Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st March 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 10.62% | -10.16% | -10.16% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 10.62% | -10.16% | -10.16% |
Next Century Growth Investors' large cap strategy declined 10.16% in Q1 2026, underperforming the Russell 1000 Growth Index which fell 9.77%. The quarter was marked by heightened volatility driven by geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S.-Iran conflict that disrupted energy supplies and drove oil prices higher. Large cap stocks, especially mega-cap growth names, faced renewed scrutiny over valuations and business momentum. The portfolio benefited from AI infrastructure investments including semiconductors and data center buildout, as well as aerospace and defense holdings supported by elevated global defense spending. However, traditional software holdings were caught in a sector-wide selloff amid concerns about AI native companies disrupting established SaaS businesses. The manager reduced software exposure while maintaining overweight positions in industrials with secular growth drivers. Looking ahead, they believe conditions favor continued market broadening and see opportunities in high-quality growth businesses with durable competitive advantages, emphasizing the value of active management during periods of elevated volatility and shifting leadership.
Focus on high-quality growth businesses with durable competitive advantages, strong balance sheets, and long-term earnings power, emphasizing selectivity and fundamental quality in active portfolio construction during a period of market broadening.
The investment environment presents a mix of near-term uncertainties and longer-term opportunities. U.S. economic growth remains resilient, supported by steady consumer spending, improving earnings trends, and the lagged benefits of monetary easing. Conditions remain favorable for continued market broadening, with small cap stocks trading at attractive valuations relative to large cap stocks. This environment reinforces the value of active management and fundamental research.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22 2026 | 2026 Q1 | - | AI, defense, growth, industrials, large cap, small caps, technology | - | NCG's large cap strategy fell 10.16% in Q1 amid geopolitical tensions and mega-cap growth scrutiny. AI infrastructure and defense holdings outperformed while software faced pressure from AI disruption concerns. The manager reduced software exposure and maintains conviction in market broadening favoring high-quality growth businesses with durable competitive advantages over mega-cap concentration. |
| Jan 21 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AAPL, AMD, GE, GHI, GOOGL, HOOD, KNSL, MDB, MSFT, NFLX, ORCL, PGR, ROKU, SAIA, SPOT | active management, growth, Outperformance, Quality, small caps, technology | - | NCG delivered solid absolute returns but lagged benchmarks as quality factors headwinds persisted through 2025. Low-quality speculative stocks dramatically outperformed their high-quality growth focus. Despite near-term challenges, the firm maintains conviction in their proven investment philosophy and sees improving conditions ahead, particularly for small caps benefiting from Fed cuts and pro-growth policies. |
| Oct 24 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AAPL, APP, ARM, CRM, CYBR, GEV, HOOD, INSM, ISRG, MDB, NFLX, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PGR, TEAM, TOST, TYL | AI, growth, infrastructure, Quality, rates, small caps, technology |
NVDA AAPL APP MDB ORCL GEV HOOD |
NCG's Large Cap Growth strategy underperformed in 3Q25 due to speculative market conditions favoring low-quality stocks over their high-quality growth focus. The firm remains optimistic about AI infrastructure, pro-growth policies, and Fed rate cuts while maintaining disciplined investment approach. Portfolio activity included adding MongoDB, Oracle, and GE Vernova while trimming technology positions. |
| Aug 7 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AAPL, BROS, CAT, CDNS, CMG, CYBR, MRVL, MSFT, NVDA, SAIA, SNOW, TOST, TTD, UNH | growth, industrials, Infrastructure Spending, small caps, technology, Trade Policy | - | NCG delivered strong Q2 outperformance across most strategies despite initial tariff-related volatility. The firm sees compelling opportunities ahead driven by potential Fed rate cuts, pro-growth infrastructure policies, and historically attractive small cap valuations. They maintain disciplined focus on high-quality growth companies through direct research while positioning for secular growth drivers in industrials and technology. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | AAPL, AMD, AVGO, CRM, CSGP, CVNA, HWM, MRVL, NVDA, PANW, PGR, SNOW, SPOT, SYM, TEAM, TOST, TSLA, V | earnings, growth, large cap, Quality, technology | - | NCG's Large Cap Growth strategy underperformed in Q1 2025 due to technology sector weakness amid policy uncertainty following Trump's inauguration. Despite near-term headwinds from concerns over growth slowdown and inflation, the firm maintains conviction in their high-quality growth approach, seeing attractive valuations and potential catalysts including Fed support and infrastructure spending acceleration. |
| Dec 31 2023 | 2023 Q4 | AAPL, ADBE, CELH, CRM, DE, DXCM, GOOGL, KNSL, LLY, PEN, TOST, WDAY | growth, healthcare, Quality, small caps, software, technology |
KNSL ADBE WDAY |
NCG's growth-focused strategy underperformed in 3Q23 as healthcare holdings suffered from GLP-1 concerns while adding quality software names like Adobe and Workday. Despite macro headwinds and recession risks, the team sees reasonable valuations after 2021 declines and maintains conviction in their disciplined approach to owning America's fastest-growing, highest-quality companies for long-term outperformance. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q1 |
AIAI infrastructure investments including semiconductors, optical components, power buildout and site development performed well as spending on computing capacity, networking, and data-center build-outs remained robust. However, traditional SaaS software companies faced pressure from concerns that AI native companies could significantly alter their growth trajectory. |
Infrastructure Semiconductors Data Centers Software Computing |
Defense SpendingAerospace and defense holdings contributed positively to performance, supported by elevated global defense spending and growing order backlogs. The portfolio maintains overweight exposure to companies with secular growth drivers in aerospace. |
Aerospace Defense Order Backlogs Global Spending | |
Small CapsSmall cap stocks demonstrated notable resilience and outperformed large-cap benchmarks by a wide margin. This reflects market broadening as investors look beyond mega-cap stocks toward more domestically oriented companies with improving earnings momentum and attractive valuations. Small cap earnings growth turned positive in 2025 and is expected to stay positive and potentially accelerate in 2026. |
Outperformance Valuations Earnings Growth Market Broadening | |
| 2025 Q4 |
ValueFund focuses on buying shares in decent operating businesses at significant discounts to intrinsic value. European value stocks had their largest outperformance versus growth stocks in 30 years, beating them by 19 percentage points. Manager believes value will continue to outperform growth during the remainder of this decade. |
Value Investing Discount Intrinsic Value P/E Ratios Deep Value |
InsuranceVienna Insurance Group was the best performing stock, generating 158% return in USD. NN Group generated 85% return despite trading at discount to book value. Both companies demonstrate strong capital allocation and market leadership positions in their respective regions. |
Life Insurance P&C Insurance Central Europe Capital Allocation Book Value | |
ShippingFund exited car carrier operating companies after generating exceptional 110% IRR over five years. Maintains exposure through Wilh. Wilhelmsen Holding at 48% discount to NAV. Expects charter rates and vessel values to decline as new supply enters market. |
Car Carriers Shipping Maritime Charter Rates Vessel Values | |
BiotechnologyAdded RTW Biotech as new holding, believing gene splicing and editing are the next big thing. Fund trades at 16% discount to NAV despite 40% NAV growth. M&A activity has picked up substantially as Big Pharma faces patent cliff. |
Gene Editing Biotech M&A Patent Cliff China Innovation | |
Private EquitySold Altamir following tender offer, generating 16.4% IRR over 13 years. Deployed proceeds into other listed private equity funds trading at circa 30% discounts to NAV. These funds compound NAV at low teens rate and are considered top quartile. |
Listed Private Equity NAV Discount Secondary Market Top Quartile Capital Deployment | |
FertilizersYara International increased EPS from $1.75 to around $4.25 estimated for 2025. Manager expects Yara to surpass analysts' earnings expectations due to tight new supply and Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism in EU. Well-managed business owned for over 20 years. |
Nitrogen CBAM Supply Constraints EU Regulation Earnings Growth | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIArtificial intelligence presents great promise for enhancing business models and improving productivity long-term. In the near-term, the infrastructure needed to support AI buildout is spurring significant investment and capital expenditures, driving new growth opportunities for innovative companies across technology, industrials, and energy sectors. |
Infrastructure Productivity Technology Investment Growth |
Infrastructure SpendingThe new administration has implemented pro-growth policies including infrastructure spending, manufacturing re-shoring, critical mineral and pharmaceutical production, and defense spending. These policies are expected to support growth across many sectors of the domestic economy. |
Manufacturing Defense Domestic Policy Growth | |
Small CapsSmall cap growth stocks have started to play catch-up relative to large cap in 3Q, but there is still a long way to go. The rolling 10-year annualized return by small vs large stands at -3.4% per year and is in the 6th percentile going back to 1926, with valuations in the 10th percentile historically. |
Valuation Performance Relative Historical Opportunity | |
RatesThe Federal Reserve has begun cutting rates after nearly a year long pause and has indicated more cuts are coming. This should be good for the markets broadly, with small caps the prime beneficiary in past rate-cutting cycles. |
Fed Monetary Cycles Beneficiary Policy | |
| 2025 Q2 |
Trade PolicyThe quarter was marked by President Trump's Liberation Day tariff announcement on April 2nd, which created considerable concern for global markets due to the breadth of countries included, level of tariff rates imposed, and short implementation timeframe. However, the administration later put in place a 90-day pause on tariff implementation and started talking about numerous ongoing trade deal negotiations, causing markets to reverse course. |
Tariffs Trade Policy Negotiations |
Infrastructure SpendingStrong forces driving increased infrastructure spending in the US have been gaining momentum for the past couple years and remain intact. The new administration is working to accelerate this trend and NCG is finding companies which are direct beneficiaries, including the recent passage of the OBBB. |
Infrastructure Spending OBBB Beneficiaries | |
Small CapsThe rolling 10-year annualized return by small vs large stands at -7.3% and is the worst ever going back to 1926. The valuation of the small cap sector relative to large caps is in the 5th percentile historically, suggesting significant opportunity exists despite recent underperformance. |
Small Cap Valuation Relative Performance Opportunity | |
| 2025 Q1 |
GrowthNCG emphasizes investing in what they believe are the fastest growing and highest quality companies in America. They maintain focus on fundamental growth drivers of each holding despite challenging market conditions. The firm expects strong earnings growth in 2025 for small, mid and large cap companies, which would be a continuation of strong growth in large cap. |
Earnings Quality Fundamentals Revenue Profits |
TechnologyTechnology sector was a primary detractor from performance in Q1. The portfolio is slightly underweight technology but maintains significant exposure as growth fundamentals remain strong in many large index positions. NCG added five new technology positions including Snowflake, Salesforce, Marvell Technology, Broadcom, and Atlassian while selling Palo Alto Networks, AMD, and Toast. |
Software Semiconductors Cloud Enterprise Software Hardware | |
| 2023 Q4 |
GLP1Healthcare holdings underperformed due to investor perception that weight loss benefits from GLP-1 drug class will improve overall health, reducing prevalence of certain disease states and medical interventions. Long-term impact on business fundamentals remains unclear. |
Weight Loss Healthcare Medical Devices Pharmaceuticals Diabetes |
AIAdobe has quickly adopted AI which should enhance their product offerings as they continue to deliver double digit revenue growth approaching $20B in annual revenue. |
Software Cloud Enterprise Software Technology Innovation |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Fund Letters | NCG Large Cap Growth Strategy | KNSL | Kinsale Capital Group Inc | Financials | Property & Casualty Insurance | Bull | NYSE | claims management, Excess & Surplus, premium growth, Property & Casualty, specialty insurance, technology platform, underwriting | Login |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Fund Letters | NCG Large Cap Growth Strategy | ADBE | Adobe Inc | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | AI integration, Cloud software, Creative Cloud, digital media, Document Cloud, Experience Cloud, SaaS, subscription model | Login |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Fund Letters | NCG Large Cap Growth Strategy | WDAY | Workday Inc | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | cloud migration, Cloud software, Enterprise software, financial management, Fortune 500, HCM, Human capital management, SaaS | Login |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Tom Press | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Computing, data centers, FCF, GPUs, hyperscalers, innovation, Margins, semiconductors, Software | Login |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Tom Press | AAPL | Apple Inc. | Information Technology | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals | Bull | NASDAQ | buybacks, cashflow, Consumer tech, Ecosystem, growth, Hardware, innovation, Margins, recurring revenue, services | Login |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Tom Press | APP | AppLovin Corporation | Communication Services | Interactive Media & Services | Bull | NASDAQ | adtech, advertising, AI, Data, growth, Margins, Mobile, monetization, Software, valuation | Login |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Tom Press | MDB | MongoDB Inc. | Information Technology | Application Software | Bull | NASDAQ | cloud, Databases, Developers, FCF, growth, infrastructure, recurring revenue, Retention, SaaS, Software | Login |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Tom Press | ORCL | Oracle Corporation | Information Technology | System Software | Bull | NYSE | AI, backlog, buybacks, cloud, enterprise, growth, infrastructure, Margins, Partnerships, Software | Login |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Tom Press | GEV | GE Vernova | Industrials | Electrical Equipment | Bull | NYSE | AI, backlog, Decarbonization, Electrification, energy, Grid, growth, infrastructure, Margins, renewables | Login |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fund Letters | Tom Press | HOOD | Robinhood Markets Inc. | Financials | Capital Markets | Bull | NASDAQ | Crypto, Engagement, expansion, financials, Fintech, growth, Interest income, platform, profitability, Trading | Login |
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