Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4% | - | 22.6% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| 22.6% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4% | - | 22.6% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| 22.6% |
Nightview Capital delivered strong 2025 performance with NITE gaining 22.64%, outperforming the S&P 500's 17.88% return. The firm maintains a very bullish outlook on the opportunity set, positioning for AI's transition from screens to physical world applications. Key holdings include Tesla, where dramatic FSD improvements provide increasing conviction in achieving full autonomy through structural data advantages, and Amazon, where AI-driven efficiencies are creating operating leverage in the underappreciated retail operation. The portfolio takes a barbelled approach, combining exposure to transformational AI technologies with change-resistant human experiences in travel and leisure. While acknowledging over-inflated expectations in AI private markets, the manager believes the real boom will occur when AI moves beyond LLMs into physical systems. The semiconductor cycle shows unprecedented capital expenditure with high-performance computing now representing the base rather than cyclical demand. Financial activity normalization provides additional opportunities as interest rates stabilize and dealmaking recovers.
Long-term investing in a 20-stock best ideas portfolio designed to capture the most attractive companies during a period of accelerated technological change, focusing on AI's transition from digital to physical applications while maintaining exposure to change-resistant human experiences.
Very bullish on the opportunity set with optimism about the years ahead. The manager believes AI will be a multi-decade transformation and sees an unusually rich opportunity set today.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AMZN, BABA, NITE, TSLA, TSM | AI, Autonomy, China, growth, long-term, Physical AI, semiconductors, technology |
TSLA AMZN BABA TSM |
AI represents the biggest industrial technological revolution of the 21st century that will fundamentally shift global economic infrastructure. The manager believes AI will transition from… |
| Oct 16 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AMD, TSM | Artificial Intelligence, Automation, Autonomy, Robotics, semiconductors |
AMD US TSM US TSLA US |
Nightview highlights the convergence of AI, robotics, and automation as a networked industrial renaissance, transforming industries from manufacturing to transportation. The letter emphasizes capital spending… |
| Jul 22 2025 | 2025 Q2 | AMZN, BABA, LVS, TSLA, WYNN, XPEV | Artificial Intelligence, Automation, Autonomy, productivity, Robotics |
WYNN LVS BABA US TSLA AMZN 9868 HK |
The letter outlines three dominant secular themes shaping the coming decade: Chinese technological resurgence, autonomous transportation, and intelligent automation. Management views artificial intelligence as a… |
| Apr 17 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - | - |
| Jan 16 2025 | 2024 Q4 | ABNB, AMZN, BLK, DE, DKNG, GS, H, LVS, META, MGM, MS, NFLX, QCOM, SCHW, TSLA, TSMC, WYNN | - | - | - |
| Oct 7 2024 | 2024 Q3 | AAPL, ABNB, AMZN, BLK, DKNG, GOOG, GS, H, LVS, META, MGM, MS, NFLX, QCOM, SCHW, TSLA, TSM, WYNN | - | - | - |
| Jul 17 2024 | 2024 Q2 | AAPL, AMZN, BLK, DKNG, GOOG, GS, H, LVS, META, MGM, MS, NFLX, NITE, QCOM, SCHW, TSLA, TSM, WYNN | - | - | - |
| Apr 15 2024 | 2024 Q1 | TSLA | - | - | - |
| Jan 30 2024 | 2023 Q4 | ABNB, DIS, TSLA, Z | - | - | - |
| Oct 18 2023 | 2023 Q3 | AMZN, GOOG, TSLA | - | - | - |
| Jul 20 2023 | 2023 Q2 | TSLA | - | - | - |
| May 22 2023 | 2023 Q1 | GOOG, TSLA | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIThe extended federal government shutdown added volatility during what was otherwise a risk-on environment, with a mid-quarter shift in market behavior for AI-related equities as the exuberant narrative evolved to one more balanced in assessing the technology's enormous potential against staggering capital spending plans and high expectations. The team initiated a position in Credo Technology as a more diversified way to gain exposure to strong trends in AI-connectivity. |
Connectivity Semiconductors Infrastructure Capital Spending |
Capital MarketsCapital markets are wide open with elevated levels of debt issuance, equity offerings, and M&A volumes. Falling interest rates, rising equity prices, and improving corporate confidence are driving an optimistic outlook for deals, which should benefit advisory firms, rating agencies, and alternative asset managers. |
Investment Banking M&A Debt Issuance Advisory Alternative Assets | |
ChinaChina's economic rebalancing appears to be moving forward. Market liquidity, anti-involution and a measured consumer policy are likely to drive a sustained market performance in 4Q. Fiscal support and ongoing reforms in China is supportive of a stronger currency. |
Growth Policy Currency | |
E-commerceThe portfolio maintains exposure to e-commerce platforms and enablement technologies through holdings like Amazon and Shopify. The fund views e-commerce as benefiting from secular shifts in consumer behavior and continued digital commerce adoption across retail categories. |
Platforms Digital Retail Consumer Technology | |
Electric VehiclesRivian represents maybe the most exciting position in the portfolio, with the company developing its own autonomy platform and in-house chip (RAP1). The R2 model represents a pivotal moment, and partnerships with Volkswagen and Amazon have strengthened the balance sheet while expanding strategic options. |
Autonomy Manufacturing Technology Partnerships Scale | |
SemiconductorsMACOM Technology Solutions rose nearly +40% as the company experienced broad-based demand, similar to many semiconductor companies in 2025. The team exited Astera Labs following industry conference presentations that suggested emerging competitive risks and concerns over single customer concentration, while initiating a position in Credo Technology for AI-connectivity exposure. |
Demand Competition Connectivity Customer Concentration | |
TravelRoyal Caribbean exemplifies the portfolio's focus on companies combining physical assets with technology innovation, using AI and technology for pricing optimization, packaging, promotions, and onboard customer experience delivery. |
Technology Pricing Experience Innovation Optimization | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIThe extended federal government shutdown added volatility during what was otherwise a risk-on environment, with a mid-quarter shift in market behavior for AI-related equities as the exuberant narrative evolved to one more balanced in assessing the technology's enormous potential against staggering capital spending plans and high expectations. The team initiated a position in Credo Technology as a more diversified way to gain exposure to strong trends in AI-connectivity. |
Connectivity Semiconductors Infrastructure Capital Spending |
AutomationFactory automation represents long-term structural growth opportunity. Keyence leads in sensors and machine-vision systems with 80% margins supported by direct sales model. Structural trends include rising automation, reshoring, and growing complexity in electric vehicle manufacturing providing long runway for growth. |
Factory Automation Industrial Sensors Machine Vision Robotics Industrial IoT | |
| 2025 Q2 |
AutomationFactory automation represents long-term structural growth opportunity. Keyence leads in sensors and machine-vision systems with 80% margins supported by direct sales model. Structural trends include rising automation, reshoring, and growing complexity in electric vehicle manufacturing providing long runway for growth. |
Factory Automation Industrial Sensors Machine Vision Robotics Industrial IoT |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | TSLA | Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Automobile Manufacturers | Bull | NASDAQ | Autonomy, Data, Physicalai, scale, Software | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | AMZN | Amazon.com, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Internet Retail | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, ecommerce, Logistics, Operatingleverage, scale | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | BABA | Alibaba Group Holding Limited | Consumer Discretionary | Internet Retail | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | China, ecommerce, Platforms, Sentiment, valuation | Login |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | TSM | TSMC | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | AI, CapEx, Foundry, scale, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | AMD US | Advanced Micro Devices Inc. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, data centers, GPUs, Hardware, OpenAI, semiconductors | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | TSM US | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | Information Technology | Semiconductor Manufacturing | Bull | NYSE | 3nm, AI, Foundry, manufacturing, Pricing power, semiconductors, supply chain | Login |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | TSLA US | Tesla Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Automobiles | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Autonomy, EVs, Margins, Regulation, robotaxi, Software | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | WYNN | Wynn Resorts Ltd. | Consumer Discretionary | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | NASDAQ | China, Consumption, Discretionary, Gaming, recovery, Tourism | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | LVS | Las Vegas Sands Corp. | Consumer Discretionary | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Consumption, Gaming, leverage, Macau, Reopening, Tourism | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | BABA US | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. | Consumer Discretionary | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, China, cloud, ecommerce, Regulation, valuation | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | TSLA | Tesla Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Automobile Manufacturers | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Autonomy, mobility, robotaxi, Software, Transportation | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | AMZN | Amazon.com Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Internet & Direct Marketing Retail | Bull | NASDAQ | AI, Automation, AWS, ecommerce, Margins, robotics | Login |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fund Letters | Arne Alsin | 9868 HK | Xpeng Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Automobile Manufacturers | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Automation, CapEx, China, EVs, innovation, robotics | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| AMZN | This quarter, we took profits in our hyperscaler portfolio companies (Amazon and Google) and increased our position in NVIDIA. |
| BABA | our Asian investments performed strongly with Alibaba and Jardine Matheson up 63% |
| NITE | In 2025, The Nightview Fund ETF (NYSE: NITE) gained 22.56% (22.64% NAV), outperforming the S&P 500 Total Return, which rose 17.88%. Unlike many other active Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), NITE is not designed around any particular trend. We're simply hunting for the best opportunities for investors who have a longterm mindset. |
| TSLA | Under the previous system, companies that produced only electric vehicles—most notably Tesla—generated large quantities of credits that could then be sold to manufacturers falling short of their EV production targets, allowing them to avoid regulatory penalties. |
| TSM | ASML, TSMC, and Arista Networks are key players in the AI build out supply chain. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
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| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
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| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||