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Fund Returns
QTD-7.72%
YTD-7.72%
Annualized+9.02%
Positioning StanceConstructive
Market CapSmallCap
GeographyUS
Digest Analysis
Quick Take
"Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains while software positions faced AI disruption fears."
Executive Summary
TimesSquare's U.S. Small Cap Growth Strategy underperformed in Q1 2026, declining 6.71% net versus the Russell 2000 Growth Index's 2.81% decline. The portfolio faced headwinds from market rotation away from Software toward Energy, Materials, Regional Banks, and Utilities following Iran conflict and geopolitical tensions. Energy holdings performed strongly with Matador Resources surging 50% and Excelerate Energy gaining 19% as oil prices spiked. Semiconductor companies delivered robust results with MACOM, Onto Innovation, and Lattice Semiconductor posting 26-30% gains driven by datacenter and AI infrastructure demand. Healthcare holdings showed mixed performance with CG Oncology advancing 64% on accelerated trial timelines while Stevanato Group declined 32% on oral formulation concerns. Software positions faced AI disintermediation fears despite strong fundamentals, leading to position adjustments including trimming Wingstop and adding to ServiceTitan on weakness. The team remains focused on identifying durable business models capable of navigating the new era where capital allocation is increasingly driven by strategic necessity rather than pure economic returns.
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Algorithmic conviction, macroeconomic posture, and risk appetite signals extracted from this quarterly letter with qualitative explanations.
Signal Matrix
Market Conviction
68%
CautiousHigh
Moderate (68%)
High-conviction positioning: Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Growth Outlook
38%
BearishBullish
Neutral (38%)
Market outlook remains high conviction: Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Risk Appetite
15%
DefensiveAggressive
Defensive (15%)
Risk appetite posture is very low conviction: Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Capital Deployment
50%
De-riskingDeploying
Net Neutral (50%)
Manager actively deployed capital into high-conviction opportunities. Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Forward Guidance
35%
CautiousExpansionary
Cautious (35%)
Forward guidance signal: Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Language Signal
10%
BearishBullish
Bearish (10%)
Tone analysis indicates very low conviction language: Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Perceived Risk
50%
Low RiskElevated
Moderate Risk (50%)
Perceived risk level is evaluated as moderate conviction. Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Opportunity Density
50%
ScarceAbundant
Selective (50%)
Opportunity density index indicates moderate conviction actionable entry points. Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...
Time Horizon
50%
Short-TermLong-Term
Multi-Year (50%)
Investment time horizon reflects a moderate conviction orientation. Small cap growth strategy underperformed amid market rotation from Software to defensive sectors following Iran conflict. Energy and semiconductor holdings delivered strong gains w...