Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | 2.9% | 14.6% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| 14.6% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | 2.9% | 14.6% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| 14.6% |
The TCW Emerging Markets Income Fund returned 2.85% net in Q4 2025, underperforming the EMBI GD benchmark by 44bps, but delivered strong full-year performance of 14.59% net, outperforming the benchmark by 29bps. Relative underperformance in Q4 was primarily driven by security selection in high yield and country positioning in Senegal and Brazil, partially offset by overweight positioning in Venezuela and Argentina. The managers increased exposure to Latin America while reducing Middle East positioning, maintaining a high yield overweight of 11.9%. Looking ahead, they expect EM resilience to continue in 2026 with growth outpacing developed markets by 2.5 times despite elevated trade tariffs. Key drivers include superior EM fundamentals, attractive relative valuations, and an anticipated weaker USD environment. The team is positioned for idiosyncratic opportunities rather than broad beta exposure, with overweights in Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Angola and Romania. Geopolitical developments and upcoming elections across EM present both risks and differentiated opportunities for active managers.
Emerging Markets will demonstrate continued resilience driven by superior growth fundamentals, attractive valuations relative to developed markets, and structural improvements in fiscal and external balances, while benefiting from a weakening U.S. dollar environment and selective country-specific opportunities.
The managers expect EM to remain resilient in 2026 with continued growth outperformance versus DM. They anticipate a weaker USD environment benefiting EM currencies and see opportunities in idiosyncratic country-level factors rather than broad index beta. The outlook is constructive on local currency exposure with expectations for continued USD decline.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18 2026 | 2025 Q4 | - | Currency, Dollar, emerging markets, geopolitics, growth, Resilience, Sovereign Bonds, Trade Policy | - | Emerging Markets demonstrated resilience in 2025 despite higher-than-expected U.S. trade tariffs, supported by strong fundamentals. EM growth is expected to outpace Developed Markets by about 2.5 times in 2026. The asset class benefits from attractive growth prospects and global shifts in trade patterns. U.S. trade tariffs reached ~17% in 2025, the highest since the 1930s, creating sustained pressure on global trade. While fears of a global trade war did not fully materialize, tariff volatility persists and may drive short-term volatility across emerging markets. The U.S. dollar appears to have peaked and is expected to continue declining in 2026, particularly against major EM currencies. The dollar remains at historically high levels when adjusted for inflation, but supporting factors have weakened including reduced carry benefits and widening current account deficit. Geopolitical developments including the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Maduro underscore the Trump Administration's commitment to reviving the Monroe Doctrine. These actions create differentiated opportunities for investors as geopolitical risk premia shift across regions. |
| Nov 13 2025 | 2025 Q3 | - | emergingmarkets, highyield, multipolar, sovereigndebt, Spreads | - | Emerging markets benefited from resilient growth, disinflation, and attractive yield premiums versus developed markets. Portfolio positioning favored high yield sovereigns, idiosyncratic credit stories, and regions benefiting from trade realignment in a multipolar world. EM assets continue to offer compelling spreads, supported by improving fundamentals and supportive global monetary conditions. |
| Jul 28 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | carry, currencies, emerging markets, real yields, sovereign risk | - | The commentary focuses on income generation through selective exposure to emerging market debt with attractive real yields. Management stresses disciplined country selection, currency awareness, and downside risk management. Volatility is viewed as a source of carry opportunities rather than a deterrent. |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
DollarDollar depreciated -9% against trading partners in 2025, worst year since 2017. De-dollarization trend accelerating as world shifts away from US. Reduced net dollar exposure from 25% to 8% following geopolitical tensions and superpower positioning concerns. |
Depreciation De-dollarization Reserves Geopolitical |
Resilience2025 tested the fund's thesis severely with a bankruptcy, major customer losses, and cyber-attacks, yet delivered 17.45% net returns. The manager emphasizes that edge comes from exploiting inefficiency rather than avoiding adversity, demonstrating portfolio resilience through active management. |
Adversity Active Management Drawdowns Volatility | |
SanctionsManager highlights a profound divergence in U.S. sanctions activity, noting recent seizure of dark fleet oil tankers, arrest of Nicolas Maduro, U.S. claim of control over Venezuela's energy industry, and sanctions on Russia's largest oil producers. This marks a departure from decades of avoiding sanctions that would impact energy flows, with gunboat diplomacy and military embargos returning. |
Trade Policy Energy Trading Oil Tankers Geopolitical Energy | |
Trade PolicyRecent tariff policies continued to negatively impact U.S. consumers and companies throughout the year. However, international companies have been finding new trade arrangements and growth opportunities, benefiting from shifts in global trade patterns as the new U.S. administration alters terms of international cooperation. |
Tariffs International Growth Cooperation Impact | |
| 2025 Q3 |
EM |
|
| 2025 Q2 |
Carry |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Elevator Pitches found | ||||||||||
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| No ticker commentary found. | |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||