNPS, SPOT, VRTX | AI, earnings, growth, large cap, semiconductors, software, technology, Valuations | - | Edgewood's Q1 2026 underperformance of -13.3% was driven by AI-related valuation compression in growth stocks, not fundamental deterioration. Portfolio companies delivered 32% average earnings growth while the market priced theoretical disruption concerns. The firm maintains conviction in high-quality businesses positioned to benefit from AI adoption and sees current dislocation as creating meaningful appreciation opportunities. |
| Dec 31 2025 | 2025 Q4 | ASML, AVGO, AXON, BSX, BX, FICO, INTU, ISRG, LLY, MSCI, NFLX, NOW, NVDA, SHOP, SNPS, SPGI, SPOT, TDG, V, VRTX | AI, growth, healthcare, large cap, Quality, semiconductors, software, technology |
AXON APH |
Edgewood delivered 7% net returns in 2025 while portfolio companies generated 27% EPS growth, creating stored alpha opportunity. Strong fundamentals across AI infrastructure, healthcare, and enterprise software holdings position the strategy for outperformance as market leadership broadens. Recent additions Axon and Amphenol capitalize on AI-driven secular growth trends. |
| Sep 30 2025 | 2025 Q3 | ABNB, ASML, AVGO, BSX, BX, FICO, INTU, ISRG, LLY, MSCI, NFLX, NOW, NVDA, SHOP, SNPS, SPGI, SPOT, TDG, V, VRTX | AI, growth, healthcare, large cap, semiconductors, software, technology |
FICO LLY ASML SNPS ISRG BSX |
Edgewood's concentrated growth strategy underperformed in Q3 due to stock-specific issues, not fundamental deterioration. The firm maintains high conviction in AI infrastructure buildout (28% of portfolio) and quality growth companies. Management personally invested additional capital in September, demonstrating confidence. Active position building during market dislocations positions the portfolio for AI adoption and secular growth themes. |
| Jun 30 2025 | 2025 Q2 | ABNB, ASML, AVGO, BSX, BX, CPRT, FICO, INTU, ISRG, LLY, MSCI, NFLX, NOW, NVDA, SHOP, SNPS, SPGI, SPOT, TDG, TTD, V, VRTX | AI, growth, healthcare, large cap, Medical Devices, semiconductors, technology |
AVGO FICO BSX AVGO FICO |
Edgewood delivered 15.9% Q2 returns led by NVIDIA and Netflix, while initiating three new positions in Boston Scientific, Broadcom, and Fair Isaac. The concentrated portfolio of 22 quality growth companies is positioned for AI secular trends and semiconductor market expansion to $1T+ by 2030, with reduced turnover expected ahead. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL | AI, inflation, productivity, rates, small caps, Trade Policy, Valuations |
SHOP SPOT |
Markets are flourishing in an era of policy abundance with robust corporate earnings, AI investment boom, and favorable fiscal/monetary backdrop. All asset classes posted positive third quarter returns. Key opportunities include small cap stocks given extreme valuation discounts and international equities. Main risks are labor market stress, tariff-driven inflation, and geopolitical fragmentation from deglobalization trends. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
Physical AIEdgewood believes AI will proliferate from the digital world into the physical world over the next few years, representing a multi-year investment theme with an addressable market multiples larger than digital AI. The firm has positioned the portfolio with eight holdings that provide exposure to this theme, including existing positions in connectors, robotics, and semiconductors, plus three new holdings (Tesla, Linde, Amazon) that deepen exposure to robotaxis, humanoids, warehouse automation, and rocket/chip manufacturing infrastructure. |
Robotics Autonomous Vehicles Humanoids Semiconductors Warehouse Automation |
SemiconductorsThe portfolio maintains significant exposure to the semiconductor ecosystem through ASML, NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Synopsys. ASML delivered 51% returns in Q2 and showed 19% YoY EPS growth. NVIDIA grew EPS 140% YoY with a 24x forward P/E. Synopsys management stated they believe the IP segment bottomed in Q1 and has begun its recovery. The team views semiconductor equipment and design software as enabling infrastructure for AI and compute systems. |
Chip Equipment GPUs EDA AI Infrastructure | |
BuybacksManagement teams across the portfolio executed record buyback programs in response to what Edgewood views as cheap valuations and strong fundamentals. Notable examples include Fair Isaac's largest-ever $605M buyback with new $2B authorization, Netflix's new $25B authorization, Visa's record $7.9B buyback with new $20B authorization, and Shopify adding $3B to reach $5B total authorization. The firm interprets these actions as management conviction signals about future growth. |
Share Repurchases Capital Allocation Management Conviction | |
CloudAWS is positioned as the growth engine for Amazon, representing 57% of 2025 operating income and re-accelerating toward high-20s% growth driven by AI workloads. The $364B backlog is accelerating with major AI customers including OpenAI ($100B over 8 years) and Anthropic. Custom silicon (Trainium, Graviton) offers 30-40% price-performance advantages, with Trainium3 nearly fully subscribed and significant Trainium4 reservations already secured 18 months before broad availability. |
AWS AI Infrastructure Custom Silicon Enterprise AI | |
E-commerceAmazon's retail business is improving margins through robotics, fulfillment regionalization, and high-margin advertising, shifting from a drag to a structural tailwind. The firm notes total e-commerce penetration remains only 15-20%, suggesting continued runway. Amazon operates 750k+ warehouse robots and is developing the Zoox robotaxi platform, positioning the company at the intersection of e-commerce automation and physical AI. |
Retail Automation Fulfillment Advertising Warehouse Robotics | |
Social MediaReddit represents an undermonetized platform with quarterly ARPU below META and slightly above SNAP and PINS. The firm sees near-term lifts from higher ad load and search monetization, plus durable lift from moving down-funnel into performance advertising. International DAUq is compounding 20%+ on machine-learning content translation across 35 languages. Reddit is positioned as the #1 cited source across AI search engines, making it core AI infrastructure through data licensing deals. |
Advertising ARPU AI Data Content Licensing | |
SpaceLinde supplies oxygen and nitrogen for approximately 60% of US rocket launches, with the firm believing space revenue could be multiples larger as launch cadence rises (2.5x increase in US orbital launches per year) and gas per launch surges (over 10x more liquid O2/N2 per vehicle). This positions Linde as infrastructure for the expanding commercial space industry alongside its core industrial gas business. |
Rocket Launches Industrial Gases Commercial Space | |
EarningsPortfolio earnings growth has seen continued strength with year-over-year EPS growth accelerating across the last five quarters to an average of 31%, representing 14 percentage points of acceleration versus five quarters ago. Despite this earnings strength, the portfolio experienced 16% P/E multiple compression over the trailing twelve months. The weighted portfolio average shows 32% estimated 2025-2026 growth and 24% estimated 2026-2027 growth. |
EPS Growth Valuation Multiple Compression | |
| 2026 Q1 |
AIPortfolio companies are leveraging AI to enhance their competitive moats and drive efficiency gains. MSCI expects AI to triple investment capacity over 3-4 years, Netflix is using AI to make content production faster and cheaper, and Spotify leverages AI for enhanced personalization. The firm believes companies with deep domain expertise, complex embedded platforms, and proprietary datasets will be advantaged in an AI-enabled world. |
Artificial Intelligence Efficiency Competitive Moats Datasets Automation |
SemiconductorsStrong positioning in semiconductor ecosystem with holdings in NVIDIA, ASML, and Broadcom. NVIDIA reports exceptionally strong demand with primary bottleneck being customer data center infrastructure. ASML sees structural industry shifts driving strong demand into 2026-2027. Broadcom has secured multi-year deals with key custom silicon customers. |
Chips Data Centers Memory Equipment Foundries | |
GrowthPortfolio companies delivered average earnings growth of 32% year-over-year during the quarter, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 19% growth. The firm maintains focus on high-quality businesses with consistent growth characteristics including growing cash flow, high profit margins, and recurring revenue models. |
Earnings Revenue Margins Cash Flow Quality | |
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI infrastructure buildout drives strong performance for portfolio companies like NVIDIA, Broadcom, and ASML. AI Era Plan from Axon represents fastest booked product to date. Draft One AI tool generates police reports in minutes with 50%+ time savings. |
Infrastructure Software Automation Enterprise Cloud |
GrowthPortfolio delivered 27% average EPS growth versus 7% stock performance, creating stored alpha opportunity. Companies demonstrate consistent earnings execution with 29% YoY growth in most recent quarter. |
Earnings Fundamentals Compounding Quality Performance | |
SemiconductorsNVIDIA, Broadcom, and ASML represent core AI infrastructure holdings. Semiconductor companies benefit from AI server demand requiring greater connector content versus traditional servers. |
AI Infrastructure Memory Equipment Foundries | |
SoftwareSoftware revenue percentage drives gross margin expansion with every 5% increase adding 130bps of margin. AI accelerating cloud demand and creating new monetization opportunities through tools like Draft One. |
SaaS Cloud Margins Recurring Enterprise | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIEdgewood maintains significant exposure to AI infrastructure buildout representing 28% of portfolio. The firm has developed a comprehensive AI framework spanning infrastructure enablement, proprietary data applications, and productivity enhancements. They see encouraging signs that AI is beginning to broaden beyond infrastructure to the proprietary data and application layer. |
Infrastructure Applications Productivity Computing Data |
SemiconductorsPortfolio includes major semiconductor positions including NVIDIA, ASML, Broadcom, and Synopsys. NVIDIA continues accelerating product release cycles driving exponential performance improvements. ASML's lithography machines enable AI chip manufacturing advancements. Broadcom leads hyperscale custom chip design. |
Chips Manufacturing Design Equipment Computing | |
CloudServiceNow is targeting $1B in AI Now Assist annual contract value by 2026 with consumption-based monetization. The firm sees cloud infrastructure as foundational to AI deployment and data processing capabilities across their portfolio companies. |
Infrastructure Software Computing Services Platforms | |
BiotechnologyEli Lilly represents a major position focused on diabetes and obesity markets with large global patient populations that remain largely underserved. The company launched TuneLab platform for AI-enabled drug discovery and maintains a rich pipeline across therapeutic categories. |
Pharmaceuticals Drug Discovery Diabetes Obesity Pipeline | |
Medical DevicesPortfolio includes Intuitive Surgical and Boston Scientific. Intuitive Surgical's latest robot offers 10,000x more computing power leveraging AI for case insights. Boston Scientific incorporates AI into software, imaging and monitoring sensors for diagnostics. |
Robotics Surgery Diagnostics Innovation Healthcare | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AIAI spending remains a robust secular trend with significant growth opportunities. Broadcom is positioned to benefit from the $250B+ AI chip market through custom silicon and networking equipment for AI datacenter buildouts. NVIDIA continues to drive AI compute with strong performance in the quarter. |
Custom Silicon Datacenter Compute Networking TPUs |
SemiconductorsThe semiconductor market is expected to grow from $655B today to $1T+ by 2030 driven by AI compute, networking and digital communications. Broadcom's diversified semiconductor business is well-positioned to benefit from hyperscaler investment in custom silicon. |
Custom Silicon Hyperscaler Networking Compute Growth | |
Medical DevicesBoston Scientific operates in an attractive $70B medical device market estimated to grow 8-9% in 2025. The company benefits from procedure-based sales driving durable revenue streams and advances in technology enabling safer, more effective treatments. |
Procedures Innovation Growth Healthcare Technology | |
CloudBroadcom's software business centered around VMware is positioned to benefit from private cloud adoption. 53% of senior IT leaders say private cloud is top priority for deploying new workloads, with 84% using private cloud for traditional enterprise applications. |
Private Cloud VMware Enterprise Infrastructure Software | |
| 2025 Q1 |
AIHyperscaler capital expenditure growth has been booming, soaring 75% in 2025 as leading US technology companies spend tens of billions on GPUs and AI model development. AI enthusiasts believe we are on the cusp of a paradigmatic shift upward in productivity that will transform the economy and reshape work. AI-related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns, 80% of earnings growth, and 90% of capital spending growth since ChatGPT launched. |
GPUs Hyperscalers Productivity Capital Expenditure Technology |
Trade PolicyTrade policy continues to follow a somewhat erratic path, but uncertainty around tariffs has diminished notably. The announcement of trade deals suggests the overall tariff rate will come in at approximately 14%, well below initial indications. Tariff receipts have been rising with the Customs and Border Protection agency collecting $31 billion in both August and September. |
Tariffs Trade Deals Customs Import Costs | |
RatesThe Federal Open Market Committee cut its Fed funds rate by one quarter percentage point in September and signaled two additional rate cuts by year end. The FOMC has shifted its focus to its full employment mandate and is poised to cut rates further. Lower rates stimulate the economy directly by lowering interest expenses and indirectly by creating a lower threshold for returns on investment projects. |
Fed Funds Rate Cuts Monetary Policy Interest Expenses | |
Small CapsRelative valuations for US small cap stocks are striking, with the valuation gap versus US large cap stocks the widest it has been since the 1990s. Small cap stocks are more sensitive to interest rates, more cyclical in nature, bigger beneficiaries of lower interest rates, and more domestically focused, thus beneficiaries of the policy set-up. After a long stretch of under-performance, small cap stocks may be poised to lead the charge. |
Valuation Gap Interest Rate Sensitivity Domestic Focus Cyclical | |
InflationUsing the Fed's preferred measure, core Personal Consumption Expenditures rose 2.9% over the past 12 months, significantly higher than the 2% target. The last time core PCE was at target was March 2021. There are concerns about tariff-related inflation impacts and stimulative monetary and fiscal policy initiatives potentially accelerating economic growth and contributing to greater inflation impulse. |
Core PCE Fed Target Tariff Impact Policy Stimulus |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Edgewood Management | - | Tesla | Auto Manufacturers | Automobile Manufacturers | Bull | NASDAQ | autonomous vehicles, Electric Vehicles, energy storage, growth, humanoid robots, manufacturing, Physical AI, robotaxi, vertical integration | Login |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Edgewood Management | - | Amazon.com | Internet Retail | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bull | NASDAQ | advertising, Artificial Intelligence, AWS, Cloud computing, custom silicon, e-commerce, growth, margin expansion, robotics | Login |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Edgewood Management | RDDT | Internet Content & Information | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | advertising, Artificial Intelligence, Data licensing, growth, Interactive Media, international expansion, margin expansion, social media, User growth | Login | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | AXON | Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | NASDAQ | Artificial Intelligence, international expansion, Keyence, Margins, Public safety, recurring revenue, SaaS, Subscriptions | Login |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | APH | Amphenol Corporation | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Acquisitions, Aerospace, Artificial Intelligence, Automation, Connectors, data centers, Defense, semiconductors | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | FICO | Fair Isaac Corporation | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | analytics, credit scoring, market share, Mortgage, Pricing power, recurring revenue, Regulation | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | LLY | Eli Lilly and Company | Health Care | Pharmaceuticals | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Clinical trials, Diabetes, drug pipeline, earnings growth, GLP-1, Obesity, valuation | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | ASML | ASML Holding N.V. | Information Technology | Semiconductor Materials & Equipment | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Artificial Intelligence, Capital equipment, Euv, Lithography, market share, secular growth, semiconductors | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | SNPS | Synopsys, Inc. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | Artificial Intelligence, backlog, Eda, Export restrictions, Intellectual Property, recurring revenue, Semiconductor Design | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical, Inc. | Health Care | Health Care Equipment | Bull | NASDAQ | Installed base, Margins, Medical devices, Procedure Growth, recurring revenue, robotics, Surgical Systems | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | BSX | Boston Scientific Corporation | Health Care | Health Care Equipment | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Afib, capital deployment, Electrophysiology, Margins, Medical devices, organic growth, pipeline | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, capital return, custom silicon, Free Cash Flow, hyperscalers, Software | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | FICO | Fair Isaac Corporation | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | buybacks, credit scoring, Mortgage Volumes, network effects, Pricing power, Regulatory risk | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Edgewood Management | BSX | Boston Scientific Corp. | Health Care Equipment & Supplies | Health Care Equipment | Bull | NYSE | Ablation Technology, Atrial Fibrillation, cardiovascular, Electrophysiology, Healthcare Equipment, innovation, M&A, Medical devices, Minimally Invasive, Procedure-Based Revenue | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Edgewood Management | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI chips, capital return, custom silicon, datacenter, high margins, hyperscaler, infrastructure software, M&A, Private Cloud, semiconductors, Vmware | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Edgewood Management | FICO | Fair Isaac Corp. | Software | Application Software | Bull | NYSE | auto loans, capital return, Consumer credit, credit scoring, Financial Analytics, Mortgage, Pricing power, Regulatory Moat, risk management, royalty model | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | SHOP | Shopify Inc. | Information Technology | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | B2b, e-commerce, Free Cash Flow, Gross margin, international expansion, Payments, platform, POS | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Alan Breed | SPOT | Spotify Technology S.A. | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | advertising, Free Cash Flow, Gross margin, monetization, Personalization, Podcasts, Streaming, Subscriptions | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| TSLA | Manufacturing and system design are Tesla's core competencies: TSLA has proven capabilities in high-volume vehicle manufacturing and end-to-end system design, and we believe this can translate from electric vehicles today to embodied AI products in the future. Robotaxi is the initial physical AI application: applying its vehicle, data, and software assets to autonomous ride-hailing, we think TSLA can achieve commercial validation within the next few years. Optimus is enabled by the same competencies: the methods used to train, build, and operate an autonomous vehicle are applicable to other robot form factors (e.g. humanoids). We therefore believe TSLA can succeed in additional embodied AI products. Current estimates do not reflect physical AI optionality: consensus partially credits robotaxi and largely excludes Optimus and other prospective applications (e.g. Terafab). We believe these embodied AI products are achievable and that TSLA will grow into its multiple. |
| LIN | High-quality operator in an attractive industry: utility-like oligopoly, with long-term take-or-pay contracts, density monopolies, and pricing power. Has gained market share in recent years through its execution. Disciplined capital allocation: rigorous underwriting standards for new project investments has produced return on capital (ROIC) ex-intangibles of 30%+ in recent years. Space and electronics as underappreciated growth drivers: Linde supplies gas for >60% of US rocket launches and are the lead supplier to TSMC and Samsung, with gas content per chip rising every node. Multiple levers to achieve growth through the cycle: Combination of capital allocation (buybacks, bolt-ons) and management actions (pricing, productivity) to deliver double-digit EPS growth. We believe space revenue could be multiples larger: more launches × more gas per launch. |
| AMZN | AWS is the growth engine: primary profit driver (~57% of 2025 op. income), re-accelerating on AI toward high-20s% growth; 35%+ margins lift company-wide margins as mix shifts. AI-driven future: custom silicon (Trainium, Graviton) plus managed services (Bedrock) position AWS as the default infrastructure layer for enterprise AI. Improving retail margins: robotics, fulfillment regionalization, and high-margin ads shift retail from a drag to a structural tailwind; total e-commerce penetration still only ~15-20%. Above-consensus earnings at a fair price: we think a mid-20s P/E multiple represents an attractive entry point for company with embedded option value through newer initiatives. Re-accelerating AWS backlog: $364B backlog (as of Q1 2026) with accelerating AI workloads; OpenAI ($100B over 8 yrs) and Anthropic are major catalysts. Custom silicon advantage: Trainium and Graviton chips offer a 30-40% price-performance edge vs. comparable GPUs (for AMZN internal usage), improving AWS margins and pricing power. Trainium3 custom silicon is nearly fully subscribed and a significant chunk of Trainium4 (nearly 18 months from broad availability) has already been reserved. |
| RDDT | Undermonetized Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) with levers: quarterly ARPU sits below META, slightly above SNAP and PINS. Near-term lifts from higher ad load and enabling search monetization; durable lift from moving down-funnel into performance advertising. International is the user-growth engine: international Daily Average Uniques (DAUq) compounding ~20%+ off a low base on machine-learning content translation (35 languages) and marketing; supports double-digit blended user growth through 2030. Margin expansion off a lean base: 91% gross margin, 40% EBITDA; management targets 50% North Star with leverage on R&D and G&A. AI as potential upside: licensing deals with two large language models (LLMs) expected to renew in 1H'27 under more favorable terms; further upside possible through new deals signed or legal settlements. Reddit is the #1 cited source across AI search engines. |
| ASML | ASML delivered 51.0% total security return in Q2 2026, contributing 4.0% to portfolio performance. The company showed 19% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 9.1% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of €32.35 (54x P/E) and 2027 EPS of €43.80 (40x P/E), representing 31% growth in 2025-2026 and 35% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 20%. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA showed 140% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 8.8% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $8.22 (24x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $10.20 (20x P/E), representing 75% growth in 2025-2026 and 24% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 28%. NVIDIA provides compute and foundation models for physical AI: Alpamayo for robotaxis, Cosmos world models, GR00T for humanoids. The portfolio added 1.0% to NVIDIA position during Q2 2026. |
| AVGO | Broadcom showed 54% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 7.7% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $9.65 (39x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $12.08 (31x P/E), representing 37% growth in 2025-2026 and 25% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 26%. Broadcom delivered 22.3% total security return in Q2 2026, contributing 1.6% to portfolio performance. |
| AXON | Axon showed 10% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 6.8% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $8.82 (64x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $11.68 (48x P/E), representing 26% growth in 2025-2026 and 32% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 29%. Revenue grew 34% YoY marking the 9th straight quarter above 30%. Bookings increased 44% to a record $14.3B. Axon delivered 32.0% total security return in Q2 2026, contributing 1.7% to portfolio performance. Axon provides Tasers, body cameras and police drones/anti-drone technology as part of the Physical AI theme. |
| V | Visa showed 20% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 6.0% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $13.42 (26x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $15.37 (22x P/E), representing 15% growth in 2025-2026 and 15% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 15%. Visa executed a record $7.9B buyback with new $20B authorization, bringing total capacity to approximately $33B. |
| SNPS | Synopsys showed -9% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 6.0% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $14.86 (30x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $18.13 (25x P/E), representing 15% growth in 2025-2026 and 22% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 15%. CEO stated: 'We believe the IP segment bottomed in Q1 and has begun its recovery.' Synopsys provides chip & system design software that enables construction of AI & compute systems. |
| APH | Amphenol showed 68% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 6.0% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $5.32 (33x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $6.12 (29x P/E), representing 49% growth in 2025-2026 and 15% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 18%. Amphenol delivered 39.8% total security return in Q2 2026, contributing 1.7% to portfolio performance. The portfolio added 1.0% to Amphenol position during Q2 2026. Amphenol provides connectors, cables and sensors with content in data centers, drones, and robotics. |
| SHOP | Shopify showed 44% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 5.2% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $1.95 (59x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $2.60 (44x P/E), representing 25% growth in 2025-2026 and 33% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 30%. Shopify added $3B to buyback authorization bringing total to $5B in June 2026. Revenue grew 34%. The portfolio added 1.0% to Shopify position during Q2 2026. |
| LLY | Eli Lilly showed 79% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter (excluding acquired IPR&D charges). Portfolio weighting is 4.9% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $32.87 (36x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $38.78 (31x P/E), representing 35% growth in 2025-2026 and 18% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 20%. Eli Lilly delivered 30.6% total security return in Q2 2026, contributing 1.3% to portfolio performance. |
| ISRG | Intuitive Surgical showed 38% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 4.4% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $9.87 (40x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $12.12 (33x P/E), representing 22% growth in 2025-2026 and 23% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 20%. Intuitive Surgical repurchased $1.1B in Q1 2026 and raised buyback authorization to $5B. The portfolio added 1.0% to Intuitive Surgical position during Q2 2026. Intuitive Surgical is spearheading robotics' entry into healthcare. |
| NFLX | Netflix showed 7% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 4.3% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $3.31 (22x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $4.11 (17x P/E), representing 34% growth in 2025-2026 and 24% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 15%. Netflix announced new $25B buyback authorization in April 2026 and resumed repurchases. Netflix delivered -25.7% total security return in Q2 2026, detracting -1.9% from portfolio performance. The portfolio trimmed Netflix by 1.9% during Q2 2026. |
| FICO | Fair Isaac showed 60% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 4.2% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $46.21 (26x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $60.04 (20x P/E), representing 53% growth in 2025-2026 and 30% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 32%. Fair Isaac executed $605M buyback, the largest in company history, with new $2B board authorization including $1.5B accelerated share repurchase. The portfolio added 0.5% to Fair Isaac position during Q2 2026. |
| MSCI | MSCI showed 14% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 3.9% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $19.57 (29x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $22.30 (25x P/E), representing 14% growth in 2025-2026 and 14% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 14%. MSCI repurchased $464M shares in 1Q26 with $1.7B authorization remaining. The portfolio trimmed MSCI by 1.0% during Q2 2026. |
| TDG | TransDigm showed 8% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 3.8% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $41.78 (32x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $47.11 (28x P/E), representing 11% growth in 2025-2026 and 13% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 13%. TransDigm raised FY26 guidance again and repurchased $905M year-to-date. The portfolio trimmed TransDigm by 1.0% during Q2 2026. |
| SPOT | Spotify showed not meaningful year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 3.5% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of €12.75 (32x P/E) and 2027 EPS of €17.07 (24x P/E), representing 21% growth in 2025-2026 and 34% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 20%. CEO stated 2026 is 'off to a strong start' with 761M monthly active users, up 12% year-over-year. |
| VRTX | Vertex showed 10% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 2.7% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $20.57 (24x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $23.85 (21x P/E), representing 14% growth in 2025-2026 and 16% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 15%. Vertex repurchased $344M in Q1 2026 and reaffirmed FY26 revenue guidance. |
| BX | Blackstone showed 25% year-over-year distributable earnings per share growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 1.7% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 distributable EPS of $6.56 (18x P/E) and 2027 distributable EPS of $7.67 (15x P/E), representing 17% growth in 2025-2026 and 17% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 15%. Distributable earnings grew 25% year-over-year with $69B inflows. CEO described results as 'outstanding.' |
| SPGI | S&P Global showed 14% year-over-year EPS growth in the most recent quarter. Portfolio weighting is 0.6% as of June 30, 2026. Edgewood estimates 2026 EPS of $20.25 (19x P/E) and 2027 EPS of $22.85 (17x P/E), representing 14% growth in 2025-2026 and 13% growth in 2026-2027, with a 5-year estimated growth rate of 13%. The portfolio trimmed S&P Global by 1.0% during Q2 2026. |
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