Bull
Pitch Summary:
By a wide margin, the most impactful item to discuss is the transaction announced on October 9th. CC Capital, a private equity firm in New York run by one of Blackstone's most senior retired dealmakers, will invest $250 million USD into Westaim. This will provide a ~40% stake and a path to control the Board over time, subject to certain stock and business milestones. Longtime supporters will recall that we have owned shares in this...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Craneware plc, a leading provider of healthcare financial management software in the US, benefits from network effects by offering solutions that become more valuable as more healthcare providers use them. It has developed its Trisus Cloud platform over recent years, from which it delivers its software services— helping nearly one in two US hospitals save money through the more efficient allocation of resources. Third party softwar...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Domino's Pizza Group benefits from network economies primarily through its franchise model. As the largest pizza delivery chain in the UK, Domino's gains significant advantages from its expansive network of franchisees, suppliers and customers. The more outlets it opens, the more efficient its operations become, especially in supply chain management, marketing and technology development. Each new franchise strengthens the value of ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) plc, one of our investee businesses, leverages network economies in five main ways, within its business model, to enhance its value and maintain a competitive advantage in the hospitality industry: 1. Loyalty Program (IHG One Rewards) IHG's loyalty program is a key driver of network economies. As more travellers join IHG One Rewards— and there are currently over 130 million members, they accumula...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
One recent example of maintenance research was a trip to Germany and Italy with ATS Corporation. ATS is a provider of automation solutions to manufacturers around the world. The business is driven by talented engineers who design and assemble automated assembly technology that is installed into manufacturers in the Life Science, Food and Beverage, Transportation, Packaging, and Energy sectors. An example of this would be production...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Aritzia, founded in 1984, is an everyday luxury fashion house focused on the female consumer. Aritzia and its halo of brands; Wilfred, Babaton, TNA, Super Puff, Sunday Best have been well known to Canadians for years. Revenues at Aritzia increased from $875MM pre-COVID to $2.2B for the fiscal year ending February 2023, driven by growth in eCommerce and the United States. We have spent time with several key leaders at Aritzia to bet...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Esker is a French software company and one of our portfolio holdings. The business provides mid-to-large enterprises' finance departments with highly sticky software the digitizes business logic and automates workflows in areas of order-to-cash and source-to-pay. Notable customers include NVIDIA, Dairy Queen, Heineken, and the Trudeau International Airport. On September 18th, Esker Management announced a cash offer together with pr...
Pitch Summary:
Travel is usually anchored around 1-5 critical or "must-meet" situations, and then density is built out from there. For this trip, the anchors included Yeti, where Isaac requested more detail on their point of sale retail presence across Europe; Euronext, both at its global headquarters in La Defense and the recently integrated Borsa Italia Exchange in Milan; and a visit to the brewery recently acquired by Royal Unibrew in San Giog...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Finally, early in the quarter we reduced our Alphabet position substantially, by almost half, and added a position in UnitedHealth. Health insurance in the US is a large, defensive growth industry and UnitedHealth is the market leader. Not only the largest, but also a business with incredibly consistent execution and the foresight to invest outside of their core business. From 2000 to 2023 they have grown their earnings at 18% per ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
McKesson, the drug distribution business, was added into the portfolio in late 2022. This year we cut the position back following a 70% rise in the shares. Subsequently shares have fallen -15% on the back of a more accelerated generic roll out (with lower profit margins) for Humira, one of the drugs which they distribute. We used this weakness to increase our allocation to the drug distributors by adding Cencora, a direct peer of M...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Ryanair is a business we have admired for years. From peak to trough this year the shares fell by -38% on the back of weaker short-term fare guidance. We saw this as an opportunity to add a full position to the portfolio. The business case may be well known to our readers but, in brief, they have by far the lowest cost structure in the incredibly competitive short-haul market in Europe. They have made decisive, counter-cyclical cap...
Pitch Summary:
Portfolio holding Toyota Industries still has more than 100% of its market capitalization in cross-shareholdings but has recently made significant improvements in disclosure on capital allocation and in shareholder return policy, including a commitment to significantly reduce policy-held shares and its largest ever share buyback. We have long felt that the possible unwind of these substantial cross-shareholdings supported the skew ...
Pitch Summary:
Portfolio holding Mitsubishi Electric, for example, has taken all these steps and is moving closer to global governance best practices which should allow the industrial conglomerate to realize more of the value in its strong and growing core businesses and net cash balance sheet. It was encouraging to see the company proactively announce an additional mid-quarter share buyback in response to recent market volatility.
BSD Analysis:...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Our one new position is wine and beer maker Constellation Brands (NYQQ: STZ). They will get caught up in the tariffs, but it's an extremely well-run company that sells a product that has historically been recession resistant. In other words, they produce a consumer staple that traditionally goes up in times of uncertainty. Interestingly, Berkshire Hathaway disclosed—after our own acquisition—that they had also purchased over $1B of...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
It may also be worth noting our small, pre-existing position with electric vehicle maker Rivian Automotive Inc. (NSQQ: RIVN), given Tesla's (NSQQ: TSLA) plummeting value. Rivian offers an ideal scenario in which all production is domestic. The owner, R.J. Scaringe, is a shrewd leader who thinks long-term, and the company offers an attractive balance sheet. They also have a partnership with Volkswagen to develop "next generation sof...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We are also holding onto a series of new oil and gas investments we discussed in our previous letter: Tidewater (NYQQ: TDW), Valaris (NYQQ: VAL), and Schlumberger NV (NYQQ: SLB). We see a capital cycle at in play with our new acquisitions positioned favorably compared to some of their chief competitors. Shell (NYSS: SHELL), for example, was a major threat in previous cycles but has since redirected capex that would have gone to off...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We are also holding onto a series of new oil and gas investments we discussed in our previous letter: Tidewater (NYQQ: TDW), Valaris (NYQQ: VAL), and Schlumberger NV (NYQQ: SLB). We see a capital cycle at in play with our new acquisitions positioned favorably compared to some of their chief competitors. Shell (NYSS: SHELL), for example, was a major threat in previous cycles but has since redirected capex that would have gone to off...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We are also holding onto a series of new oil and gas investments we discussed in our previous letter: Tidewater (NYQQ: TDW), Valaris (NYQQ: VAL), and Schlumberger NV (NYQQ: SLB). We see a capital cycle at in play with our new acquisitions positioned favorably compared to some of their chief competitors. Shell (NYSS: SHELL), for example, was a major threat in previous cycles but has since redirected capex that would have gone to off...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
First, we remain committed to our positions in Google/Alphabet (NSQQ: GOOGL) and Amazon (NSQQ: AMZN). Even before all the market madness, we already had an affinity for capital-light businesses, which are relatively less vulnerable to tariffs than the heavy industrial portions of the economy. While Amazon and Google will face secondary impacts (e.g., weakening consumer demand in a recessionary environment), they operate under model...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
First, we remain committed to our positions in Google/Alphabet (NSQQ: GOOGL) and Amazon (NSQQ: AMZN). Even before all the market madness, we already had an affinity for capital-light businesses, which are relatively less vulnerable to tariffs than the heavy industrial portions of the economy. While Amazon and Google will face secondary impacts (e.g., weakening consumer demand in a recessionary environment), they operate under model...