| Quarter | Letter Date | Fund Name | QTD | YTD | Tickers | Keywords/Themes | Theme Commentary | Pitches | Letter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 | Mar 4, 2026 | Saltlight Capital | - | 30.8% | AMD, AMZN, ASML, BLU.JO, CCL.JO, GOOGL, INTC, MELI, MSFT, NVDA, SE, TSM | AI, global, growth, semiconductors, software, technology | AI represents a general-purpose technological revolution with multi-decade second-order effects across industries, labor markets, and national competitiveness. The manager views AI as creating opportunities through enabling constraints and compounding downstream optionality, while complexity causes market participants to misprice assets. The AI epoch remains transformational and has dominated US equity markets in both size and mindshare. Upstream supply-chain participants are increasingly signaling that 2028 and beyond capex could be materially higher, not lower, contradicting the widely held digestion narrative. TSMC lifted capex expectations, ASML's bookings re-accelerated, and Intel found itself unexpectedly capacity-constrained in data-centre CPUs. The semiconductor supply chain is signaling acceleration rather than the expected digestion phase. The market is being asked to underwrite multiple Stargate-scale campuses every year for several years, with analyst forecasts implying roughly 10 GW in FY27E, 12 GW in FY28E, 13 GW in FY29E, and 16 GW in FY30E-FY31E. A 1 GW data centre costs roughly $50-60 billion, with NVIDIA capturing around $35 billion of that via its share of the stack. Software multiples have compressed as if AI disruption is inevitable, while hyperscalers and enterprises still struggle to demonstrate clear AI ROI. The traditional SaaS playbook faces challenges from AI eating into margins, attacking the pricing unit, and creating cannibalization problems. The software total addressable market is likely to grow 2-3x as AI replaces some work and the gap between software spend and headcount narrows. | View |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Stock Exchange | Keywords | Action |
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