Pitch Summary:
Crown Holdings is the second largest manufacturer of aluminum beverage cans globally. We own its larger competitor, Ball Corp., in our Large Cap portfolio. Our investment case for the two companies is broadly similar. The beverage can industry is a consolidated and rational industry with high barriers to entry. The industry structure, scale, and long-term contracts with inflationary pass-throughs result in solid and stable margins,...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We are pleased to have purchased Starbucks in the first quarter. We have owned the company in the past, and it was a good investment for us. The company has strong brand recognition, global distribution, and outstanding retail real estate. The company generates robust free cash flow and has high returns on invested capital as well as a strong balance sheet. Starbucks has used its financial resources to strengthen its brand and enha...
Pitch Summary:
In our last letter, we issued what was essentially an ultimatum. For reference we wrote, "Calumet's current $15 stock price is nothing short of lunacy as long as management can competently execute the rest of the playbook and, in doing so, rehabilitate the reputation of a C-suite and BoD suffering from several unforced errors and related credibility issues. The 64k dollar question at this point is will the center hold?" To that las...
Pitch Summary:
CarMax is the largest used car retailer in the United States. The company has the third largest wholesale business in the United States and a large captive finance business. We believe that CarMax's omnichannel approach is a competitive advantage that will enable the company to continue taking market share in a highly fragmented market. This strategy enables the company to generate higher and more stable levels of profit per used v...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Every so often, an external shock creates a rare opening to invest in a high-quality business undergoing a value-unlocking transition, where the predictability of the end game draws us in with conviction. In this instance, a Muddy Waters short report published in January triggered just such an event, sending shares tumbling and sentiment into a tailspin. We entered into a position in the midst of this fallout. FTAI, once a hodgepod...
Pitch Summary:
Live Nation is the world's largest live entertainment company. The live entertainment industry has grown in the high single-digits over the last two decades, and demand continues to exceed supply. Live Nation is a dominant player and offers a complimentary suite of services including concert promotion, venue operations, ticketing, and artist management businesses. Artists today make 90% of their revenue on tour as album sales and r...
Pitch Summary:
Crown Holdings is the second largest manufacturer of aluminum beverage cans globally. We own its larger competitor, Ball Corp., in our Large Cap portfolio. Our investment case for the two companies is broadly similar. The beverage can industry is a consolidated and rational industry with high barriers to entry. The industry structure, scale, and long-term contracts with inflationary pass-throughs result in solid and stable margins,...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We are pleased to have purchased Starbucks in the first quarter. We have owned the company in the past, and it was a good investment for us. The company has strong brand recognition, global distribution, and outstanding retail real estate. The company generates robust free cash flow and has high returns on invested capital as well as a strong balance sheet. Starbucks has used its financial resources to strengthen its brand and enha...
Pitch Summary:
CarMax is the largest used car retailer in the United States. The company has the third largest wholesale business in the United States and a large captive finance business. We believe that CarMax's omnichannel approach is a competitive advantage that will enable the company to continue taking market share in a highly fragmented market. This strategy enables the company to generate higher and more stable levels of profit per used v...
Pitch Summary:
Live Nation is the world's largest live entertainment company. The live entertainment industry has grown in the high single-digits over the last two decades, and demand continues to exceed supply. Live Nation is a dominant player and offers a complimentary suite of services including concert promotion, venue operations, ticketing, and artist management businesses. Artists today make 90% of their revenue on tour as album sales and r...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Precipio is a microcap specialty cancer diagnostics company offering both molecular assay kits and pathology services. Its core product lines include HemeScreen molecular assays, and IV-Cell Culture media, as well as operating its own clinical laboratory. HemeScreen is a set of proprietary molecular tests for hematologic malignancies (i.e., blood cancers). IV-Cell culture media is a universal cytogenetic culture media used for test...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Nilorn designs and delivers tags and labels for European clothing brands. The company combines just-in-time delivery with quality design that can elevate the customer's products in the eyes of the end consumer. Management uses free cash flow to grow the business and pay a dividend. The company's returns on capital are about 30%. Nilorn currently trades at an attractive upside-to-downside ratio.
BSD Analysis:
Curreen Capital holds ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
GetBusy provides online document exchange systems—primarily for accountants. GetBusy spun out of Reckon in August 2017, and has continued to grow since then. GetBusy does not earn money, investing through higher expenses to grow its existing businesses and attempting to launch new products. The underlying businesses are profitable and sustainable in the U.K. and U.S.
BSD Analysis:
Curreen Capital maintains a position in GetBusy, a...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Frontdoor sells home service plans to homeowners. The company contracts with HVAC and other contractors and dispatches them when customers have problems with one of their major home appliances and systems (furnace, air conditioning, refrigerator, electrical system, etc). Frontdoor spun out of ServiceMaster in October 2018. Frontdoor serves about 2% of U.S. homes, and uses its free cash flow to grow organically, pay down debt, repur...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Credit Acceptance is a subprime auto lender, enabling subprime borrowers to buy vehicles from used car dealerships. The business has profitably gained share in a large and difficult market for more than two decades. Management allocates free cash flow to growing the business and repurchasing shares at attractive prices. Credit Acceptance currently trades at an attractive upside-to-downside ratio.
BSD Analysis:
Curreen Capital main...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Advantage Solutions works with brands and stores to sell products through stores. The company is one of the largest managers of in-store sampling programs in the U.S. (for example, would you like to try this new brand of: cheese/chips/dip/etc.) Advantage Solutions was a SPAC-merger completed in October 2020. Advantage Solutions is a capital light business that earns high returns on capital. It has a meaningful debt load, though the...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Advance Auto Parts is a store-based retailer of aftermarket automotive parts and supplies. This includes batteries, windshield wipers and fluid, air filters, motor oil, etc. The company has historically earned decent (approaching 20%) returns on tangible capital. The company is attempting a turnaround, and has cut its dividend and replaced its CEO. Advance Auto currently trades at an attractive upside-to-downside ratio.
BSD Analys...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We bought Siemens Energy at €14.10/share. This is a new position for us, and about 2.5% of the fund. Siemens Energy spun out of Siemens in September 2020. Siemens Energy combines a world-class electrical power generation business, a world-class electricity transmission business, and an onshore and offshore wind turbine business that is attempting a turnaround. My current view is that—after more than a decade of stagnation—the elect...
Pitch Summary:
IG Design Group is a UK-based producer and distributor of gift packaging, craft and party supplies, homewares, and other items. After a number of years of growing earnings and dividends, IG Design acquired two large US competitors, first Impact Innovations in 2018 for ~$75M, then CSS Industries in 2020 for ~$95M. Integrating these US acquisitions did not go well and they've been struggling to bring their "DG Americas" division to p...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
FILA reported a strong Q1 with revenues up 4% and adjusted EBITDA up 7% YoY. FILA has also committed to paying .80/sh in dividends for 2025, .40 was paid in May and .40 will be paid in November. They reaffirmed previous guidance for 2025 but cautioned Q2 could be softer due to tariffs, from delayed customer orders and/or softer US consumer spending. Understandably, shares pulled back on these comments. More surprisingly, last week ...