Bull
Pitch Summary:
CTT has made additional progress on many fronts this year. In May, it announced solid 1Q results well ahead of expectations and raised its full-year guidance. 1Q EBITDA was €40 million, and full-year guidance, which appears conservative, implies EBITDA of €140 million. Again, this EBITDA compares to a roughly €500 million market cap, and enterprise value, adjusting for the bank and real estate, of close to zero. Also in May, CTT fo...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Clarus is an example of a situation in which I believe the market is incorrectly extrapolating recent challenging results far into the future. While perhaps not exactly trading at "trough on trough," the current approximate 7x EBITDA multiple on depressed earnings (in at least two of its three segments) puts it close. Black Diamond Equipment, Clarus' largest segment, may only generate $10-15 million of EBITDA this year, as the US w...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Cadre Holdings, which we purchased just under two years ago at its IPO, has continued to execute well. The business' "mission critical products with recurring demand characteristics" set the backdrop for the company to maintain a favorable price/cost spread; margins have expanded and should continue to do so. Cadre rhymes a bit with APG in that I think it can quietly generate exceptional returns as it steadily grows, expands margin...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
APG has quietly quadrupled since our first purchase in April 2020, and doubled since we added to the position in September 2022, when we brought it into our top five positions. It has executed exceptionally well, demonstrating the quality of its business through Covid and since. Obviously, my mistake has been to have this position sized too small over our holding period. That said, I believe it can double again over the next few ye...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The Fund's Q1'23 letter outlined my reasoning for reinitiating a core position in LMB, a HVAC–focused specialty contractor. The company has historically sold most of its work through general contractors but has been transitioning towards building owners. I continue to be impressed by the new CEO's vision for the existing business and future M&A opportunity. LMB has a net cash balance sheet and is currently benefiting from a strong ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As a leader in the alternative asset management space, KKR has seen tremendous growth in AUM from just shy of $200 billion when I first highlighted the company in the Fund's Q2'19 letter, to over $500 billion today. Additionally, dry powder has grown from $60 billion back then to over $100 billion currently. Importantly, many of KKR's businesses remain subscale relative to their potential, including real estate, infrastructure, cre...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As a global leader in the flex office market, IWG is transitioning towards a capital-light business model, which I discussed in the Fund's Q3'22 letter. Despite the negative perceptions associated with the office market, IWG stands to benefit from high office vacancies, as landlords are pushed to explore capital-light managed partnerships with IWG. Recently, a large UK-based investment firm turned into a forced seller of its holdin...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
DNTL, the largest dental practice operator in Canada, with over 500 practices, continues to remain a stable, growing, and cash-generative business, as I explained in the Q1'23 letter. The company's strategic review process ended without a sale, which led to a drop in the share price. This presented an excellent opportunity for us to significantly increase the Fund's position. DNTL has margin upside, as well as a long reinvestment r...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As outlined in the Fund's Q4'21 letter, BFIT is the largest low-cost gym operator in Europe, with approximately 1,300 locations and four million members. After experiencing significant member attrition during COVID, the company's mature locations are finally expected to surpass pre-COVID membership levels and profitability this year. Having nearly tripled its location count over the prior six years, BFIT plans to continue growing l...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
One investment where I've been a patient long term holder over much of the past 5 years has been NVR. NVR is one of the largest homebuilders in the US, operating in over 30 markets. There are several attributes that are underappreciated about NVR. First and foremost, it's not your normal land-owning homebuilder: NVR options their land which leads to outsized returns and less risk by having less capital tied up in land. Many homebui...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We purchased our first shares of Chevron in March of 2020 at ~$76 per share. We doubled down seven months later in October at ~$73 per share. We exited in May of 2023 at a price of ~$150 per share. We also received 22% of our cost basis back in dividends during our ownership. Our total return was ~+127% over 3 years (+31% annualized). The story of buying Chevron was simple capital cycle theory. It's easy to forget, but four of the ...
Pitch Summary:
Spark is a global purveyor of dating apps. They own niche brands like J-Date, Silver Singles, and Christian Mingle. The company surfaced on our radar after a friend who runs a small cap activist fund brought it to our attention. Our first purchase was February 2021 at a price of $7.45. We bought more in July and August of 2021, and again in June of 2022. We sold our last shares in March of 2023 at a price of $0.80, a disastrous out...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
During the quarter I built a position in Distribution Solutions Group ("DSGR") ahead of their rights offering. In addition to exercising our basic subscription rights I put in for over-subscription and was pleasantly surprised to receive additional shares. DSGR is a specialty distribution platform formed when Lawson Products combined with two privately held entities, Gexpro Services and TestEquity in early 2022. Lawson is a North A...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
One new addition to the book has been Endeavor Group Holdings ("EDR"). EDR is a conglomerate of various entertainment assets led by legendary executive Ari Emanuel. Its properties include owned sports (primarily the UFC), events, and talent representation. Earlier this year EDR announced that it would merge the UFC with the WWE to form a new publicly traded company called TKO Group Holdings ("TKO"). From a business perspective this...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Decisive Dividend is a new investment in the fund and the stock has been very strong as of late but still appears cheap and we believe it should trade well over $10/share. The company acquires small profitable industrial companies like wood burning stove businesses and varying metal & plastic fabrication shops. DE is currently the best stock we can find that balances both growth and yield. DE has a dividend yield of 6.9% with expec...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Hammond Power is a new investment in the fund. They design and manufacture transformers (enables electrification) and they have been in business for over 100 years and now have 1,400 employees in 21 global locations. Sales have currently hit an inflection point because the electrical grid worldwide is not even close to being able to handle the demand that new technology is demanding from the grid. Transformers are essential in all ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We recently had a call with Sangoma's Chairman and Interim CEO. In their most recent quarter, they reported 18% revenue growth with service revenue growing 37% and EBITDA margins of 19.4%. Their SaaS revenue grew 10% organically and now represents 81% of revenue. They are well along the path of bringing on a new CEO who should be able to improve communication to the market plus have the experience of running a business at a much mo...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We published our report on Tucows in our April newsletter and the stock is up ~75% off the bottom that month. That being said, it is currently trading around $40/share and we strongly believe it is worth $100/share. The stock actually declined ~14% in June and has since recovered most of that decline. The reason for the temporary downturn seems to be the US Government announcing their $42.5B BEAD program. "The federal government ha...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Reitmans is undergoing a significant change that hasn't yet been recognized by the market. Investors are slow to recognize inflection points and the combination of Covid, bankruptcy restructuring, and the death of the CEO, has resulted in new management, new culture, and a new outlook. This major turning point has set the company to focus on profitability. Their bonuses are now tied to operating profit and all indications appear fo...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We significantly increased our weighting in Lassonde Industries (ticker: LAS/A CN) this quarter when the stock declined to multiyear lows. Recent sales growth has been robust due to sharp price increases for the company's fruit juices and drinks. Gross margins have been pressured by soaring input costs for apple and orange concentrate, but price increases are beginning to catch up to cost inflation. Transportation expenses are also...