Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 4.81% | 6.32% | 3.24% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 4.81% | 6.32% | 3.24% |
The Fairtree Global Flexible Income Plus Fund returned 6.32% in Q2 2026, closely tracking its iTraxx Crossover benchmark (6.58%) and lifting first-half returns to 3.24%. The quarter was defined by two divergent forces: a sharp rise in global bond yields as inflation reasserted itself and central banks turned hawkish, and a powerful rally in credit spreads that saw the iTraxx Crossover tighten over 100 basis points from its Q1 spike of 362 basis points to 245 basis points. The Fund's floating-rate structure converted higher base rates into enhanced income while its diversified credit book captured spread compression, demonstrating the strategy's resilience through a full rate cycle. With 363 underlying obligors and minimal duration, the Fund is positioned to deliver a pro-forma yield of approximately 6.06% while maintaining defensive characteristics. Looking ahead, the managers expect heightened uncertainty and potential spread volatility, but view any sell-off as an opportunity to add risk at wider premiums. The Fund remains a defensive cornerstone designed to compound through market cycles.
The Fairtree Global Flexible Income Plus Fund is engineered to harvest a highly diversified credit risk premium through 45 positions across 363 underlying obligors, delivering resilient income with low duration and low equity beta that insulates it from government bond volatility while benefiting from floating-rate resets in a rising rate environment.
The managers expect the third quarter will not repeat Q2's stellar performance, as credit spreads have already compressed to the tighter end of their range and returns are more likely to be driven by carry than further capital appreciation. They anticipate heightened global uncertainty and potential for continued bond sell-offs, but view the Fund as well-positioned to convert a higher-for-longer rate environment into durable income and to recycle capital into wider spreads if volatility resurfaces. The tone is cautiously optimistic, emphasizing defensive positioning and opportunistic deployment rather than aggressive risk-taking.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31 2026 | 2026 Q2 | - | credit, diversification, Europe, fixed income, floating rate, income, rates | - | The Fund delivered 6.32% in Q2 2026 by capturing a 100+ basis point rally in credit spreads while its floating-rate structure benefited from rising base rates. With 363 diversified obligors, minimal duration, and a 6.06% pro-forma yield, the strategy is engineered to harvest credit risk premiums at half the volatility of equities. Managers view current spread compression as setting up future deployment opportunities. |
| May 6 2026 | 2026 Q1 | - | credit, Defensive, diversification, Europe, fixed income, global | - | Fairtree's income fund demonstrated defensive resilience in Q1 2026's volatile markets, limiting losses to -2.89% while equity indices fell significantly more. Deep diversification across 365 credit obligors provided stability during March's risk-off environment. Recent spread widening created opportunities to enhance yields to 4.45%, positioning the fund for improved income generation going forward. |
| Feb 10 2026 | 2025 Q4 | VOD.L | credit, Europe, fixed income, rates, risk management, Structured Notes | - | Fairtree's global credit fund underperformed in Q4 due to fees and a default but delivered solid annual returns. The managers increased risk exposure through leveraged European credit structured notes, betting the global bull market continues. With EU inflation at target and credit spreads attractive, they're positioning for extended risk-on conditions while managing fee drag. |
| Nov 3 2025 | 2025 Q3 | GS | Central Banks, credit, European credit, fixed income, interest rates, risk management | - | Fairtree's credit fund delivered 2.63% in Q3, outperforming benchmark by 29bps as European credit markets continued their bull run. Managers increased risk exposure while maintaining defensive liquidity buffers. Fed rate cuts and stable credit fundamentals support the ongoing rally, though narrowing spreads present yield harvesting challenges ahead. |
| Aug 11 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | Central Banks, credit, European, fixed income, inflation, risk management | - | Crawford's credit-focused fund delivered 2.62% in Q2, capitalizing on European high-yield credit outperformance. The manager increased risk positioning for continued credit bull run while maintaining defensive liquidity. Central bank divergence and narrowing credit spreads drive performance, with ECB cutting more aggressively than Fed. Expects one more ECB cut before cycle completion. |
| May 22 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | Central Banks, credit, Europe, fixed income, inflation, rates, risk management | - | European credit offers superior risk-adjusted returns versus equities, supported by 18 years of data showing 2x levered iTraxx outperformance. Fund increased risk positioning as spreads widened to 400 bps over EURIBOR, targeting 5.3% net returns. Defensive stance with ample liquidity positions fund to capitalize on market weakness amid continued global political instability. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
Credit StressThe iTraxx Crossover spread index spiked to 362 basis points in Q1 2026 due to Middle East conflict, then rallied sharply in Q2, tightening over 100 basis points to close at 245 basis points. This spread compression drove strong mark-to-market gains for the Fund's credit exposure. The managers view any future sell-off as an opportunity to add risk at wider spreads. |
Credit Spreads iTraxx Crossover Spread Tightening Credit Rally Geopolitical Risk |
RatesGlobal bond yields rose sharply in Q2 2026 as inflation reasserted itself. The ECB delivered its first hike of the cycle in June, lifting rates from 2.00% to 2.25%, while the Fed held at 3.50-3.75% with risk of renewed hikes. US 2-year yields rose 35 basis points to 4.14% and 10-year yields climbed to 4.44%. The Fund's floating-rate structure benefits from higher base rates, which reset income upward rather than eroding capital. |
Interest Rates Central Banks ECB Federal Reserve Inflation | |
JapanJapanese government bond yields pushed to multi-decade highs during Q2 2026, with the 10-year JGB approaching 2.7% and the long end steepening further. The managers view this as confirmation that the era of ultra-low Japanese yields has decisively ended, contributing to persistent upward pressure on global sovereign yields. |
JGB Japanese Yields Yield Normalization | |
VolatilityThe Fund is positioned for heightened uncertainty, with geopolitical risk remaining elevated following the Q1 Middle East conflict that drove a sharp spike in credit spreads. The managers expect volatility may flare again and view the Fund's broad diversification, low duration, and low equity beta as defensive qualities that allow capital recycling into wider spreads rather than forced selling. |
Geopolitical Risk Market Volatility Risk Management | |
| 2026 Q1 |
Credit StressThe fund navigated March's global risk-off environment and credit spread widening through deep diversification across 365 underlying obligors. Credit spreads widened significantly during the quarter, but the fund's broad exposure limited impact from idiosyncratic credit events. |
Credit Spreads Diversification Risk Default |
ResilienceThe fund demonstrated structural resilience during Q1 2026's market volatility, limiting drawdowns to -2.89% while equity markets fell significantly more. The strategy's defensive characteristics and low beta to equity markets provided capital stability during turbulent periods. |
Defensive Stability Volatility Protection Beta | |
| 2025 Q4 |
CreditEuropean credit markets delivered positive returns with iTraxx Crossover producing 2.16% and the 2x levered index generating 3.82%. The fund experienced one meaningful default from Ardagh Packaging Finance PLC with expected recovery around 40%. Credit spreads remain attractive with the fund's weighted average spread at 335 bps. |
Credit iTraxx Spreads Defaults Recovery |
InflationInflation trends have diverged across developed markets with the US showing stability, Europe hitting the ECB's 2% target at 1.9%, while UK inflation remains elevated at 3.4% well above the Bank of England's target. The disinflationary trend has slowed and even reversed slightly in some regions. |
Inflation Central Banks Monetary Policy Interest Rates | |
RatesCentral banks have largely completed their rate cutting cycles with the ECB potentially offering one last cut in 2026. The Bank of England faces a challenging position with elevated inflation potentially forcing rate hikes despite economic weakness. Bond yields showed mixed performance across regions. |
Interest Rates Central Banks Bond Yields Monetary Policy | |
| 2025 Q3 |
CreditEuropean credit continues to outperform with iTraxx Crossover delivering strong risk-adjusted returns. The fund increased exposure to iTraxx indices during the quarter, positioning for continuation of the credit bull run that started in Q3 2022. |
Credit Spreads iTraxx European Credit Investment Grade High Yield |
Risk AppetiteMarkets demonstrated strong risk appetite with NASDAQ delivering 11.43% in Q3, marking the 4th best rolling 6-month performance since 2007. The manager notes that avoiding risk carries its own risk, as 74% of 6-month periods produced positive returns. |
Risk Premium Volatility Market Rally Risk Assets | |
RatesCentral banks continue cutting cycles with Fed making first cuts since 2020. European Central Bank has essentially completed its cutting cycle while Bank of England faces constraints with UK CPI at 3.8%. Manager expects Fed to cut further to 3.50-3.75% range. |
Interest Rates Central Banks Fed Cuts Monetary Policy | |
| 2025 Q2 |
CreditThe fund focuses on European credit markets, particularly the iTraxx Crossover index which delivered 3.58% in Q2. The manager emphasizes that credit offers better risk-adjusted returns than equities, with the 2x levered index producing 6.53% for the quarter. Credit spreads have narrowed significantly, with iTraxx 5-year Crossover spreads ending at 282 bps, down 47 bps from Q1. |
Credit Spreads iTraxx Investment Grade High Yield Duration |
RatesCentral bank policy divergence is a key theme, with the ECB cutting 235 bps since May 2024 while the Fed has only cut 100 bps. The manager expects one more ECB rate cut but believes the cutting cycle may be complete. Current EURIBOR at 1.94% provides a total yield expectation of around 5.60% for the fund. |
Central Banks ECB Fed EURIBOR Monetary Policy | |
InflationInflation trends are closely monitored across developed markets, with the manager noting that disinflationary trends have slowed and even reversed slightly in the US. European inflation has hit the 2% target, but the manager contends inflation is a global phenomenon driven by input prices rather than localized factors, requiring continued US disinflation for European gains to persist. |
Disinflation CPI Price Stability Global Inflation Input Costs | |
Risk AppetiteThe fund has increased risk during the quarter and is positioned for a continuation of the credit bull run. The manager sees no evidence of impending risk-off sentiment but expects normal volatility levels. The fund remains defensively invested with ample liquidity to capitalize on market retracements. |
Risk Management Volatility Liquidity Defensive Positioning Bull Market | |
| 2025 Q1 |
CreditEuropean credit markets produced marginal positive returns with iTraxx Crossover delivering 0.37% total return. Credit has historically outperformed equities from a risk-adjusted perspective, with the 2x levered iTraxx index offering superior risk-adjusted returns compared to equity equivalents. |
Credit Spreads iTraxx Investment Grade High Yield Risk Premium |
RatesCentral banks continue cutting cycles with ECB most aggressive at 185 bps cuts, while Fed cut 100 bps. Market discounting 100-125 bps of Fed cuts by Q1 2026, though manager believes current cutting excesses may be taken out of market prices as tariff war premium unwinds. |
Central Banks Fed Cuts ECB EURIBOR Yield Curve | |
InflationGlobal inflation has converged and is well off highs from Q4 2022, with disinflationary trend slowing down resulting in more cautious central bank responses. Convergence of global headline inflation numbers suggests global trends dominate over country-specific factors. |
Disinflation CPI Global Convergence Price Stability |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
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