Bull
Pitch Summary:
AMT (American Tower Corp down -3.6%) – Shares of American Tower lagged in the quarter after a lackluster earnings report and a broader sell-off of in REIT's. Rising interest rates have hampered the REIT sector as 1) income investors can now find comparable yields from U.S. treasuries, and 2) debt financing for real estate has become considerably more expensive. In the fourth quarter earnings report, American Tower recorded a -$642 ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
A10 Networks (ATEN down -11.1%) – The provider of cybersecurity and infrastructure solutions for on-premises, cloud and edge environments traded down during the quarter despite recording a record fourth quarter and full year revenue. The company still faces some challenges as they transition from a hardware focus to becoming software centric. Investors were likely concerned with ATEN's negative growth in their enterprise segment. D...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
MSCI (MSCI Inc up +20.6%) – MSCI was a top performer in the first quarter supported by a strong Q4 earnings report, an optimistic outlook for 2023, and a flurry of bullish sell-side analyst reports. MSCI has proved to be a diversified all-weather franchise, increasing organic revenue by 9% in 2022 despite a volatile year that saw the S&P 500 closing down -18% after reaching depths as low as -25%. MSCI management appears optimistic ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Comfort Systems (FIX up 26.9%) – The national provider of HVAC installation, maintenance, and repair services, had an outstanding quarter. Driven by positive tailwinds from the trends in modular construction and American business reshoring, the company finds itself with more business than it can accommodate. Management highlighted that Comfort Systems has an order backlog that will keep them busy well into 2024. Their order book is...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Perion Network (PERI up +56.4%) – Our investment in the Israeli based ad-tech company has now been a top performer for two quarters in a row. In February, Perion announced full year 2022 earnings which included guidance for 14% revenue and EBITDA growth in 2023. This implies meaningful growth in a challenging environment where their peers continue to struggle. Despite the stock's strong performance, Perion is still trading at a mod...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Washtec is a EUR 530m market capitalised German manufacturer of car washing products, including rollovers, wash tunnel conveyor systems and jet washes. We have followed the company for many years and have in fact been shareholders twice since the 1997 public listing, having previously bought shares in 2004 and 2010. The company came back onto our radar screen a couple of years ago and the price decline that the shares experienced b...
Pitch Summary:
Paywalled (An investigation by The Bear Cave has uncovered that amid numerous scandals and horror stories the Airbnb platform has shifted towards professionally managed properties, many of which are now gearing to directly compete against the company.)
BSD Analysis:
Airbnb faces regulatory restrictions, supply pressures, and leisure-travel cyclicality. Many cities are tightening short-term rental laws, limiting growth. Hotels and ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Axon is most famous for popularizing the Taser. In fact, the company's old ticker symbol was TASR, until it started expanding into new product categories and updated the ticker to AXON. The founding story is quite unique. Rick Smith was at Harvard when two of his friends from high school were shot dead. While grieving, he wondered if there was a non-lethal weapon that could solve the problem of gun violence. He kept thinking about ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
One of our top 5 holdings is Alphawave Semiconductors, and it is our stock in focus for this letter. The company IPO'd as 'Alphawave IP' near the peak of the GME/SPAC craze, raising a war chest of around 500 mn EUR. Fast forward 18 months later and we see a totally different company: they have emptied their war chest on acquisitions (as promised), and the stock has lost over 70% of its market cap as the craze has faded. It now trad...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Alibaba Group Holding ( BABA 0.37%↑) announced its most significant organizational overhaul in its 24-year history. The company will be restructured as a holding company with six individual business units, each with the ability of raising funds independently. This announcement sets the stage for IPOs and spin-offs, potentially unlocking significant shareholder value. The market welcomed the announcement as shares appreciated north ...
Pitch Summary:
The SaaS industry has been weak; the company's average contract value is massively inflated; intense competition; company's technology is likely to be obsolete due to AI development; Update 4/10 - Follow-up report published.
BSD Analysis:
Sprout Social offers SaaS tools for social media management. Concerns include slowing customer growth, rising churn, and intensifying competition from Salesforce and smaller rivals. Margins remai...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Our biggest contribution in the past six months came from Sitoy, one of the leading OEM producers of luxury handbags in the world, supplying companies such as Coach, Lacoste, and Fossil. At one point seen as a quality company trading at 3x net worth, they experienced a 50% drop in sales in the past few years, with the market cap falling from $6 billion HKD to around $400m HKD recently. This past September, at the latter valuation, ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
On January 12, 2023, Opera Ltd. approved a special dividend of $0.80 per ADR share. A special dividend is a one-time lump-sum payment, and Opera's equated to a one-day return of 12.9%. This dividend continued the shareholder-friendly ways of Opera management that had been an integral part of our investment case. The company is producing cash and sending it to shareholders, and these types of investments are rare. By having a concen...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
I have previously described Ranger as a company that provides proverbial "picks and shovels" to the energy industry. It is an onshore domestic oil services company that helps E&Ps service their wells, once drilled. While energy is a volatile, commodity-driven business, Ranger is a small, well-run, now unlevered company that should stay pretty busy as long as oil stays above, say, $50-60/barrel, which is a reasonable long-term assum...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Delek is a holding company that owns four refineries, about 250 gas stations, and 34.3 million shares of publicly traded Delek Logistics Partners, LP (NYSE: DKL), its captive master limited partnership, which owns a series of oil pipelines and infrastructure assets. Delek has 67 million shares outstanding and recently traded at $21.50 per share, putting its market cap at just over $1.4 billion. I estimate it has around $300 million...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The Small Cap Fund fell (1.2%) during the first quarter. As an example of the above dynamic, our position in RF Industries ("RFIL") fell almost 14% in the quarter. RFIL is a manufacturer and distributer of RF connectors and cables, and custom copper and fiber assemblies. New management came in 5 years ago and have grown the company through acquisitions. I think of the business in two buckets. The largest and most profitable has bee...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
I started buying Wesco ("WCC") at the end of last year. I continued adding this year and have made it a mid-level position. WCC is a $23bn distributor of electrical, communications, and utility products. They completed the acquisition of Anixter in 2020, which doubled the size of the company and gave them exposure to higher-growth end markets. By all accounts, this acquisition has been a homerun. Cross-selling synergies initially t...
Pitch Summary:
First Republic Bank was a significant detractor from performance during the quarter. The Company is a retail bank with a sterling underwriting track record headquartered in Northern California. First Republic became collateral damage in the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which - unlike First Republic - is a commercial bank, but like First Republic happens to be headquartered in Northern California. Regardless of how irrational it...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Limbach Holdings (LMB) was the Fund's largest winner in 2020 and remains one of our most lucrative investments to date. In my Q2'21 letter, I detailed numerous concerns regarding the company's CEO, that eroded my trust, ultimately leading me to exit the position entirely by Q3'21. In January of this year, LMB announced that its former CEO would be replaced by then-COO, Michael McCann, at the end of Q1. I believed that Mike was the ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
In the first quarter, the Fund initiated a position in dentalcorp Holdings (DNTL), Canada's largest operator of dental practices, with over 1,800 dentists serving 2 million active patients across 500 locations. The company was established in 2011 by its CEO, Graham Rosenberg, who went on to partner with several institutions to accelerate growth through acquisition, before going public in 2021. Currently, Rosenberg holds a 5% stake ...