Pitch Summary:
Enbridge is an example of a multi-decade successful Canadian dividend paying stock that we owned until 2021 which now has major challenges. The core pipeline business remains profitable but the return on new projects is suspect given the potential for cost overruns. They have a lot of debt, and their debt continues to increase even as profitability is stalled. They have also had to issue new amounts of equity over the past few year...
Pitch Summary:
Apple for example, which we owned until a few years ago, now trades at 40 times earnings. This would imply that the company, even with a $3 trillion market capitalization, is growing earnings per share rapidly. However, revenue and earnings are both down over the last 12 months. As well, Apple now manufactures most of their products in China, as the US and China trade tensions continues to escalate. It is not that Apple's success c...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
AppFolio Leading vertical market software. An Operating System for Property Management. A property manager with 1,000 units will have to: Employ 2-3 accountants, Collect 1,000 individual rent payments a month, Provide accurate monthly reporting to each property owner, Handle >500 maintenance requests per month, Requiring 3-4 maintenance workers (outsourced or insourced), Manage ~25 move-outs per month, assuming a 3-year average ten...
Pitch Summary:
Our one new position is wine and beer maker Constellation Brands (NYQQ: STZ). They will get caught up in the tariffs, but it's an extremely well-run company that sells a product that has historically been recession resistant. In other words, they produce a consumer staple that traditionally goes up in times of uncertainty. Interestingly, Berkshire Hathaway disclosed—after our own acquisition—that they had also purchased over $1B of...
Pitch Summary:
It may also be worth noting our small, pre-existing position with electric vehicle maker Rivian Automotive Inc. (NSQQ: RIVN), given Tesla's (NSQQ: TSLA) plummeting value. Rivian offers an ideal scenario in which all production is domestic. The owner, R.J. Scaringe, is a shrewd leader who thinks long-term, and the company offers an attractive balance sheet. They also have a partnership with Volkswagen to develop "next generation sof...
Pitch Summary:
We are also holding onto a series of new oil and gas investments we discussed in our previous letter: Tidewater (NYQQ: TDW), Valaris (NYQQ: VAL), and Schlumberger NV (NYQQ: SLB). We see a capital cycle at in play with our new acquisitions positioned favorably compared to some of their chief competitors. Shell (NYSS: SHELL), for example, was a major threat in previous cycles but has since redirected capex that would have gone to off...
Pitch Summary:
We are also holding onto a series of new oil and gas investments we discussed in our previous letter: Tidewater (NYQQ: TDW), Valaris (NYQQ: VAL), and Schlumberger NV (NYQQ: SLB). We see a capital cycle at in play with our new acquisitions positioned favorably compared to some of their chief competitors. Shell (NYSS: SHELL), for example, was a major threat in previous cycles but has since redirected capex that would have gone to off...
Pitch Summary:
We are also holding onto a series of new oil and gas investments we discussed in our previous letter: Tidewater (NYQQ: TDW), Valaris (NYQQ: VAL), and Schlumberger NV (NYQQ: SLB). We see a capital cycle at in play with our new acquisitions positioned favorably compared to some of their chief competitors. Shell (NYSS: SHELL), for example, was a major threat in previous cycles but has since redirected capex that would have gone to off...
Pitch Summary:
First, we remain committed to our positions in Google/Alphabet (NSQQ: GOOGL) and Amazon (NSQQ: AMZN). Even before all the market madness, we already had an affinity for capital-light businesses, which are relatively less vulnerable to tariffs than the heavy industrial portions of the economy. While Amazon and Google will face secondary impacts (e.g., weakening consumer demand in a recessionary environment), they operate under model...
Pitch Summary:
First, we remain committed to our positions in Google/Alphabet (NSQQ: GOOGL) and Amazon (NSQQ: AMZN). Even before all the market madness, we already had an affinity for capital-light businesses, which are relatively less vulnerable to tariffs than the heavy industrial portions of the economy. While Amazon and Google will face secondary impacts (e.g., weakening consumer demand in a recessionary environment), they operate under model...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
A clear, engaging view of the auto industry's "inevitable" and accelerating electric transition. Our own research continues to suggest that EV penetration will rise meaningfully over the next cycle, and we continue to see firms like Rivian (NSQQ: RIVN), a relatively recent addition to our portfolio, as well positioned to capitalize on that shift.
BSD Analysis:
The manager presents a bullish thesis on Rivian based on the inevitable...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
A good example of the former is Qatar Gas Transport, the sole distributor of Qatari liquified natural gas exports, whose vessels are chartered on long-term fixed-rate contracts, with growth optionality from Qatar's North Field expansion project.
BSD Analysis:
The manager views Qatar Gas Transport as an attractive defensive investment with compelling growth optionality tied to Qatar's North Field expansion. The company's monopolist...
Pitch Summary:
This is a painful but necessary decision, as it often means parting ways with companies (and management teams) we admire, but which we can no longer justify owning at current valuations. A good example here is National Company for Learning and Education, a K-12 owner/operator with a market capitalisation of $1.2 billion based on an operating income of less than $30 million.
BSD Analysis:
The manager has taken a disciplined approac...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The best example of this is Abdullah Al Othaim Markets, the discount grocery retailer that is capturing significant share of its ~$40 billion market by doubling down on its value-for-money proposition to take advantage of weakening competition, a shift in shopping behavior to more value-for-money options, and the general growth in population in the central region, to which Al Othaim is over-indexed.
BSD Analysis:
The manager prese...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
In IT services, uncertain macroeconomic conditions in the US and Europe are causing corporate customers to delay new projects. We expect this slowdown to be short-lived, so when shares of Argentina-based Globant fell to attractive levels, we took the opportunity to initiate a new position. Over the past few years, with extra incentive provided by the pandemic, businesses have embarked on major digital-transformation initiatives to ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We opted to buy Kaspi.kz, a high-quality business in Kazakhstan on the forefront of this fintech revolution. Kaspi delivered cash flow return on equity in excess of 60% in each of the past three years. Its digital ecosystem encompasses payments solutions, an e-commerce marketplace, and retail lending, all of which reside on its 'super-app.' It is not only Kazakhstan's largest digital-payments provider (with a 67% market share) but ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Maruti Suzuki, which makes nearly half of India's cars, is another holding that's similarly committed to its financial strength. Even though Maruti is investing steadily for growth in a market that is still in the early stages of car adoption, management has built a balance-sheet fortress full of cash. Hypothetically, the company would be able to keep its offices and plants open and survive for almost a decade without selling a sin...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Localiza, Brazil's leader in the capital-intensive rental-car industry and a holding since early 2019, exemplifies the type of disciplined financial management we seek. In addition to benefiting from substantial scale in a market with few competitors, the company is focused on sustaining attractive returns on invested capital. Localiza has demonstrated it recognizes that managing a growth business sometimes means taking the foot of...
BSD Analysis:
The manager initiated a new position in McKesson, attracted by the company's leading position in pharmaceutical distribution to retail drugstores, physician offices, and hospitals across the United States. McKesson operates the largest specialty drug and oncology distribution business in the US, which represents the fastest-growing and highest-margin segment of drug distribution. The company benefits from operating in a stable oligo...
Bull
BSD Analysis:
The manager added to the Becton Dickinson position during the healthcare sector selloff, viewing the weakness as an attractive entry opportunity. The investment thesis is built on BD's strong competitive position with hospital customers, where the company commands pricing power due to its differentiated consumable offerings and high regulatory barriers that make replacement difficult. While the company has faced headwinds from COVID...