📊 21932 Pitches Found
Fund Letters
Silver Ring Value Partners
May 14, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Consumer Discretionary
Sub Industry
Automobile Components

Pitch Summary:
Phinia was a spin-off from BorgWarner (BWA) and consists of that company's fuel systems and after-market businesses. What attracted me to do further work was the language that management used on their calls. For example, here is what the CEO said on a recent call about executive compensation: "... we are managing the business with a laser focus on generating economic value, or EV, and free cash flow. The 2024 annual cash incentive ...

  • aftermarket
  • automotive
  • capital allocation
  • commercial vehicles
  • Ev-Transition
  • Free Cash Flow
  • Fuel Systems
  • spinoff
  • Value
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Short Thesis
Blue Orca
May 13, 2024
📉 Bear
Industry
Health Care
Sub Industry
Health Care Equipment

Pitch Summary:
The court ruled against the company's key monopolistic protection and it was not disclosed to investors; the company concealed this material information and now it will compete against others;

BSD Analysis:
Insulet develops the Omnipod, a tubeless insulin pump. While adoption continues, the short thesis highlights a stretched valuation given intensifying competition from Medtronic, Tandem, and Dexcom’s integrated systems. Margins ...

  • Competition
  • Devices
  • Diabetes
  • Insulin
  • Reimbursement
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Fund Letters
Hinde Group
May 10, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Communication Services
Sub Industry
Interactive Media & Services

Pitch Summary:
Alphabet is the holding company for Google, one of the preeminent businesses in the world, as well as a collection of other, smaller companies, such as Access (broadband internet), Calico (life sciences), Verily (life sciences), and Waymo (autonomous vehicles), among others. Google has numerous core products that are used on a regular basis by more than a billion users around the world, including Google Search, Android, Chrome, Gma...

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Cloud computing
  • compounder
  • Cost Reduction
  • digital advertising
  • operating leverage
  • Revenue Growth
  • search engine
  • technology platform
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🎧

Meb Faber Show

Published: May 10, 2024

▶ Watch on YouTube
  • Stocks for the Long Run: The hosts challenge the certainty of long-term equity outperformance, using global data to show meaningful odds of negative real returns over 30 years.
  • Real Returns: Emphasis on inflation-adjusted returns and compounding math, highlighting heuristic figures (e.g., 6/5/4/2/1 for US stocks/global stocks/CTAs/bonds/T-bills).
  • Country Case Studies: Japan’s 1989–2019 period shows negative 21% real return...
  • global diversification
  • Meb Faber Show
  • Real Returns
  • risk management
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Fund Letters
Gregory See
May 8, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Information Technology
Sub Industry
Semiconductors

Pitch Summary:
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM US, 2330 TT) We remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects and envision ourselves holding shares for an extended period. As we've previously discussed, we believe the company's two key competitive advantages - consistently manufacturing cutting-edge semiconductor chips while offering highly competitive pricing - will drive robust profits for years to come. These advanta...

  • AI
  • CapEx
  • Cyclical
  • Foundry
  • hyperscalers
  • infrastructure
  • leadership
  • Moat
  • semiconductors
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Short Thesis
Spruce Point
May 8, 2024
📉 Bear
Industry
Consumer Discretionary
Sub Industry
Apparel Retail

Pitch Summary:
CEO's degree claims are misleading; the company's executives and directors are associated with financial scandals; false claims that the company is expanding its physical stores; up to 50% downside;

BSD Analysis:
Boot Barn specializes in western and workwear apparel. Bears argue the company is overextending store growth in a niche category that may not support national scale. Same-store sales have slowed, suggesting demand saturat...

  • Apparel
  • Cyclical
  • expansion
  • Margins
  • retail
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Short Thesis
Nate Anderson
May 8, 2024
📉 Bear
Industry
Consumer Discretionary
Sub Industry
Automotive Retail

Pitch Summary:
Hindenburg's Nate tweeted: We’ve had a flood of 15+ inbounds in the past week asking us to look at potential accounting fraud at $CVNA. More than I've ever seen in so short a span of time, many that describe granular red flags.

BSD Analysis:
Carvana operates an online used car marketplace with a capital-intensive logistics network. The short case emphasizes extremely high leverage, reliance on securitizing subprime loans, and expo...

  • Autos
  • cash burn
  • debt
  • retail
  • Subprime
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Fund Letters
Saltlight Capital
May 6, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Communication Services
Sub Industry
Wireless Telecommunication Services

Pitch Summary:
Blue Label Telecoms (BLU) continues its path of self-healing. BLU announced that it received approval from the Competition Commission to take control of Cell C. This is a subtle but essential development to unlock shareholder value. The remaining impediment is the telecoms regulator. Despite BLU trading at single-digit multiples of its core business earnings, investor interest has been subdued. A significant reason for this hesitan...

  • consolidation
  • debt reduction
  • Self-healing
  • Share Buybacks
  • South Africa
  • telecommunications
  • turnaround
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Fund Letters
Saltlight Capital
May 6, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Financials
Sub Industry
Consumer Finance

Pitch Summary:
Transaction Capital (TCP) completed its spin-off of WeBuyCars (WBC) during the quarter – an event we've written about many times. We've previously expressed our belief that WBC has ample room to grow over the next few years. The market often misunderstands the dynamics of "aggregators" and, as a result, underestimates WBC's potential value. Through economies of scale, aggregators tend to capture significant portions of the "industr...

  • debt restructuring
  • financial services
  • South Africa
  • Special Situation
  • spin-off
  • value unlock
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Fund Letters
Saltlight Capital
May 6, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Communication Services
Sub Industry
Interactive Media & Services

Pitch Summary:
During the quarter, we reinvested back in Tencent (and proxy Prosus) primarily because we're observing another pattern from our playbook that we cited in our last letter: the idea that advertising is a helpful 'switch' that can be 'turned on' to enhance margins when they're required. Tencent's WeChat is used daily by 1 billion people in China. Still, Tencent has historically under-monetised the advertising potential of its vast soc...

  • advertising
  • AI
  • China
  • monetization
  • Share Buybacks
  • social media
  • Video Content
  • WeChat
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Fund Letters
Cedar Creek Partners
May 5, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Financials
Sub Industry
Asset Management & Custody Banks

Pitch Summary:
Over the past nine months we have been able to build up a decent size position in ENDI Corp (ENDI) at around $4 per share, or two times earnings net of cash. It has since climbed to above $6.50 per share. ENDI Corp, formerly known as Enterprise Diversified and prior to that Sitestar, has been quite a ride for long-term shareholders. Eight years ago, the company was taken over by private investor Jeff Moore and Steven Kiel of Arquit...

  • Acquisitions
  • asset management
  • AUM growth
  • cash generation
  • financial services
  • microcap
  • turnaround
  • Value
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Fund Letters
Massif Capital
May 3, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Materials
Sub Industry
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Pitch Summary:
One position in the portfolio we have not discussed much in our earlier letters to investors is our 6% investment in OCI, which we started in April 2023. Despite important catalysts, the stock is currently trading at our entry price. On a total return basis, we are up 16.1% in the position due to regular and special dividends paid out last year. We expect to receive another significant special dividend this year, as outlined below....

  • activist investor
  • Ammonia
  • Asset Sale
  • capital return
  • EBITDA multiple
  • Europe
  • Family Business
  • Fertilizer
  • MENA
  • Nitrogen
  • Special dividend
  • Sum-of-parts
  • Value
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Fund Letters
Appleseed Fund
May 2, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Real Estate
Sub Industry
Mortgage REITs

Pitch Summary:
AGNC is an internally managed REIT focused on the agency RMBS sector. As the best of breed RMBS REIT, AGNC trades at a discount to tangible book value and offers a mid-teens dividend yield. With MBS spreads at a 3+ standard deviation from the mean, investors in AGNC will benefit from a normalization of mortgage credit spreads. While we wait for agency mortgage spreads to normalize, Appleseed Fund clips a ~1.3% dividend each month.
...

  • agency RMBS
  • discount to book value
  • fixed income
  • high dividend yield
  • Mortgage Securities
  • REIT
  • Spread Normalization
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Fund Letters
Appleseed Fund
May 2, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Health Care
Sub Industry
Managed Health Care

Pitch Summary:
Humana is one of several U.S. large managed care organizations and is primarily focused on government health insurance. Humana's share price has fallen over 40.0% from post-COVID highs due to the recent emergence of elevated medical loss ratios. In our view, Humana's stock has been severely punished and the stock was quite attractive at the time when Appleseed Fund took a position.

BSD Analysis:
Appleseed Fund initiated a position...

  • contrarian
  • Government Health Insurance
  • healthcare
  • managed care
  • Medical Loss Ratios
  • Medicare Advantage
  • Value
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Fund Letters
Greystone Capital
May 1, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Industrials
Sub Industry
Industrial Machinery

Pitch Summary:
For readers in the habit of using quantitative screens to identify investment ideas, NN will likely cause you to turn the other cheek. At first glance, this business does not look pretty. Under the hood, there is a lot to like. The fact patterns here along with management efforts are very similar to our investment in Bel Fuse. Like Bel Fuse, NNBR possesses strong technical expertise, a large manufacturing footprint, and long-dated ...

  • Activist Backed
  • automotive
  • Cost Structure Improvement
  • Medical devices
  • Mission-Critical Components
  • Operational Leverage
  • Precision Manufacturing
  • turnaround
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Fund Letters
Greystone Capital
May 1, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Consumer Staples
Sub Industry
Food Distributors

Pitch Summary:
Innovative Food Holdings is a specialty food distributor with a niche service offering and a history of strong organic growth. The company distributes over 7,000 perishable and specialty food and food related products, with expertise in selection, sourcing, and logistics. The business was founded and run for nearly twenty years by the former CEO who was both overpaid and had a history of chasing pet projects to the company's detrim...

  • asset-light
  • cash flow generation
  • M&A Target
  • Management Change
  • niche market
  • Professional Chefs
  • Specialty food distribution
  • turnaround
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Fund Letters
Alta Fox Capital Management
May 1, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Industrials
Sub Industry
Machinery

Pitch Summary:
I recently had the opportunity to pitch a best idea at the BTIG Value Investing event in Omaha as part of the Berkshire Hathaway pilgrimage weekend. I pitched REVG, which is a manufacturer of primarily fire trucks and ambulances. We believe this is a very compelling industry due to current three-year backlogs for demand, significant price increases which have yet to fully flow through the P&L, and an oligopoly industry structure. M...

  • Ambulances
  • backlogs
  • Emergency Vehicles
  • Fire Trucks
  • margin expansion
  • Municipal
  • oligopoly
  • Pricing power
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Fund Letters
Alta Fox Capital Management
May 1, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Consumer Staples
Sub Industry
Personal Products

Pitch Summary:
Humble Group AB was the biggest detractor in the quarter, as it gave up some of its Q4 gains. We believe the thesis is on track and that this company remains one of the cheapest stocks in our portfolio. We see the potential for it to double over the next 12 months. Humble (full thesis here) has traded down in sympathy with the Swedish First North index as the institutional investor community increasingly abandons the venue in favor...

  • acquisition target
  • consumer staples
  • Exchange Migration
  • Free Cash Flow
  • organic growth
  • Sweden
  • uplisting
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Fund Letters
Alta Fox Capital Management
May 1, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Information Technology
Sub Industry
Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components

Pitch Summary:
Daktronics was another large contributor in the first quarter. We will refrain from rehashing the thesis, as we have fully covered this in previous letters. However, we believe the thesis is very much on track and that DAKT remains significantly undervalued. The stock still trades for <6x our estimate of EBITDA, implying a double-digit free cash flow yield. We believe there remains underappreciated growth and self-improvement le...

  • Digital Signage
  • Electronic Displays
  • Free Cash Flow
  • Operational Improvement
  • Sports Technology
  • Value
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Fund Letters
Alta Fox Capital Management
May 1, 2024
Bull Bull
Industry
Information Technology
Sub Industry
Data Processing & Outsourced Services

Pitch Summary:
Alta Fox has followed EML Payments for over five years. It started as a payments company focused on the gift and incentive card program management industry. Alta Fox was briefly invested in the company with the thesis that the business operated in a uniquely profitable payments niche and the company was cheap on normalized earnings. The company "diworsified" in 2020, at the worst possible time, by acquiring PFS, a European payments...

  • activist
  • Australia
  • Board Restructuring
  • Fintech
  • Float Income
  • Gift Cards
  • Payments
  • turnaround
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