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Pitch Summary:
Latham Group – Latham delivered a solid third quarter, with net sales of approximately $162 million, up ~7.6% year-over-year, outperforming a generally flat U.S. in-ground pool market and reflecting continued traction across key product lines, including pool covers, liners, and fiberglass pools. Adjusted EBITDA itself grew roughly 28.5% to about $38.3 million. Latham also narrowed and modestly raised its full-year guidance, signali...
Pitch Summary:
Latham Group – Latham delivered a solid third quarter, with net sales of approximately $162 million, up ~7.6% year-over-year, outperforming a generally flat U.S. in-ground pool market and reflecting continued traction across key product lines, including pool covers, liners, and fiberglass pools. Adjusted EBITDA itself grew roughly 28.5% to about $38.3 million. Latham also narrowed and modestly raised its full-year guidance, signaling confidence in its outlook despite broader industry headwinds, with net sales now expected in the ~$540–$550 million range and adjusted EBITDA of ~$92–$98 million. Overall, the quarter demonstrated a business that continues to grow revenue, expand profitability, and execute on strategic priorities even in challenging end-market conditions. We are pleased with results. On the negative side, Latham's CEO, Scott Rajeski, announced his retirement. The incoming CEO appears credible, coming from James Hardie, a much larger organization, but we have not yet had the opportunity to engage with him and plan to do so following year-end results. Given the unexpected leadership change, we reduced the position from 6% to 3% of the fund. This was not driven by a change in our view of the business, but by our emphasis on management quality and familiarity. Until we build conviction in the new leadership, our overall conviction is lower.
BSD Analysis:
The manager maintains a cautious but positive view of Latham Group following strong operational performance offset by leadership uncertainty. The investment thesis is supported by solid Q3 results with 7.6% revenue growth outperforming a flat pool market and impressive 28.5% EBITDA growth to $38.3 million. The company's ability to gain market share and expand margins despite industry headwinds demonstrates competitive positioning and operational execution. Management's raised guidance signals confidence in the business trajectory. However, the unexpected CEO retirement of Scott Rajeski prompted a significant position reduction from 6% to 3% of the fund. While the incoming CEO from James Hardie appears credible, the manager's emphasis on management quality and familiarity requires building new conviction. This reflects a disciplined approach where operational excellence must be paired with trusted leadership. The position reduction represents risk management rather than a fundamental business concern.
Pitch Summary:
Monday.com – In November, Monday.com reported a mixed quarter, with revenue and free cash flow growing approximately 26% and 10% year over year, respectively. Enterprise performance continued to accelerate, while growth in small and mid sized customers further decelerated. We held the position through year end and into 2026, believing management could execute against the objectives they had outlined, supported by a strong historica...
Pitch Summary:
Monday.com – In November, Monday.com reported a mixed quarter, with revenue and free cash flow growing approximately 26% and 10% year over year, respectively. Enterprise performance continued to accelerate, while growth in small and mid sized customers further decelerated. We held the position through year end and into 2026, believing management could execute against the objectives they had outlined, supported by a strong historical track record. However, following the company's fourth quarter earnings release earlier this week, we have fully exited the position. The reported results were not aligned with our forecasts, and more importantly, management was unable to clearly articulate what is occurring within the business. When we lose confidence in the accuracy or clarity of management's communication, we exit. That is what we have done here.
BSD Analysis:
The manager executed a full exit from Monday.com following a loss of confidence in management's communication and business execution. While the company showed mixed Q3 results with 26% revenue growth and accelerating enterprise performance, the deceleration in small and mid-sized customer growth raised concerns. The manager initially maintained the position based on management's historical track record and outlined objectives. However, Q4 results that missed forecasts and management's inability to clearly articulate business dynamics triggered the exit decision. This represents a disciplined approach where management quality and communication clarity are non-negotiable criteria. The exit reflects the manager's emphasis on transparency and execution capability, particularly when growth patterns show divergence between customer segments. The decision demonstrates risk management discipline when fundamental thesis assumptions are challenged.
Pitch Summary:
ThredUp – ThredUp delivered an excellent third quarter, with revenue up approximately 34% year over year, one of the fastest growth rates in its recent history. Adjusted EBITDA improved to $3.8 million, or a 4.6% margin, from roughly breakeven last year, while active buyers increased about 26%, driven by strong new buyer acquisition. Management also raised full year revenue guidance, signaling confidence in the outlook. Notably, ma...
Pitch Summary:
ThredUp – ThredUp delivered an excellent third quarter, with revenue up approximately 34% year over year, one of the fastest growth rates in its recent history. Adjusted EBITDA improved to $3.8 million, or a 4.6% margin, from roughly breakeven last year, while active buyers increased about 26%, driven by strong new buyer acquisition. Management also raised full year revenue guidance, signaling confidence in the outlook. Notably, management highlighted that new buyer growth accelerated to 81% year over year in October, up from 54% in Q3, following a rebrand and the launch of a new product recommendation feed in late September. While fundamentals continue to strengthen, the stock has declined over the past five months. These dislocations between price and fundamentals are common in the types of businesses we invest in and have led us to add to the position. ThredUp remains our largest holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager maintains ThredUp as the largest portfolio holding despite recent stock price weakness, demonstrating high conviction in the fundamental business trajectory. The investment thesis centers on accelerating growth with 34% year-over-year revenue growth representing one of the company's fastest rates in recent history. The path to profitability is evident with adjusted EBITDA improving to a 4.6% margin from breakeven, while active buyer growth of 26% indicates strong customer acquisition momentum. The October acceleration to 81% new buyer growth following a rebrand and product recommendation feed launch suggests successful execution of growth initiatives. The manager views the disconnect between strengthening fundamentals and declining stock price as a classic opportunity to add to positions in misunderstood growth companies. The raised full-year guidance signals management confidence, while the largest holding status reflects the manager's belief in the long-term potential of the secondhand apparel market.
Pitch Summary:
Carvana – Carvana's strong financial trajectory continues reporting record third-quarter results, with 155,941 retail cars sold (+~44% YoY) and total revenue of ~$5.65 billion (+~55% YoY), both all-time quarterly highs. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of ~$637 million +~50%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~11.3%, well above typical industry profitability levels. Carvana remains a top 5 holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager e...
Pitch Summary:
Carvana – Carvana's strong financial trajectory continues reporting record third-quarter results, with 155,941 retail cars sold (+~44% YoY) and total revenue of ~$5.65 billion (+~55% YoY), both all-time quarterly highs. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of ~$637 million +~50%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~11.3%, well above typical industry profitability levels. Carvana remains a top 5 holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager expresses strong conviction in Carvana as a top five holding, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance with record quarterly results. The investment thesis is supported by impressive growth metrics including 44% year-over-year unit sales growth and 55% revenue growth, both reaching all-time highs. Most notably, the company achieved an 11.3% adjusted EBITDA margin, which significantly exceeds typical automotive retail industry profitability levels. The 50% EBITDA growth demonstrates operational leverage and margin expansion as the business scales. This represents a successful turnaround story where Carvana has transformed from a loss-making growth company to a profitable, high-margin business. The manager's continued conviction suggests belief in the sustainability of these margins and the company's competitive positioning in online used car sales.
Pitch Summary:
Wayfair – Last quarter, we highlighted that Wayfair's Q2 results were the strongest we had seen in several years and supported our thesis that the business was positioned for a meaningful rebound as the home furnishings market recovered. Q3 built on that momentum. Revenue grew 9% year over year, accelerating from 6% in Q2, while adjusted EBITDA increased more than 70% year over year. These results provide further evidence that Wayf...
Pitch Summary:
Wayfair – Last quarter, we highlighted that Wayfair's Q2 results were the strongest we had seen in several years and supported our thesis that the business was positioned for a meaningful rebound as the home furnishings market recovered. Q3 built on that momentum. Revenue grew 9% year over year, accelerating from 6% in Q2, while adjusted EBITDA increased more than 70% year over year. These results provide further evidence that Wayfair's future profit growth remains substantial and is materially underappreciated by the market. Wayfair continues to be a top five holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager maintains a bullish stance on Wayfair, viewing it as a top five holding positioned for a meaningful rebound in the home furnishings market. The investment thesis centers on accelerating revenue growth (9% YoY in Q3 vs 6% in Q2) and dramatic EBITDA expansion of over 70% year-over-year. The manager believes the market materially underappreciates Wayfair's future profit growth potential as the home furnishings sector recovers. This represents a classic turnaround story where operational improvements and market recovery are driving substantial margin expansion. The accelerating revenue growth trajectory suggests the company is gaining market share and benefiting from improved consumer demand. The manager's conviction appears high given the top five portfolio weighting and the sustained improvement in both top-line and bottom-line metrics.
Pitch Summary:
DiscoverIE: A High-Quality Industrial Compounder at an Inflection Point DiscoverIE Group plc is a leading designer and manufacturer of highly differentiated electronic components for mission critical industrial applications. The company specializes in bespoke, application specific products, including magnetics, sensors, power electronics, and connectivity solutions, that are designed into customer systems and typically remain in pl...
Pitch Summary:
DiscoverIE: A High-Quality Industrial Compounder at an Inflection Point DiscoverIE Group plc is a leading designer and manufacturer of highly differentiated electronic components for mission critical industrial applications. The company specializes in bespoke, application specific products, including magnetics, sensors, power electronics, and connectivity solutions, that are designed into customer systems and typically remain in place for the life of the product. Examples include custom temperature sensors used in specialized medical devices and X ray sensors embedded in airport security scanners. These niche, high value components are small in cost but critical to system performance and reliability. The strategy is simple and disciplined: operate in structurally growing end markets, focus on low-volume, high-complexity components that are difficult to switch, and compound growth through organic design wins and bolt-on acquisitions. This model has enabled 20%+ EPS and free cash flow per share growth over the past 10 years. While challenging end markets led to negative organic growth in both fiscal 2024/fiscal 2025 and compressed the valuation from over 25x earnings to ~15x today, we believe the business is entering the early stages of a cyclical recovery. In our view, this supports the potential for ~20% EPS growth over the next five years alongside meaningful multiple expansion. With aligned management, disciplined capital allocation, and a focused growth strategy, DiscoverIE fits squarely within the type of under-appreciated industrial technology compounder we seek to own.
BSD Analysis:
The manager presents DiscoverIE as a high-quality industrial compounder positioned at a cyclical inflection point with significant upside potential. The investment thesis centers on the company's differentiated position in mission-critical electronic components with high switching costs and long product lifecycles. The business model focuses on bespoke, application-specific products in structurally growing end markets, creating sustainable competitive advantages. Historical performance demonstrates the quality with 20%+ EPS and free cash flow growth over the past decade. The current opportunity stems from cyclical headwinds that compressed valuations from over 25x to ~15x earnings despite the underlying business quality remaining intact. The manager expects ~20% EPS growth over the next five years as end markets recover, combined with meaningful multiple expansion as the market recognizes the business quality. The disciplined capital allocation strategy and aligned management provide additional confidence in execution capability.
Pitch Summary:
Latham Group – Latham delivered a solid third quarter, with net sales of approximately $162 million, up ~7.6% year-over-year, outperforming a generally flat U.S. in-ground pool market and reflecting continued traction across key product lines, including pool covers, liners, and fiberglass pools. Adjusted EBITDA itself grew roughly 28.5% to about $38.3 million. Latham also narrowed and modestly raised its full-year guidance, signali...
Pitch Summary:
Latham Group – Latham delivered a solid third quarter, with net sales of approximately $162 million, up ~7.6% year-over-year, outperforming a generally flat U.S. in-ground pool market and reflecting continued traction across key product lines, including pool covers, liners, and fiberglass pools. Adjusted EBITDA itself grew roughly 28.5% to about $38.3 million. Latham also narrowed and modestly raised its full-year guidance, signaling confidence in its outlook despite broader industry headwinds, with net sales now expected in the ~$540–$550 million range and adjusted EBITDA of ~$92–$98 million. Overall, the quarter demonstrated a business that continues to grow revenue, expand profitability, and execute on strategic priorities even in challenging end-market conditions. We are pleased with results. On the negative side, Latham's CEO, Scott Rajeski, announced his retirement. The incoming CEO appears credible, coming from James Hardie, a much larger organization, but we have not yet had the opportunity to engage with him and plan to do so following year-end results. Given the unexpected leadership change, we reduced the position from 6% to 3% of the fund. This was not driven by a change in our view of the business, but by our emphasis on management quality and familiarity. Until we build conviction in the new leadership, our overall conviction is lower.
BSD Analysis:
The manager maintains a cautious but positive view of Latham Group following strong operational performance offset by leadership uncertainty. The investment thesis is supported by solid Q3 results with 7.6% revenue growth outperforming a flat pool market and impressive 28.5% EBITDA growth to $38.3 million. The company's ability to gain market share and expand margins despite industry headwinds demonstrates competitive positioning and operational execution. Management's raised guidance signals confidence in the business trajectory. However, the unexpected CEO retirement of Scott Rajeski prompted a significant position reduction from 6% to 3% of the fund. While the incoming CEO from James Hardie appears credible, the manager's emphasis on management quality and familiarity requires building new conviction. This reflects a disciplined approach where operational excellence must be paired with trusted leadership. The position reduction represents risk management rather than a fundamental business concern.
Pitch Summary:
Monday.com – In November, Monday.com reported a mixed quarter, with revenue and free cash flow growing approximately 26% and 10% year over year, respectively. Enterprise performance continued to accelerate, while growth in small and mid sized customers further decelerated. We held the position through year end and into 2026, believing management could execute against the objectives they had outlined, supported by a strong historica...
Pitch Summary:
Monday.com – In November, Monday.com reported a mixed quarter, with revenue and free cash flow growing approximately 26% and 10% year over year, respectively. Enterprise performance continued to accelerate, while growth in small and mid sized customers further decelerated. We held the position through year end and into 2026, believing management could execute against the objectives they had outlined, supported by a strong historical track record. However, following the company's fourth quarter earnings release earlier this week, we have fully exited the position. The reported results were not aligned with our forecasts, and more importantly, management was unable to clearly articulate what is occurring within the business. When we lose confidence in the accuracy or clarity of management's communication, we exit. That is what we have done here.
BSD Analysis:
The manager executed a full exit from Monday.com following a loss of confidence in management's communication and business execution. While the company showed mixed Q3 results with 26% revenue growth and accelerating enterprise performance, the deceleration in small and mid-sized customer growth raised concerns. The manager initially maintained the position based on management's historical track record and outlined objectives. However, Q4 results that missed forecasts and management's inability to clearly articulate business dynamics triggered the exit decision. This represents a disciplined approach where management quality and communication clarity are non-negotiable criteria. The exit reflects the manager's emphasis on transparency and execution capability, particularly when growth patterns show divergence between customer segments. The decision demonstrates risk management discipline when fundamental thesis assumptions are challenged.
Pitch Summary:
ThredUp – ThredUp delivered an excellent third quarter, with revenue up approximately 34% year over year, one of the fastest growth rates in its recent history. Adjusted EBITDA improved to $3.8 million, or a 4.6% margin, from roughly breakeven last year, while active buyers increased about 26%, driven by strong new buyer acquisition. Management also raised full year revenue guidance, signaling confidence in the outlook. Notably, ma...
Pitch Summary:
ThredUp – ThredUp delivered an excellent third quarter, with revenue up approximately 34% year over year, one of the fastest growth rates in its recent history. Adjusted EBITDA improved to $3.8 million, or a 4.6% margin, from roughly breakeven last year, while active buyers increased about 26%, driven by strong new buyer acquisition. Management also raised full year revenue guidance, signaling confidence in the outlook. Notably, management highlighted that new buyer growth accelerated to 81% year over year in October, up from 54% in Q3, following a rebrand and the launch of a new product recommendation feed in late September. While fundamentals continue to strengthen, the stock has declined over the past five months. These dislocations between price and fundamentals are common in the types of businesses we invest in and have led us to add to the position. ThredUp remains our largest holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager maintains ThredUp as the largest portfolio holding despite recent stock price weakness, demonstrating high conviction in the fundamental business trajectory. The investment thesis centers on accelerating growth with 34% year-over-year revenue growth representing one of the company's fastest rates in recent history. The path to profitability is evident with adjusted EBITDA improving to a 4.6% margin from breakeven, while active buyer growth of 26% indicates strong customer acquisition momentum. The October acceleration to 81% new buyer growth following a rebrand and product recommendation feed launch suggests successful execution of growth initiatives. The manager views the disconnect between strengthening fundamentals and declining stock price as a classic opportunity to add to positions in misunderstood growth companies. The raised full-year guidance signals management confidence, while the largest holding status reflects the manager's belief in the long-term potential of the secondhand apparel market.
Pitch Summary:
Carvana – Carvana's strong financial trajectory continues reporting record third-quarter results, with 155,941 retail cars sold (+~44% YoY) and total revenue of ~$5.65 billion (+~55% YoY), both all-time quarterly highs. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of ~$637 million +~50%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~11.3%, well above typical industry profitability levels. Carvana remains a top 5 holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager e...
Pitch Summary:
Carvana – Carvana's strong financial trajectory continues reporting record third-quarter results, with 155,941 retail cars sold (+~44% YoY) and total revenue of ~$5.65 billion (+~55% YoY), both all-time quarterly highs. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of ~$637 million +~50%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~11.3%, well above typical industry profitability levels. Carvana remains a top 5 holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager expresses strong conviction in Carvana as a top five holding, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance with record quarterly results. The investment thesis is supported by impressive growth metrics including 44% year-over-year unit sales growth and 55% revenue growth, both reaching all-time highs. Most notably, the company achieved an 11.3% adjusted EBITDA margin, which significantly exceeds typical automotive retail industry profitability levels. The 50% EBITDA growth demonstrates operational leverage and margin expansion as the business scales. This represents a successful turnaround story where Carvana has transformed from a loss-making growth company to a profitable, high-margin business. The manager's continued conviction suggests belief in the sustainability of these margins and the company's competitive positioning in online used car sales.
Pitch Summary:
Wayfair – Last quarter, we highlighted that Wayfair's Q2 results were the strongest we had seen in several years and supported our thesis that the business was positioned for a meaningful rebound as the home furnishings market recovered. Q3 built on that momentum. Revenue grew 9% year over year, accelerating from 6% in Q2, while adjusted EBITDA increased more than 70% year over year. These results provide further evidence that Wayf...
Pitch Summary:
Wayfair – Last quarter, we highlighted that Wayfair's Q2 results were the strongest we had seen in several years and supported our thesis that the business was positioned for a meaningful rebound as the home furnishings market recovered. Q3 built on that momentum. Revenue grew 9% year over year, accelerating from 6% in Q2, while adjusted EBITDA increased more than 70% year over year. These results provide further evidence that Wayfair's future profit growth remains substantial and is materially underappreciated by the market. Wayfair continues to be a top five holding.
BSD Analysis:
The manager maintains a bullish stance on Wayfair, viewing it as a top five holding positioned for a meaningful rebound in the home furnishings market. The investment thesis centers on accelerating revenue growth (9% YoY in Q3 vs 6% in Q2) and dramatic EBITDA expansion of over 70% year-over-year. The manager believes the market materially underappreciates Wayfair's future profit growth potential as the home furnishings sector recovers. This represents a classic turnaround story where operational improvements and market recovery are driving substantial margin expansion. The accelerating revenue growth trajectory suggests the company is gaining market share and benefiting from improved consumer demand. The manager's conviction appears high given the top five portfolio weighting and the sustained improvement in both top-line and bottom-line metrics.
Pitch Summary:
A great success and certainly the largest and most important performance driver in 2025 was the stake in United Internet AG (UI). As we recall: when the investment was primarily built up in the summer of 2023, the sentiment for the stock was at rock bottom. Germany's formerly most successful internet entrepreneur, Ralf Dommermuth, had initiated a long-term investment project and had just begun to build his own 5G network. The capit...
Pitch Summary:
A great success and certainly the largest and most important performance driver in 2025 was the stake in United Internet AG (UI). As we recall: when the investment was primarily built up in the summer of 2023, the sentiment for the stock was at rock bottom. Germany's formerly most successful internet entrepreneur, Ralf Dommermuth, had initiated a long-term investment project and had just begun to build his own 5G network. The capital market had considerable problems with the uncertainty and long-term nature of the project, ultimately even doubting the founder's judgment and brutally punishing the stock as a result. Truly wonderful assets were available in the sell-off, and according to our calculations, a very pronounced margin of safety protected the investment on the downside, as the valuation already included very negative scenarios. Two years later, important course corrections were made, a special dividend of 1.90 EUR per share was paid on a cost price of 14.85 EUR, and network quality has increasingly been praised. Due to the loss of the major customer UI in the course of building its own network, competitor Telefonica Deutschland is now in a strategically precarious position, opening the door to potential industry consolidation from four to three providers. Suddenly UI sits at the table as a decisive player and can negotiate powerfully over precisely these synergies as a deciding factor.
BSD Analysis:
United Internet is navigating a high-stakes transition in 2026 as it builds out Germany’s fourth mobile network through its 1&1 subsidiary. The investment case hinges on the successful migration of its massive customer base onto its own 5G Open RAN infrastructure, which is expected to significantly reduce long-term roaming costs and boost EBITDA margins. While capital expenditures remain elevated, the company’s core consumer and business segments (IONOS and GMX/Web.de) continue to provide robust, recurring cash flows to fund the network rollout. Analysts are closely watching for a potential "free cash flow inflection" as the heaviest phase of the 1&1 network spend begins to taper off. With a valuation that frequently trades at a discount to its parts, United Internet represents a tactical play on the consolidation of the German telecommunications market.
Pitch Summary:
We also started a new position in Hensoldt, a European defence electronics company, which we classify as an Accelerator within the Life Cycle framework. The investment case is underpinned by the company’s strong positioning in sensor solutions and electronic warfare, both of which are seeing heightened demand amid increased European defence spending. Hensoldt’s robust order book, exposure to structural growth in defence budgets, an...
Pitch Summary:
We also started a new position in Hensoldt, a European defence electronics company, which we classify as an Accelerator within the Life Cycle framework. The investment case is underpinned by the company’s strong positioning in sensor solutions and electronic warfare, both of which are seeing heightened demand amid increased European defence spending. Hensoldt’s robust order book, exposure to structural growth in defence budgets, and its technological edge in radar and optronics support a compelling long-term outlook for wealth creation.
BSD Analysis:
HENSOLDT is a primary beneficiary of the multi-year "re-armament" cycle in Europe, with its stock price more than tripling over the past two years as governments prioritize advanced sensor and radar technologies. The company is successfully integrating its ESG Elektroniksystem acquisition, which has significantly expanded its capabilities in cyber defense and electronic warfare. For 2026, HENSOLDT is focused on high-margin domestic contracts for the Eurofighter and German Navy frigates, which provide high visibility into its long-term order backlog. While the stock has entered a period of technical consolidation in the 80 to 95 euro range, its fundamental outlook remains robust as defense budgets across the EU move toward a permanent 2 percent GDP floor. Investors value HENSOLDT for its niche technological moat and its role as a strategic "national champion" in the critical defense electronics sector.
Pitch Summary:
We initiated a position in Illinois Tool Work, a global manufacturer of industrial products and components serving a highly diverse set of end markets. Its decentralised structure fosters close customer engagement and incremental innovation, underpinning strong pricing power. While near-term growth is constrained by cyclical end markets and muted demand, the firm’s track record of operational excellence and disciplined portfolio ma...
Pitch Summary:
We initiated a position in Illinois Tool Work, a global manufacturer of industrial products and components serving a highly diverse set of end markets. Its decentralised structure fosters close customer engagement and incremental innovation, underpinning strong pricing power. While near-term growth is constrained by cyclical end markets and muted demand, the firm’s track record of operational excellence and disciplined portfolio management supports a compelling long-term case for double-digit total shareholder returns.
BSD Analysis:
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) is demonstrating its characteristic operational resilience in 2026, leveraging its proprietary "80/20" business model to maintain top-tier margins despite a fluctuating industrial environment. The company’s decentralized structure allows it to react quickly to regional shifts in demand, particularly in the automotive and food equipment segments where specialized high-margin products are driving growth. Management is focusing on high-quality organic expansion and consistent dividend increases, supported by a robust free cash flow conversion rate that often exceeds 100 percent. While the stock's valuation is rarely "cheap," it reflects ITW's status as a premium industrial compounder with a highly defensible market position. As the global manufacturing sector moves toward greater automation, ITW’s specialized fasteners and electronic components are seeing sustained demand as essential building blocks for modern industry.
Pitch Summary:
We introduced Ferrari following a recent fall in its share price. Ferrari is a Compounder with wide durable competitive advantages, combining brand (racing heritage as the oldest and most successful team in F1), scarcity (tightly controlled shipments), switching costs (you need to buy a Range model to be eligible for an Icona or Supercar), and a powerful combination of network-and Veblen-effects (as prices increase, the desirabilit...
Pitch Summary:
We introduced Ferrari following a recent fall in its share price. Ferrari is a Compounder with wide durable competitive advantages, combining brand (racing heritage as the oldest and most successful team in F1), scarcity (tightly controlled shipments), switching costs (you need to buy a Range model to be eligible for an Icona or Supercar), and a powerful combination of network-and Veblen-effects (as prices increase, the desirability increases, supporting the asset values of existing owners). These advantages translate into a sold-out order book 18-months in advance, high-single digit pricing power, sustained margin expansion and cash flow growth. It has limited Chinese exposure and almost no debt which enhances resilience. It has, however, fallen victim to its own success. The company recently suggested growth would be below the market's expected earnings for the next five years. While the market swiftly de-rated valuations, we view the long-term prospects as reinforced, and the entry point as attractive.
BSD Analysis:
Ferrari enters 2026 in a position of unmatched strength, with its order book effectively sold out through 2027 and a waiting list for its first fully electric supercar already exceeding expectations. The company continues to defy broader luxury sector trends by maintaining record-high margins, supported by a strategic focus on personalization and limited-series icons that command massive premiums. Management is prioritizing the rollout of its 2026 "e-building," which will house the production of electric and hybrid components, ensuring Ferrari retains full control over its technological DNA. With a low volume-to-demand ratio and a unique brand moat, the company functions more like a luxury asset manager than a traditional automaker. For investors, Ferrari offers a peerless combination of growth, scarcity value, and a highly resilient revenue profile that is largely immune to traditional economic cycles.
Pitch Summary:
Lamb Weston, which makes frozen potato products in the US, detracted from performance. The shares fell sharply following disappointing quarterly results. The company reported weaker-than-expected volumes and flagged ongoing cost pressures, particularly in raw materials and logistics.
BSD Analysis:
Lamb Weston is currently navigating a challenging "margin reset" in 2026, as the frozen potato giant deals with the combined impact of ...
Pitch Summary:
Lamb Weston, which makes frozen potato products in the US, detracted from performance. The shares fell sharply following disappointing quarterly results. The company reported weaker-than-expected volumes and flagged ongoing cost pressures, particularly in raw materials and logistics.
BSD Analysis:
Lamb Weston is currently navigating a challenging "margin reset" in 2026, as the frozen potato giant deals with the combined impact of cost inflation and production curtailments. While quarterly revenue remains stable around the 1.6 billion dollar mark, net profit margins have contracted significantly from historical highs, reinforcing a bearish narrative for value-oriented investors. Management has launched a 250 million dollar cost-savings program to restore profitability, but high debt levels and non-recurring losses leave little room for operational error. Bulls point to a significant valuation gap, with the stock trading well below its DCF fair value if the margin rebuild succeeds as forecast. The central investment thesis for 2026 hinges on the company's ability to modernize its footprint and regain its industry-leading pricing power as global fry demand stabilizes.
Pitch Summary:
The holding in semiconductor manufacturer Micron Technology continued to provide a positive contribution to returns. We view Micron as a Mature company in a historically commoditised memory market, but one now showing signs of transformation due to rising AI workloads and tight semiconductor supply. Demand for the company’s products is benefiting from the AI boom. DRAM pricing has continued to rise sharply, creating a favourable en...
Pitch Summary:
The holding in semiconductor manufacturer Micron Technology continued to provide a positive contribution to returns. We view Micron as a Mature company in a historically commoditised memory market, but one now showing signs of transformation due to rising AI workloads and tight semiconductor supply. Demand for the company’s products is benefiting from the AI boom. DRAM pricing has continued to rise sharply, creating a favourable environment for Micron, enabling improved profitability.
BSD Analysis:
Micron is entering a "blowout" 2026 as the primary beneficiary of the unprecedented HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) shortage driven by the global AI server ramp-up. The company’s production capacity for HBM3E is already sold out through the end of the year, providing high visibility into a record-breaking revenue trajectory that could see 80 percent upside from recent levels. Technical theory suggests a continuation of the rally that began in late 2025, with analyst price targets firming toward the 350 dollar range as contract prices for memory continue to climb. Despite being a cyclical play, Micron is currently trading at a deep value relative to its blue-chip AI peers, often at less than 10 times its 2026 outlook. As the industry moves toward next-gen HBM4 stacks which command a 50 percent premium, Micron's technological lead and margin expansion make it a top-tier semiconductor holding.
Pitch Summary:
Eli Lilly was a key contributor. The primary driver was the company’s dominant position in the fast-growing GLP-1 drug market and a rotation into the defensive sectors of the market. Third-quarter results, released at the end of October, were exceptional, due to explosive demand for its metabolic franchise (Mounjaro for diabetes and Zepbound for obesity), which together generated more than $10 billion in quarterly sales and capture...
Pitch Summary:
Eli Lilly was a key contributor. The primary driver was the company’s dominant position in the fast-growing GLP-1 drug market and a rotation into the defensive sectors of the market. Third-quarter results, released at the end of October, were exceptional, due to explosive demand for its metabolic franchise (Mounjaro for diabetes and Zepbound for obesity), which together generated more than $10 billion in quarterly sales and captured leading US market share.
BSD Analysis:
Eli Lilly enters 2026 as a generational growth story, issuing bullish revenue guidance fueled by the unprecedented success of its metabolic franchise. The company’s "volume defense" strategy is effectively counteracting regulatory price pressures, with Mounjaro and Zepbound expected to exceed 50 percent of total corporate revenue this year. Significant catalysts remain in the pipeline, most notably the anticipated 2026 FDA approval of Orforglipron, a small-molecule oral GLP-1 that could radically lower production costs and expand market reach. Lilly is aggressively outspending peers on physical infrastructure, committing over 50 billion dollars since 2020 to build a supply moat that competitors struggle to match. While the stock trades at a premium valuation, its market-leading efficacy in weight loss and expanding indications into Alzheimer’s and liver disease provide a robust long-term growth trajectory.
Pitch Summary:
Looking at individual contributors to performance, Alphabet was a key positive contributor to performance following positive results, which helped investors to better appreciate its differentiated positioning in AI. In particular, the release of the Gemini 3 model has been widely accepted as market leading, reducing fears of competition from OpenAI and Anthropic. We remain bullish on the long-term opportunities for the company as a...
Pitch Summary:
Looking at individual contributors to performance, Alphabet was a key positive contributor to performance following positive results, which helped investors to better appreciate its differentiated positioning in AI. In particular, the release of the Gemini 3 model has been widely accepted as market leading, reducing fears of competition from OpenAI and Anthropic. We remain bullish on the long-term opportunities for the company as a Compounder.
BSD Analysis:
Alphabet is currently executing a massive 185 billion dollar capital expenditure program for 2026, marking a decisive commitment to securing its leadership in the generative AI and cloud infrastructure eras. The company is successfully transitioning its core Search ecosystem into an AI-first platform, with the Gemini model now powering more sophisticated query responses and driving higher engagement across YouTube and Workspace. Google Cloud has reached a major milestone of consistent profitability and is seeing accelerated adoption as enterprises utilize Alphabet’s custom TPU and Axion chips to manage massive AI workloads. While this intensive investment phase is drawing significant scrutiny, the firm’s dominant advertising moat and a 70 billion dollar buyback program provide a strong financial foundation. As the "utility provider" for the AI economy, Alphabet’s vertical integration from hardware to consumer applications creates a powerful long-term competitive advantage.
Pitch Summary:
Palantir, the specialist for AI-supported data analysis, was sold due to its significant dependency on US government business and the resulting political risks for international contracts as tensions between the US and the rest of the world escalate. Also, the company's value has reached extremely high levels following the outstanding performance of recent months.
BSD Analysis:
Palantir has transitioned from narrative-heavy to pro...
Pitch Summary:
Palantir, the specialist for AI-supported data analysis, was sold due to its significant dependency on US government business and the resulting political risks for international contracts as tensions between the US and the rest of the world escalate. Also, the company's value has reached extremely high levels following the outstanding performance of recent months.
BSD Analysis:
Palantir has transitioned from narrative-heavy to profitability-focused, and that shift matters. Government contracts anchor credibility and cash flow. Commercial growth is improving, but sales execution still defines the ceiling. Its platforms become sticky once integrated into mission-critical workflows. AI exposure adds momentum, though expectations can outrun fundamentals. Margins scale well as software adoption deepens. Political visibility cuts both ways. This is not a pure AI moonshot. It’s data infrastructure with real operating leverage.