Investor Summary
Fund Strategy
FUND PERFORMANCE AS OF 31st December 2025
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | 6.3% | 34.7% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| 34.7% |
| ANNUALIZED SINCE INCEPTION | QUARTERLY | YTD |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | 6.3% | 34.7% |
| 2025 |
|---|
| 34.7% |
Oldfield Partners delivered strong performance in 2025 with the fund rising 34.7% versus 21.1% for MSCI World, driven primarily by AI-related dynamics benefiting holdings like Samsung through memory shortages. The manager warns that despite apparent diversification, major equity indices increasingly share a common AI backbone, creating concentration risk with Nvidia, ASML, and TSMC dominating their respective regions. Key portfolio actions included reducing Samsung after re-rating, exiting Alibaba despite price strength due to weakening fundamentals, and adding Swatch as a luxury recovery play with significant asset backing. The manager sees the pendulum swinging away from American exceptionalism as US risk becomes recognized, while maintaining focus on unloved, undervalued companies fundamental to the global economy. From current S&P 500 valuations, the outlook mirrors London housing post-2015 with poor prospective decade returns expected. However, opportunities persist in the 20% of stocks that declined in 2025, with the portfolio trading at 11x earnings and 40%+ weighted average upside providing attractive long-term prospects.
Investing with discipline in companies trading at attractive valuations that are unloved, ignored, or out of favor but remain fundamental to the global economy, while managing concentration risk from AI dominance across major indices.
The manager expects poor prospective returns for the S&P 500 over the next decade from current valuation levels, similar to London housing after 2015. However, opportunities will continue to exist away from media headlines in undervalued companies. The portfolio maintains attractive absolute prospects with a headline multiple of around 11 times price to earnings and weighted average upside of over 40%.
| Date | Letter | Tickers | Keywords | Pitches | Quick Takes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 2026 | 2025 Q4 | 005930.KS, ASML, BABA, BNZL.L, CNHI, EXO.MI, HEN3.DE, LLOY.L, MT, NVDA, PHG, RACE, STLA, TSM, UHR.SW | AI, diversification, global, Luxury, semiconductors, technology, value | - | AI has become a dominant theme across major equity indices, with Nvidia leading the S&P 500, ASML dominating MSCI EAFE, and TSMC leading emerging markets. The fund benefited from AI-related dynamics, particularly through Samsung's memory products experiencing substantial price increases due to DRAM shortages driven by AI demand. The fund focuses on investing in companies with low valuations that are unloved, ignored, or out of favor but remain fundamental to the global economy. Despite persistent bubble discussions, opportunities continue to exist away from media headlines in companies trading at attractive valuations. New investment in Swatch represents exposure to luxury watch brands including Omega, Longines, Tissot, and others. The investment thesis is based on tangible assets including Swiss real estate and the potential for operating leverage when luxury demand recovers from current structural pressures. |
| Oct 7 2025 | 2025 Q3 | 005930 KS, 1 HK, BABA, EZJ, HEIA NA | Artificial Intelligence, contrarian, Global Equities, valuation, Value Investing |
005930 KS BABA US CKHUY US |
The strategy focuses on global large-cap value stocks trading at discounts to intrinsic value due to cyclical pessimism and macro uncertainty. Oldfield highlights balance-sheet strength and earnings resilience as markets overly reward growth narratives. Value investing remains compelling as valuation discipline and mean reversion assert themselves. |
| Aug 25 2025 | 2025 Q2 | 6971 JP, BABA, BNZL.L LN | Currency Risk, fiscal deficits, global diversification, valuation gaps, value | - | The letter emphasizes global value investing amid extreme valuation dispersion between U.S. equities and the rest of the world. Management highlights excessive U.S. dollar strength, unsustainable fiscal deficits, and elevated U.S. equity multiples as risks, while non-U.S. markets trade at meaningful discounts. Diversification across currencies, regions, and real assets is positioned as critical to preserving real returns as regimes shift. |
| QUARTER | THEMES | TAGS |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
LuxuryNew investment in Swatch represents exposure to luxury watch brands including Omega, Longines, Tissot, and others. The investment thesis is based on tangible assets including Swiss real estate and the potential for operating leverage when luxury demand recovers from current structural pressures. |
Watches Swiss Brands Premium Recovery | |
ValueManager emphasizes investing in controlled companies trading at significant discounts to NAV, with European holding companies showing discounts of 30-68%. The strategy focuses on securities mispricing where real value exists, contrasting with overvalued technology stocks. |
Discounts NAV Mispricing Undervalued Controlled | |
| 2025 Q3 |
AIAI has been integrated into RGA's research process through tools like NotebookLM, Gems in Gemini, and Claude Code. The firm views AI as a force multiplier for human judgment rather than a replacement, emphasizing the Kasparov Law principle. They believe the market narrative around AI displacement is swinging to unhelpful extremes, creating investment opportunities. |
Machine Learning Automation Software Productivity Innovation |
Contrarian |
||
ValuationAI-related companies continue to command premium valuations while other sectors remain reasonably priced. This valuation divide continues to guide investment activity, with the fund remaining wary of companies trading at exceedingly high valuations that imply exceptional multi-year earnings growth. |
Premium Divide Discipline Stretched Reasonable | |
ValueThe manager continues to find attractive value opportunities despite expensive markets, purchasing undervalued companies like Centene, GlaxoSmithKline, Carrefour and PayPal trading at low multiples with strong fundamentals. |
Undervalued Low Multiples Contrarian Opportunistic | |
| 2025 Q2 |
ValueThe manager continues to find attractive value opportunities despite expensive markets, purchasing undervalued companies like Centene, GlaxoSmithKline, Carrefour and PayPal trading at low multiples with strong fundamentals. |
Undervalued Low Multiples Contrarian Opportunistic |
| Date | Pitch Type | Author | Ticker | Company | Industry | Sub Industry | Bull / Bear | Exchange | Keywords | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Samuel Ziff | CKHUY US | CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd. | Industrials | Conglomerates | Bull | - | conglomerate, Hong Kong, Ports, restructuring, Telecom, Value | Login |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Samuel Ziff | 005930 KS | Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. | Information Technology | Semiconductors | Bull | NYSE | AI, Asia, Cyclical, Memory, semiconductors, valuation | Login |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Fund Letters | Samuel Ziff | BABA US | Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. | Consumer Discretionary | Internet & E-commerce | Bull | NYSE | AI, China, cloud, e-commerce, growth, Value | Login |
| TICKER | COMMENTARY |
|---|---|
| 005930.KS | Top gainers included Samsung (+38% in U.S. dollar terms) |
| ASML | ASML, TSMC, and Arista Networks are key players in the AI build out supply chain. |
| BABA | Alibaba was a detractor during the quarter after the company reported mixed fiscal Q2 results. While cloud revenue growth accelerated and margins remained stable, the core commerce business struggled with slowing growth and significant profit pressure, particularly in the quick commerce segment where heavy investment and intense competition led to a sharp decline in profitability. |
| BNZL.L | weakest performers included Bunzl (-11%) |
| CNHI | CNH Industrial detracted across the Funds, reflecting investors' continued concerns about the downturn of the Ag cycle and its impact on end-market demand. CNH remains significantly undervalued in our view, and we are adding to our position opportunistically. We took advantage of a pricing opportunity and added to CNH Industrial, which is now a top 10 holding in all four funds. |
| EXO.MI | Decline in prices of holdings and widened discount to NAV. We have favoured Exor despite/because of the recent downturn in Ferrari shares, given the strong see-through publicly listed element of over 85% of the portfolio, allied to strong capital management. |
| HEN3.DE | Henkel (-15%) was one of the largest negative contributors to performance. |
| LLOY.L | Lloyds Banking Group was among the rate-sensitive majors leading European banking sector outperformance. Sector returns have been underpinned by the stabilisation of short-term interest rates and a subsequent steepening of the European yield curve. |
| MT | ArcelorMittal (the European and Indian steel company), Jardine Matheson, Aberdeen (fund management) and Lloyds Banking have all been major contributors. We continue to hold all of these except the last. |
| NVDA | AI bellwether NVIDIA's very strong set of earnings in late November helped the AI theme re-assert its dominance when investors breathed a sigh of relief following the results. |
| PHG | Philips, the Dutch healthcare company, represents part of the Agnelli family's diversification away from the auto industry. |
| RACE | Our largest common stock holding is Ferrari. Over the last three years we have purchased 543,800 shares. At year-end, our investment in Ferrari was valued at $202.3 million. When we started purchasing shares in 2022, we were thinking about what the company would look like in two decades. Ferrari's vehicles will, of course, continue to change over the coming years, but we think the reasons people will choose the brand in the 2040s will be nearly the same as they are today. We believe Ferrari is one such company that has sustained its competitive edge. |
| STLA | Stellantis is one of three separately listed businesses that account for around half of Exor's net asset value. |
| TSM | TSMC was a top contributor during the quarter, driven by robust demand for advanced semiconductor manufacturing and improved gross margins as AI continues to grow strong and the non-AI segment showed signs of recovery. Management raised its revenue growth guidance to the mid-30% range, and given continued strength in demand, AI-related growth targets are expected to move above the current mid-40% level. |
| UHR.SW | We made one new purchase in the quarter Swatch. Swatch offers a rare investment opportunity backed by both tangible and intangible assets, with a valuation that assumes very little goes right. Swatch's balance sheet includes net cash of approximately CHF 1.5bn and Swiss real estate with an estimated market value of around CHF 4bn. At today's market capitalisation, this implies a valuation of roughly 1x sales for Omega, one of the world's most recognisable luxury watch brands, while the remainder of the group's portfolio, including Longines, Tissot, Blancpain, Harry Winston, Swatch, and its extensive component manufacturing operations, effectively being valued at zero. |
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Bought | Shares Bought | % Change | Weight % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Buys Data | |||||
| Ticker | Put/Call | Amount Sold | Shares Sold | % Change | Weight % | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Recent Sells Data | ||||||
| Industry | Prev Quarter % | Current Quarter % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| No industry data available | |||