Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 40.1% | 14% | 0% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| 82.9% | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 40.1% | 14% | 0% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| 82.9% | 20.2% | 18.5% |
Jackson Peak Capital delivered +14.0% net returns in Q4 2025, driven by event-driven positions, fundamental longs, and net exposure management. The fund's largest contributor was Confluent, where their August acquisition thesis was validated by IBM's December acquisition announcement. They initiated a significant position in EchoStar as an event-driven play on SpaceX's potential 2026 IPO, given EchoStar's 2.8% SpaceX ownership stake. Net exposure was reduced from 55% to 25% during the quarter as markets reached upper percentile valuations and tech positioning became stretched. The manager used QQQ puts to hedge exposure and profit from the tech sector's late-October reversal. Looking ahead to 2026, they see a rich opportunity set driven by uncertainty around Fed policy, tariff decisions, AI infrastructure ROI demonstration, and OBBB legislation impact. The fund returned +82.9% net for full-year 2025, bringing cumulative returns since inception to +160.5% with 0.14 correlation to markets.
Jackson Peak Capital operates a concentrated long/short equity strategy focused on delivering attractive absolute returns with low market correlation through event-driven positions, fundamental longs, and active net exposure management.
The manager sees a rich opportunity set heading into 2026 for long/short strategy, driven by uncertainty and dispersion around key variables including Fed policy, tariff decisions, AI ROI demonstration, and OBBB legislation impact. Net exposure decisions will be guided by these factors, operating within their established exposure range framework.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18 2026 | 2025 Q4 | CFLT, CORZ, GTLB, PZZA, QQQ, SATS | Event-Driven, Exposure Management, Long/Short, M&A, technology, valuation | SATS | Jackson Peak delivered +14.0% in Q4 through event-driven M&A plays and tactical exposure management. Confluent's IBM acquisition validated their thesis while EchoStar position captures SpaceX IPO optionality. Net exposure cut from 55% to 25% amid stretched valuations. Strong 2025 performance of +82.9% demonstrates strategy effectiveness across market environments. |
| Nov 27 2025 | 2025 Q3 | CFLT, GTLB, TSLA, TTD, UNH | AI, Event-Driven, Long/Short, momentum, Power, Speculation, volatility | CFLT | Jackson Peak returned -2.9% in Q3 as momentum dominated fundamentals in speculative markets. The fund capitalized on AI infrastructure power opportunities and event-driven positions in Confluent and Tesla. With markets at historical extremes pricing in substantial good news, the manager anticipates potential pullback while maintaining 55% net exposure across US and European long positions. |
| Jul 27 2025 | 2025 Q2 | BABA, ENR.DE, HEI.DE, IWM, LDO.MI, META, PLTR, RHM.DE, TTAN | AI, defense, Europe, Long/Short, SPACs, tariffs, volatility | TTAN | Jackson Peak delivered +24.0% in Q2 2025, outperforming during April's tariff-driven selloff through concentrated long/short positioning. Key drivers included profitable SPAC trades, AI thesis plays like META, and European defense exposure. Net exposure increased to 56% with geographic diversification. Manager sees fat-tailed risks ahead but remains excited about opportunities from volatile market conditions. |
| May 30 2025 | 2025 Q1 | COIN, HPE, MU, NVDA, PDD, TSLA | AI, China, crypto, Election, Fed, international, Long/Short, technology |
TSLA COIN PDD NVDA MU HPE |
Jackson Peak delivered +20.2% in 2024 through event-driven election trades and AI positioning, but has turned defensive post-Fed meeting. The fund is shifting from US to international exposure amid concerns over elevated valuations and policy uncertainty. Strong performance driven by Tesla, Coinbase, and Nvidia, while maintaining disciplined risk management approach. |
| Feb 8 2024 | 2024 Q4 | COIN, HPE, IWM, MU, NVDA, PDD, QQQ, TSLA | AI, China, Election, Event Driven, Hedging, Long/Short, technology |
TSLA COIN PDD NVDA MU HPE |
Jackson Peak delivered 20.2% net returns in 2024 through successful event-driven trades around the election, particularly Tesla and Coinbase positions, plus Chinese ADR investments. The fund has shifted defensive post-December Fed meeting, increasing cash and international exposure while reducing US equity bias. Manager sees cracks in bull market foundation but expects opportunities from policy changes and international themes. |
| Aug 2 2024 | 2023 Q4 | ATVI, EDR, ENZ, HAYW, LESL, NVDA, SAVE, VRT | AI, interest rates, Long/Short, Merger Arbitrage, rates, special situations, technology |
MELI|NFLX|ORCL|TCOM|VRTX|YUMC ATVI LESL EDR |
Jackson Peak delivered 11.8% in Q3 through disciplined long-short execution across AI beneficiaries, merger arbitrage, and strategic shorts. Manager tactically reduced exposure amid rate concerns while maintaining conviction in AI data centers and special situations. Strong performance across all portfolio buckets demonstrates the strategy's ability to generate returns in challenging markets through asymmetric positioning. |
| Aug 11 2023 | 2023 Q3 | ATVI, EDR, ENZ, HAYW, LESL, NVDA, SAVE, VRT | AI, interest rates, Long/Short, Merger Arbitrage, real estate, special situations, technology |
MELI|NFLX|ORCL|TCOM|VRTX|YUMC ATVI LESL |
Jackson Peak delivered +11.8% in Q3 2023 through disciplined long-short execution, reducing net exposure amid rising rates while capturing wins across AI beneficiary Vertiv, Microsoft/Activision arbitrage, and COVID over-earner shorts. The fund's alternative approach demonstrated strong downside protection in challenging markets, positioning for continued special situations opportunities in merger arbitrage and undervalued holding companies. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI infrastructure plays dominated 2025 returns, with 65% of Russell 2000's return coming from AI infrastructure. The manager questions whether this singular bet on five companies' data center CAPEX spending will persist, noting the market's extreme concentration around this theme. |
Infrastructure Data Centers CAPEX |
Small CapsSmall caps continued to underperform large caps in 2025's narrow market. The manager notes that small cap returns were dominated by AI infrastructure plays and speculative unprofitable companies, creating extreme bifurcation in performance. |
Russell 2000 Performance Underperformance | |
QualityQuality businesses today trade at historically cheap multiples due to extreme valuation disparities between winners and losers. The manager sees this as creating opportunities for quality-focused investors in an actively managed portfolio approach. |
Valuation Multiples Cheap | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIJackson Peak identified attractive opportunities in AI infrastructure power supply chain, specifically high-performance computing companies with existing data center infrastructure and reliable power access. Several positions were former bitcoin miners that pivoted to data center compute. Big tech companies contracted with these firms to utilize their data centers and power due to longer timelines for greenfield development. |
Data Centers Power Infrastructure Computing |
Risk AppetiteQ3 was characterized by extreme speculative activity with momentum dominating price action independent of fundamentals. The Goldman Sachs Speculative Trading Indicator posted one of its sharpest 3-month spikes on record. Markets maintained an unrelenting bid upward with remarkably low volatility, creating conditions where any dip was swiftly bought. |
Speculation Momentum Volatility Market Dynamics | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AIFocus on companies leveraging AI to enhance core operations as large language models become enterprise-ready. Researching software companies that could benefit from AI instead of being cannibalized by it. META and BABA represent this thesis. |
Enterprise AI Language Models Software Operations Displacement Risk |
Defense SpendingEuropean rearmament and greater self-reliance driven by Russia-Ukraine war and JD Vance's Munich Security Conference speech. Investing in fiscal stimulus and rearmament beneficiaries including Rheinmetall and Leonardo. |
Rearmament European Defense Fiscal Stimulus Self-reliance | |
SPACsEvent-driven trade capitalizing on attractive entry into SPACs trading near NAV with favorable characteristics. Active in 21 SPACs across common stock, units, warrants, rights and options, contributing +12.1% gross return. |
Event-driven NAV Warrants Units Rights | |
Energy TransitionSiemens Energy seeing robust demand with orders growing 52% year-over-year as the company reported strong quarterly results and raised outlook for the year. |
Grid Infrastructure Energy Equipment Order Growth | |
| 2025 Q1 |
AIAI capex cycle has underpinned much of the market rally since 2023, with Nvidia as the leader. The manager held positions in AI-related companies including Nvidia, Micron for memory and storage solutions, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise in the AI hardware value chain. |
Nvidia Capex Hardware Memory Storage |
CryptoPositioned long in Coinbase for an event-driven trade around the US election, seeing opportunity for crypto industry to reprice under a different regulatory regime. The prior administration took an adversarial approach to crypto companies. |
Coinbase Regulatory Election Bitcoin | |
E-commerceHeld Pinduoduo as part of a basket of Chinese ADRs, with the thesis that Chinese ecommerce companies were trading at attractive valuations as Chinese government stimulus efforts gained momentum. |
Pinduoduo China Valuations Stimulus | |
| 2024 Q4 |
AIAI capex cycle has underpinned much of the market rally since 2023, with Nvidia as the leader. The fund held positions in AI-related companies including Nvidia, Micron for memory and storage solutions, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise in the AI hardware value chain. |
Nvidia Semiconductors Hardware Capex Memory |
CryptoPositioned long in Coinbase for an event-driven trade around the US election, anticipating regulatory regime changes under the new administration. The crypto industry saw their preferred candidate win, leading to a significant rally as markets repriced potential outcomes. |
Coinbase Regulation Election Policy | |
Electric VehiclesHeld Tesla as an event-driven trade into and following the US election, with significant position additions after the election. The position benefited from the connection between Elon Musk and the winning candidate, leading to a repricing of right-tail distributions. |
Tesla Election Regulation Policy | |
ChinaInvested in Chinese ADRs including Pinduoduo, viewing them as trading near all-time low valuations while the Chinese government began taking stimulus seriously. The thesis was based on attractive valuations with PDD trading at mid-single digit P/E with large cash position. |
ADRs Stimulus Valuations E-commerce | |
| 2023 Q4 |
AIManager remains bullish on AI tailwinds but trimmed exposure during Q3 amid peak optimism and market crowding. Portfolio retains exposure to companies with direct operations in the AI cycle, particularly data center thermal management. Will look to add back other AI beneficiaries when positioning is less crowded. |
Data Centers Semiconductors Technology Growth Momentum |
RatesManager became particularly focused on long-term interest rates after Treasury's higher-than-expected bond issuance announcement. Real rates moving significantly positive after 15 years of negative/near-zero levels could create widespread negative carry effects for leveraged assets. Monitoring rate levels closely for risk management and short idea generation. |
Interest Rates Treasury Inflation Monetary Policy Credit Stress | |
Biopharma M&AManager participated in Microsoft/Activision merger arbitrage successfully and sees continued opportunities in large merger arbitrage spreads. Weak antitrust cases continue to be brought forward due to politics, creating attractive risk/reward positions when facts favor defendants. Currently following JetBlue/Spirit Airlines case closely. |
Mergers Arbitrage Antitrust Regulatory Special Situations | |
| 2023 Q3 |
AIManager remains bullish on AI tailwind but trimmed exposure during Q3 amid peak optimism. Portfolio retains exposure to names with direct operations in this AI cycle stage. Vertiv contributed significantly as it serves thermal management in rapidly constructed AI data centers. |
Data Centers Semiconductors Cloud Technology Growth |
RatesManager became cautious due to surge in long-term interest rates, particularly after Treasury's QRA announcement. Focus on real rates impact given 15 years of accommodation. Higher rates create negative carry for leveraged assets and raise hurdle rates for risk assets. |
Interest Rates Treasury Monetary Policy Real Rates Fixed Income |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Fund Letters | Patrick O’Brien | SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Communication Services | Alternative Carriers | Bull | NASDAQ | Event-driven, IPO, NAV, Satellite, spinoff | Login |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Fund Letters | Patrick O’Brien | CFLT | Confluent, Inc. | Information Technology | Information Technology | Bull | NASDAQ | acquisition, AI, Data, infrastructure, Software, Streaming, valuation | Login |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | TTAN | ServiceTitan | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI Beneficiary, Cloud software, HVAC, Plumbing, SaaS, software platform, Trade Services, Unlock Selloff | Login |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | COIN | Coinbase Global Inc | Financials | Financial Exchanges & Data | Bull | NASDAQ | Crypto industry, cryptocurrency, Election trade, Event-driven, Financial Exchange, Political Catalyst, Regulatory change | Login |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | TSLA | Tesla Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Automobile Manufacturers | Bull | NASDAQ | Election trade, Electric Vehicles, Event-driven, Political Catalyst, Regulatory change, Republican administration, Volatility | Login |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | PDD | PDD Holdings Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bull | NASDAQ | cash-rich, Chinese ADR, contrarian, e-commerce, low valuation, Stimulus, Underinvestment, value investing | Login |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co | Information Technology | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | Bear | NYSE | AI hardware, Capital Rotation, Hardware infrastructure, portfolio optimization, Position exit, Relative value, Value chain | Login |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | MU | Micron Technology Inc | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bear | NASDAQ | AI cycle, Carry trade unwind, memory semiconductors, Position management, Storage Solutions, Technology drawdown, Timing error | Login |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI leader, CapEx cycle, data center, growth, Market rally driver, semiconductors, technology | Login |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | Information Technology | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | Bear | NYSE | AI hardware, capital allocation, Enterprise Technology, infrastructure, Position exit, Relative value, Value chain | Login |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | TSLA | Tesla Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Automobile Manufacturers | Bull | NASDAQ | Election trade, Electric Vehicles, Event-driven, Political Catalyst, Regulatory change, Right tail, Volatility | Login |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | COIN | Coinbase Global Inc | Financials | Financial Exchanges & Data | Bull | NASDAQ | crypto exchange, cryptocurrency, Election trade, Event-driven, Financial infrastructure, Political Catalyst, Regulatory change | Login |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | PDD | PDD Holdings Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bull | NASDAQ | cash-rich, Chinese ADRs, contrarian, e-commerce, Government stimulus, low valuation, Underinvestment, Value | Login |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Artificial Intelligence, CapEx cycle, infrastructure, market rally, semiconductors, Technology leader | Login |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | MU | Micron Technology Inc | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bear | NASDAQ | AI cycle, Carry trade, Memory, Position management, semiconductors, Storage, technology | Login |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | ATVI | Activision Blizzard | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | antitrust, Equity, Event-driven, Gaming, Merger Arbitrage, Microsoft Acquisition, Regulatory risk, Special situations | Login |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | LESL | Leslie's Inc | Consumer Discretionary | Specialty Retail | Bear | NASDAQ | Bear, COVID Over-earner, Equity, Leverage risk, Mean Reversion, Pool Supplies, short selling, Specialty retail | Login |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | MELI|NFLX|ORCL|TCOM|VRTX|YUMC | Vertiv Holdings | Information Technology | Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components | Bull | NYSE | AI infrastructure, Bull, Cooling Solutions, data centers, Equity, technology infrastructure, thermal management | Login |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | ATVI | Activision Blizzard | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | antitrust, Equity, Event-driven, Gaming, Merger Arbitrage, Regulatory risk, Special situations | Login |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | LESL | Leslie's | Consumer Discretionary | Specialty Retail | Bear | NASDAQ | COVID Over-earner, Equity, Leverage risk, Mean Reversion, Pool Supplies, short selling, Specialty retail | Login |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | EDR | Endeavor Group Holdings | Communication Services | Entertainment | Bull | NYSE | entertainment, Equity, Event-driven, Holding Company Discount, Special situations, Sports Media, strategic alternatives, take-private | Login |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Fund Letters | Jackson Peak Capital | MELI|NFLX|ORCL|TCOM|VRTX|YUMC | Vertiv Holdings | Information Technology | Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components | Bull | NYSE | AI infrastructure, Cooling Solutions, data centers, Equity, technology hardware, thermal management | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| CFLT | CFLT, one of infrastructure software investments, reported a slightly disappointing quarter. The disappointment, in our opinion, was largely cosmetic. The market, however, severely punished the stock, treating the mild disappointment on one key performance indicator as if it was existential. We disagreed and used the opportunity to make CFLT one of our biggest positions, believing this to be a very strategic asset. Late in the fourth quarter we were validated when IBM announced a bid to acquire the company for a 35% premium. |
| CORZ | We also welcomed the return of Core Scientific to the long book. The position had previously migrated into the arbitrage book during merger-related activity with CoreWeave and now once again reflects a fundamental long opportunity following the collapse of that transaction. A notable contributor was the Core Scientific / CoreWeave merger arbitrage and subsequent trading around the unlock, which added approximately +550 basis points to portfolio performance. |
| GTLB | We identified GitLab (GTLB) as a short opportunity based on structural and competitive risks to its business model. GitLab provides a Development, Security, and Operations platform designed to help organizations build, secure, and deploy software across the development lifecycle. The company monetizes its platform through a subscription model primarily priced on the number of developer "seats" at each customer. We believe this model is increasingly vulnerable as advances in Generative Artificial Intelligence reshape how software is developed. Over the past several years, GenAI has emerged as one of the defining investment themes, driving significant investment in AI infrastructure and spurring rapid innovation in AI‑enabled coding tools such as Claude Code, Cursor, and Windsurf. These tools have expanded developers' productivity and, in some cases, reduced the amount of manual coding required, raising questions about long‑term demand for traditional seat‑based pricing models. In addition, GitLab's unified platform faces growing competitive pressure from AI‑native point solutions as enterprises increasingly favor best‑of‑breed tools rather than bundled offerings. Competitive intensity is further heightened by GitHub, owned by Microsoft, which continues to benefit from Microsoft's substantial distribution advantages and has increasingly become a widely adopted platform for developers. Recent operating trends have reinforced these concerns, with net customer additions at higher spending tiers, slowing meaningfully compared to the prior year. Taken together, we believe these dynamics increase the risk of revenue growth underperformance and valuation pressure should expectations fail to be met. |
| PZZA | Other detractors included Edgewell Personal Care, security systems company Arlo Technologies, communications equipment business Netgear and pizza restaurant chain Papa John's International |
| QQQ | Most investors should be able to capture the big winners by owning QQQ over the long term. Picking winners and losers during such a time of disruption is very difficult. |
| SATS | December saw the GA-Courtenay Special Situations fund (USD I) appreciate by +6.3%, resulting in a return for 2025 of +6.5%. The positive result was primarily driven by price appreciation in Echostar and Filtronic, the fund's largest two positions, and both publically listed proxies for SpaceX. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
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| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||