Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
Horizon Kinetics maintains their core value investing philosophy while expanding into private market opportunities that align with their long-term approach. The firm deliberately avoids direct AI-IT investments, instead focusing on companies controlling critical resources like natural gas, water, and land needed for data center infrastructure. Their largest holdings include exchanges, royalty companies, and asset-light businesses with high returns on equity that benefit from inflation. Key positions include Texas Pacific Land, Miami International Holdings, and various Permian Basin water and land infrastructure companies. The firm sees a logical inconsistency in AI sector forecasts, where either chip makers face declining revenues or IT companies cannot reduce capital spending. They believe institutional capital will eventually recognize the value of resource-controlling companies that have minimal index presence. The approach emphasizes making time work for investors through unbroken compounding rather than frequent trading, with portfolio companies offering near-perpetual business models and sustainable competitive advantages.
Long-horizon value investing focused on companies that control necessary and limiting resources for major economic trends, particularly AI infrastructure buildout, while avoiding direct exposure to technology companies that face competitive and capital allocation pressures.
The firm expresses confidence in their positioning, emphasizing they are where they want to be with no institutional imperative to participate in popular market sectors. They expect investment capital to flow in different directions once resource constraints for AI-IT companies become apparent to the broader investment community.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AAPL, AMD, AMZN, AVGO, GOOGL, ICE, LB, META, MIAX, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, STR, TPL, VNOM, WTTR | AI, Compounding, energy, Exchanges, long-term, private markets, value, water | - | The firm avoids direct AI-IT company investments but focuses on beneficiaries of AI infrastructure buildout. They invest in companies controlling necessary resources like natural gas,… |
| Oct 27 2025 | 2025 Q3 | ALS CN, EME, LB, MSB, SJT, TRC, WBI | gold, inflation, Natural Gas, Scarcity, water |
WPM CN ALS CN SJT MESABI WPM CN ALS CN SJT MESABI |
The letter explored localized inflation as a defining macro theme, driven by constrained supply in resources like gold, potash, and natural gas. Horizon Kinetics expects… |
| Aug 7 2025 | 2025 Q2 | 6544 JP, AB, TPL | commodities, energy, inflation, Pricing Power, real assets |
6544 JP AB |
- |
| May 5 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Jan 28 2025 | 2024 Q4 | - | - | - | - |
| Oct 31 2024 | 2024 Q3 | - | - | - | - |
| Jul 27 2024 | 2024 Q2 | - | - | - | - |
| May 18 2024 | 2024 Q1 | GBTC, GLW, MU, TPL | - | - | - |
| Jan 27 2024 | 2023 Q4 | - | - | - | - |
| Oct 11 2023 | 2023 Q3 | - | - | - | - |
| Jul 20 2023 | 2023 Q2 | AAPL, AMZN, BSX IND, CMS, MSFT, PEP | - | - | - |
| Apr 5 2023 | 2023 Q1 | CVEO, TPL | - | - | - |
| Jan 20 2023 | 2022 Q4 | - | - | - | - |
| Oct 10 2022 | 2022 Q3 | ALS CN, LIF CN, PCH, RYN, TPL | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI has become a dominant theme across major equity indices, with Nvidia leading the S&P 500, ASML dominating MSCI EAFE, and TSMC leading emerging markets. The fund benefited from AI-related dynamics, particularly through Samsung's memory products experiencing substantial price increases due to DRAM shortages driven by AI demand. |
Semiconductors Memory DRAM Technology Nvidia |
EnergyCanadian energy sector positioned to benefit from regulatory reform and government cooperation with Alberta. US military action in Venezuela aimed at accessing oil sector, with administration asking US energy companies to invest $100 billion in Venezuelan infrastructure. |
Oil Gas Regulatory Reform Alberta Venezuela | |
ExchangesLong history of investing in securities exchanges from TPL to MIAX to ICE. The firm views exchanges as blue-chip businesses with near-perpetual longevity that don't fail or get displaced. |
Securities Exchanges Trading Clearing Technology | |
ValueBlue Tower focuses on value investing with international diversification. The manager notes that the valuation spread between cheap and expensive stocks is one of the greatest in market history, creating a favorable environment for their value-oriented approach. |
Value International Cheap Expensive Valuation | |
WaterBQE Water secured a landmark 20-year contract with the BC government to operate the Britannia Mine Water Treatment Plant, representing the largest operations agreement in company history for treating mine-impacted water. |
Water Treatment Mining Environmental Operations | |
| 2025 Q3 |
InflationInflation has continued to be a persistent feature in Japan and has prompted changes in both corporate and consumer behavior. Importantly, inflation has fed through to corporate earnings and equity performance. Companies that have successfully passed on higher costs to consumers have benefited from improved operating margins. |
Inflation Corporate Earnings Operating Margins Consumer Behavior Cost Pass-through |
Natural GasKodiak Gas Services provides mission-critical large-horsepower compression infrastructure upstream of LNG exports and downstream power demand from AI-driven data centers. The company benefits from robust demand in the Permian and other basins through long-term, take-or-pay style contracts. |
LNG Energy Infrastructure Compression Permian Energy | |
Scarcity |
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| 2025 Q2 |
EnergyDiversified Energy Company provides natural gas exposure positioned for data center energy needs and LNG growth. PetroTal offers oil production exposure at significant discount to NAV despite operational challenges. Energy transition themes present across multiple holdings. |
Natural Gas Oil LNG Energy Transition |
InflationInflation has continued to be a persistent feature in Japan and has prompted changes in both corporate and consumer behavior. Importantly, inflation has fed through to corporate earnings and equity performance. Companies that have successfully passed on higher costs to consumers have benefited from improved operating margins. |
Inflation Corporate Earnings Operating Margins Consumer Behavior Cost Pass-through |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | SJT | San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | NYSE | contrarian, Distribution, natural gas, recovery, Reserves, Royalty, yield | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | MESABI | Mesabi Trust | Materials | Iron & Steel | Bull | NYSE | arbitration, inflation, Iron, materials, Royalty, Steel, valuation | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | 6544 JP | Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co.,Ltd. | Industrials | Specialty Business Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | compounding, Elevators, Japan, Maintenance, Margins, services | Login |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | AB | AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. | Financials | Capital Markets | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Assetmanagement, dividends, Fees, Income, Inflows, valuation | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | WPM CN | Wheaton Precious Metals | Materials | Precious Metals & Mining | Bull | TSX | cashflow, compounding, efficiency, Gold, inflation, inflation hedge, Royalty | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | ALS CN | Altius Minerals | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | TSX | Copper, diversification, inflation, Potash, renewables, Resources, Royalty | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | SJT | San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | NYSE | contrarian, Distribution, natural gas, recovery, Reserves, Royalty, yield | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | MESABI | Mesabi Trust | Materials | Iron & Steel | Bull | NYSE | arbitration, inflation, Iron, materials, Royalty, Steel, valuation | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | WPM CN | Wheaton Precious Metals | Materials | Precious Metals & Mining | Bull | NYSE | cashflow, compounding, efficiency, Gold, inflation, inflation hedge, Royalty | Login |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Murray Stahl | ALS CN | Altius Minerals | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | NYSE | Copper, diversification, inflation, Potash, renewables, Resources, Royalty | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| AAPL | The largest 10 companies, by market capitalization, had reached 40.7% of the S&P 500 by the end of 2025, up from roughly 30% at the end of 2021. At the top of this list are Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Broadcom (AVGO), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA). Apple: Market capitalization near $4 trillion. A double requires creating a company larger than the size of Walmart, JPMorgan, and Pfizer combined. |
| AMD | AMD was mentioned as an example of businesses that already make money, have shown they can do so through cycles and are priced so that we do not need everything to go right. |
| AMZN | We added to our holdings in Amazon.com Inc. |
| AVGO | Broadcom, a leading semiconductor company and long-term holding, continued to execute well amid strong demand for custom silicon supporting AI workloads. |
| GOOGL | I'm willing to go bankrupt rather than lose this race. Larry Page, co-founder of Google |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a long-term holding and remains a top 10 position in the Fund. ICE's share price has been under pressure, largely due to AI-related concerns. The share price has already recovered 15% from recent lows. |
| META | Meta was cited as a larger position that contributed little despite what I thought was positive operating progress, representing opportunity cost in the portfolio. |
| MIAX | Today, most Horizon Kinetics clients own shares of a development-stage company in which HK did participate as a private-market insider long before its August 2025 IPO. This is Miami International Holdings (MIAX). MIAX, like most IPOs, has yet to achieve normalized scale economies. But unlike most IPOs, it is of a blue-chip character with near-perpetual expected longevity. As the first significant new U.S.-licensed securities exchange in almost two decades, it has the competitive advantage of a latest-technology, built-to-suit trading and information platform, and so is expanding very rapidly. Revenue through September 2025 is well over 20% above last year. |
| MSFT | OpenAI's well-documented 'circular' funding with its business partners (NVIDIA, Microsoft, among others) is additional cause for concern. |
| NVDA | Nvidia sits at the top of the S&P 500 as the designer in the AI ecosystem. |
| ORCL | Investor enthusiasm for Oracle's stock in calendar year 2025 was initially driven by several multi-billion-dollar contracts it signed with leading AI companies, including OpenAI and Meta. However, in Q4 sentiment for ORCL's growth prospects shifted to skepticism, as investors began to scrutinize the return profile of the substantial capital investments required to support the approximately $500 billion of contracts signed by Oracle. |
| TPL | That TPL report had neither a price nor holding period target. It did describe a near-perpetuity of friction-free internal compounding that was not exposed to the usual business expenses and risks of making acquisitions, new product development or marketing. It was simply an entity that directed the free cash flow from its passively derived revenues toward the repurchase of its undervalued shares. From the initial recommendation more than 30 years ago, the annualized price appreciation to date has been 25%. Texas Pacific Land Corp. announced on December 17 that it concluded an agreement with a private company known as Bolt Data & Energy to develop large-scale data center campuses and related infrastructure across TPL land. |
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| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
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