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Fund Returns
QTD+20.4%
YTD+21.6%
Annualized+14%
Positioning StanceCAUTIOUS
Market CapAll Cap
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-term market runs."
Executive Summary
The Wolf of Harcourt Street reported an exceptional performance for Q2 2025, returning +20.4% compared to the S&P 500's +10.4% (+21.6% YTD vs. S&P +5.5%). Top contributors to this outperformance were UBER, MELI, SE, and NU. During the quarter, the manager increased exposure to Uber (adding at $85) and InPost, noting strong secular drivers for both. Uber is positioned well to win in the autonomous vehicle fragmentation space through its partnership with Volkswagen, while InPost secured a major logistics deal with Debenhams Group in the UK. Sea Limited and ASML remain on the buy list due to attractive valuations relative to long-term compounding potential. Despite high performance, the manager remains cautious about rapid market runs and is maintaining a 4%+ cash position to prudently manage downside risks.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
80%
Market Conviction
High-conviction positioning: The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
75%
Growth Outlook
Market outlook remains moderate conviction: The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
70%
Risk Appetite
Risk appetite posture is moderate conviction: The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
40%
Capital Deployment
Manager actively deployed capital into high-conviction opportunities. The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
80%
Forward Guidance
Forward guidance signal: The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
85%
Language Signal
Tone analysis indicates above average conviction language: The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
60%
Perceived Risk
Perceived risk level is evaluated as above average conviction. The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
70%
Opportunity Density
Opportunity density index indicates above average conviction actionable entry points. The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...
80%
Time Horizon
Investment time horizon reflects a high conviction orientation. The Wolf of Harcourt Street outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in Q2 2025 (+20.4% vs +10.4%) but is holding over 4% cash and taking a cautious posture due to strong short-te...