Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 30th June 2026
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
Rigden Capital Strategies reports that Q2 2026 brought a strong market rally with the S&P 500 rising approximately 15 percent, one of its strongest quarterly advances in several years. The rally was supported by resilient corporate earnings, continued enthusiasm around artificial intelligence infrastructure, and solid U.S. economic expansion despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and elevated interest rates. AI-related capital flows became more selective, focusing on companies with tangible results in semiconductors, data centers, and cloud services rather than marketing narratives. Interest rates remained higher than expected as inflation stayed above the Fed's target while the economy held up, giving the central bank less urgency to cut. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East contributed to energy price volatility. Looking ahead, stocks are no longer inexpensive after the rally, and companies may need to continue delivering solid earnings growth to justify current valuations. The firm maintains its focus on quality, diversification, and alignment with client goals, emphasizing that portfolios should be built around long-term financial plans rather than short-term headlines.
Markets rallied strongly in Q2 2026 driven by resilient corporate earnings, AI enthusiasm, and solid U.S. economic expansion, but elevated valuations and persistent inflation mean future returns will likely depend more on earnings growth than monetary easing.
The global economy continues to expand with the U.S. remaining one of the stronger major economies. Corporate profits have been a key source of support and investor confidence has improved. However, stocks are no longer inexpensive after the strong rally, and higher valuations mean companies may need to continue delivering solid earnings growth. The Fed is expected to remain patient and data-dependent, meaning the stock market may need to rely more on earnings growth and economic resilience than on near-term rate cuts. Any disappointment in profits, inflation data, interest-rate expectations, or geopolitical developments could lead to renewed volatility.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 2026 | 2026 Q2 | - | AI, earnings, Geopolitical Risk, inflation, interest rates, technology, Valuations | - | Q2 2026 delivered a 15 percent S&P 500 rally driven by resilient earnings, AI infrastructure investment, and economic expansion. AI enthusiasm became more selective, favoring companies with measurable results. Interest rates stayed elevated as inflation persisted above Fed targets. After the strong rally, stocks are no longer cheap and future returns will likely depend on continued earnings growth rather than monetary easing. |
| Apr 8 2026 | 2026 Q1 | - | AI, energy, Fed policy, geopolitics, inflation, Market Rotation, technology, value | - | Q1 2026 marked a major rotation from growth to value as AI infrastructure reality checks, sticky inflation, and geopolitical tensions ended the tech rally. Value stocks gained 2.4% while growth fell 12.8%. Oil spiked past $101, gold hit records, and the Fed held rates steady. Diversification across the real economy is essential again. |
| Jan 2 2026 | 2025 Q4 | AMZN | AI, blue chip, consumer discretionary, dividends, industrials, large cap, Quality, technology | - | Rigden Capital delivered solid Q4 2025 returns as markets rewarded quality over speculation. Key drivers included election uncertainty removal, Fed rate cuts to 3.50-3.75%, and resilient 6.8% e-commerce growth. The firm maintains balanced exposure to Tech/AI growth themes while emphasizing high-quality Blue Chip companies and dividend payers as valuations require strong earnings delivery. |
| Oct 1 2025 | 2025 Q3 | AMD, AVGO, DAL, DECK, GS, HOOD, IT, JPM, LULU, MSTR, NVDA, PLTR, SMCI, SNOW, STX, TTD, UNH, WDC | AI, earnings, Fed policy, Market Rally, semiconductors, technology, Trade Policy, Valuations | - | Q3 2025 delivered robust gains with the S&P 500 up 7.8%, driven by AI euphoria, Fed rate cuts, and trade tensions thaw. Technology and semiconductors led the charge, with all major indices hitting records. However, elevated valuations at 22x forward earnings and upcoming elections present risks, requiring a balanced barbell approach for Q4. |
| Jul 2 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | consumer, earnings, inflation, rates, technology, Trade Policy | - | Markets surged in Q2 2025 with S&P 500 up 10.2% and NASDAQ gaining 16.7%, driven by cooling inflation and strong tech sector performance. Federal Reserve held rates steady while trade policy shifts created selective volatility. Despite consumer confidence declining and earnings growth slowing, disinflation trends and corporate momentum supported the broad rally across global markets. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 |
AIAI enthusiasm continued to support technology and infrastructure-related companies during Q2 2026. Investors became more selective, focusing on companies with tangible results and measurable AI-driven growth rather than marketing narratives. Capital flowed toward physical and digital infrastructure including semiconductors, data centers, power, and cloud services, though expectations remain high and companies must translate investment into sustainable earnings. |
Semiconductors Data Centers Cloud Infrastructure |
RatesInterest rates remained elevated during Q2 as inflation stayed above the Fed's target while the economy and labor market held up. The Fed showed less urgency to cut rates than investors expected at year-start. Higher rates create pressure for stocks and bonds, though equity markets were supported by earnings growth. Rate policy remains a key variable dependent on inflation trajectory. |
Inflation Liquidity | |
EnergyGeopolitical tensions in the Middle East contributed to energy price volatility during the quarter. Oil price spikes briefly raised concerns about reaccelerating inflation, especially if supply disruptions became severe. Ceasefire headlines and diplomatic efforts provided temporary relief, but the situation remains fluid and could complicate Fed interest-rate decisions. |
Oil Middle East | |
EarningsCorporate earnings remained resilient and were a key source of market support during Q2 2026. Strong earnings helped justify the market rally despite elevated valuations. Looking forward, companies may need to continue delivering solid earnings growth to justify current prices, as stocks are no longer inexpensive after the strong rally. |
Growth Quality | |
| 2026 Q1 |
AIThe AI boom faced severe physical infrastructure limits in Q1 2026. Building AI-optimized data centers now costs up to $55 billion, and securing enough electricity to power these facilities has become the tech industry's biggest hurdle. This reality check created opportunities for traditional industrial, electrical, and construction companies hired to build the new power grid. |
Data Centers Infrastructure Power Construction Industrial |
EnergyGeopolitical tensions spiked energy prices with crude oil shooting past $101 per barrel. High oil prices act like a tax on the economy, making manufacturing, transportation, and everyday driving more expensive. The energy sector benefited from this price spike amid Middle Eastern conflicts. |
Oil Geopolitics Commodities Energy Trading | |
ValueValue stocks gained 2.4% in Q1 2026 as investors rotated from growth to mature businesses like banks, manufacturers, and consumer goods companies. These companies offered immediate stability and cash dividends, drawing investors back during the tech sell-off. |
Dividends Banks Consumer Stability | |
InflationSticky inflation at 3.2% in February forced the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates flat at 3.50% to 3.75%. The Fed's message is clear they will not make borrowing cheaper until the cost of living reliably drops, keeping mortgage and auto loan rates elevated. |
Rates Fed Monetary Policy Consumer Finance | |
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI emergence has created market hysteria and broad software sell-offs despite limited real-world adoption. Manager believes incumbent software firms with domain expertise and proprietary data are positioned to thrive by integrating AI into mission-critical systems, while AI-native startups face significant barriers in regulated industries. |
Artificial Intelligence Software Automation Technology |
SoftwareSoftware sector treated as monolith awaiting AI disruption, but manager sees meaningful differentiation. Dominant vertical platforms with engineering talent and proprietary data can successfully reinvent themselves for agentic world and fend off AI-native competitors through integrated solutions and vendor consolidation. |
Enterprise Software SaaS Technology Vertical Software | |
Small CapsLong-anticipated broadening out of returns and leadership shift to small cap value industries has occurred, but fund unable to capitalize due to software overweight. Small cap value has outperformed while software lagged despite being cheaper than traditional value industrials. |
Small Cap Value Market Leadership | |
HotelsChoice Hotels represents asset-light, high-margin hotel franchisor trading at distressed multiple due to cyclical headwinds. Company shifting portfolio toward higher-revenue segments like Extended Stay and international markets, with potential for significant cash unlock and share buybacks at historically low valuations. |
Hospitality Franchising Real Estate | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI euphoria continued to electrify markets, lifting tech stocks 15% on average with semiconductors up 25%. Hyperscalers' massive capex plans drove the theme, which permeated beyond hardware to firms like Palantir and Snowflake, contributing to 60% of the S&P's gains. |
Semiconductors Hyperscalers Capex Hardware Software |
RatesThe Federal Reserve's pivot provided crucial tailwinds with a 25-basis-point reduction on September 17-18, lowering the fed funds rate to 4.75-5.00%. Chair Jerome Powell cited a softening labor market as the rationale, with the easing cycle helping equities rebound 8% in Q3 alone. |
Fed Monetary Policy Easing Labor Market Tailwinds | |
Trade PolicyU.S.-China negotiations yielded interim deals on semiconductors and EVs, averting a full-blown escalation and sparking a honeymoon phase that lifted global PMIs. This thaw benefited cyclicals, with metals and mining up 12% in the S&P Materials sector. |
China Semiconductors EVs Cyclicals Materials | |
SemiconductorsSemiconductors surged 25% during the quarter, with Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom leading the charge as AI chip demand showed no signs of abating. Nvidia alone added over $200 billion to its market cap in September, highlighting the sector's explosive growth. |
AI Chips Nvidia AMD Broadcom Market Cap | |
| 2025 Q2 |
InflationBoth Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index showed meaningful cooling, with CPI declining 0.1% in June 2025 marking the first monthly drop since May 2020. Core CPI rose just 0.1% in June, the smallest increase since August 2021, supporting valuations across sectors. |
CPI PPI Disinflation Core Prices |
Trade PolicyNewly imposed tariffs on select imports, particularly in tech and renewable energy sectors, reshaped investor expectations. Markets interpreted these trade policy shifts as manageable and potentially stimulative to domestic production in the medium term, though they introduced pockets of volatility. |
Tariffs Imports Trade Domestic Policy | |
RatesFederal Reserve maintained benchmark interest rate unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%, reflecting cautious stance amid persistent inflationary pressures. Chair Powell emphasized requiring greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent before considering rate cuts. |
Fed Interest Powell Monetary Policy |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Elevator Pitches found | ||||||||||
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| No ticker commentary found. | |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||