Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 12.16% | -12.25% | -12.25% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 12.16% | -12.25% | -12.25% |
The Forty Fund returned -12.25% in Q1 2026, underperforming the Russell 1000 Growth Index which returned -9.78%. Stock selection in consumer discretionary detracted while industrials contributed to relative performance. Key detractors included Oracle, which declined despite gaining hyperscale market share with a $500+ billion backlog, due to concerns over infrastructure funding and AI disruption of legacy software. DraftKings fell on weaker 2026 guidance and competitive pressures from prediction markets. Contributors included Eaton, benefiting from data center power management opportunities, and Howmet Aerospace, capitalizing on aircraft parts demand and defense industry growth. The managers remain constructive on markets despite near-term uncertainty from Middle East conflicts and oil price volatility. They emphasize that AI demand will continue exceeding supply, driving capital investment in critical bottlenecks. The team maintains focus on rigorous fundamental analysis to identify companies positioned to benefit from AI transformation while using market volatility to find compelling opportunities missed by other investors.
The fund focuses on identifying companies best positioned to emerge from the AI transition with enhanced competitive advantages and expanding growth potential, using rigorous fundamental analysis and bottom-up stock selection with a long-term investment horizon.
We remain constructive on the broader market outlook, despite near-term uncertainty. We do not expect events in the Middle East to materially disrupt U.S. economic activity. Consumer spending has held up well, particularly among higher-income households supported by asset appreciation.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 2026 | 2026 Q1 | DKNG, ETN, HWM, ORCL | AI, Data centers, growth, large cap, software, technology |
ORCL DKNG ETN HWM |
The fund underperformed in Q1 2026 as Oracle and DraftKings detracted despite strong fundamentals, while Eaton and Howmet contributed through data center and aerospace exposure. Managers remain constructive, emphasizing AI-driven capital investment opportunities and using their long-term approach to capitalize on market volatility to find mispriced growth companies. |
| Jan 16 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AAPL, AMZN, ARGX, AVGO, DHR, ETN, GOOGL, LLY, MA, MDGL, MELI, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, TSM | AI, Cloud, growth, healthcare, large cap, Pharmaceuticals, technology |
ORCL ETN LLY MDGL |
Forty Fund underperformed in Q4 as AI volatility hurt Oracle and Eaton despite strong fundamentals. Healthcare outperformed with Eli Lilly's GLP-1 success and Madrigal's MASH leadership. Managers remain optimistic on 2026 given stable growth, potential Fed easing, and secular trends in AI, life sciences, and digital transformation through disciplined stock selection. |
| Oct 16 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AAPL, AMZN, ARGX, AVGO, CMG, DKNG, GOOGL, MA, MDGL, MELI, META, MRVL, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, SHOP, TSM | AI, Cloud, growth, healthcare, large cap, semiconductors, technology |
ORCL US MELI US |
The Forty Fund focuses on companies aligned with secular growth themes like AI, cloud, and onshoring. Oracle and TSMC drove performance through AI positioning, while Marvell was exited due to data center weakness. Despite Q3 underperformance, managers remain optimistic about broadening economic growth from Fed rate cuts and continued secular trends driving long-term compounding opportunities. |
| Jul 24 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AAPL, AMZN, ARGX, AVGO, DHR, HWM, MA, META, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, TSM, UNH | aerospace, AI, Cloud, growth, healthcare, semiconductors, technology |
ORCL AVGO HWM ORCL AVGO HWM UNH MA |
Forty Fund outperformed with 19.34% returns driven by AI infrastructure plays Oracle and Broadcom, plus aerospace recovery story Howmet. Healthcare holdings detracted on policy uncertainty. Managers focus on secular growth themes including AI deployment, cloud migration, and onshoring trends. Added to AI names during April weakness, increasingly targeting application layer beneficiaries as AI monetization accelerates. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | AAPL, AMZN, AVGO, DDOG, GOOGL, HWM, ICE, LLY, LVS, MA, MELI, META, MNST, MRVL, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, PCVX, TSM | AI, growth, large cap, Risk Appetite, technology, Trade Policy, volatility |
HWM ICE MRVL DDOG |
The fund outperformed during Q1's risk-off rotation despite trade policy headwinds. Strong stock selection in consumer discretionary and financials offset tech weakness. Aerospace and financial services holdings demonstrated resilience while AI-related positions faced guidance pressures. Managers remain focused on competitively advantaged companies positioned for market share gains, expecting AI growth to shift toward application-layer beneficiaries. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
AIAI remained a powerful investment theme with continued share price gains for companies supplying the AI supply chain. Demand for AI compute will continue to exceed supply for the foreseeable future, fueling ongoing capital investment and opportunities for companies in critical bottlenecks such as memory, compute, and power generation. |
Compute Infrastructure Memory Power Hyperscale |
Data CentersEaton has growing opportunity to supply data centers, resulting in strong order and backlog growth. Howmet has longer-term opportunity tied to production of gas turbines to power data centers. Hyperscalers are expanding their 2026 capital spending plans. |
Power Management Infrastructure Cooling Turbines Capital Spending | |
| 2025 Q4 |
RatesThe SARB cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November 2025, bringing the repo rate to 6.75%. The SARB predicts a 75-basis-point decline in the repo rate over the next 15 months, with the repo rate expected to stand at 6.0% by March 2027. The Fund is positioned to benefit from this declining rate environment. |
Interest Rates SARB Repo Rate Monetary Policy |
InflationSA's consumer price inflation for November 2025 came in at 3.5% and is expected to remain subdued, reaching 3.0% by February 2026. The SA Reserve Bank's new inflation target of 3%, with a 1 percentage point tolerance band, contributed towards lower inflation expectations and positive sentiment. |
CPI Inflation Target Price Stability | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIExcitement around artificial intelligence was a strong driver of market gains. Oracle emerged as a leading player in the AI market with strong competitive position and close relationships with leading AI and hyperscaler partners. The fund sees accelerating demand for AI cloud-based workloads driving rapid hyperscaler investment in AI infrastructure, with revenue-generating opportunities moving beyond infrastructure to the application layer. |
Cloud Infrastructure Hyperscalers Applications Productivity Workflow |
SemiconductorsTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company benefited from its position as the world's dominant chip manufacturer and leading supplier of graphics processing units for companies like NVIDIA at the forefront of AI buildout. However, Marvell Technology faced weaker than anticipated data center revenues and near-term slowing in custom application-specific integrated circuits sales. |
Foundries GPUs Data Centers Custom Silicon Manufacturing | |
CloudOracle's Cloud Infrastructure business showed exceptional forward guidance with several multibillion-dollar contracts leading to large increases in remaining performance obligations. The fund sees cloud migration as a secular driver of economic growth alongside other digitization trends. |
Infrastructure Migration Contracts Revenue Visibility Digitization | |
Data CentersThe fund identified opportunities in power management companies benefiting from the surge in data center construction needed to support AI infrastructure. Data center construction is being driven by accelerating demand for AI cloud-based workloads. |
Construction Power Management Infrastructure AI Workloads Investment | |
E-commerceMercadoLibre, a leading online retailer and financial technology company in Latin America, faced increased competition from other online retailers such as Amazon and Shopee. Despite competitive pressures, the fund believes MercadoLibre remains the dominant operator in a Latin American region where e-commerce and financial technology are underpenetrated. |
Latin America Competition Financial Technology Underpenetrated Dominant | |
OnshoringThe fund is upbeat on reshoring as a secular driver of economic growth, leading to new investments in domestic manufacturing in industries from semiconductors to pharmaceuticals. This represents a structural shift in manufacturing location preferences. |
Domestic Manufacturing Semiconductors Pharmaceuticals Investment Structural | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AIHyperscalers continue essential AI infrastructure investments with accelerating demand expected as compute costs decline. The fund is increasingly focused on application layer beneficiaries and the productivity AI could create over the next decade. Early signs show enterprise software companies successfully monetizing AI through their installed base. |
Infrastructure Hyperscalers Applications Enterprise Productivity |
CloudOracle has successfully established itself as a major cloud provider by procuring GPU availability ahead of other hyperscalers and making architectural decisions that allow smaller, compartmentalized clouds versus competitors' mega-clouds. This technology advantage has helped Oracle win sovereign deals globally. |
Infrastructure GPU Sovereign Architecture Hyperscalers | |
SemiconductorsBroadcom benefits from hyperscalers' interest in a second source behind NVIDIA's merchant silicon. The company leads in custom silicon development, offering lower cost and better efficiency for specific workloads. Custom silicon has gained share relative to merchant chips. |
Custom Silicon Merchant Efficiency Workloads Share | |
Data CentersPower management companies are benefiting from the surge in data center construction needed to support AI infrastructure. These themes are driving massive infrastructure and capacity buildouts from AI chips and cloud data centers. |
Construction Power Infrastructure Capacity Buildouts | |
OnshoringIndustrial stocks benefited from reshoring trends as part of durable secular growth themes including deglobalization. These trends are driving domestic manufacturing and infrastructure buildouts. |
Manufacturing Domestic Deglobalization Industrial Trends | |
AerospaceHowmet Aerospace continued to benefit from cyclical aerospace recovery and aftermarket demand. The company has gained market share by investing through the down cycle while competitors pulled back, and benefits from industrial gas turbine demand supporting power generation needs for AI infrastructure. |
Recovery Aftermarket Turbine Power Generation Market Share | |
| 2025 Q1 |
AIDespite uncertainty around AI spending pace pressuring tech stocks, the fund expects infrastructure spending to continue as hyperscalers expand capacity. As compute costs decline, demand for AI applications should accelerate, with growth potentially shifting toward software and data-rich companies that can monetize AI through productivity gains and new services. |
Infrastructure Hyperscalers Applications Software Productivity |
Trade PolicyThe administration's trade policy has injected significant concern and uncertainty into markets. Investors are trying to understand how long tariffs will remain in place, consumer response to expected materially higher prices, and potential inflationary impact on the economy. |
Tariffs Inflation Consumer Uncertainty Policy | |
Risk AppetiteMarket performance reflected a rotation to a risk-off environment with defensive-oriented sectors outperforming cyclical sectors, value stocks leading growth stocks, dividend-paying companies performing relatively well, and the Magnificent 7 tech stocks significantly lagging the broader market. |
Risk-off Defensive Value Dividends Rotation |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | DKNG | DraftKings Inc | Gambling | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | NASDAQ | AI technology, Customer Engagement, Digital gaming, iGaming, prediction markets, Sports betting | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | ETN | Eaton Corporation plc | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Electrical Components & Equipment | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI infrastructure, data centers, energy efficiency, Industrial Equipment, liquid cooling, Power management | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | aerospace components, aftermarket services, Aircraft Parts, Data-Center Power, Defense, Gas turbines | Login |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | ORCL | Oracle Corporation | Software - Infrastructure | Systems Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI-Resistant, cloud infrastructure, Database, Enterprise software, hyperscale, Mission-critical systems | Login |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | ORCL | Oracle Corporation | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI, cloud, hyperscale, infrastructure, Rpo | Login |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | ETN | Eaton Corporation plc | Industrials | Electrical Equipment | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI, datacenters, Electrification, Margins, Power | Login |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | LLY | Eli Lilly and Company | Health Care | Pharmaceuticals | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Diabetes, Glp1, Obesity, pharmaceuticals, pipeline | Login |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | MDGL | Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Health Care | Biotechnology | Bull | NASDAQ | Adoption, Biotech, Druglaunch, Liverdisease, MASH | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | ORCL US | Oracle Corp. | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bull | NYSE | AI, cloud, growth, infrastructure, Margins, Software, valuation | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | MELI US | MercadoLibre, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bull | NASDAQ | Dominance, e-commerce, Fintech, growth, Latin America, Margins, platform | Login |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, custom silicon, efficiency, hyperscalers, semiconductors | Login |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | Industrials | Systems Software | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Aerospace, aftermarket, Gas turbines, market share, Power generation | Login |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Nick Schommer | ORCL | Oracle Corp. | Information Technology | Consumer Finance | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI, cloud, Gpu, Rpo, Sovereign Deals | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, custom silicon, GPU Alternative, hyperscaler, Merchant Silicon, semiconductors | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | NYSE | Aerospace, aftermarket, AI infrastructure, Aircraft Components, Cyclical Recovery, Industrial Gas Turbines, Power generation | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | ORCL | Oracle Corporation | Information Technology | Systems Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, cloud infrastructure, Enterprise software, Gpu, hyperscaler, SaaS, sovereign cloud | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | MA | Mastercard Incorporated | Information Technology | Data Processing & Outsourced Services | Bull | NYSE | Alternative Payments, digital payments, Fintech, payment processing, stablecoin, Transaction Processing | Login |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | Health Care | Managed Health Care | Bull | NYSE | Data Assets, healthcare, managed care, Medical costs, Medicare Advantage, Optum, Scale Advantages | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | NYSE | Aerospace, Aircraft Components, Boeing Supplier, Defense, manufacturing, market share gains, pandemic recovery | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | ICE | Intercontinental Exchange Inc | Financials | Financial Exchanges & Data | Bull | NYSE | Clearing Houses, Energy Trading, Financial Exchanges, Fixed Income Data, Interest Rate Volatility, Mortgage Technology, natural gas | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | MRVL | Marvell Technology Inc | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI infrastructure, Artificial Intelligence, custom silicon, data center, Growth Reset, hyperscalers, semiconductors | Login |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Fund Letters | Janus Henderson Forty Fund | DDOG | Datadog Inc | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI inferencing, Application Performance, cloud monitoring, Devops, Observability Platform, SaaS, Security Monitoring | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| ORCL | Oracle was a relative detractor for the quarter. While Oracle has continued to gain share in the hyperscale market, with a backlog of more than $500 billion, the stock declined in the first quarter on market concerns over the company's ability to fund its ambitious infrastructure buildout. Concerns about potential disruption in Oracle's legacy software businesses also pressured the stock. We believe these concerns are overstated, as Oracle has multiple avenues for funding growth due to its solid balance sheet and strong operating cash flow. Additionally, we believe its software business is relatively insulated from AI competition given its focus on mission-critical systems that require precision and confidentiality. We remain invested in the stock. |
| DKNG | DraftKings, another relative detractor, is a leading online sports-betting and iGaming company. Shares fell after the company reported weaker initial 2026 guidance, partly reflecting higher operating costs and slower customer growth trends. These results fueled concerns that traditional sports betting may be losing ground to the growing popularity of the sports prediction markets. DraftKings is taking steps to bolster its competitive position through its expansion into the predictions market, where we believe it may benefit from its brand strength and economies of scale. We continue to see long-term opportunity for the company, especially given its commitment to innovation and the use of AI to drive customer engagement. |
| ETN | Relative performance benefited from our investment in Eaton, which provides energy-efficient power management solutions to numerous end markets. Investors have been particularly excited about Eaton's growing opportunity to supply data centers, a business that has resulted in strong order and backlog growth. Eaton's recent acquisition of Boyd Gaming has also strengthened its position in liquid-cooling technology, which may be another growth opportunity tied to data centers. |
| HWM | Aircraft components manufacturer Howmet Aerospace was another contributor. Strong competitive positioning has enabled Howmet to capitalize on rising demand for aircraft parts, both to meet a growing orders backlog in the airplane production market and to service aging commercial airline fleets. The company also has experienced rising demand from the defense industry, and it has a longer-term opportunity tied to its production of gas turbines to power data centers. We invested in Howmet several years ago, as we believed the potential of the business was not fully appreciated by other investors. Our confidence paid off, as the company has continued to build on its competitive advantages, while more than doubling its operating margins over the past decade. |
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