Pitch Summary:
ASML is a dominant player in the semiconductor industry, holding a monopoly on EUV lithography systems, which are crucial for producing advanced chips. The company's growth is driven by the increasing demand for AI infrastructure, sovereign chip ambitions, and the shift towards smaller process nodes. ASML's High-NA EUV systems are set to initiate a new upgrade cycle, further boosting its growth prospects. The company's financial he...
Pitch Summary:
Plug Power has historically struggled with financial performance and shareholder dilution, but recent strategic changes suggest a positive turnaround. Under new CEO Jose Luis Crespo, the company is shifting focus from dilution to profitability, aiming for positive EBITDAs by Q4 2026. A significant growth driver is their electrolyzer business, highlighted by a major contract with Hy2gen Canada and a collaboration with VSparticle to ...
Pitch Summary:
We've fully exited our position in Peloton ("PTON"). After a lackluster quarterly report, share prices declined from $6.16/share at the start of the year to $4.10/share, where we exited. Yes, we took the loss on the position that in our folly had sized-up during the quarter. This was our self-inflicted wound, so we'll have to triage it and stem the bleeding. Frankly, we still think the company has promise and may reenter the positi...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As we discussed in our last letter, we began redeploying our MEG Energy proceeds this quarter. With that, we welcome our newest positions, Valaris ("VAL"). VAL is a US company that owns and leases out 15 drillship and 31 jackups to energy producers worldwide. Think of these platforms as giant floating drilling machines that sail or are towed out to and parked over a client deepwater oil fields. Once positioned, they'll begin to dri...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As we hoped, OXY finally showed what it's capable of, demonstrating the company's ability to leverage its vast operations and generate significant cash flow. More importantly, this management team finally got out of its own way, shelving its original capex plans for growth, and instead slashed budgets so that it would generate an extra $1.2B of FCF in 2026 (assuming the same oil price as 2025). After finding religion, the market re...
Pitch Summary:
AppFolio provides cloud-based multi-property management software. The company has been gaining share against legacy suppliers while delivering strong margins and cash flow. Investor concerns have emerged around AI tools potentially replacing proprietary solutions like the ones provided by AppFolio. We believe the company's deep industry expertise. The importance of its software in managing the complexity of running thousands of ren...
Pitch Summary:
Credo Technology provides specialized cables used in AI data centers. The company has been growing very rapidly, but investors have become concerned about replacement risks from both increased competition and evolving data center architecture potentially reducing demand for its specialized cables. While we acknowledge the risk from technological change, we view it as unlikely to impact the business in the immediate to mid term. The...
Pitch Summary:
iRhythm Technologies is a digital healthcare company that develops wearable, AI-driven cardiac monitoring devices. The stock struggled despite delivering beat-and-raise results. Broader weakness in the healthcare equipment and supplies industry, as investors rotated into cyclical and technology stocks, weighed on performance. Additional pressure came from a US Department of Justice Civil Investigative Demand (DOJ CID) received in D...
Pitch Summary:
Genius Sports provides sports data, technology, and media services that power betting, broadcasting, and fan engagement. The stock sold off dramatically following the market's negative reaction to its announced plan to acquire a provider of ticketing, sponsorship, and merchandising services for sports and entertainment venues. The underlying data and media business continues to perform well, and we do not share the market's overly ...
Pitch Summary:
Vital Farms produces and markets pasture-raised eggs and dairy products sourced from a network of small family farms. The stock came under pressure after the company lowered its revenue guidance. Vital Farms faces a temporary supply glut in the egg market after last year's avian influenza outbreak quickly subsided. This dynamic, coupled with adverse weather, reduced its revenue outlook.
BSD Analysis:
The fund manager expresses a b...
Pitch Summary:
Archrock, an energy infrastructure company focused on midstream natural gas compression, performed well as improving oil prices supported expectations for modestly stronger US production growth in the near term. Given that its earnings are closely tied to natural gas volumes, this shift in outlook benefited sentiment. Archrock is well positioned longer term to capitalize on the robust sustained growth in domestic natural gas produc...
Pitch Summary:
Solstice Advanced Materials, a diversified global advanced materials provider, performed well as it continued to establish its standalone investment case following its recent spin-off from a larger industrial conglomerate. Management has effectively highlighted several underappreciated secular growth drivers that were previously overlooked by investors of the prior parent company. The company is seeing accelerating momentum in key ...
Pitch Summary:
Powell Industries, a provider of custom-engineered electrical equipment and systems, was a notable strong performer. The company secured several large data center wins, complementing a steady stream of utility-related awards in recent periods. Powell is well positioned to benefit from ongoing liquefied natural gas (LNG) export infrastructure development along the Gulf Coast. Management announced plans to expand production capacity,...
Pitch Summary:
Modine Manufacturing provides mission-critical thermal management solutions. It delivered strong performance driven by its growing exposure to data center cooling. The company is well positioned to benefit from accelerating investment in high-performance computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure. Management raised expectations during the quarter, indicating they now expect to significantly exceed their recently issued mu...
Pitch Summary:
Applied Optoelectronics supplies fiber-optic networking products used in high-speed cable networks and increasingly used in artificial intelligence (AI) data centers. The company reported a healthy quarter and discussed winning major new orders from large hyperscale customers. The company also has made progress on a new US-based facility that is expected to increase its capacity to serve other hyperscale customers next year.
BSD A...
Pitch Summary:
Planet Fitness is the largest fitness franchise in the United States, operating a high-value, low-cost gym model that has attracted over twenty million members through its accessible pricing and welcoming, judgment-free environment. The company generates revenue through franchise royalties, membership fees at corporate-owned clubs, and equipment sales to franchisees, creating a capital-light business model with strong recurring cas...
Pitch Summary:
StepStone Group is a global private markets investment firm that provides customized investment solutions, advisory services, and data analytics to institutional investors, including pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, endowments, and family offices. The company invests across private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and private debt, offering clients access to these asset classes through commingled funds, separately managed...
Pitch Summary:
Casella Waste Systems is a vertically integrated solid waste services company operating primarily in the Northeastern United States, providing collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services across residential, commercial, and industrial markets. We believe the company has a commanding position as a regional consolidator in an industry characterized by high barriers to entry, recurring revenue, and favorable pricing dynamics...
Pitch Summary:
Legence is a specialty services company that provides engineering, consulting, installation, and maintenance for mission-critical building systems, serving customers across data centers, government facilities, life sciences, and other complex commercial environments. We believe the company is well positioned at the intersection of several durable demand drivers, as the growing complexity of modern building infrastructure requires i...
Pitch Summary:
DigitalOcean is a cloud infrastructure provider that offers scalable computing, storage, and networking solutions tailored to startups, small and mid-sized businesses, and individual developers. The company has differentiated itself by delivering a simplified, developer-friendly platform that lowers the barrier to cloud adoption for customers who may be underserved by the larger hyperscale providers. During the quarter, shares cont...