Pitch Summary:
Telus International is undervalued at the current acquisition offer of C$4.70 per share, given its robust digital services platform and strategic importance to its parent company, Telus Corp. The market has not fully recognized its potential, especially in AI and digital transformation, which could justify a higher valuation.
BSD Analysis:
Telus International's projected 2025 revenues of US$2.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA of US$40...
Pitch Summary:
Oracle's stock is poised for growth as the company experiences a significant acceleration in revenue, driven by its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) segment. The firm is capitalizing on its position as a key cloud infrastructure provider for AI model training, which is expected to fuel further growth. Additionally, Oracle's successful transition of enterprise software customers to the cloud and the migration of its database client...
Pitch Summary:
Visa remains a strong buy due to its dominant position in the payment processing industry, robust financial performance, and strategic resilience against emerging threats like cryptocurrencies. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Visa has demonstrated consistent earnings growth and maintained a solid balance sheet, making it a compelling long-term investment.
BSD Analysis:
Visa's recent earnings report showed a 10% EPS growth, with r...
Pitch Summary:
Charles Schwab Corporation demonstrated strong financial performance in Q2 2025, with significant improvements in operating margin and net interest margin. The company's ability to grow net revenue by 25% year-over-year while keeping expense growth to just 5% highlights its operational efficiency. The recent EPS revisions and the stock's breakout from a three-year consolidation phase suggest potential for further appreciation. Schw...
Pitch Summary:
Altria faces significant challenges as it transitions from its traditional cigarette business to Next Generation Products (NGPs) like vapes and nicotine pouches. Despite its historical success and dependable dividends, the company struggles with declining cigarette volumes and has yet to demonstrate a successful pivot to NGPs. The company's recent missteps, such as the costly Juul investment and the halted NJOY product, highlight i...
Pitch Summary:
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) is strategically positioned as a leader in the net-lease real estate sector, with a focus on high-quality retail properties leased to investment-grade tenants. The company's growth model, which includes acquisitions, internal development, and a partner-funding platform, supports its premium valuation. ADC's robust balance sheet and capital markets strategy, including forward equity, enable it to capit...
Pitch Summary:
Boot Barn's stock has experienced a significant rally following a steep decline earlier in the year, presenting an opportunity for investors to sell at a high valuation. The company's ambitious expansion plans and the current popularity of western wear are positive, but the stock's high price-to-earnings ratio, potential tariff impacts, and competitive pressures from both physical and online retailers pose significant risks. Additi...
Pitch Summary:
Casella Waste Systems has carved out a niche in the Northeast U.S. by controlling key landfill assets in areas with limited capacity, granting it pricing power. The company has grown through strategic acquisitions, enhancing route density and operational efficiency. However, its current valuation at a forward P/E of 96x suggests that the market is pricing in high growth expectations, which may not be sustainable given its slimmer m...
Pitch Summary:
The JP Morgan Equity Premium Exchange Traded Fund (JEPI) has been downgraded from a hold to a sell due to its consistent underperformance relative to the S&P 500 and other covered-call funds like GPIX and SPYI. JEPI's rigid strategy of selling equity-linked notes limits its ability to capture market upside, leaving it vulnerable during market sell-offs. In contrast, GPIX and SPYI employ more flexible options strategies that have yi...
Pitch Summary:
Veritone, Inc. has recently experienced a stock price rebound, but underlying business fundamentals remain weak. Despite announcing new deals and a financing arrangement, the company continues to face declining annual recurring revenue and customer numbers. The recent positive news, including a federal contract and a boost in its data refinery product pipeline, does not offset the ongoing challenges in sustaining growth and improvi...
Pitch Summary:
SL Green Realty Corp. has been facing significant challenges due to the broader difficulties in the office real estate sector, particularly in New York City. Despite these challenges, the company reported better-than-expected financial results in the second quarter, driven by gains in its debt and preferred equity portfolio. The company has also increased its FFO guidance, although this is not due to improvements in its core busine...
Pitch Summary:
Zeo Energy Corp. is positioned for a strong second half of 2025 due to a surge in installations driven by expiring federal incentives. However, the outlook for 2026 is less optimistic as these incentives phase out, potentially reducing demand. The company has shown resilience through strategic acquisitions, such as Heliogen, but faces challenges from potential interest rate hikes and reduced incentives. Despite these headwinds, Zeo...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
On a far more positive note, Charter announced a ~$35 billion acquisition of Cox Communications (Cox) this past May. In short, we love the deal. At a time of near maximum pessimism around cable in general, CHTR is acquiring Cox at essentially no premium and the Cox family is rolling most of its equity into CHTR securities. Considering the tax benefits from the conversion of Cox partnership units (Liberty's DNA remains strong at CHT...
Pitch Summary:
We had meaningful company developments with two names – one very negative (Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI)) and one we believe to be highly positive (Charter's acquisition of Cox Communications). We will delve deeper into both situations in an appendix to this letter, but we will provide a high-level summary here. In early May, CODI announced that it would have to restate prior year financials because of material financial and ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We have talked extensively about Irish bank PTSB in prior letters. While shares have significantly advanced in the first half of 2025, we believe that the bank trades far below intrinsic value. Investors continue to await the density review, and a favorable outcome here can deliver a substantial amount of excess capital that could be used for dividends and (preferably) buybacks. In mid-July, NatWest announced its exit from the bank...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We discussed Metro Bank in more detail in our Q3 2023/2024 letters, and shares have risen materially since the bank's 2023 capital raise. That said, MTRO currently trades around tangible book value and shares are undervalued relative to the bank's high-teen return on equity (ROE) medium term targets (which would imply a forward price/earnings ratio of ~4x before capital returns if MTRO executes). More immediately, MTRO might have a...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
While six months of data proves little, several of the overseas names detailed in previous letters -- including PTSB, Millicom (TIGO), Metro Bank (MTRO), Glenveagh (GLV) -- have performed well during the first part of 2025. TIGO announced a special dividend of $2.50 per share following the sale of its infrastructure assets (primarily cellular towers). This payment is in addition to the $3.00 annual dividend announced earlier this y...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
One of the new investments we made this year is in Polaris (PII), a manufacturer of powersports vehicles, including: Side-by-sides, ATVs, snowmobiles (Off-Road Segment), motorcycles (On-Road Segment), and boats (Marine Segment). Side-by-sides—Rangers and Razors—look like mini-trucks and dune buggy type vehicles, respectively. For guys who invest in energy primarily and airlines secondarily, it may seem odd we've now invested in a c...
Pitch Summary:
Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI) – AWI shares outperformed in the quarter due to beating expectations, driven by increased volumes from recent acquisitions and an increase in pricing. We continue to like AWI for its consistent execution, strong financials, leading market share and persistent moats through its exclusivity agreements and warranties.
BSD Analysis:
Armstrong World Industries is a high-quality, high-margin commer...
Pitch Summary:
NewMarket Corporation (NEU) – NEU outperformed this quarter, fueled by strong AMPAC revenue growth from better volume and product mix, despite weaker Petroleum Additives results. The planned capacity expansion for the AMPAC business signals robust demand for rocket additives in a stable, oligopolistic market. Management prioritizes debt reduction and shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
BSD Analysis:
NewMarket is a ...