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Fund Returns
QTD+4.52%
YTD+4.52%
Annualized-11.32%
Positioning StanceConstructive
Market CapLarge Cap
GeographyUS
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Madison Sustainable Equity lagged in Q1 as quality underperformed in a narrow tech-led rally. Banking crisis created opportunities to add to US Bancorp while Oracle was added for cloud growth."
Executive Summary
Madison Sustainable Equity Fund returned 4.52% in Q1 2023, trailing the S&P 500's 7.5% gain due to narrow market leadership and high-quality underperformance. The quarter was marked by banking sector turmoil following Silicon Valley Bank's failure, though technology stocks rallied sharply. Top contributors included digitally-oriented holdings like Analog Devices, Alphabet, Qualcomm, and TE Connectivity, while US Bancorp, Eli Lilly, and Danaher detracted. The managers added to US Bancorp during banking weakness, established a new Oracle position based on improved cloud growth, and eliminated Automatic Data Processing due to peak employment concerns. Key risks include persistent inflation, slowing GDP growth, and potential earnings declines. However, with the Fed likely done hiking rates, the managers are cautiously optimistic about the remainder of 2023, using market volatility to upgrade the portfolio with attractively valued, high-quality companies positioned for long-term sustainable growth.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
Market Conviction
68%
CautiousHigh
Moderate (68%)
Fund holds 38 concentrated positions with detailed thesis for each major holding. Manager provides specific catalysts and timeframes (Qualcomm recovery in second half, Lilly data in mid-2023). Active position sizing decisions including adds and eliminates demonstrate moderate-high conviction.
Growth Outlook
38%
BearishBullish
Neutral (38%)
Manager acknowledges multiple headwinds including sticky inflation, slowing GDP growth, banking sector stress, and expects continued market volatility. However, sees potential peak in interest rates and is cautiously optimistic about remainder of 2023, preventing a more negative score.
Risk Appetite
15%
DefensiveAggressive
Defensive (15%)
Manager is selectively adding positions (US Bancorp, Oracle) and using volatility to upgrade portfolio, indicating modest risk appetite. However, also eliminated a position (ADP) due to concerns, showing balanced approach rather than aggressive deployment.
Capital Deployment
25%
De-riskingDeploying
De-risking (25%)
Manager added to US Bancorp position and established new Oracle position while eliminating ADP. Describes using volatility to upgrade portfolio, indicating selective net deployment but no dramatic cash level changes mentioned.
Forward Guidance
30%
CautiousExpansionary
Cautious (30%)
Manager explicitly states being cautiously optimistic about remainder of 2023 and is actively using volatility to upgrade portfolio with attractively valued companies. Clear intent to deploy capital selectively into quality names.
Language Signal
45%
BearishBullish
Balanced (45%)
Language contains significant risk discussion (inflation, banking crisis, earnings declines, volatility) balanced against opportunity language (upgrade portfolio, attractively valued, long-term growth). Slightly more cautious than bullish overall.
Perceived Risk
72%
Low RiskElevated
Elevated Risk (72%)
Manager identifies multiple specific risks including sticky inflation, slowing GDP growth, banking sector turmoil, potential earnings declines, and expects continued market volatility. Detailed discussion of macro headwinds throughout the letter.
Opportunity Density
60%
ScarceAbundant
Selective (60%)
Manager sees selective opportunities, describing companies becoming more attractively valued and actively upgrading portfolio. However, emphasizes selectivity and caution rather than abundant opportunities across markets.
Time Horizon
70%
Short-TermLong-Term
Decade+ (70%)
Manager discusses long-term growth positioning for holdings, multi-year catalysts (Lilly trials, Oracle cloud scaling), and sustainable business practices. Focus on companies adjusting strategy for long-term growth indicates patient capital approach.