Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|
| 17.9% | 9.6% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| - | - | - |
| 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|
| 17.9% | 9.6% |
2025 delivered strong equity returns of 17.88% despite a volatile start driven by tariff fears and China's DeepSeek AI model revelation. The year unfolded in four distinct quarters, beginning with sharp declines in AI-related stocks as DeepSeek appeared to match US AI performance at lower cost. An administration pivot toward tariff moderation launched a second quarter rally led by the same technology stocks that had suffered earlier. Summer and fall saw performance broaden beyond technology, with every S&P sector except Real Estate posting positive returns. AI remained the dominant investment theme, driving Communications and Technology sector leadership. International markets significantly outperformed US markets due to dollar weakness, with the DXY falling 10.08%. Precious metals surged to record highs, with gold reaching $4,314 and silver hitting $71, driven by debasement concerns. The Federal Reserve cut rates three times after initially standing pat on inflation concerns. Looking ahead, the backdrop remains supportive with fiscal liquidity, potential AI productivity benefits, and historical precedent showing multi-year winning streaks are common rather than exceptional.
Despite volatile periods driven by tariff concerns and China's DeepSeek AI model, 2025 delivered strong 17.88% market returns with broadening leadership beyond mega-cap technology stocks, supported by dollar weakness that boosted international returns and precious metals rallies reflecting debasement concerns.
The backdrop for equities entering 2026 remains supportive despite three straight years of double-digit returns. Multi-year winning streaks are historically common, with fiscal liquidity, potential AI-driven productivity, and no clear constraint from the bond market providing tailwinds. Policy makers may have learned better economic management over time, and if AI delivers productivity benefits, economic expansion could address debt burdens and challenge previous winning streak longevity.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 2026 | 2025 Q4 | GOOGL | AI, Dollar, Fed, gold, international, Silver, tariffs, technology | - | AI was the dominant investment theme of 2025, driving performance in Technology and Communications sectors. China's DeepSeek model initially caused market volatility by appearing to… |
| Oct 13 2025 | 2025 Q3 | - | Artificial Intelligence, energy, infrastructure, policy, sustainability | - | Saturna warns that AI-driven circular investments among tech giants echo past speculative bubbles. The letter discusses the growing strain AI data centers place on U.S.… |
| Jul 8 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | AI, bifurcation, productivity, Quality, sustainability | - | The letter discusses an economic bifurcation between weakening consumers and increasingly profitable enterprises driven by AI-led productivity gains. Management emphasizes quality, low-debt businesses positioned to… |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | AV/ LN, NVDA, STMPA FP | - | - | - |
| Dec 31 2024 | 2024 Q4 | AVGO, DOL CN, NVDA, STMPA FP | - | - | - |
| Sep 30 2024 | 2024 Q3 | - | - | - | - |
| Jun 30 2024 | 2024 Q2 | - | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
DollarDollar depreciated -9% against trading partners in 2025, worst year since 2017. De-dollarization trend accelerating as world shifts away from US. Reduced net dollar exposure from 25% to 8% following geopolitical tensions and superpower positioning concerns. |
Depreciation De-dollarization Reserves Geopolitical | |
GoldGold returned +65% in dollars in 2025, driven by broadening demand from central banks, professional and retail investors. Central banks now hold 24% of reserves in gold versus 23% in US Treasuries for the first time. Maintained 12% portfolio allocation throughout the year. |
Central Banks Reserves Diversification Demand | |
SilverSilver surged 220% since April 2024, generating powerful sell signal for precious metals. Performance mirrors 1979 parabolic blow-off that marked end of gold bull market. Retail demand peaked with reports of long lines at dealers globally before recent 40% decline from highs. |
Precious Parabolic Retail Blow-off | |
| 2025 Q3 |
Energy Demand |
|
| 2025 Q2 |
Bifurcation |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Elevator Pitches found | ||||||||||
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| GOOGL | In the third quarter, Google, Kairos Power, and the Tennessee Valley Authority announced a major collaboration centered on a novel power purchase agreement. Google followed this announcement with another significant step forward. On October 27, Google and NextEra Energy announced plans to restart the Duane Arnold Energy Center. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||