Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 8.38% | 4.26% | 18.38% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 8.38% | 4.26% | 18.38% |
Source Capital delivered strong performance with NAV gaining 4.26% in Q4 2025 and 18.38% for the trailing twelve months, outperforming its balanced benchmark. The fund maintains a value-aware investment philosophy, focusing on finding quality companies at attractive valuations rather than momentum plays. Key equity contributors included TE Connectivity, which benefited from AI infrastructure and industrial automation demand, and Safran, which saw record profits from aerospace aftermarket recovery. The managers are reducing high yield credit exposure due to historically low spreads that offer insufficient compensation for credit risk, while increasing private credit allocation to 25.9% of committed capital. The strategy emphasizes global securities with lower market capitalizations, believing these offer asymmetric risk-reward opportunities overlooked by the investment community. With an average holding period exceeding five years, the fund targets companies where both quality and value intersect, avoiding speculative areas where reward for risk is insufficient. The balanced approach between equities and credit, combined with disciplined value investing, has generated market-leading returns while emphasizing absolute return protection.
Source Capital employs a value-aware, benchmark-agnostic approach that seeks rare intersections of quality and value, focusing on global securities with lower market capitalizations while maintaining a balanced exposure between equities and credit.
The managers maintain a value-aware approach, focusing on finding quality companies at attractive valuations rather than making top-down market bets. They believe the investment community is overlooking various market constituents that offer asymmetric risk-reward for patient investors willing to look forward three to five years, particularly in global securities with lower market capitalizations.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10 2026 | 2025 Q4 | ADI, CRM, GOOGL, IFF, META, MSFT, MTN, NOW, NTDOY, ORCL, SAF.PA, SAP, SNOW, TEL, WDAY | Balanced, credit, private credit, Quality, small caps, value |
TEL SAF FP IFF MTN MSFT |
The fund emphasizes being 'value aware' and focuses on finding rare cases where both quality and value intersect. They regularly search the 52-week low list for potential opportunities rather than momentum plays. The managers believe the investment community is casting its gaze away from various market constituents that offer asymmetric risk-reward for those willing to look forward three to five years. The fund is actively investing in global securities with lower market capitalizations, believing these offer attractive opportunities that are being overlooked. They note there may be a shrinking pool of active investors with the interest and resources to conduct in-depth research on lower market-cap names. Source has 25.9% committed to private credit including called and uncalled capital as of quarter-end. The managers continue to look for opportunities to increase that exposure, viewing private credit as an attractive asset class for the fund's balanced strategy. The fund is responding to historically low credit spreads by reducing exposure to high yield and other lower-rated debt. They believe current spreads offer insufficient compensation for credit risk and increase the risk of permanent impairment of capital. The managers are downside-focused and do not share the market's optimism needed to justify such low spreads. |
| Nov 27 2025 | 2025 Q3 | C, GOOG, IFF, JDE GR, KMX | CashFlow, credit, Quality, Spreads, value |
IFF KMX |
Source Capital stresses valuation discipline in both equities and credit amid stretched spreads and crowding in risk assets. The fund favors businesses demonstrating margin resilience, free-cash-flow visibility, and improving returns on capital. Credit markets price perfection, offering little compensation for impairment risk at historically low spreads. |
| Aug 14 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | - | - | |
| May 14 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
Credit StressThe fund is responding to historically low credit spreads by reducing exposure to high yield and other lower-rated debt. They believe current spreads offer insufficient compensation for credit risk and increase the risk of permanent impairment of capital. The managers are downside-focused and do not share the market's optimism needed to justify such low spreads. |
Credit spreads High yield Credit risk Permanent impairment Risk compensation |
Private CreditThe space has become very popular with lots of LP money chasing returns. Some sponsors have paid extremely high prices and lent on unfavorable terms. Many have also lent into the AI/data-center space to businesses with questionable futures. |
Credit Lending Risk | |
Small CapsSmall caps getting strong start in 2026 supported by easing monetary conditions and constructive fiscal backdrop. Small caps more sensitive to economic cyclicality which is overdue for expansion. Expected to grow at better pace than large caps in 2026 after long period of underperformance. |
Value Growth Cyclical Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy | |
ValueManager emphasizes investing in controlled companies trading at significant discounts to NAV, with European holding companies showing discounts of 30-68%. The strategy focuses on securities mispricing where real value exists, contrasting with overvalued technology stocks. |
Discounts NAV Mispricing Undervalued Controlled | |
| 2025 Q3 |
ValueThe manager continues to find attractive value opportunities despite expensive markets, purchasing undervalued companies like Centene, GlaxoSmithKline, Carrefour and PayPal trading at low multiples with strong fundamentals. |
Undervalued Low Multiples Contrarian Opportunistic |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | Materials | Materials | Bull | NYSE | cashflow, deleveraging, Ingredients, Margins, restructuring, specialty, turnaround, valuation | Login |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | KMX | CarMax, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Discretionary | Bull | NYSE | Autos, Credit, Cyclical, Execution, leverage, Margins, retail, valuation | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | TEL | TE Connectivity plc | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Acquisitions, Automation, cashflow, Connectivity, data centers, dividends, Grid, reliability, Sensors | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | SAF FP | Safran SA | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | Euronext Stock Exchange | Aerospace, aftermarket, Air Traffic, Cyclical, efficiency, Engines, guidance, Maintenance, Margins | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, deleveraging, divestitures, Governance, Ingredients, leverage, Margins, Multiples, turnaround | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | MTN | Vail Resorts, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Leisure Facilities | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Cyclical, inflation, Labor, leverage, Margins, seasonality, valuation, Visitation, Weather | Login |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Fund Letters | Mark Landecker | MSFT | Microsoft Corporation | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bear | NASDAQ | AI, cloud, Expectations, growth, Multiples, Platforms, TAM, valuation, Workflows | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| ADI | Best economics in analog: 70%+ gross margins, 45–50% EBIT target, rising ROIC. Premium positioning: 4X average selling prices, mission-critical sockets, extreme switching costs. Hybrid manufacturing edge: ~5% capex vs. peers 15%+ → superior free cash flow + resilience. Maxim synergies: power + systems mix shift, margin accelerator. Secular and cyclical tailwinds: industrial automation, EV electrification (wireless battery management system), AI data center power & test, 100% ADI alpha hit rate~39% annualized returns in past upcycles and we believe 2Q25 marked the restart; pricing + margin inflection underway. |
| CRM | By looking at their Rnancials, FactSet, PayPal, Adobe, and Salesforce seem to be doing Rne. The market, however, is reading subdued revenue growth as a sign of increased competition on their core oSerings. These companies' outlooks look more di'cult than their past. |
| GOOGL | In the third quarter, Google, Kairos Power, and the Tennessee Valley Authority announced a major collaboration centered on a novel power purchase agreement. Google followed this announcement with another significant step forward. On October 27, Google and NextEra Energy announced plans to restart the Duane Arnold Energy Center. |
| IFF | Poor management has plagued International Flavors & Fragrances for years. As a leading producer of food, beverage, scent, home and personal care, and health products and ingredients, its products are ubiquitous across many household staples. Prior management's reckless capital allocation and ineptitude at managing its diverse global enterprise, transforming a high-margin, unlevered company into one with a lower margin and a higher level of leverage. We have a constructive view of the new CEO, who has renewed the company's focus on being a best-in-class operationally with a smaller product suite. We believe that their current $4 of free cash earnings could increase to $5-6 in a few years, and if successful, their P/E should also rise. With its stock currently at $67, a reasonable downside could be around $60, and its upside could be around $125. |
| META | On January 9, Meta Platforms unveiled a new agreement with Vistra—the largest generator of competitive electricity in the United States—as well as with TerraPower and Oklo. The announcement builds on Meta's agreement last year with Constellation Energy and positions the company to become one of the largest corporate purchasers of nuclear-generated electricity in the United States. |
| MSFT | MSFT was a detractor in 4Q25 following its fiscal first-quarter 2026 earnings report released on October 29. While results were better than expected operationally, investor reaction was driven by guidance and capital expenditure intensity rather than headline performance. Revenue grew 17% year-over-year, exceeding consensus expectations, and Azure revenue increased 39% year-over-year, also ahead of estimates. However, management guided to a sequential deceleration in Azure growth in fiscal Q2, signaling some moderation after a period of exceptional demand. |
| MTN | Vail Resorts operates mountain resorts and ski lodging, with the majority of revenue derived from US properties. It probably goes without saying that one can't ski without snow. Unfavorable weather conditions throughout 2025 dragged on visitations and skier spending. In addition, rising labor and operational costs have further pressured margins, and management has failed to reassure investors. We believe that Vail's challenges are more cyclical than structural, and if/when snowfall averages revert, an undemanding valuation could help underpin an increase in the stock price. |
| NOW | In the case of ServiceNow, the stock weakened following reports of a potential large acquisition while the company has also been challenged by bearish sentiment across the software as a service or SAAS segment. |
| NTDOY | Nintendo delivered yet another solid quarter — this time despite a swirl of concerns around the Switch 2's holiday performance. The noise began with questionable 'third-party data' suggesting U.S. holiday sales were running roughly 35% below the original Switch's comparable 2017 period, spooking 'investors' and raising questions about whether the $449 price point was capping demand. Those fears only intensified after Walmart ran Cyber Monday promotional markdowns that were widely — and incorrectly — interpreted as company-led price cuts (Nintendo doesn't discount its hardware). We've decided to save our thoughts on recent concerns on memory pricing for a separate piece, but suffice it to say, the proximate causes behind the latest rounds of false panic in Nintendo's equity almost defy description. |
| ORCL | Investor enthusiasm for Oracle's stock in calendar year 2025 was initially driven by several multi-billion-dollar contracts it signed with leading AI companies, including OpenAI and Meta. However, in Q4 sentiment for ORCL's growth prospects shifted to skepticism, as investors began to scrutinize the return profile of the substantial capital investments required to support the approximately $500 billion of contracts signed by Oracle. Given the widening range of potential outcomes associated with Oracle's elevated capital needs, we reduced our position in ORCL during Q4. |
| SAF.PA | Safran, buoyed by robust aerospace and aftermarket parts demand, reported record profits for the prior year in early 2025. As global air traffic continued to recover and air carriers ramped up maintenance projects, the company saw stronger aftermarket growth and converted operational efficiency gains into higher earnings, prompting management to raise full-year guidance for 2025. |
| SAP | We trimmed SAP SE. |
| SNOW | Snowflake is a popular cloud-based platform that provides comprehensive data warehousing services, mainly for large businesses. By being cloud native, Snowflake helps companies more easily store, analyze and share their data across an entire organization, which has become a crucial ingredient for companies prioritizing IT infrastructure upgrades that can incorporate more AI functionality. A recently expanded partnership with Anthropic highlights how the company is quickly deepening its AI capabilities. Competition is fierce, but Snowflake has become the leading player in cloud data storage, especially for those companies looking for an agnostic solution that can support the multiple hyperscalers that many companies employ. Snowflake's unique and dominant position in the data warehousing market, in what should be a high-growth profitable and sticky business over time, makes the company an attractive investment. |
| TEL | Longtime holding TE Connectivity benefitted in 2025 from continued demand growth in several of the markets in which it sells into, including: AI infrastructure and data center connectivity; energy and grid update cycling; and industrial automation. TE also acquired Richards Manufacturing earlier in the year, which helped strengthen the company's competitive position in industrial and utility markets, and raised the dividend throughout 2025. |
| WDAY | Finally, we have exited our relatively small position in Workday. The company's growth has decelerated the past few quarters and the Financials segment of the business (~25% of sales) is growing slower than we believe it should be. This is a company we may revisit at a later date but, for now, feel that we have better opportunities in other areas of the portfolio. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||