Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 14.1% | 46.8% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8% | -7.9% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 30.3% | 29.5% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 14.1% | 46.8% |
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8% | -7.9% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 30.3% | 29.5% |
L1 Long Short Fund delivered exceptional performance with 14.1% returns in Q4 2025, bringing annual performance to 46.8% versus ASX200AI's 10.3%. The fund continues to outperform with 19.9% annualized returns since inception versus 8.2% for the benchmark. Portfolio positioning reflects the manager's view that Australian large caps are relatively fully valued, trading above historical multiples with limited earnings growth, while offshore opportunities offer more compelling combinations of earnings growth, shareholder-friendly management and valuation support. Key themes driving performance included gold's 65% annual rally supported by fiscal deficits and central bank accumulation, steel sector strength from increased U.S. tariffs, and infrastructure assets providing long-term earnings certainty. The fund reduced net exposure during the quarter, exiting positions that reached fair value while increasing U.S. cyclical exposure. Portfolio maintains a value skew with median long position at 12x P/E and double-digit earnings growth. Looking forward, the manager sees best opportunities in infrastructure, gold, U.S. cyclicals, uranium and quality value stocks globally.
L1 Capital maintains a long/short equity strategy focused on identifying undervalued quality companies globally while avoiding overvalued Australian large caps, with particular emphasis on infrastructure, gold, U.S. cyclicals, uranium and value stocks that offer compelling risk-adjusted returns.
We believe the Australian equity index is relatively fully valued, with many large cap stocks trading well above historical multiples and global peers. We continue to find numerous undervalued stocks offshore, where we see a far more compelling combination of strong earnings growth, shareholder-friendly management, conservative balance sheets and significant valuation support. We continue to believe that infrastructure, gold, U.S. cyclicals, uranium and quality value stocks provide some of the best opportunities globally.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15 2026 | 2025 Q4 | ALL.AX, AZJ.AX, BSL.AX, CRH, CTD.AX, FLT.AX, FTT.AX, JHX.AX, LLOY.L, LNW.AX, LSF.AX, MIN.AX, STLD, WGX.AX | Australia, gold, infrastructure, Long/Short, Steel, Travel, value |
BSL AU WGX AU MIN AU AZJ AU FTT CN LNW AU JHX AU LLOY LN FLT AU |
Gold price continued to rally, up 12% for the quarter and 65% for 2025, driven by large U.S. federal fiscal deficits, dollar devaluation, emerging market… |
| Oct 20 2025 | 2025 Q3 | CNU NZ, CRH, FRA GR, HBM CN, IMD AU, MIN AU, NXE, WGX AU | Copper, gold, Nuclear Energy, uranium, Value Investing |
NXE CN HBM MIN WTG AU NXE CN HBM MIN WTG AU |
The fund delivered strong gains from energy and materials, aided by exposure to uranium miners like NexGen Energy and gold producers. It argues that nuclear… |
| Jul 14 2025 | 2025 Q2 | - | alpha, dispersion, Long/Short, risk management, volatility |
FTT CN NXE CN HBM CN VEA AU STO AU QAN AU AIR FP |
The letter frames volatility as a catalyst for generating returns through dynamic long and short positioning. Management highlights dispersion across sectors and stocks as unusually… |
| Mar 31 2025 | 2025 Q1 | BSL AU, IMD AU, JD/ LN, JHX, LLOYDS IN, MIN AU, VEA AU | - | - | - |
| Dec 31 2024 | 2024 Q4 | BSL AU, DEG AU, FLT AU, FLUT, FRA GR, JD/ LN, MIN AU, QAN AU, WGX AU | - | - | - |
| Sep 30 2024 | 2024 Q3 | CNU NZ, CRH, CVE, MEG CN, NWG LN, NXE CN, QAN AU, RMV LN, TSCO LN | - | - | - |
| Jul 15 2024 | 2024 Q2 | AGL AU, CRH, HBM LN, HXSCL, MIN AU, NEM, NGMC, QAN AU | - | - | - |
| Apr 15 2024 | 2024 Q1 | CRH, CS CN, CVE, DOW AU, FLUT, FRA GR, IMD AU, NXE CN, QBE AU, TECK | - | - | - |
| Dec 31 2023 | 2023 Q4 | BH5 GR, CNU AU, CRH, CVE, FLUT, IDG GR, NEM, NUF GR, QRL GR, STS GR, VEA AU, WGX AU | - | - | - |
| Sep 30 2023 | 2023 Q3 | CVE, IDG GR, JHX, NUF GR, PPBA GR, STO AU, SVW AU, WOR AU | - | - | - |
| Jul 23 2023 | 2023 Q2 | AKE CN, DOW AU, FLTR LN, JHX, TECK | - | - | - |
| Mar 31 2023 | 2023 Q1 | AAPL, BSL AU, CAPS, CS CN, CVE, DOW AU, FLTR LN, IDG GR, NMA GR, QBE AU, TECK | - | - | - |
| Feb 24 2023 | 2022 Q4 | CHR CN, CVE, FLTR LN, MDGL, MIN AU, ORG AU, QAN AU, QBE AU, SHOP, TECK | - | - | - |
| Oct 24 2022 | 2022 Q3 | CVE, MIN AU, PPB GR, QAN AU, RHC AU, SFR AU | - | - | - |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
GoldGold returned +65% in dollars in 2025, driven by broadening demand from central banks, professional and retail investors. Central banks now hold 24% of reserves in gold versus 23% in US Treasuries for the first time. Maintained 12% portfolio allocation throughout the year. |
Central Banks Reserves Diversification Demand | |
InfrastructureDigital 9 Infrastructure holds telecom infrastructure assets including Arqiva stake. Despite poor 2025 performance, potential capital returns and asset sales could unlock value. Infrastructure assets provide defensive characteristics. |
Telecom Infrastructure Digital Infrastructure | |
LithiumFull Circle Lithium emerged as a unique play in lithium fire suppression technology, manufacturing FCL-X for extinguishing lithium-ion battery fires with strong sales channel development and rapid scaling expectations. |
Lithium Battery Fire Safety Technology | |
SteelArcelorMittal, the European and Indian steel company, has been a major contributor to the fund's performance in 2025 and continues to be held in the portfolio. |
Steel ArcelorMittal Materials Europe India | |
TravelRoyal Caribbean exemplifies the portfolio's focus on companies combining physical assets with technology innovation, using AI and technology for pricing optimization, packaging, promotions, and onboard customer experience delivery. |
Technology Pricing Experience Innovation Optimization | |
UraniumDemand surging from nuclear restarts and new construction while supply faces operational challenges. Google, Meta partnerships signal corporate adoption of nuclear power. Sprott Physical Uranium Trust resumed buying 10 million pounds since June, helping drive 45% price increase. |
Nuclear SMR Utilities Physical | |
ValueManager emphasizes investing in controlled companies trading at significant discounts to NAV, with European holding companies showing discounts of 30-68%. The strategy focuses on securities mispricing where real value exists, contrasting with overvalued technology stocks. |
Discounts NAV Mispricing Undervalued Controlled | |
| 2025 Q3 |
CommoditiesBull market may be in early stages with most commodities 46% below nominal peaks and 73% below inflation-adjusted highs. Commodity-to-equity ratio near historic lows suggests capital starvation. Current cycle appears only one-third complete compared to historical precedent. |
Cycles Capital Valuation Equities |
EnergyBHE operates regulated utilities serving 5.4 million customers and natural gas pipelines. The business faces significant investment needs driven by AI computing demand and wildfire risk mitigation, particularly in the Western U.S. |
Regulated Utilities Natural Gas Renewable Energy Grid Infrastructure | |
UraniumDemand surging from nuclear restarts and new construction while supply faces operational challenges. Google, Meta partnerships signal corporate adoption of nuclear power. Sprott Physical Uranium Trust resumed buying 10 million pounds since June, helping drive 45% price increase. |
Nuclear SMR Utilities Physical | |
| 2025 Q2 |
VolatilityManager emphasizes volatility as a structural feature of markets, noting that rare events occur far more frequently than expected. April's volatility event validated their convexity approach, with systematic monetization during stress periods. December saw compressed volatility with VIX hitting year lows, creating buying opportunities despite short-term costs. |
VIX Implied Volatility Realized Volatility Convexity Options |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | BSL AU | BlueScope Steel Limited | Materials | Steel | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, Cyclicality, infrastructure, Steel, tariffs, valuation | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | NXE CN | NexGen Energy Ltd. | Materials | Uranium | Bull | TSX | Canada, energy transition, Exploration upside, Low cost, Nuclear, Permitting, uranium | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | WGX AU | Westgold Resources Limited | Materials | Gold | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, Exploration, Gold, leverage, Productiongrowth | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | Materials | Metals & Mining | Bull | NYSE | cash flow, Copper, infrastructure, Mining, Mitsubishi, Partnership, U.s. supply | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | MIN AU | Mineral Resources Limited | Materials | Diversified Metals & Mining | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Asset_Sales, Commodities, deleveraging, Ironore, Lithium | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | MIN | Mineral Resources Ltd. | Materials | Metals & Mining | Bull | Australian Securities Exchange | cash flow, diversification, Governance, infrastructure, Iron ore, Lithium, Mining | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | AZJ AU | Aurizon Holdings Limited | Industrials | Rail Transportation | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | cashflow, infrastructure, Rail, Regulation, Volumes | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | WTG AU | Westgold Resources Ltd. | Financials | Precious Metals | Bull | Australian Securities Exchange | Cost Reduction, Exploration, Fiscal deficits, Gold, inflation hedge, production growth | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | FTT CN | Finning International Inc. | Industrials | Industrial Machinery & Supplies | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Copper, machinery, Margins, Mining, Operationalleverage | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | NXE CN | NexGen Energy Ltd. | Materials | Uranium | Bull | TSX | Canada, energy transition, Exploration upside, Low cost, Nuclear, Permitting, uranium | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | LNW AU | Light & Wonder, Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | Casinos & Gaming | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | earnings, Gaming, litigation, rerating, Sentiment | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | Materials | Metals & Mining | Bull | NYSE | cash flow, Copper, infrastructure, Mining, Mitsubishi, Partnership, U.s. supply | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | JHX AU | James Hardie Industries plc | Industrials | Building Products | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Buildingproducts, Cyclicality, Housing, Margins, recovery | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | MIN | Mineral Resources Ltd. | Materials | Metals & Mining | Bull | Australian Securities Exchange | cash flow, diversification, Governance, infrastructure, Iron ore, Lithium, Mining | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | LLOY LN | Lloyds Banking Group plc | Financials | Diversified Banks | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | banking, Costefficiency, Deposits, Margins, Rates | Login |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | WTG AU | Westgold Resources Ltd. | Financials | Precious Metals | Bull | Australian Securities Exchange | Cost Reduction, Exploration, Fiscal deficits, Gold, inflation hedge, production growth | Login |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | FLT AU | Flight Centre Travel Group Limited | Consumer Discretionary | Travel Services | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Competition, M&A, recovery, Sentiment, Travel | Login |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | FTT CN | Finning International Inc. | Industrials | Trading Companies & Distributors | Bull | Toronto Stock Exchange | aftermarket, buybacks, Caterpillar Dealer, Copper, data centers, Mining Services, Power systems, valuation discount | Login |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | NXE CN | NexGen Energy Ltd. | Energy | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Bull | Toronto Stock Exchange | Development Stage, nuclear energy, strategic asset, supply deficit, uranium | Login |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | HBM CN | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | Materials | Metals & Mining | Bull | Toronto Stock Exchange | Copper, deleveraging, Gold, Mining, production growth, Project Development | Login |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | VEA AU | Viva Energy Group Limited | Energy | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Convenience Store, Energy Retail, Otr, Refining Margins, synergies, turnaround | Login |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | STO AU | Santos Limited | Energy | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | energy, Free cash flow inflection, LNG, Project Development, takeover target, undervalued | Login |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | QAN AU | Qantas Airways Limited | Industrials | Airlines | Bull | New York Stock Exchange | Airlines, Fleet Upgrade, loyalty program, Structural Growth, Travel Recovery, valuation | Login |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Fund Letters | Andrew Larke | AIR FP | Airbus SE | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Bull | Euronext Stock Exchange | Aerospace, Defense, duopoly, margin expansion, Order Backlog, Supply Chain Recovery | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| ALL.AX | Aristocrat has been one of the fund's top performers this financial year and has also been a top performer in prior periods. |
| AZJ.AX | Aurizon (Long +14%) shares strengthened over the quarter, driven by positive above-rail volume updates and the announcement of a proposed 10-year extension to the company's regulatory arrangements with miners for access to the Queensland rail network. The agreement, which is subject to approval by the Queensland Competition Authority, enhances long-term earnings and cash-flow certainty for Aurizon's Networks business. Above-rail performance was supported by a robust start to New South Wales and Queensland coal volumes, commencement of BHP Copper railings as planned and grain volumes tracking toward a record year. |
| BSL.AX | BlueScope Steel received multiple takeover proposals from Steel Dynamics consortium, with the Board rejecting A$30.00/sh proposal as undervaluing the company. L1 Capital agrees with the Board's rejection but sees merit in potential structural action to unlock value. The manager believes BlueScope's North American assets are strategic and almost impossible to replicate, trading at significant discount to U.S. peers despite robust balance sheet and improving fundamentals including materially increased steel tariffs. |
| FLT.AX | travel business Flight Centre +11% rallied post the emergence of significant challenges with a major competitor |
| FTT.AX | Finning (Long +15%) shares continued to rise boosted by improved copper sentiment and after reporting strong third quarter results with EBIT 9% above market expectations. Finning is the largest Caterpillar dealer globally, with its operations focused on Canada, South America and the U.K. and Ireland. Finning has transformed its business model and earnings growth over the past five years as the South American region has become a much larger profit contributor to the Group, and as the company improved its cost efficiency and operational leverage. |
| JHX.AX | James Hardie (Long +10%) shares gained as the company upgraded its full year earnings guidance with its Q2 earnings update. In early November the company was also impacted by the announcement of an unexpected index deletion, which resulted in more than 10% of shares on issue having to be sold by passive equity holders. We took advantage of this transitory sell-off to step-up our shareholding. The market outlook in the U.S. remains uncertain, with consumers exercising caution and housing starts remaining subdued. We believe these impacts are transitory and should improve over the next 12-18 months as interest rates decline and consumer confidence improves. |
| LLOY.L | Lloyds Banking Group was among the rate-sensitive majors leading European banking sector outperformance. Sector returns have been underpinned by the stabilisation of short-term interest rates and a subsequent steepening of the European yield curve. |
| LNW.AX | Light & Wonder (Long +22%) shares recovered sharply as the company reported strong third quarter results and re-iterated full year earnings guidance. The shares were also supported by the completion of the NASDAQ delisting and shift to a sole primary listing on the ASX which saw the end of significant forced selling from U.S. passive equity holders. In early January 2026, Light & Wonder noted the settlement of a longstanding litigation dispute with Aristocrat Leisure for US$127.5m, removing a significant overhang for the company. |
| MIN.AX | Mineral Resources was a key detractor during the period. We have since exited this position, as the company does not pass our investment process at present. Since exiting the position, the share price has continued to decline meaningfully. |
| WGX.AX | Westgold Resources (Long +44%) performed strongly, as the U.S. dollar gold price increased ~12% over the month, bringing the rally to around 65% for the calendar year. Additionally, during the quarter, Westgold released a 3-year outlook for the business that was well-received by the market. The outlook demonstrated its transformation into a producer of material scale, with FY25 production of ~325koz expected to grow towards ~470koz in FY28. We believe there remains significant medium-term upside to grow production further, as these targets do not include any contribution from the newly discovered Fletcher Zone at Beta Hunt, which is potentially transformational for the scale of the asset. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||