Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 17.4% | 11.5% | -16.9% | 42.5% | 29.5% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 17.4% | 11.5% | -16.9% | 42.5% | 29.5% |
Merion Road Small Cap Fund returned 8.5% in Q4 2025, bringing full-year returns to 9.2% versus Russell 2000's 12.7%. Manager Aaron Sallen maintains disciplined approach with 16% cash and 48% average beta-adjusted net exposure. Key drivers included Butler National's aerospace recovery with EBITDA growing from $6.5m to $8.8m, successful Bel Fuse capital structure arbitrage reaching all-time highs, and profitable short position that fell 40% on earnings disappointment. New position in Ascent Industries represents specialty chemicals turnaround story with new management from Dow Chemical, pristine balance sheet after debt elimination, and significant operating leverage potential at 50% facility utilization. AI exposure remains at 22% through GOOG, MSFT, and AMZN, though manager feels underweight relative to Magnificent Seven's 34% S&P weighting. Merger arbitrage position in Janus Henderson closed at $49 after initial $46 proposal. Performance attribution shows risk-free rate contributed 4.0%, market exposure 4.2%, and stock selection 1.0% for the year.
Focus on undervalued small-cap opportunities with strong fundamentals, turnaround potential, and special situations while maintaining disciplined risk management through cash reserves and selective positioning
Manager expresses comfort with current positioning and does not manage to monthly or yearly performance, focusing on long-term outperformance while managing risks
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29 2026 | 2025 Q4 | ACNT, AMZN, BELFA, BUKS, GOOG, JHG, MSFT | aerospace, AI, arbitrage, Chemicals, Long/Short, small cap, value |
JHG BELFB ACNT |
Manager maintains 22% AI exposure through GOOG, MSFT, and AMZN, though feels this is large but remains underweight relative to the S&P 500 where Magnificent… |
| Oct 28 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AMWD, BELFA, VCTR | Corporate Governance, defense, Drones, Housing, M&A |
KTOS VCTR AMWD BELFA KTOS VCTR AMWD BELFA |
The fund gained on strong performance from defense contractor Kratos, benefiting from rising U.S. military drone demand and improved long-term visibility. Management added exposure to… |
| Jul 15 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | Capital discipline, defense, efficiency, small caps, specialization | KTOS | The commentary emphasizes niche small-cap opportunities with exposure to defense, infrastructure, and asset-heavy businesses. Management highlights speed, cost efficiency, and specialized capabilities as competitive advantages.… |
| Apr 8 2025 | 2025 Q1 | BSET | - | - | - |
| Jan 31 2025 | 2024 Q4 | BELFA, CLH, GOOG, MCEM, UBAB, VCTR | - | - | - |
| Oct 29 2024 | 2024 Q3 | CURB, UBAB | - | - | - |
| Jul 14 2024 | 2024 Q2 | LAKE, MSA, NAPA, UBAB, VCTR | - | - | - |
| May 15 2024 | 2024 Q1 | BSET, CLH | - | - | - |
| Jan 22 2024 | 2023 Q4 | NAPA, SGA, SUM, UNTC | - | - | - |
| Oct 21 2023 | 2023 Q3 | DSGR, KLG | - | - | - |
| Jul 15 2023 | 2023 Q2 | DSGR, EDR, WWE | - | - | - |
| Apr 20 2023 | 2023 Q1 | RFIL, WCC | - | - | - |
| Jan 19 2023 | 2022 Q4 | CPRT, CRMT, FERG, GOOG, MHH, MWA, UBAB, WHG | - | - | - |
| Oct 10 2022 | 2022 Q3 | CRMT, FERG, GOOG, PTON, SIX | - | - | - |
| Jul 31 2022 | 2022 Q2 | - | - | - | - |
| Apr 30 2022 | 2022 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIThe extended federal government shutdown added volatility during what was otherwise a risk-on environment, with a mid-quarter shift in market behavior for AI-related equities as the exuberant narrative evolved to one more balanced in assessing the technology's enormous potential against staggering capital spending plans and high expectations. The team initiated a position in Credo Technology as a more diversified way to gain exposure to strong trends in AI-connectivity. |
Connectivity Semiconductors Infrastructure Capital Spending |
SpaceSpace is becoming part of everyday life with satellites supporting internet, defense, navigation, and climate monitoring. SpaceX has led efforts to lower launch costs by 95%, making supply cheaper and expanding viable missions. |
Space Satellites Launch SpaceX Commercial Space | |
Specialty ChemicalsAscent Industries represents a significant position focused on specialty chemical manufacturing. The company is transforming into a 'Chemicals-as-a-Service' model, providing customized solutions for small to mid-size customers neglected by larger players. |
Specialty Chemicals Manufacturing Niche Markets Chemical Services | |
| 2025 Q3 |
DefenseThe team initiated a position in Curtiss-Wright, believing the company is entering a period where multiple near-term growth drivers are converging, including rising defense budgets, commercial aerospace production ramps, nuclear power plant life extensions and new builds, and submarine production. |
Defense Budgets Aerospace Nuclear Submarines |
Housing |
||
| 2025 Q2 |
DefenseThe team initiated a position in Curtiss-Wright, believing the company is entering a period where multiple near-term growth drivers are converging, including rising defense budgets, commercial aerospace production ramps, nuclear power plant life extensions and new builds, and submarine production. |
Defense Budgets Aerospace Nuclear Submarines |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security Solutions | Industrials | Defense Technology | Bull | NASDAQ | Aerospace, Contracts, Defense, Drones, growth, Procurement, Production | Login |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | VCTR | Victory Capital Holdings | Financials | Asset Management | Bull | NASDAQ | acquisition, asset management, buybacks, cashflow, Distribution, synergy, valuation | Login |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | AMWD | American Woodmark | Consumer Discretionary | Building Products | Bull | NASDAQ | Housing, leadership, manufacturing, merger, synergies, tariffs, valuation | Login |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | BELFA | BEL Fuse Inc. | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | NASDAQ | arbitrage, electronics, Governance, management, merger, restructuring, valuation | Login |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security Solutions | Industrials | Defense Technology | Bull | NASDAQ | Aerospace, Contracts, Defense, Drones, growth, Procurement, Production | Login |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | VCTR | Victory Capital Holdings | Financials | Asset Management | Bull | NASDAQ | acquisition, asset management, buybacks, cashflow, Distribution, synergy, valuation | Login |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | AMWD | American Woodmark | Consumer Discretionary | Building Products | Bull | NASDAQ | Housing, leadership, manufacturing, merger, synergies, tariffs, valuation | Login |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | BELFA | BEL Fuse Inc. | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | NASDAQ | arbitrage, electronics, Governance, management, merger, restructuring, valuation | Login |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | NASDAQ | Contracting, Defense, Drones, Hypersonics, innovation | Login |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | JHG | Janus Henderson Group plc | Financials | Asset Management | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | asset management, Event-driven, IRR, Merger Arbitrage, Takeout | Login |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | BELFB | Bel Fuse Inc. Class B | Information Technology | Electronic Components | Bull | NASDAQ | arbitrage, capital structure, Dual-Class, electronics, valuation | Login |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fund Letters | Aaron Sallen | ACNT | Ascent Industries Co. | Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Bull | NASDAQ | deleveraging, Margins, operating leverage, specialty chemicals, turnaround | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| ACNT | Ascent Industries is specialty chemical manufacturer. It is the seventh largest position in our fund and has a $150m market cap. Founded in 1945, Ascent Industries began as a special chemical manufacturing business but spent decades diversifying into stainless steel, fiberglass tanks, and pipe & tubing. Years of mismanagement under an operationally inexperienced team left the stock flat for nearly two decades, burdened by rising debt, declining earnings, and bloated corporate costs. Brian Kitchen was brought in to lead the specialty chemicals division, becoming CEO of the entire company by 2024. Brian and his team are transforming the business into what he calls a 'Chemicals-as-a-Service' model – further carving out their niche as a one-stop solution for small and mid-size businesses neglected by the larger players. |
| AMZN | This quarter, we took profits in our hyperscaler portfolio companies (Amazon and Google) and increased our position in NVIDIA. |
| BELFA | Last letter I discussed the capital structure arbitrage whereby I bet on the discount of the A & B shares collapsing. In November both classes of equity sold off on their Q3 earnings release, a report that I actually viewed positively. I took that opportunity to cover our shorts thereby positioning us to make money based on both a) overall valuations recovering and b) the B discount shrinking. Since then, both classes of equity have reached all-time highs and the spread currently sits in the single digits. |
| BUKS | BUKS issued their Q2 report with EBITDA increasing from $6.5m to $8.8m. Importantly, aerospace revenue, margins, and backlog have all moved up meaningfully. The company, management, and board of directors continue to buy stock despite the higher share price. |
| GOOG | Alphabet's Q4 performance marks a significant triumph, characterized by a rare beat and raise narrative across all critical business segments. The company's recent earnings report was driven by a balanced contribution from its legacy Search and YouTube divisions, with Google Cloud emerging as the standout performer. Cloud's revenue growth reached an impressive 34%, and it boasts an extraordinary $155 billion backlog, a nearly double increase compared to the previous quarter. This remarkable transformation has propelled Cloud from a margin drag to a high-octane profit center. |
| JHG | During the quarter I acquired shares in Janus Henderson Group ("JHG") after they received a non-binding acquisition proposal by their largest shareholder to acquire the company at $46.00. With the stock trading below this initial salvo and at a relatively modest premium to its unaffected price, I viewed the risk / return profile to be attractive. I acquired shares over the next few weeks as the market continued to doubt the likelihood of an eventual transaction. A definitive agreement was reached at the end of December to sell the company at a price of $49.00 / share. I continue to own shares as the IRR to close remains attractive. |
| MSFT | MSFT was a detractor in 4Q25 following its fiscal first-quarter 2026 earnings report released on October 29. While results were better than expected operationally, investor reaction was driven by guidance and capital expenditure intensity rather than headline performance. Revenue grew 17% year-over-year, exceeding consensus expectations, and Azure revenue increased 39% year-over-year, also ahead of estimates. However, management guided to a sequential deceleration in Azure growth in fiscal Q2, signaling some moderation after a period of exceptional demand. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||