Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 8.48% | 5.49% | 5.18% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 8.48% | 5.49% | 5.18% |
Source Capital returned 5.49% in Q2 2026 and 14.70% over the trailing twelve months, capturing 94.7% of its balanced benchmark return. The market has become extremely narrow, with AI-related stocks accounting for 50-75% of S&P 500 gains since late 2022 and semiconductors representing nearly 30% of the index at record levels. The manager questions the sustainability of $2.59 trillion in projected 2026 AI spending and whether massive data center capacity expansion will generate adequate returns. They are scaling back exposure to direct AI beneficiaries despite bullish long-term views on the technology, citing expanded valuations and shrinking margins of safety. Instead, they deployed capital into 13 new AI-agnostic mid-cap businesses at 10-15x NTM earnings, creating a portfolio trading at 16.0x forward P/E with 25% estimated 3-year EPS growth versus 20.4x and 19% for the S&P 500. High yield spreads at the fourth percentile historically led to minimal traditional credit exposure. The manager maintains 26% committed to private credit and 21% in cash, positioning for attractive absolute returns while accepting the risk of looking foolish relative to momentum-driven markets.
The manager is positioning the portfolio away from the narrow, AI-driven market rally by deploying capital into high-quality, AI-agnostic mid-cap businesses at attractive valuations of 10-15x NTM earnings, while reducing exposure to direct AI beneficiaries due to expanded valuations and late-stage capital cycle positioning, accepting the risk of near-term underperformance in favor of what they believe are highly probable long-term absolute returns.
The manager expects the portfolio of high-quality, AI-agnostic mid-cap businesses purchased at conservative valuations to produce sound absolute returns over the long term. They acknowledge uncertainty about AI capital spending sustainability and compute demand cycles, but believe their diversified mix of industry leaders with strong balance sheets and attractive growth profiles should deliver competitive performance. The manager is willing to look foolish relative to the market and miss out on bullish AI scenarios in order to own a portfolio highly likely to result in acceptable absolute results. They remain excited about not owning overpriced credit risk and continue seeking opportunities in private credit and select equity opportunities at attractive valuations.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 2026 | 2026 Q2 | ADI, AON, C, CHTR, CMCSA, FBIN, GLEN.L, GOOGL, KMX, NVDA, TEL | AI, Capital Cycle, Data centers, mid cap, private credit, semiconductors, Valuations, value | - | Source Capital is pivoting away from the AI-driven market rally, reducing exposure to semiconductor and data center beneficiaries despite long-term bullish views on the technology. The manager deployed capital into 13 new AI-agnostic mid-cap businesses at 10-15x earnings, creating a portfolio with better growth and valuation characteristics than the index. With high yield spreads at historic lows and 21% cash, they are positioned for absolute returns over relative performance. |
| May 6 2026 | 2026 Q1 | ADI, AON, BDX, CHTR, CMCSA, FBHS, GLEN.L, GOOGL, KMI, KMX, TEL | Balanced, healthcare, international, private credit, SMID Cap, value | - | Source Capital outperformed with 16% annual returns despite a flat quarter, maintaining balanced equity-credit allocation. Managers harvest gains from decade-long holdings, recycling into undervalued SMID caps, international names, and healthcare. Expanding private credit to 26% while AI fears create software opportunities. Building new positions as valuations improve across sectors. |
| Feb 10 2026 | 2025 Q4 | ADI, CRM, GOOGL, IFF, META, MSFT, MTN, NOW, NTDOY, ORCL, SAF.PA, SAP, SNOW, TEL, WDAY | Balanced, credit, private credit, Quality, small caps, value |
TEL SAF FP IFF MTN MSFT |
Source Capital's value-aware approach delivered 18.38% trailing returns by finding quality at attractive prices. The fund is reducing high yield exposure due to historically low credit spreads while increasing private credit allocation. Focus remains on overlooked global small-caps offering asymmetric risk-reward, with successful holdings like TE Connectivity and Safran demonstrating the strategy's effectiveness in patient, disciplined value investing. |
| Nov 27 2025 | 2025 Q3 | C, CMCSA, GLEN.L, GOOGL, IFF, JDEPY, KMX, PRX, RI.PA, TE | Balanced, credit, equities, global, value |
IFF KMX |
Source Capital delivered strong quarterly and annual returns through balanced equity-credit positioning. Top performers Citigroup and Alphabet drove gains while CarMax disappointed due to management execution issues. Managers avoided expensive high-yield credit markets but continue expanding private credit exposure. The fund maintains disciplined global approach with 5.55% distribution rate. |
| Aug 14 2025 | 2025 Q2 | ABBV, ABT, ACLX, ARGX, AZN, BSX, CDTX, COO, HRTX, IMVT, INSM, IONS, ISRG, JNJ, LLY, MASI, MDT, PFE, RDNT, ROIV, SYK, TMO, UNH, WAT, XEN.TO | AI, Biotechnology, GLP1, healthcare, Managed Care, Medical Devices, Pharmaceuticals | - | Baron Health Care Fund delivered 5.39% returns in Q3 2025, driven by strong biotechnology stock selection, particularly argenx and Insmed benefiting from drug approvals. AI-enabled healthcare solutions like RadNet and Heartflow also contributed. Despite regulatory headwinds and hospital financial pressures, the fund maintains conviction in secular healthcare growth from aging demographics and technological innovation. |
| May 14 2025 | 2025 Q1 | 005930.KS, 012330.KS, CNQ, FOXA, GOOGL, MSFT, PEP, PG, SCHW, UHAL | AI, Cyclical, large cap, risk management, semiconductors, valuation, value |
005930.KS BOL.PA UHAL |
Yacktman Fund underperformed in Q3 but maintains value discipline amid expensive market valuations and multiple risk factors. Samsung's Nvidia HBM design win validates AI positioning while Bolloré's simplification story remains intact despite near-term weakness. With 30+ years navigating cycles, managers believe portfolio is positioned for strong risk-adjusted returns during eventual market corrections. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
AIAI capabilities and data center demand have driven market returns, with AI-related stocks accounting for 50-75% of S&P 500 gains since late 2022. The manager questions the sustainability of massive AI capital spending projected at $2.59 trillion in 2026, noting concerns about compute capacity potentially exceeding AI's ability to diffuse through the economy. They are reducing exposure to direct AI beneficiaries due to expanded valuations and shrinking margin of safety, while maintaining some exposure to the technology's long-term potential. |
Data Centers Semiconductors Cloud Compute |
Data CentersUS data center capacity is expected to double from 40-53 GW to 95 GW by end of 2027, with a total pipeline of nearly 300 GW. The manager notes the market is in backwardation with forward prices 30-40% below spot, and questions whether compute capacity will exceed demand. SpaceX's ambitious plans to build data centers in space add to supply concerns. The manager is scaling back exposure to businesses benefiting from compute shortages. |
Capacity Power Infrastructure Supply | |
Semiconductor CycleSemiconductor revenue is experiencing exceptional growth driven by AI infrastructure demand, with Nvidia's run-rate approaching $400 billion versus analyst expectations of $130-150 billion at year-end 2024. Memory markets have developed acute shortages. However, semiconductors and tech hardware now represent nearly 30% of the S&P 500, the highest level recorded, and accounted for nearly 90% of the index's return over the last six months. The manager is reducing exposure due to expanded valuations and late-stage capital cycle positioning. |
Memory AI chips Nvidia Valuations | |
Private CreditSource has 26.0% committed to private credit including called and uncalled capital as of quarter-end. The manager continues to look for opportunities to increase this exposure. Software-related exposure in private credit is approximately 0.3% of the overall fund, which is not a concern from either an overall portfolio exposure or credit quality perspective. |
Allocation Deployment Credit quality | |
Credit StressHigh yield spreads ended the quarter at the fourth percentile historically, meaning 96% of the time spreads have been higher. The manager views the market as priced as if nothing could go wrong, with compensation for credit risk at inadequate levels. This has led to low traditional credit exposure in the portfolio. The manager is excited about not owning a portfolio laden with overpriced credit risk. |
Spreads High yield Valuations Risk premium | |
ValueThe manager is deploying capital into AI-agnostic mid-cap businesses at 10-15x NTM earnings, representing attractive valuations compared to market leaders. They added 13 new companies in the first half and increased holdings in several companies purchased last year. The portfolio trades at 16.0x forward P/E versus 20.4x for the S&P 500, with 25% estimated 3-year forward EPS growth versus 19% for the index. The manager believes this portfolio of high-quality businesses with good management should produce sound returns over the long term. |
Mid-cap Valuations Quality Growth | |
MomentumUntil very late in the second quarter, momentum had been the strongest indicator and driver of returns, relatively more pronounced than in the past. The ratio of US Momentum stocks to US Minimum Volatility stocks reached extreme levels. The market became increasingly narrow, with exciting AI capabilities and data center supply shortages driving activity. The manager is positioned away from this momentum, focusing instead on AI-agnostic businesses. |
Market concentration Narrowness Factor performance | |
BiotechnologyThe manager recalls the healthcare and biotech boom of 2020-2021 when they reduced exposure to zero. They continued researching the sector and developed views on businesses they wanted to own. In the past year, they have purchased many of those same businesses at valuations less than half the prevailing rate in 2020-2021. They believe the future is just as bright and perhaps enhanced by potential AI innovation, demonstrating their willingness to wait for attractive valuations. |
Valuations Healthcare Opportunity | |
| 2026 Q1 |
Private CreditSource has 26.1% committed to private credit including called and uncalled capital as of quarter-end. The fund continues to look for opportunities to increase that exposure. |
Private Credit Alternative Credit Direct Lending |
AIFears of artificial intelligence decimating the profitability of many software companies caused spreads on associated debt to increase. The capabilities of artificial intelligence are progressing rapidly and some software companies may become casualties of this new technology. |
Artificial Intelligence Software Technology | |
ValueThe team is busy evaluating opportunities in several sectors where valuations are more reasonable than they were a year ago. They are harvesting gains from long-held positions and recycling proceeds into what they perceive to be undervalued opportunities, namely SMID caps, international names, and healthcare. |
Value Investing Undervalued Opportunistic | |
| 2025 Q4 |
Behavioral FinanceManager extensively discusses behavioral biases in investing, comparing rational 'Morning Investor' mode to impulsive 'Nighttime Investor' decisions. Emphasizes the importance of overcoming psychological biases like avoiding action that could cause regret, and building habits to make better investment decisions. |
Behavioral Biases Psychology Decision Making |
ValueMature (Value) businesses led performance in Q4 and were the strongest contributors for the full year, reflecting durable execution in companies generating healthy free cash flow and returning capital. The strategy maintains exposure to value-oriented businesses as part of its diversified approach. |
Free Cash Flow Capital Return Mature Businesses | |
GrowthEmerging (Growth) businesses reversed some substantial gains in Q4 but delivered a strong year overall, generating significant alpha relative to the benchmark. Despite Q4 weakness, the growth basket contributed meaningfully to annual performance. |
Alpha Generation Emerging Businesses | |
| 2025 Q3 |
Private CreditSource has 25.6% committed to private credit including called and uncalled capital as of quarter-end. The fund continues to look for opportunities to increase that exposure. |
Private Credit Alternative Credit Direct Lending |
Credit StressHigh-yield market was historically expensive with spreads at third percentile. Low spreads expose investors to risk of uncompensated losses from credit-related impairments and greater mark-to-market losses when bonds reprice to wider spreads. |
Credit Spreads High Yield Credit Risk | |
AIAlphabet continues to enhance its existing search offering with new AI features that have been well-received and are continually evolving. Recent concerns include competitive threats in search stemming from competing AI models. |
Artificial Intelligence Search Technology | |
| 2025 Q2 |
BiotechnologyStrong stock selection in biotechnology contributed the vast majority of relative gains, with main drivers being argenx SE and Insmed Incorporated. The quarter saw several positive biotechnology clinical data readouts, a strong rebound in biotechnology funding, and an acceleration in M&A activity. |
FcRn inhibitors Autoimmune Pulmonary diseases Clinical trials Drug approvals |
AIAI-driven solutions are having significant benefits on healthcare operations, particularly in diagnostic imaging. RadNet benefits from AI capabilities and operational scale, while Heartflow's AI algorithm improves with scale and data, enabling margin expansion as the company reduces employee hours in real-time workflows. |
Medical imaging Diagnostic accuracy Workflow automation Margin expansion Scale benefits | |
GLP1Long term, the GLP-1 drug class is expected to become the standard of care for diabetes and obesity, ultimately representing a $150 billion-plus market. Lilly possesses the leading portfolio in this category, with GLP-1 adoption remaining in the early stages and continued uptake expected to drive a near doubling of Lilly's total revenues by 2030. |
Diabetes Obesity Standard of care Market expansion Revenue growth | |
Managed CareUnitedHealth Group represents a leading managed health care company with competitive advantages including scale, data, vertical integration with service providers, and leadership in Medicare Advantage and value-based care. The company trades at close to a 10-year low relative valuation with potential for valuation expansion. |
Medicare Advantage Value-based care Vertical integration Scale advantages Medical cost trends | |
| 2025 Q1 |
ValueThe fund seeks opportunities where company value is misunderstood and price fairly compensates for risks. They carefully consider price paid for investments and focus on companies trading at attractive valuations relative to intrinsic worth. |
Valuation Mispricing Risk-adjusted Intrinsic Discount |
AISamsung achieved first design win with Nvidia for high bandwidth memory chips, validating its position in the AI-driven HBM chip market. Alphabet has participated in the AI frenzy despite longer-term risks to advertising revenue. |
HBM Memory Nvidia Data Centers Semiconductors | |
SemiconductorsSamsung was late to the AI party but achieved milestone with Nvidia HBM design win. Memory chips are found across vast array of end products from data centers to automobiles. Finite production capacity exists for DRAM with small number of capable players. |
Memory DRAM Fabrication Samsung Capacity | |
Risk AppetiteThe fund constantly considers what could go wrong and evaluates companies across economic cycles. They believe current environment is full of risks including geopolitical, regulatory, leverage, supply chain, and tariffs. Market remains momentum-driven with expensive valuations. |
Downside Cycles Momentum Valuations Geopolitical |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | TEL | TE Connectivity plc | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Acquisitions, Automation, cashflow, Connectivity, data centers, dividends, Grid, reliability, Sensors | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | SAF FP | Safran SA | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | Euronext Stock Exchange | Aerospace, aftermarket, Air Traffic, Cyclical, efficiency, Engines, guidance, Maintenance, Margins | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, deleveraging, divestitures, Governance, Ingredients, leverage, Margins, Multiples, turnaround | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | MTN | Vail Resorts, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Leisure Facilities | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Cyclical, inflation, Labor, leverage, Margins, seasonality, valuation, Visitation, Weather | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bear | NASDAQ | AI, cloud, Expectations, growth, Multiples, Platforms, TAM, valuation, Workflows | Login |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | Materials | Materials | Bull | NYSE | cashflow, deleveraging, Ingredients, Margins, restructuring, specialty, turnaround, valuation | Login |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | KMX | CarMax, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Discretionary | Bull | NYSE | Autos, Credit, Cyclical, Execution, leverage, Margins, retail, valuation | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | FPA Source Capital | 005930.KS | Samsung Electronics Co Ltd | Information Technology | Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment | Bull | Korea Stock Exchange | Artificial Intelligence, DRAM, Geographic Diversification, HBM, memory chips, NVIDIA, oligopoly, Semiconductor Fabrication, semiconductors, South Korea | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | FPA Source Capital | BOL.PA | Bollore SE | Communication Services | Media | Bull | Euronext Paris | Asset Simplification, balance sheet improvement, conglomerate, discount to NAV, media, net asset value, Structural Transformation, Universal Music Group, value unlocking, Vivendi | Login |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | FPA Source Capital | UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | Industrials | Commercial Services & Supplies | Bull | NASDAQ | Analyst Coverage Gap, capital allocation, Cash Flow Reinvestment, Dual Business Model, long-term investment, recurring revenue, REIT Economics, Sector Misclassification, Self-storage, Truck Rental | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet was the top contributor to performance over the trailing twelve months, contributing 2.36% to the Fund's return and representing 3.4% of the portfolio on average. |
| ADI | Analog Devices, a leading supplier of analog and mixed-signal semiconductors, benefited mostly from strong demand tied to AI infrastructure, industrial automation, and communications equipment. During the quarter, shares rose after ADI reported record quarterly results, including 37% year-over-year revenue growth, expanding margins, and management pointing to record bookings across several end markets. Investors were further encouraged by the company's announced acquisition of Empower Semiconductor (closed in early July) and guidance for continued growth into the second half of the year. |
| C | Citigroup contributed 0.98% to performance over the trailing twelve months and represented 0.9% of the portfolio on average. |
| TEL | TE Connectivity contributed 0.98% to performance over the trailing twelve months and represented 1.7% of the portfolio on average. |
| GLEN.L | Glencore contributed 0.83% to performance over the trailing twelve months and represented 2.2% of the portfolio on average. |
| CMCSA | We have discussed our exposure to cable broadband providers, through holdings in Comcast and Charter/Liberty Broadband in the past. Still, the stocks continue to see pressure as fiber and fixed wireless operators take share. Heading into 2020, both stocks had a strong run as residential broadband demand increased when people were forced to work from home. Since that time, shares have sold off and now trade at historically depressed valuations against a backdrop of strong FCF generation and share repurchases. While we aspire to own growing businesses at reasonable valuations, there will periodically also be room in a diversified portfolio for small positions that trade at cheap multiples and reasonable business prospects, which both Comcast and Charter fit at present. |
| AON | Aon was a bottom contributor to performance, contributing -0.46% over the trailing twelve months and representing 1.6% of the portfolio on average. |
| CHTR | We have discussed our exposure to cable broadband providers, through holdings in Comcast and Charter/Liberty Broadband in the past. Still, the stocks continue to see pressure as fiber and fixed wireless operators take share. Heading into 2020, both stocks had a strong run as residential broadband demand increased when people were forced to work from home. Since that time, shares have sold off and now trade at historically depressed valuations against a backdrop of strong FCF generation and share repurchases. While we aspire to own growing businesses at reasonable valuations, there will periodically also be room in a diversified portfolio for small positions that trade at cheap multiples and reasonable business prospects, which both Comcast and Charter fit at present. Charter Communications contributed -0.40% to performance over the trailing twelve months and represented 0.2% of the portfolio on average. |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands contributed -0.31% to performance over the trailing twelve months and represented 0.4% of the portfolio on average. |
| KMX | CarMax contributed -0.31% to performance over the trailing twelve months and represented 1.3% of the portfolio on average. |
| NVDA | At year-end 2024 investors were generally bullish on Nvidia, ChatGPT had been introduced two years earlier. Nvidia had seen its revenue increase by 4x, and stock increase 6x since the introduction of ChatGPT. Despite being a well-recognized beneficiary of AI-led chip demand, analysts materially underestimated Nvidia's near-term performance. At year-end 2024, analysts expected 2026 revenue of $130-150bn. Run-rate will be closer to $400bn. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||