Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | 0.8% | 0.8% |
Focus Capital returned 0.8% net in Q1 2026 versus the S&P 500's -4.3% decline, though this masks significant volatility from the US-Iran war. The portfolio surged 18.1% in January and 5.5% in February before March's conflict erased all gains. The war's closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove oil prices from $65 to over $100 per barrel, significantly benefiting Valeura's Thai production operations. Asian oil prices reached $150-160 per barrel, with Valeura strategically building inventory before selling at elevated prices. The manager expects lasting supply constraints from infrastructure damage. Burford suffered a major setback when the Second Circuit reversed its $16.1 billion YPF award, cutting the stock in half. However, the manager views this as a gross overreaction, quintupling their position based on the core litigation business being undervalued at current prices. International arbitration pathways remain available for YPF recovery, while other large cases like the protein antitrust litigation offer significant upside potential.
Focus Capital maintains concentrated positions in undervalued companies with strong fundamentals, exemplified by their conviction in Burford's core litigation business despite the YPF setback and their strategic positioning in Valeura to benefit from geopolitical oil supply disruptions.
The manager expects the US-Iran conflict to be temporary but anticipates lasting benefits from elevated oil prices due to infrastructure damage and supply constraints. While the YPF litigation setback is significant, the core Burford business remains undervalued with multiple pathways for recovery.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27 2026 | 2026 Q1 | BUR.L, VLE.TO | energy, geopolitics, Litigation, oil, value |
VLE.TO BUR.L |
Focus Capital navigated Q1 2026 volatility from the US-Iran war, benefiting from Valeura's strategic oil positioning while quintupling their Burford stake following the YPF litigation setback. The manager sees lasting oil supply benefits and views Burford's core business as significantly undervalued despite legal headwinds. |
| Jan 29 2026 | 2025 Q4 | BUR, KCN.AX, SIMO, VLE.TO | AI, gold, Mining, oil, semiconductors, small caps, technology, value |
KCN AU SIMO VLE CN BUR |
Focus Capital's 85.8% annual return was driven by Kingsgate's gold mining success and Silicon Motion's semiconductor market share gains. Despite extraordinary performance, the manager cautions against expecting similar results while maintaining concentrated value approach. Plans include trimming commodity-exposed Kingsgate and adding to undervalued Burford Capital and Valeura Energy positions. |
| Oct 27 2025 | 2025 Q3 | BUR.L, KCN.AX, SIMO | deep value, gold, Litigation Finance, Mining, semiconductors, technology, value |
KCN AU SIMO KCN AU SIMO |
Focus Capital delivered 25.3% in Q3 2025, driven by Kingsgate (tripled YTD) and Silicon Motion (up 75%). Despite strong performance, the manager believes positions remain deeply undervalued with significant upside. The letter showcases their disciplined value approach through the Burford Capital case study, demonstrating patience for proper valuations and opportunistic deployment when prices become attractive. |
| Jul 24 2025 | 2025 Q2 | BUR.L, PTON, YPF | Argentina, Investment Process, Legal, Litigation, valuation, value |
BUR.L PTON |
Focus Capital gained 28.5% in Q2 2025, driven by strong performance across multiple positions including a 20% jump in Burford following a favorable court ruling on Argentina's YPF stake. The manager reinforces their disciplined value approach through a detailed Peloton case study, demonstrating how valuation discipline protected against a spectacular rise and fall. |
| Jan 29 2025 | 2024 Q4 | BUR, KCN.AX, SIMO, VLE.TO | energy, gold, Litigation Finance, semiconductors, undervalued, value |
BUR SIMO KCN.AX VLE.TO |
Focus Capital's concentrated value portfolio suffered in 2024 with a -27.6% return despite strong underlying business performance across holdings. The fund maintains high conviction positions in litigation finance (Burford), semiconductors (Silicon Motion), gold mining (Kingsgate), and energy (Valeura), all trading at significant discounts to intrinsic value with improving fundamentals. |
| Jul 24 2024 | 2024 Q2 | NVDA | Corporate Governance, Due Diligence, Fraud, management, risk management | - | Focus Capital outlines a fraud detection framework examining People, Accounting, and Narrative red flags. Management integrity is paramount - any history of fraud or questionable associations warrant immediate exit. Cash flow analysis reveals accounting manipulation, while promotional behavior and buzzword usage signal potential issues. The firm successfully avoided Wandisco using these principles before fraud was discovered. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
OilThe US-Iran war has closed the Strait of Hormuz, driving oil prices from $65 to over $100 per barrel, with Asian markets seeing even higher prices up to $150-160. Valeura benefits significantly as their Thai production is far from the conflict zone. The manager expects elevated prices to persist for years due to infrastructure damage and supply disruptions. |
Crude Brent Dubai Persian Gulf Strait of Hormuz |
LitigationBurford's $16.1 billion YPF case was reversed by the Second Circuit Court of Appeals, cutting the stock in half. However, the manager views this as a gross overreaction since the core litigation business remains undervalued. International arbitration pathways remain available though they will take years longer. |
Legal Arbitration YPF Appeals Recovery | |
EnergyThe conflict has damaged oil and gas infrastructure that will take years to repair, with Qatar losing 17% of LNG supply for 3-5 years. Wells shut due to lack of shipping capacity will take time to restart, with some remaining offline permanently. This creates lasting supply constraints beyond the immediate conflict. |
LNG Infrastructure Supply Qatar Production | |
| 2025 Q4 |
OilOil represents the cheapest major asset class globally, trading at near-record lows relative to gold despite balanced fundamentals. The closure of the Straits of Hormuz has created the largest supply shock in industry history, with 20 million barrels per day disrupted. Non-OPEC supply growth is slowing dramatically, with U.S. shale production plateauing outside the Permian Basin. |
Crude Oil Brent WTI Shale OPEC |
Natural GasNatural gas ranks in the 99.5th percentile of historical undervaluation relative to equities. U.S. production growth has concentrated entirely in the Permian Basin, with other shale regions declining. Once the Permian's current gas production surge runs its course, supply growth should plateau and eventually decline, setting the stage for materially higher prices. |
Henry Hub LNG Shale Gas Permian | |
SilverSilver surged 51% in Q4 and over 140% for the year, staging a dramatic catch-up rally relative to gold. This magnitude of silver outperformance has historically marked important turning points, suggesting investors should consider reducing precious metals exposure in the short term. The rally has triggered a sell signal for gold. |
Silver Gold Ratio Precious Metals | |
CopperCopper markets have moved back into surplus with exchange inventories rising to levels last seen in 2003. Despite strong performance in 2025, the fundamental outlook has deteriorated as Chinese demand slows and new supply comes online. Current inventory levels of 1.2 million tonnes represent roughly 17 days of global demand. |
Copper Base Metals China Demand | |
Platinum Group MetalsPGMs continued their powerful advance with platinum and palladium each surging 28% in Q4. Policy reversals in both the U.S. and Europe are unwinding the aggressive push toward electric vehicles, supporting longer-term demand for internal combustion engines and auto-catalysts. The bearish narrative built on rapid EV adoption is being rewritten. |
Platinum Palladium Auto Catalysts Electric Vehicles | |
CommoditiesThe commodity bull market has barely begun, with most commodities still 46% below historical nominal peaks and 73% below real peaks when adjusted for inflation. Commodities trade near the lowest levels relative to equities observed in over a century, suggesting the current cycle may only be one-third complete in both duration and magnitude. |
Commodity Cycle Capital Cycle Valuation | |
| 2025 Q3 |
ValueThe manager emphasizes deep value investing principles throughout the letter, stating that valuation always matters and that they seek deeply undervalued opportunities. They passed on Burford Capital initially due to valuation concerns despite its attractive business model, only investing when the price became more attractive after the Muddy Waters short report. |
Deep Value Undervalued Intrinsic Value Valuation Price |
GoldKingsgate, a gold mining operation, represents a significant portion of the fund's outperformance, tripling year-to-date. The manager notes that rising gold prices have helped the company's performance while the mine's grade continues to improve and overall ounces sold per year are expected to rise over time. |
Gold Mining Gold Price Mining Operation Precious Metals | |
| 2025 Q2 |
ValueThe manager emphasizes deep value investing principles, highlighting that valuation always matters regardless of business quality. The Peloton case study demonstrates their commitment to avoiding overvalued investments even with attractive business models. |
Valuation Deep value Undervalued Price discipline |
Capital MarketsDetailed discussion of legal proceedings involving Burford's $16.1 billion judgment against Argentina and the court-ordered transfer of YPF shares. The manager analyzes enforcement mechanisms and settlement pressures in sovereign debt disputes. |
Legal enforcement Sovereign debt Court judgment Settlement | |
| 2024 Q4 |
GoldKingsgate operates the Chatree gold mine in Thailand which has restarted operations and is ramping to full capacity. The company expects to produce 95,000-120,000 ounces annually at full capacity with estimated net income of $75-110 million. Gold prices are near $2,800 per ounce, about 35% higher than the beginning of 2024. |
Gold Miners Thailand Production Capacity Mining |
SemiconductorsSilicon Motion designs controllers for NAND flash memory with strengthening market position and growing revenue. Over 2024, revenue grew 25%+, gross margins expanded 500 basis points, and net income doubled. The company is entering new market segments including high-end PC and enterprise AI/data center markets with strong design wins. |
Memory Controllers NAND AI Data Centers | |
Capital MarketsBurford Capital provides litigation finance, funding commercial lawsuits in exchange for proceeds. The business shows continued high commitment levels, strong IRRs, and record realizations in 2024. Major cases include YPF litigation against Argentina and various other international arbitration matters. |
Litigation Finance Legal Arbitration Returns Alternative |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | VLE.TO | Valeura Energy Inc. | Oil & Gas E&P | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Asia, crude oil, Development Acceleration, energy, geopolitical, Gulf of Thailand, inventory management, oil production, Supply Disruption | Login |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | BUR.L | Burford Capital Limited | Asset Management | Specialized Finance | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | antitrust, International Arbitration, Legal Investment, Litigation Finance, portfolio valuation, Specialized Finance, turnaround, Value | Login |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | KCN AU | Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd | Materials | Gold Mining | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, Commodities, Gold, Mining, valuation | Login |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology Corp. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Controllers, Margins, Nand, semiconductors | Login |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | VLE CN | Valeura Energy Inc | Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, energy, Offshore, oil, valuation | Login |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | BUR | Burford Capital Ltd | Financials | Specialty Finance | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Catalysts, Legal, Litigation Finance, Special situations, valuation | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | KCN AU | Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd | Materials | Precious Metals | Bull | NYSE | cash flow, Commodities, Cost Reduction, Gold, leverage, Mining, profitability, undervalued | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology Corp. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Controllers, growth, market share, Memory, Nand, semiconductors, undervalued | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | KCN AU | Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd | Materials | Precious Metals | Bull | NYSE | cash flow, Commodities, Cost Reduction, Gold, leverage, Mining, profitability, undervalued | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mordechai Yavneh | SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology Corp. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Controllers, growth, market share, Memory, Nand, semiconductors, undervalued | Login |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | BUR.L | Burford Capital Limited | Financials | Specialized Finance | Bull | London Stock Exchange | Argentina, Asset Recovery, Court Order, Judgment Enforcement, Legal Assets, Litigation Finance, settlement, Sovereign Debt, Specialized Finance, YPF | Login |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | PTON | Peloton Interactive Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Leisure Products | Neutral | NASDAQ | Connected-Fitness, Consumer Technology, Cost management, Cult Following, Exercise Equipment, leisure products, streaming platform, subscription model, turnaround, Valuation Discipline | Login |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | BUR | Burford Capital | Financials | Specialized Finance | Bull | NYSE | arbitration, Argentina, Legal Services, Litigation Finance, settlement, undervalued, Value | Login |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | SIMO | Silicon Motion | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Controllers, data centers, growth, market share, NAND flash, PCIe 5.0, semiconductors | Login |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | KCN.AX | Kingsgate | Materials | Gold | Bull | ASX | cash flow, Commodities, gold mining, Production Ramp, Thailand, undervalued, Value | Login |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Fund Letters | Focus Capital Management | VLE.TO | Valeura Energy | Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | TSX | Canada, cash generation, debt-free, energy, Free Cash Flow, Oil & Gas, Value | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| VLE.TO | Valeura benefits from this in a major way. Valeura did not sell any crude oil in March, instead choosing to build up inventory to about double their usual levels. Starting the beginning of April, they sold massive amounts from inventory, and, of course, they continue to produce during April as well. Assuming an average realized price of $110–$140 a barrel for April, we are expecting an incremental $60–$100 million of revenue for April's sales alone. Valeura is reacting to these events by accelerating and adding development to take advantage of the higher prices. As one example, they are adding four well slots to their Nong Yao A platform, specifically as a reaction to current events. |
| BUR.L | On March 27th, near the end of the quarter, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals reversed the district court's $16.1 billion award in the YPF cases. Burford's stock was cut in half in response. We believe the market to have grossly overreacted. We have long maintained that Burford is greatly undervalued on its own merits, irrespective of what happens with the YPF cases. We have acted on our conviction, and have taken advantage of this drop in share price to quintuple our position in Burford. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||