Bull
Pitch Summary:
Crane Company has undergone a transformative restructuring under CEO Max Mitchell since 2020, divesting low-margin, non-core assets to become a focused, high-return industrial enterprise. Following the spin-off of Crane NXT and other divestitures, CR now operates through two key segments: Aerospace & Defense (A&D) and Process Flow Technologies (PFT), both producing mission-critical, high-margin products with significant regulatory ...
Pitch Summary:
Product unproven for 4 years; significantly lags competitors in technology; weak demand from customers; unable to fulfill orders due to manufacturing challenges; insiders cashing out; disappearing customers;
BSD Analysis:
Grizzly Research’s short on Enovix underscores the gap between management’s ambitious production claims and the reality of manufacturing complexity in advanced lithium-ion battery designs. The company has repeate...
Pitch Summary:
Grown Rogue is capitalizing on its cost-efficient production capabilities, producing cannabis at $369 per pound, significantly lower than the industry average. This cost advantage positions the company for profitability even as flower prices in Michigan have dropped substantially.
BSD Analysis:
Grown Rogue's ability to produce cannabis at a fully loaded cost of $369 per pound sets it apart in an industry where many competitors str...
Pitch Summary:
AmpliTech is positioned to capitalize on the growing 5G ORAN market with its low-noise amplifiers, supported by significant LOIs from major customers, indicating strong future revenue growth.
BSD Analysis:
AmpliTech is a microcap company that has secured $118 million in LOIs from two major customers, signaling a strong market fit for its 5G ORAN products. The company is expected to achieve over 125% revenue growth by 2026, becomin...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
AVIO SpA., based in Italy, is a key European player in satellite launch and missile propulsion systems. Business momentum has picked up sharply since the European Space Agency awarded AVIO control over Vega-C satellite launches in 2024. The number of low-Earth orbit satellite launches is expanding rapidly, driven by both military and commercial needs. The role of Starlink in the Ukraine war highlighted how critical it is to have so...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Park Aerospace manufactures high-performance composite materials (ablatives) used in jet engines and missile systems. Its products are essential to both commercial aerospace and defense applications. Even in the event of a ceasefire in Ukraine, demand appears resilient. Notably, President Zelensky has reached an agreement with former President Trump to purchase $100 billion in military equipment, funded by rising European defense b...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
While many Chinese AI-related companies now appear expensive, we have identified a compelling exception: Chongqing Machinery. Through its joint venture with Cummins, the company is one of just three major producers of high-horsepower diesel backup generators in China. These generators are essential for AI datacentres and broader grid resiliency. Global demand for large-scale generators has surged. For example, Generac recently esti...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The release of ChatGPT-5 brought only incremental improvements, and AWS growth has notably lagged Microsoft and Google, who have proprietary AI models. We believe the market is only beginning to appreciate Google's AI leadership. The company controls the full web stack – search, browser, maps, YouTube, and more – and has now begun commercialising its TPU (Tensor Processing Unit), a chip it has developed over the past decade. We bel...
Pitch Summary:
SmartRent (SMRT): This quarter, we sold our remaining shares in SmartRent. "Disappointing" is the only way to describe our investment over the last three years. While shareholders could easily blame it on the macro environment, I think our investment mistake runs much deeper. It was misjudging the people. We first invested in mid-2022, and were excited by a rapidly growing software business, that was disrupting the multifamily apar...
Pitch Summary:
ATTO represents a cautionary tale of a highly leveraged turnaround investment gone wrong. Initially, the company showed promise with its turnaround strategy, but a series of adverse events, including a cyber-attack and currency hedging issues, severely impacted its operations. The management's poor handling of these crises, coupled with the investor's decision to double down on the position, exacerbated the losses. The involvement ...
Pitch Summary:
QLTU has been an exceptional investment, discovered through a bespoke screening process. The company's rapid growth and under-the-radar status contributed to its initial undervaluation. Despite being listed on a less prominent exchange, QLTU demonstrated strong value and quality attributes, including robust earnings, a solid balance sheet, and effective management with significant insider ownership. The market's oversight of this s...
Pitch Summary:
CEE is a strategic investment in the potential resolution of the Ukraine/Russia conflict. The fund currently trades at a premium over its Eastern European assets, excluding its Russian holdings, which are valued at zero due to sanctions. These Russian assets, once the largest part of the portfolio, are still owned by the fund and include rights to dividends held in America. The thesis is that once sanctions are lifted, the value of...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Also subsequent to the quarter, QRHC reported meaningful cash flow generation for the first time in two years. As I wrote in my July email, I would love to put the proceeds from CCRD into QRHC, a long-time position that has more than halved (twice) since September, but I am hesitant until I see the effect of recent managerial changes on operations. Cash flow generation is one of those small but important indicators. We have been se...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
At the end of July, CCRD announced its intention to sell itself to Euronet Worldwide (EEFT) in an all-stock deal valued at $30 / share. Our returns were substantially enhanced by doubling the size of the position when the stock declined in late '23 and early '24. As I wrote back in July, I had anticipated a sale before year-end, and although this isn't the one I'd hoped for, it solves multiple problems for both companies. CCRD gain...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Shares of Chinese technology giant Alibaba traded down following strong first quarter performance. While the company reported revenue and profit growth for its most recent quarter, results narrowly missed consensus expectations. We believe that Alibaba is well positioned to benefit from Chinese investment in generative artificial intelligence (AI). The company also continues to invest in growing its businesses and improving operati...
Pitch Summary:
London-based Willis Towers Watson is one of the largest global insurance brokerage and consulting companies. The company continues to execute on its turnaround plan to improve profitability. The divestiture of its direct-to-consumer insurance distribution business at the end of 2024, however, caused a decline in cash flows for its most recent quarter and weighed on its shares. We like Willis Towers Watson’s high customer retention ...
Pitch Summary:
SLB is the world’s largest oilfield service company. In addition to commodity price weakness during the quarter, share performance was dampened by concerns that tariffs and trade uncertainty could negatively impact oilfield service providers. While rig counts and drilling activity have declined this year, the majority of the slowdown has been in North America. In contrast, OPEC+ has increased production, which should benefit SLB gi...
Pitch Summary:
Becton Dickinson develops and manufactures medical devices, instrument systems and reagents used in a variety of professional and public settings. The company reported lower-than-expected revenue for its most recent quarter because of weakness in its research instrument and diagnostics businesses resulting from lower global research spending and the impact of tariffs. We continue to like Becton Dickinson’s ability to generate cash ...
Pitch Summary:
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is the world’s largest semiconductor foundry, a primary manufacturer of advanced chips used in generative artificial intelligence with Nvidia, Broadcom, Intel, Advanced Micro Devices and Apple among its clients. TSMC reported continued strong sales during the quarter, with an expanded contribution from AI. We believe TSMC has extended its edge over competitors to become the de facto foundry for many cust...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Meta—the parent company of Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, among other social-media platforms—reported strong revenue and earnings growth during the quarter, driven by increases in both ad impressions and price per ad. The company continued to aggressively invest and hire in AI, even as it develops its core advertising businesses. We believe these results demonstrate Meta’s ability to focus on both profitability and efficiency in...