Bull
Pitch Summary:
For instance, a recent purchase is Nestle, a global consumer food and beverage company based in Switzerland. Price hikes from the COVID-era have dampened demand for many global food brands and Nestle has not been immune. As a result, its growth rate has fallen well below management's goals and the stock price has dropped. Having followed and owned this company for the past 30 years I do not recall a time when the price fell as far ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Our positioning in ICICI Lombard dates to 2022, stemming from a tough period for the company – with several new entrants to the general insurance space being aggressive at the cost of underwriting profit and a period of market share stagnation/decline. In the last 2Y, General Insurance as an industry was seeing growth propelled by key initiatives in segments like Motor and Marine Cargo, where coverage was mandated/increased, leadin...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Cable and Wires are proxies to capital expenditure – government, private and pick up in real estate demand. We have observed trends in increased government and private spending over the last three years. Government CAPEX in FY24 stood at 9.48 lakh Cr versus 5.92 lakh Cr in FY22. Private CAPEX of the top 1000 companies (excluding banks, NBFCs, Insurance and IT companies) was 6.99 lakh Cr in FY24 versus 4.58 lakh Cr in FY22. In the r...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
As AI workloads become increasingly complex, networking infrastructure is a critical enabler. Arista Networks specializes in high-speed, ultra-low latency networking solutions, ensuring AI clusters can efficiently process massive datasets in real time. Arista Networks specializes in network switches and routers, which are products that enable AI clusters to function without bottlenecks by directing traffic within the data centre to...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
GE Vernova, a spinoff from General Electric Co. in 2024, is a leader in energy technology, transmission infrastructure, and grid modernization. As AI data centres expand, GE Vernova is addressing critical power bottlenecks with investments in high-voltage transmission, transformer production, and energy resilience technologies. Grid Solutions (50% of revenue): GE Vernova leads in high-voltage transmission lines, transformers, and g...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Netflix's operating profit increased from US$800m in 2017 to ~US$10b in 2024. We see the potential for this to triple to US$30b over the next decade as streaming continues to take share of video viewership and Netflix leverages its leadership position and executes growth strategies to sustain its industry-leading scale. Scale is critical for video streaming platforms whose largest expense is content, for which the marginal cost of ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Otis is known for manufacturing and installing elevators and escalators but makes about 60% of revenues and 90% of profits from servicing these machines. Its share price suggests investors are worried about low sales of new equipment in China. These only account for a few per cent of profits and have already fallen, so are unlikely to have much of an effect in the future. More importantly, we think other investors are underestimati...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We also bought positions in Wells Fargo and Otis. Having sold out of bank Wells Fargo earlier in 2024, we felt the result of the US election offered enough of a reason to re-invest, as Trump's agenda of deregulation is likely to benefit financial companies.
BSD Analysis:
The managers view Wells Fargo as a beneficiary of the anticipated regulatory environment under the Trump administration. Having previously exited the position ear...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Another company we bought for the portfolio, Vulcan Materials, is the largest supplier of construction materials in the US. Continued government spending – on projects such as hurricane repair and longer-term infrastructure – and a recovery in non-residential activity should support building activity, while the company is becoming more efficient. We don't believe either of these is reflected in the price of the shares.
BSD Analysi...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
We invested in American Express as we believe that consumers need a good reason to pick one method of payments over another. High-income customers pick Amex because of its brand, reward benefits (funded by partners) and the 'sunk cost' of having paid a membership as you would for a service such as Amazon Prime. Meanwhile, card network revenues, membership and absolute spend per card continue to grow³, while counterintuitively, a la...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The second new investment is United Internet, a holding company based in Montabaur, founded in 1988 by Ralph Dommermuth. Dommermuth, who today owns 54% of the company and serves as its CEO, has built United Internet into a leading provider of digital infrastructure. I have known the company for over 20 years—initially as a customer of GMX, their email service, and later as a sales representative for 1&1. Back then, I earned pocket ...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Laboratorios Farmacéuticos Rovi (Rovi) is a Spanish pharmaceutical company founded in 1946. Initially, Rovi focused on manufacturing and marketing over-the-counter (OTC) medications and distributing third-party products. In 1986, 75% of the OTC business was sold to Pfizer, enabling the first generational transition. The father of the current generation took the helm, passing leadership in the early 2000s to the current management t...
Pitch Summary:
Nebius (NBIS) is a direct AI datacenter play, based in the Netherlands. It follows a model similar to Coreweave in the U.S., providing global AI producers with essential resources, including an AI-centric cloud platform, large-scale GPU (graphic processing unit) clusters, cloud services, and developer tools, while also supporting areas like data for AI development, education and re-skilling for tech careers, and autonomous driving ...
Pitch Summary:
Just Group PLC (JUST LN) is one such opportunity, a UK-based life insurance company specializing in the retirement income market and catering to both retail and corporate clientele. The company has carved out a strong presence in the lower to mid-tier segments, addressing specific market needs with tailored solutions. By continuing to win new business and expand its asset base, Just Group drives robust revenue growth and profitabil...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
WildBrain is the largest owner of children's intellectual property (IP) outside of the major Hollywood studios, managing nearly 500 properties. The company produces children's content and distributes it across broadcast platforms, streaming services, and on its AVOD network and FAST channels. In addition to content distribution, WildBrain generates significant revenue through consumer products licensing, creating a substantial seco...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The situation surrounding CompuGroup was somewhat different. Here, too, an initial small position existed as the company shocked markets once again with a profit warning in July. The bare financial figures were one thing, but overall, the company was struggling with a widespread loss of confidence at the time. Starting with the controversial political activities of its founder and ranging from various press articles about the compa...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Jost Werke SE is a leading global manufacturer and supplier of safety-relevant systems for the commercial vehicle industry. The company’s 4,500 employees produce among others fifth wheel couplings, semi-trailer landing gear and axle mounts. An obviously cyclical industrial stock, the company’s shares are quickly sidelined. Wrongly so, in our opinion. The business model is asset-light and generates strong cash flows. Moreover, the c...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Automatic Data Processing: Automatic Data Processing is the leading provider for payroll and HR services, and it boasts impressive performance indicators. The company's strong market position is confirmed by annual sales of USD 19.5 billion, a million loyal customers and excellent retention rates of over 92%. The robust financial situation is reflected in revenue growth of 7.1% and an 11% increase in profits in the first quarter of...
Pitch Summary:
Vertex Pharmaceuticals has released disappointing data on its new pain relief medication, which is in clinical trials. It is supposed to become a non-addictive alternative to opioids. Even though the main objective of the study was achieved initially, the effect of the medication was comparable to the placebo arm of the study. This raises questions about the effectiveness of the medication in subsequent studies. Vertex now wants to...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
With the “Willow” quantum chip, Alphabet achieved a technological milestone at the end of 2024 - this also had a positive effect on the share price. The possibly record-breaking processing performance of the chip convinced investors of the group’s reinvigorated innovative power, particularly considering the intensely competitive AI market with competitors such as OpenAI or Meta.
BSD Analysis:
Alphabet remains one of the most power...