Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | -0.5% | -7.1% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -7.1% | 22.2% | 16.1% | -24.4% | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | -0.5% | -7.1% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -7.1% | 22.2% | 16.1% | -24.4% | 20.5% | 23.1% |
Madison Small Cap Fund delivered disappointing 2025 results, declining 6.91% versus the Russell 2000's 12.81% gain, as the speculative bull market favored companies with no profits but AI thematic linkage. The fund's quality-focused approach was penalized in a market demanding offense over defense. Consumer Staples was the epicenter of underperformance, with the sector trading at historically steep discounts despite solid fundamentals. Software stocks faced pressure from AI displacement fears, though the manager rejects this thesis and used the selloff to add GitLab and Amplitude. Technology holdings showed mixed results, with AI-linked names like Ciena performing well while broader economy-dependent stocks languished. Portfolio activity included selling Ciena due to size constraints and Western Alliance due to credit concerns, while adding nuclear-exposed Mirion Technologies and data center plays. The manager believes high-quality businesses with durable moats can now be found at attractive prices, positioning for potential market rotation away from speculation toward fundamentals in 2026.
Focus on quality, durable business models with formidable moats while avoiding speculative investments that dominated 2025 market performance.
The manager is hopeful that the speculative market has run out of steam, though acknowledges markets can stay irrational longer than expected. They see opportunity in high quality businesses with durable moats now available at attractive prices. Key 2026 factors to monitor include a new Fed chair, fiscal stimulus, midterm elections, and continued geopolitical volatility. They remain focused on fundamental research and quality business models despite the challenging 2025 performance.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AAON, AMPL, CCOI, CFLT, CIEN, EHC, ENTG, FORM, GTLB, MIR, POWI, PRMB, RVLV, SMG, VCEL, VFC, VIAV, WAL, ZION | AI, Consumer Staples, Quality, Risk Appetite, small caps, software, Speculation, underperformance |
WAL CCOI CIEN MIR VCEL AMPL VIAV GTLB AAON |
The AI capital spending boom drove strong performance in select technology stocks like Ciena and Confluent. However, the manager questions how long the AI capital… |
| Oct 14 2025 | 2025 Q3 | CIEN, CRL, CSL, EXP, GMS, HXL, SAIA, SHAK, SMPL | aerospace, Artificial Intelligence, Construction, industrials, small caps |
HXL EXP CRL |
The fund underperformed amid speculative excess and AI-driven momentum but reaffirms its focus on quality small caps. It highlights opportunities in industrial and aerospace companies… |
| Jul 15 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | fundamentals, moats, Quality, small caps, volatility | - | The letter emphasizes quality small-cap businesses amid a volatile and speculative market environment. Management argues that recent rallies favoring low-quality stocks are unsustainable. Long-term returns… |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | EHC, OPCH | - | - | - |
| Dec 31 2024 | 2024 Q4 | AMN, FROG, GOGO, KN, MEDP, VFC, WSC | - | - | - |
| Sep 30 2024 | 2024 Q3 | WK | - | - | - |
| Jul 17 2024 | 2024 Q2 | FORM, INSP, LZ, OPCH, SUM | - | - | - |
| May 2 2024 | 2024 Q1 | CCOI, CHRD, HCP, MWA | - | - | - |
| Jan 14 2024 | 2023 Q4 | - | - | - | - |
| Oct 15 2023 | 2023 Q3 | 0K24 LN, AWI, BBCP, FROG, GOGO, HAYW, MGNI, NEWR, OLLI | - | - | - |
| Dec 7 2023 | 2023 Q2 | ACGL, AYX, CNM, WAL | - | - | - |
| Apr 14 2023 | 2023 Q1 | GMED, NATI, TCBI, XMTR | - | - | - |
| Dec 31 2022 | 2022 Q4 | HAIN, SMG | - | - | - |
| Oct 25 2022 | 2022 Q3 | BRP, OMI, TCBI, WSC | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
Consumer StaplesConsumer Staples was the epicenter of underperformance as investors showed no appetite for defensive businesses in a pro-cyclical, speculative bull market. The sector now trades at historically steep discounts despite facing perceived challenges including input cost inflation, GLP-1 impacts, and tariff supply chain effects. |
Defensive Valuation Discount Inflation Tariffs | |
Risk AppetiteManager emphasizes disciplined risk management through cycle awareness rather than market timing. Fund maintains cash cushion during high-risk periods and deploys capital countercyclically. Approach focuses on behavioral edge by having cash available when fear creates best entry points and avoiding leverage that leads to forced selling. |
Leverage Cash Volatility Positioning Discipline | |
Small CapsSmall caps getting strong start in 2026 supported by easing monetary conditions and constructive fiscal backdrop. Small caps more sensitive to economic cyclicality which is overdue for expansion. Expected to grow at better pace than large caps in 2026 after long period of underperformance. |
Value Growth Cyclical Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy | |
Software |
||
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
Industrial Recovery |
||
Small CapsSmall caps getting strong start in 2026 supported by easing monetary conditions and constructive fiscal backdrop. Small caps more sensitive to economic cyclicality which is overdue for expansion. Expected to grow at better pace than large caps in 2026 after long period of underperformance. |
Value Growth Cyclical Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy | |
| 2025 Q2 |
QualityThe company emphasizes investing in businesses with excellent economics, durable competitive advantages, and high-integrity management. This quality focus is evident in concentrated equity holdings and operating business acquisitions. |
Durable Advantages Management Quality Economic Moats Competitive Position |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | HXL | Hexcel Corporation | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | NYSE | Aerospace, Certification, Composites, duopoly, Free Cash Flow, Margins, recovery | Login |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | Materials | Construction Materials | Bull | NYSE | buybacks, construction, Cost advantage, Housing, materials, recovery, ROIC | Login |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International Inc. | Health Care | Life Sciences Tools & Services | Bull | NYSE | Biotech, Cro, deleveraging, growth, Margins, Outsourcing, research | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | WAL | Western Alliance Bancorp | Financials | Regional Banks | Neutral | New York Stock Exchange | banking, Capital, Creditrisk, exit, litigation | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | CCOI | Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. | Communication Services | Integrated Telecommunications Services | Bear | NASDAQ | dividends, exit, leverage, Telecom, valuation | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | CIEN | Ciena Corporation | Information Technology | Communications Equipment | Bear | New York Stock Exchange | AI, exit, Networking, valuation | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | MIR | Mirion Technologies, Inc. | Industrials | Electronic Equipment & Instruments | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI, Moats, Nuclear, Radiation, Recurringrevenue | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | VCEL | Vericel Corporation | Health Care | Medical Devices | Bull | NASDAQ | Cartilage, FDA, growth, Margins, Medtech | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | AMPL | Amplitude, Inc. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | analytics, Freecashflow, Moats, Software, turnaround | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | VIAV | Viavi Solutions Inc. | Information Technology | Communications Equipment | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, datacenters, Margins, Moats, Testequipment | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | GTLB | GitLab Inc. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Devops, Margins, Security, Software | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Faraz Farzam | AAON | AAON, Inc. | Industrials | Building Products | Bull | NASDAQ | Cooling, datacenters, HVAC, infrastructure, recovery | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| AAON | AAON declined after the company reported operational challenges related to a recent system rollout. |
| AMPL | Amplitude has undergone a significant turnaround that has gone largely unnoticed since new CFO Andrew Casey joined the company to reboot the sales force and manage the company for profitable growth and free cash flow. Amplitude is a leader in digital analytics software that tracks, analyzes, and predicts user behavior across digital products. We believe the current valuation is extremely attractive and estimate the intrinsic value to be $21. |
| CCOI | Every year is different and I endeavor to have great batting averages and great slugging percentages, but I also know that part of our strategy is to make bets on setups with relatively high variance, and we will get some of those wrong. My ongoing challenge as Recurve's manager is to size our investments appropriately given the opportunities, risks, and fundamental developments I see ahead for each of our portfolio companies. |
| CFLT | CFLT, one of infrastructure software investments, reported a slightly disappointing quarter. The disappointment, in our opinion, was largely cosmetic. The market, however, severely punished the stock, treating the mild disappointment on one key performance indicator as if it was existential. We disagreed and used the opportunity to make CFLT one of our biggest positions, believing this to be a very strategic asset. Late in the fourth quarter we were validated when IBM announced a bid to acquire the company for a 35% premium. |
| CIEN | Ciena, a networking systems company, saw shares increase meaningfully during the quarter amid optimism around hyperscaler and AI-related demand. The company has also benefited from growing cloud spending, which has supported its pluggables and data interconnect business. |
| EHC | Although the fundamentals for EHC are steady, EHC is both a defensive business and a defensive stock in a market that wants offense |
| ENTG | For Entegris (ENTG), margin pressure from expansionary efforts, combined with lackluster demand, helped contribute to lower earnings expectations. |
| GTLB | We identified GitLab (GTLB) as a short opportunity based on structural and competitive risks to its business model. GitLab provides a Development, Security, and Operations platform designed to help organizations build, secure, and deploy software across the development lifecycle. The company monetizes its platform through a subscription model primarily priced on the number of developer "seats" at each customer. We believe this model is increasingly vulnerable as advances in Generative Artificial Intelligence reshape how software is developed. Over the past several years, GenAI has emerged as one of the defining investment themes, driving significant investment in AI infrastructure and spurring rapid innovation in AI‑enabled coding tools such as Claude Code, Cursor, and Windsurf. These tools have expanded developers' productivity and, in some cases, reduced the amount of manual coding required, raising questions about long‑term demand for traditional seat‑based pricing models. In addition, GitLab's unified platform faces growing competitive pressure from AI‑native point solutions as enterprises increasingly favor best‑of‑breed tools rather than bundled offerings. Competitive intensity is further heightened by GitHub, owned by Microsoft, which continues to benefit from Microsoft's substantial distribution advantages and has increasingly become a widely adopted platform for developers. Recent operating trends have reinforced these concerns, with net customer additions at higher spending tiers, slowing meaningfully compared to the prior year. Taken together, we believe these dynamics increase the risk of revenue growth underperformance and valuation pressure should expectations fail to be met. |
| MIR | Mirion Technologies is a global leader in radiation detection, measurement, and monitoring solutions, serving both the nuclear and medical markets. The company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends in nuclear power and cancer care. We like the recurring-revenue, consumption-based business model and healthy EBITDA margins (~25%), with room to expand to 30%. We estimate the intrinsic value to be $30. |
| POWI | If the investment case rested largely on the health of the broader economy like Entegris (ENTG) and Power Integrations (POWI), then the stock languished. |
| PRMB | Primo Brands Corp. was one of the top five losers for the quarter, excluding hedges. |
| RVLV | RVLV was a positive contributor this quarter as shares rallied nearly 40%, reversing much of the year-to-date decline after earnings alleviated concerns around tariffs and margin pressure. Management demonstrated the ability to fully offset tariff impacts while maintaining demand, highlighting strong pricing power and brand resilience. We continue to see a long runway for market share gains and structural margin improvement over the medium term. |
| SMG | One of our bigger positions in Consumer Staples, Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) delivered generally solid fundamentals all year, yet the stock was still down nearly 8% for the year. This was not a particularly expensive stock heading into 2025. |
| VCEL | Vericel is a medical device company specializing in cartilage repair and burn care. VCEL's autologous cartilage repair product is differentiated and value-added for younger patients with knee cartilage defects of 2-4 cm. The company recently swung to profitability, and we see margin expansion as revenue ramps. Our intrinsic value estimate is $50 per share. |
| VFC | Portfolio companies like VF Corporation (VFC) and Revolve Group (RVLV) which were two of our strongest stocks in 2024, erased all their gains. |
| VIAV | Viavi Solutions' shares rose after the company reported strong third-quarter results and successfully completed the acquisition of a high-speed Ethernet testing business, expanding its exposure to data-centre end markets. |
| WAL | We sold our investment in Western Alliance upon finding the company was exposed to the First Brands bankruptcy via a note-on-note lending line to Jeffries/Point Bonita Capital. Our worst-case scenario analysis led us to conclude that there was a small but real probability of needing to raise capital. Credit fears could be an overhang on the shares for an extended period. Despite the recent price weakness, this has been a very successful investment for us. |
| ZION | Utah-based Zions Bancorporation (ZION) disclosed a $50m charge-off on two defaulted commercial and industrial (C&I) loans. The loans totaled $60 million and were found to involve apparent misrepresentations, contractual defaults, and other irregularities. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
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| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||