Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 5.4% | 38.2% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.2% | 33.0% | 17.4% | -11.4% | 34.4% | 2.8% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 5.4% | 38.2% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.2% | 33.0% | 17.4% | -11.4% | 34.4% | 2.8% |
Frontaura delivered strong Q4 2025 returns of 5.44% net, capping an exceptional year with 38.15% annual gains. The three-year winning streak reflects multiple factors: rebound from 2022 selloff, ongoing bull cycle from April 2020, high dividend yields, valuation recovery from historic lows, exceptional earnings growth, and cyclical shifts including dollar weakness and potential investor preference changes toward international assets. Portfolio EPS growth of 16% YTD through Q3 2025 continues to surprise positively, following years of double-digit growth. The fund's disciplined approach focuses on avoiding overvaluation, managing country concentration, and capitalizing on major selloffs. Key risks include global financial events, currency crises, and geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Colombia (9% weight) amid Trump-Petro tensions. However, historical analysis shows major selloffs create opportunities for subsequent outperformance. With portfolio trading at 6.9x PE versus S&P 500's 29x, valuations remain attractive. The managers maintain conviction in their disciplined value approach while acknowledging potential multi-year tailwinds from favorable macro trends.
Frontaura maintains a disciplined value approach in frontier and emerging markets, focusing on high-quality companies with strong earnings growth and attractive dividends, while managing country-level risks and capitalizing on major market dislocations.
The managers conclude they have probably worried too much about global risk events, given their strong track record of recovery from major selloffs. They expect to continue their disciplined approach while acknowledging potential tailwinds from dollar weakness and shifting investor preferences toward international assets, though these trends need more time to confirm as long-term changes.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13 2026 | 2025 Q4 | - | Colombia, dividends, Dollar, earnings, emerging markets, frontier markets, Geopolitical, value | - | Portfolio EPS growth has been exceptionally strong, with 2025 YTD growth of 16% through Q3, including 31% in Q2 and 42% in Q3. This follows… |
| Dec 2 2025 | 2025 Q3 | - | consumption, demographics, frontier, Inefficiency, reforms | - | Frontier equity markets continue to benefit from structural reforms, strong demographic tailwinds, and improving business environments. The manager highlights persistent inefficiencies due to low liquidity… |
| Jul 9 2025 | 2025 Q2 | EMIRATES UH, MUCPIY IND, UBA NL, ZENB LN | consumption, demographics, frontier, mispricing, reforms | - | Frontier markets benefit from structural growth, demographic expansion, and long-term capital inflows as underpenetrated industries scale. The letter highlights mispricing driven by poor liquidity and… |
| Apr 4 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Dec 31 2024 | 2024 Q4 | - | - | - | - |
| Oct 31 2024 | 2024 Q3 | - | - | - | - |
| Jul 20 2024 | 2024 Q2 | AGI PM, ASAI LN, EMBONOR-B SN, OPTIMA GA | - | - | - |
| Apr 15 2024 | 2024 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Sep 30 2023 | 2023 Q3 | - | - | - | - |
| Jul 18 2023 | 2023 Q2 | QUINENC CI | - | - | - |
| Mar 31 2023 | 2023 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Sep 2 2023 | 2022 Q4 | - | - | - | - |
| Sep 11 2022 | 2022 Q3 | - | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
DividendsJapanese companies paid record dividends of ¥18 trillion for fiscal year ending March 2025, a 13.8% year-over-year increase. Many major firms have adopted progressive dividend policies guaranteeing dividends will never be cut, only maintained or increased. |
Progressive Dividend Record Payouts Shareholder Returns Yield Growth |
DollarDollar depreciated -9% against trading partners in 2025, worst year since 2017. De-dollarization trend accelerating as world shifts away from US. Reduced net dollar exposure from 25% to 8% following geopolitical tensions and superpower positioning concerns. |
Depreciation De-dollarization Reserves Geopolitical | |
EarningsEarnings are central to the manager's optimism with consensus expectations pointing to meaningful acceleration in small-cap earnings in 2026, with growth projected in the low-to-mid teens and exceeding that of large-cap companies. This anticipated rebound reflects easier year-over-year comparisons, improving operating leverage, and broadening demand across cyclical and value-oriented sectors. |
Earnings Growth Operating Leverage Cyclical Sectors Consensus Estimates Earnings Revisions | |
ValueManager emphasizes investing in controlled companies trading at significant discounts to NAV, with European holding companies showing discounts of 30-68%. The strategy focuses on securities mispricing where real value exists, contrasting with overvalued technology stocks. |
Discounts NAV Mispricing Undervalued Controlled | |
| 2025 Q3 |
Frontier |
|
| 2025 Q2 |
Frontier |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Elevator Pitches found | ||||||||||
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| No ticker commentary found. | |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||