Pitch Summary:
e.l.f. Beauty, a U.S.-based cosmetics company, came under pressure during the quarter. Tariff concerns, a broader slowdown in the cosmetics and beauty industry, and timing-related headwinds with retail customers resulted in slower growth than anticipated. Nonetheless, Elf maintains a compelling competitive position, benefiting from its price advantage, and could gain further market share should consumers trade down. We used the rec...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
German-listed specialty chemical company LANXESS was also a detractor for the quarter. 2023 was a difficult year for the chemical industry. Energy prices significantly weighed on margins last year, combined with low demand out of China in addition to low industrial demand and destocking globally. Picking the exact trough is an impossibility and while those headwinds abated in the first quarter, they are far from fully reversed. The...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Rentokil Initial Plc (RTO) is a global business services company specializing in pest control and hygiene services. These revenue streams are relatively stable and resilient, even during economic downturns. Rentokil's moat comes from its scale, network density, technology and established brand name. Rentokil typically trades for ~25x earnings but is currently available for 19x 2024E earnings and 12x our estimate of 2026E earnings. ...
Pitch Summary:
Globant, a U.S.-listed South American IT services company, posted disappointing Q4 FY24 results. The market was dissatisfied with FY25 revenue guidance, which fell short of expectations for accelerating growth. Results were impacted by the pull-forward of revenue from Globant's largest client, Disney, as well as overall weakness in Latin America due to political instability. Tighter IT budgets and a spending shift toward hardware a...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Korea's leading search and e-commerce platform was a detractor for the quarter. The key market concern is the increasing competition in the Korean e-commerce space from Chinese entrants like Alibaba and Pinduoduo. These entrants are growing quickly in Korea, but they are starting from a very low base. These competitors have less than 3% market share in a very fragmented market. Naver's recent deceleration in Gross Merchandise Value...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
One of the sectors that have most fallen out of grace has to be the Chinese private education sector, and not without. As has almost become custom, every once in a while the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) something is wrong in the world and the only solution is taking a wrecking ball and destroy the profitability of an entire sector. Usually, it then figures out it was a bit too much and then does a bit of backtracking, reviving the...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Let's look at Aritzia for a typical case study. We bought a position in Aritzia in 2022 and had an average cost base of around $36 per share. Our thesis was that Aritzia is a high-ROIC business offering essential clothing, driven by a capable management team with strong founder leadership. Importantly, there was predictable growth in the business as Aritzia was just starting to expand in the US and had plans to open ~10 stores in t...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
The largest private sector bank in India, was the top detractor for the quarter. The merger between HDFC Ltd and HDFC Bank was completed in July of last year. The first couple of quarters post-merger have been challenging as some financial metrics, like Net Interest Margin and Return on Assets, are reset in the combined entity. A key concern is their elevated loan to deposit ratio. This ratio is elevated because HDFC Ltd was a whol...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Lottomatica, an Italian gaming operator, reported another set of compelling results, highlighting its continued momentum. The company is leveraging its number-one position in the Italian gaming market and omnichannel presence to gain market share amidst rising penetration of online gambling. Lottomatica's solid growth outlook is supporting continued margin expansion and capital returns to shareholders. We added to this position dur...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
Leading manufacturer of tequila and whiskeys Becle contributed strongly in the quarter. The company is one of our more volatile holdings quarter-to-quarter in terms of its reported results, but not necessarily in terms of its stable and growing long-term value. The quarter saw reported results that were better than the market expected. There had been fears that the spirits industry was slowing and what that meant for its earnings p...
Pitch Summary:
Goosehead Insurance, a U.S. insurance broker, reported stronger-than-expected results driven by higher contingent commissions and expanding EBITDA margins. Core revenues increased and management remains optimistic about accelerating growth in 2025. Goosehead's ability to balance robust top-line growth with prudent margin expansion reinforces our confidence in its long-term trajectory.
BSD Analysis:
Polen Capital expresses strong c...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
French hospitality business Accor was another top contributor for the quarter, with the stock returning over 25% in local currency. Continued strong operational performance drove returns in the quarter. The hotel industry continues to shift towards the biggest and most recognized brands globally, and Accor has one of the strongest brand portfolios, particularly outside of the US. It is well placed geographically as the market leade...
Pitch Summary:
Sanrio, a Japanese entertainment company best known for the Hello Kitty franchise, delivered robust results during the period. Growth in licensing in the U.S. and China, driven by Hello Kitty's 50th anniversary promotions, led to substantial margin expansion. We continue to hold Sanrio in the Portfolio, given the long-term opportunities from continued growth of Hello Kitty, greater international anime penetration, and further margi...
Bull
Pitch Summary:
International consumer goods and ingredients business Glanbia was the top contributor for the quarter. Continuing its strong performance from last year, the company reported strong full year results in the quarter. Its key brand, Optimum Nutrition, grew revenues 17% last year and is now a $1 billion brand which continues to show strong momentum in a fast-growing, underpenetrated category. The company demonstrated strong operational...
Pitch Summary:
Manhattan Associates is the leading provider of software for warehouses and distribution centers. We have followed the company in our library for several years. Manhattan provides software that serves as the operating system for distribution and supply chain management. The company has a long history of leadership and innovation in this space. Almost 10 years ago, the company embarked on a SaaS transition in which it completely reb...
Pitch Summary:
Rubrik, meanwhile, is a next-generation data storage, backup and recovery provider showing strong, double-digit subscription revenue growth. We believe its cloud-based offerings have resonated with its Fortune 500 customer base, positioning it well to continue to take share from legacy data backup providers. The introduction of new AI data security products could offer an additional revenue source to Rubrik's business.
BSD Analysi...
Pitch Summary:
We re-initiated a position in Wingstop, a unique quick-service restaurant brand with exceptional unit economics and a long runway for growth. Wingstop's light asset model, combined with its ability to scale internationally, reinforces its attractiveness. We believe its focus on digital innovation and solid customer loyalty will support earnings growth far into the future. The stock has pulled back considerably, and we consider it a...
Pitch Summary:
We initiated a new position in online pet retailer Chewy in the consumer discretionary sector. We believe the company has exited a period of tough comparables achieved during COVID-19 and that the decline in pet products spending has begun to stabilize. The company's initiatives in warehouse automation, pharmaceutical services and private label products are strong catalysts, and Chewy has built a loyal base through peerless custome...
Pitch Summary:
Comfort Systems is a leading mechanical, electrical, and plumbing installation and service provider. The company is a diversified provider of new building systems for new construction, replacements, and updates for existing buildings. Comfort Systems primarily focus on commercial, industrial, healthcare, and public infrastructure markets. Building systems construction is an inherently challenging business, but Comfort Systems is hi...
Pitch Summary:
Construction Partners is the leading paving operator in the Southeast U.S. The business is most acutely tied to repairing and replacing aging road infrastructure, which tends to be driven by long-term maintenance plans controlled by local and state government projects. The business has a highly competent management team and a skilled consolidator. The company has reached a scale where its margins and returns benefit from vertical i...