Pitch Summary:
Paycom sold off at the end of October as the market reacted negatively to the short-term negative impact on margins from continued investments in its platform and its "BETI" product. BETI is Paycom's self-service software that allows employees to input their own payroll data. The company has demonstrated that the use of BETI can significantly improve return on investment and has made its adoption a priority for its salesforce. Whil...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Ferguson is a leading US-focused distributor ($33B mkt cap) of plumbing and HVAC supplies that is split between non-residential (48%) and residential (52%) as well as repair/remodel (60%) and new construction (40%). Like other high-quality distributors, Ferguson benefits from a prime spot in its value chain. It has many suppliers (over 30,000), customers (~1 million), and small competitors. By providing great service and parts avai...
Pitch Summary:
XPEL is the leader in the automotive paint protection film ("PPF") market. During the period, the stock sold off sharply on news that Tesla entered the market in 2 of their 100 service centers. We believe the reaction was overblown, and the combination of increasing attach rates, adjacent categories (for instance, new markets like architectural and Marine), and geographic expansion provide a long runway of growth for XPEL. However,...
Pitch Summary:
CTS Eventim, the European leader in ticketing and live entertainment event management, reported positive quarterly results with profits well ahead of expectations. Ticketing sales were particularly robust, driven by blockbuster tours such as Taylor Swift and Coldplay. Despite the robust results, management maintained their full-year guidance. CTS continues to see a significant rebound in demand, even based on pre-Covid levels, and ...
Pitch Summary:
Shift, a Japanese technology company that specializes in software testing, announced good fourth-quarter and full-year results and was boosted further by growing expectations that AI would lead to an increase in non-enterprise testing. The outsourced software testing market is vast, and an estimated 98% of the workload is handled in-house today, even though companies like Shift can deliver this service more cheaply and efficiently....
Pitch Summary:
Discount retailer Five Below recovered from Q3 weakness after it reported a better-than-expected fourth quarter. The company reported 14% year-on-year revenue growth and raised its full-year earnings and revenue guidance. As had been previously communicated, profits declined amid higher expenses, but the discount retailer continues to outperform its peers and is well positioned to capitalize on the holiday season and deliver on the...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Microsoft: MSFT was a top contributor in the quarter following strong FY1Q24 earnings in late October. In that earnings report, MSFT delivered better-than-expected revenue (+13%) and earnings (+27%), with growth in both accelerating from the prior quarter. All three major segments grew revenue faster than expected, highlighted by 28% constant currency growth in Azure, the company's cloud offering. This marked the first quarter-over...
Pitch Summary:
Uber Technologies: UBER was a top contributor in the quarter following better than expected 3Q23 earnings and 4Q23 guidance. Gross bookings of $35.3 billion were up 21% year over year. Mobility gross bookings of $17.9 billion grew 30% over last year driven by a combination of product innovation and driver availability. Delivery gross bookings of $16 billion were up 16% from last year and continued to be strong throughout the quarte...
Pitch Summary:
Shopify: Shopify shares were our top performer in the quarter following a strong 3Q earnings report that included better than expected revenue growth and substantial margin expansion. We wrote in October, after Shopify was our worst performer, that the stock had been volatile, despite the fact that the company's underlying business has been "steadily improving following a post-Covid e-Commerce slowdown." The most recent quarter, re...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
During 2023, we discussed Transaction Capital (TCP) frequently. As we suspected, in November, management announced that they were considering spinning off WeBuyCars (WBC). This was confirmed in February 2024. We anticipate that our entry price will exceed the value of the spun-off company and we'll still have the remainder of the 'rump' consisting of the troubled SA Taxi and the resilient Nutun. WBC is the 'hidden diamond' that we'...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
AppLovin (APP) operates at the intersection of game advertisers, publishers, and over one billion game players, functioning as a pivotal monetisation enabler in the free-to-play gaming ecosystem. One of AppLovin's strengths lies in its primary use of contextual data for ad matching. While this type of data may not offer the high precision of first-party data like Meta's, it remains invaluable, especially in environments where tradi...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Meta's primary mission is all about capitalising on user engagement and maintaining its network effects. AI is augmenting their objectives in two ways: 1) Improving engagement time per daily active user (AI Job One) 2) Matching ad buyers (advertisers) with ad consumers (AI Job Two). Meta is in the business of making sure that when you're scrolling through your feed or watching videos, you're glued to the screen as long as possible....
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Sealed Air is a global protective packaging company operating in the food and beverage, industrial, and e-commerce markets. The company sells both packaging equipment and consumable packaging. Sealed Air has a strong market position with leading technology and brands. In the food and beverage market, the Cryovac brand is the gold standard for packaging and shipping fresh, uncooked proteins. Food safety is critically important, and ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As you know, Starboard Value LP (together with its affiliates, "Starboard" or "we") has been an investor in GoDaddy Inc. ("GoDaddy" or the "Company") since 2021. Starboard beneficially owns more than 6% of the outstanding common stock of GoDaddy, making us one of the Company's largest shareholders. We appreciate the dialogue we have had with both of you and GoDaddy's Board of Directors (the "Board") over the past two years. As we h...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
UnitedHealth Group is the largest health insurer in the country and also owns Optum, which is a rapidly growing healthcare services company. The health insurance business benefits from demographic and network effects as more members attract more providers and vice versa, which reinforces United's value proposition and bargaining power with each side of the network. Over the last five years, Optum has grown significantly and roughly...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Texas Instruments is the world's largest designer and manufacturer of analog semiconductors. These semiconductors convert real-world signals, such as temperature, pressure, and sound, into digital data. Analog semiconductors are also used to manage power in electronic devices. We are drawn to this company because its products are mission critical, and product cost as a percentage of total system cost is low. Moreover, market positi...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Marriott is a company that we have owned several times in the past. The company is an asset-light global lodging franchisor and operator that benefits from strong network effects. Approximately 99% of Marriott's global rooms are managed or franchised which enables the company to generate high returns on capital. Marriott has an extensive portfolio of brands ranging from luxury brands such as The Ritz-Carlton, to premium brands such...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Diageo is a global spirits and beer producer with over 200 brands, including Johnnie Walker, Crown Royal, Guinness, Smirnoff, Baileys, Don Julio, and Casamigos. Diageo's spirits segment generates more than 80% of the company's revenue, and the spirits segment has been taking share from beer and wine over the last decade. The company is diversified across geographies, brands, and alcohol categories. Diageo has strong margins and hig...
Pitch Summary:
We also sold our shares in MariMed (OTC: MRMD). The company has been beset by numerous regulatory delays and operational delays. And worse, the company erroneously sent $700k to a fraudulent account and the CFO resigned. The stock is cheap, and the company has potential, but this was the last straw for me believing in the multi-state operator (MSO) business model. I think the idea of being a farmer, a manufacturer, a distributor, a...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
With the proceeds from HQI's sale, we were able to buy AYR Wellness' senior secured notes at 70 cents on the dollar last year. The yield on these bonds at these prices was 20%+ and offered incredible security by being the senior in the capital structure. Fortuitously, the company soon announced a restructuring, and these bonds will also receive common stock shares as well for pushing out the maturity date. Just hanging around the h...