Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
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| - | - | - |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
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This quarterly letter addresses the AI investment boom and bubble concerns by drawing parallels to the dot-com era. While big tech companies are spending an estimated $400 billion in 2025 on AI infrastructure with $3 trillion expected through 2028, the manager argues that unlike the speculative dot-com companies, today's tech firms are highly profitable and funding capex from substantial cash flows. The key risk identified is concentration, as the Magnificent Seven tech companies represent 35% of the S&P 500 and 30% of all capex. Rather than trying to time potential bubbles, the manager advocates for diversification across asset classes, sectors, company sizes and geographies. Historical evidence from the dot-com bust shows how small-cap and international allocations helped when large growth stocks declined. The core message emphasizes building portfolios around long-term goals that can withstand various market environments, as market leadership can change abruptly and diversification works in real time.
Long-term investors should focus on building diversified portfolios that can withstand various market environments rather than attempting to time AI bubble concerns or predict market movements.
The letter emphasizes that market leadership can change abruptly and advocates for maintaining diversified portfolios built around long-term goals rather than trying to predict market timing or bubble identification.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30 2025 | 2025 Q4 | - | AI, Bubble, diversification, portfolio, risk management, technology | - | The letter extensively discusses the AI investment boom following ChatGPT's arrival, comparing it to the dot-com bubble. Big tech is spending an estimated $400 billion in 2025 on AI infrastructure, with $3 trillion expected through 2028. The concentration risk is highlighted as the Magnificent Seven tech companies represent 35% of the S&P 500 and 30% of all capex. |
| Oct 14 2025 | 2025 Q3 | - | - | - | |
| Jul 8 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
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