Bull
Pitch Summary:
Sprott is an asset manager, that primarily manages exchange traded vehicles in various commodity sectors, with a focus on precious metals and uranium—two sectors that I'm quite bullish on. Sprott earns management fees based on the assets under management and in a virtuous cycle where they experience both inflows and asset appreciation, the fees should grow rapidly on a fixed cost basis, creating dramatic operating leverage. I shoul...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As the world gets increasingly crazy, I believe that people will come to realize that ownership of precious metals, in physical form, as opposed to in a brokerage account, is part of being financially prudent. They will mostly likely buy those coins from a coin dealer, either in person, or online. A-Mark supplies both of those markets as one of the largest players in online coin brokerage through their JM Bullion, LPM, Silver Gold ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
JOE owns approximately 168,000 acres in the Florida Panhandle. It has been widely known that JOE traded for a tiny fraction of its liquidation value for years, but without a catalyst, it was always perceived to be "dead money." Over the past few years, the population of the Panhandle has hit a critical mass where the Panhandle now has a center of gravity that is attracting people who want to live in one of the prettiest places in t...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Valaris (VAL – USA) has been rangebound for over two years now, awaiting the signing of new contracts at current market rates, that will replace expiring contracts that are frequently less than half of current prevailing rates. There have been some questions as to why the company has been slow to sign new contracts. However, I believe that management is trying to trade a slightly reduced price for increased duration of contract ten...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Let's look briefly at Tidewater (TDW – USA), a position that we started buying in January of 2022 at a price of around $12. The shares ended June at approximately $95. What led to such dramatic price appreciation?? Well, in the first quarter of 2022, the company reported $105.7 million in revenue and an adjusted net loss of $11.7 million. Fast forward to the first quarter of 2024, and the company reported revenue of $321.2 million ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The Fund initiated one new position in the quarter, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL), one of the largest providers of "less than truckload" (LTL) trucking services in North America. ODFL has long been regarded as the highest-quality LTL operator by customers, drivers/employees, and investors alike, and it has the profit margins and balance sheet strength to prove it. Lately, diminished volumes have been a headache for all LTL...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Old Dominion has assembled the premier less-than-truckload (LTL) freight network organically through decades of elbow grease, culture building, and focusing on superior service. Times have been tough lately. Industry freight volumes are depressed, competitors are trying to copy Old Dominion's proven model, and the LTL market has some excess capacity. Following a time-tested playbook, the company has invested through the downturn to...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Constellation's calling card is niche, vertical market software acquisitions, coupled with a decentralized operating approach that drives decision-making closest to the customer. Our research suggests that the collection of existing businesses is more durable than skeptics fear. We are not counting on a repeat performance of the last five years, when Constellation's stock compounded at nearly 27% per year. The company is pursuing l...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Multi-industrial IDEX creates value through a disciplined approach to acquisitions, paired with rigorous application of their business system rooted in "80/20" principles. We have owned IDEX for years in other Weitz strategies, bolstering our confidence in the management team's ability to navigate cyclical soft patches. We think earnings will likely rebound as the life science and analytical instrument end markets recover, with inc...
Pitch Summary:
No revenue; no products; unrealistic timeline (it will take up to 20 years for competitors); executives are part-time; overvalued; spend more on advertising than on R&A; has only $6mil of cash;
BSD Analysis:
NNE A/S provides consulting and engineering services to pharmaceutical and biotech manufacturers, particularly in production facilities. The short case stresses project concentration, exposure to biopharma capex cycles, and li...
Pitch Summary:
Losing user engagement at a rapid pace; the reported number of active users is at the 2020 level; using 'Monthly active' user number to disguise the engagement decline; the new CEO appointed in 2022 failed on his turnaround promises; used artificial click farms or bots to boost site visits to pump the share price during which CEO cashed out;
BSD Analysis:
Pinterest operates a visual discovery and advertising platform. The BSD shor...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We believe one such opportunity exists in Deere & Co. The company's roots date back to 1837 when John Deere, an enterprising blacksmith, developed a first-of-its-kind plow that was particularly well suited for the Midwest soil. Over the coming decades Deere sold thousands of these revolutionary plows, which enabled its purchase of the Waterloo Gasoline Engine Company in 1918. That deal, valued at $2.25 million, marked Deere's entra...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
A trusted global supplier of AI. One of the reflections that came to us as we researched Amazon last year was of the huge potential of what using a Scale Economy Shared model might yield in the business-to-business sector. All the companies we have studied globally using this business model do so in the B2C arena. Except for TSMC we could not think of another using it in the business-to-business arena. This intrigued us and suggest...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We have now spent a good amount of time on TSMC. The more pages we turn, the more we like it. Numerous mental models come to mind as we study it. The first is one we heard Charlie describe when he was once discussing Google. He talked of "surfers and wallowers" i.e. if a business is surfing in front of a wave (having found some form or advantage; scale, technological or otherwise), no competitor franticly paddling behind it is goin...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The messy business of business. The business of investment like life is sometimes messy. It does not glide its way neatly across a spreadsheet. The business of understanding owner managed companies is even more messy. Cleary it is easier if a proven owner manager stays at the head of a company and stays in their lane of proven past success. Indeed, that exact scenario is why we've been so attracted to Ryanair as it approaches its i...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
That trend plays well for another Core company, Quanta Services (PWR). George Bolton, Elliman, and Ali visited PWR in Houston in the second quarter and confirmed that demand has been moving strongly higher. PWR told us they were already getting a lot of pressure on the grid from enterprise customers like Amazon and Google—and that was just for cloud. With the Artificial Intelligence scale-up happening so quickly, PWR anticipates mo...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
In early July, George Bolton and Ali Mogharabi took a trip to Toronto to tour a data center of one of WestEnd’s new Core holdings, Hut 8 Corporation (HUT). HUT is profiled in the marketplace as a bitcoin miner, which is a core business. But lesser known is HUT’s growing profile in offering managed services for energy infrastructure (data center) development, such as site design, procurement, construction management, software automa...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Monday.com is a unique business. They are a leader in the collaborative work management software industry, an industry dedicated to helping knowledge workers organize, manage and collaborate around work. Smartsheet, another Optimist top 10 holding, is also a leader in this market. On the surface Smartsheet and Monday might sound like Coke and Pepsi, which would drive one to ask, "why do you own both?", but the more one learns about...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Carvana: Q1 earnings were very strong growing revenue 17% year-over-year while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) margins came in at 7.7%. For the quarter, Carvana was the fastest growing and highest margin automotive dealer in North America. Though Carvana's shares are up another 150% this year, we continue to believe material upside remains. Our 5-year target has increased to $750 and...
Pitch Summary:
Our holding CarMax continues to scuffle along in what is a very challenging market for used cars, because of both high interest rates and a lack of supply of late model used cars after supply chain issues slowed production in the COVID-19 years. A typical monthly payment on a good used car is more than $100 per month higher today than pre-pandemic, with about two-thirds of that attributable to higher auto prices and one-third to hi...